The article analyzes the macroeconomic consequences of long-term and intensive transformations of the production structure. It is shown that, unlike idiosyncratic shocks taken into account in standard New Keynesian dynamic and stochastic general equilibrium models, such changes form an independent, stable impulse on the supply side, capable of leading the economy to a special quasi-stationary state with reduced output and elevated prices. Based on the extended AD-AS model, the conditions for the emergence of a “short-long-term” equilibrium are identified and the dynamics of inflation in the process of transition to this regime are described.
The article addresses the development of a locally adjustable policy for transitioning to best available technologies. The relevance of these issues stems from significant differences in the environmental and socio-economic conditions across Russian regions, which necessitate developing a flexible model of environmental industrial policy that more fully accounts for regional characteristics and is closely aligned with spatial development policy. To this end, using the thermal power industry as an example, the paper proposes an approach to accounting for regional differences in Russia during the transition to best available technologies (BAT) for air pollution control. The obtained estimates demonstrate a high spatial heterogeneity in the economic parameters of greening thermal power plants (TPP) in Russia. Consequently, implementing a “spatially neutral” policy of transition to BAT threatens the stability of socio-economic development in regions characterized by a large share of coal-based electricity generation. In this regard, recommendations are offered for improving the policy of transition to BAT in Russia’s thermal power industry by developing locally adjustable measures.
The article constructs trends in postconflict economic development based on predictive analysis. Graphical data are provided models of postconflict economic development during the period of postwar reconstruction programs. A forecast analysis is presented (using the Donetsk People’s Republic as an example), and the problems of economic recovery and development in the new constituent entities of the Russian Federation and border regions of the Russian Federation, which suffered from military action, are examined. The patterns of recovery processes as an extremely moderate and long-term stage of economic development have been identified, which is proposed to be taken into account when drafting policy documents in the context of new socio-economic challenges.
The study is based on an assessment of the ability of Russian families to save for housing using their own funds. Using Rosstat microdata on sample income surveys, the number of years of savings required to purchase real estate for different population groups, depending on income, was calculated for Russia as a whole and for individual regions of the Russian Federation, and the Gini coefficient was calculated for this indicator. The results of the analysis show an increase in the median accumulation period over the past decade and significant differentiation between households in this indicator.
The increasing intensity and frequency of heavy rainfall amid climate change in Moscow poses significant risks to the city’s economy. For the period 2021–2024, the average annual economic damage is estimated at 11 billion rubles (in 2024 prices). Adapting Moscow’s drainage system requires a spatially differentiated approach. The most effective strategy combines gray and green infrastructure. Green solutions help reduce peak loads while traditional engineering systems ensure reliable drainage. In the historic center and densely built areas, modernizing gray infrastructure plays a key role. In less densely developed areas with available open space, active implementation of green infrastructure elements is advisable. Universal measures include cleaning stormwater inlets, preventive flushing of internal storm sewer pipes, and litter control. Given the predominance of indirect effects, an integrated approach to managing Moscow’s drainage system is essential.
