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    The Manchester School

    The Manchester School

    Journal

    年发文量

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    论文(2356)

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    1A Threshold‐Price Approach to Oligopolistic Competition: A Resolution to the Bertrand Paradox
    N. Túñez‐Area

    ABSTRACT In homogeneous‐product markets, changing a price does more than alter a firm's profit margin: it may also determine which competitors can profitably remain active. This paper develops a new static theory of price competition based on this observation. We first establish that, under homogeneous products, unlimited production capacity, and consumer indifference across firms charging the same price, matching a profitable rival price weakly dominates remaining above it (Matching Dominance). Consequently, firms recognize that every feasible price simultaneously determines the corresponding market structure and solve a single optimization problem in which prices and market structure are jointly determined. The solution yields firm‐specific threshold prices that balance operating margins against the profitability of alternative market structures. We then show that competition selects the lowest threshold price as the Nash equilibrium of the game (Competitive Selection). Unlike the classical Bertrand model, equilibrium prices may exceed the relevant competitive benchmark—the common marginal cost under cost symmetry, or the marginal cost of the next most efficient rival under cost asymmetry—without relying on product differentiation, capacity constraints, repeated interaction, or collusion. The conventional Bertrand outcome nevertheless arises as a special case when the exclusion threshold is itself the firm's optimal threshold. The framework characterizes how demand and production costs jointly determine threshold prices and endogenous market structures, and explains how continuous changes in economic fundamentals may generate discrete changes in industry concentration. It also provides a different perspective on market power and merger effects by focusing on the firms capable of determining equilibrium prices rather than on market concentration alone.

    2026
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    2Endogenous Corporate Social Responsibility in a Congested Network Monopoly: Passive Versus Responsive Consumer Expectations
    Emanuel Namaiwa Barke

    ABSTRACT This paper examines endogenous corporate social responsibility (CSR) in a monopolistic network industry in which participation generates both network benefits and congestion. We develop a fulfilled‐expectations model and compare the firm's CSR, pricing and output decisions under passive and responsive consumer expectations. Under passive expectations, positive network externalities always sustain CSR, whereas sufficiently strong congestion may eliminate commitment when consumers' sensitivity to CSR is limited. Under responsive expectations, CSR is always strictly positive. Whenever the passive solution is interior, responsive expectations induce stronger CSR under congestion but weaker CSR when positive network benefits dominate. The profit and welfare rankings across expectation regimes similarly depend on the nature of network interactions. Nevertheless, within each regime, endogenous CSR raises monopoly profit, consumer surplus and social surplus relative to the corresponding no‐CSR benchmark whenever it is adopted. These findings remain robust when production involves increasing marginal costs. Allowing for heterogeneous expectations further shows that, under congestion, a sufficiently large share of responsive consumers can eliminate the no‐CSR outcome.

    2026
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    3Policy Effects on Economic Well‐Being: Evaluating Inflation Targeting in Middle‐Income Nations
    Beny Trias Oktora,Ming‐Jen Chang

    ABSTRACT This study evaluates whether the adoption of inflation targeting (IT) causally enhances real income growth and reduces inflation volatility in 16 middle‐income nations (MINs). The analysis employs Bayesian frameworks and dynamic difference‐in‐differences (DiD) to identify both short‐run and long‐run policy effects. The research contributes to the literature by reconciling mixed findings on IT through joint modeling of parameter instability and staggered treatment timing, and by providing extensive robustness checks. The principal contribution is an examination of whether IT frameworks serve as effective monetary policy instruments for both per capita GDP growth and price stability in emerging economies. The results indicate that only five countries exhibit transient post −IT improvements in GDP per capita, while pre −IT effects remain negligible. Dynamic DiD estimations corroborate these findings, showing statistically insignificant long‐term treatment effects across cohorts, with short‐term impacts dissipating within 5 years. The analysis concludes that IT frameworks in MINs fail to generate sustained income growth trajectories, although they effectively mitigate price volatility. These findings align with the theoretical predictions of monetary super‐neutrality in the long run, namely, that sustained changes in the rate of inflation, as governed by IT regimes, do not permanently alter real output trajectories.

    2026
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    4Public Health and Optimal Trade Policy: the Role of Immigration
    Sugata Marjit,Arijit Mukherjee

    ABSTRACT We determine the optimal tariff in the presence of immigration and public health provision in a factor‐abundance‐driven trade model, and we prove two results. First, ceteris paribus , a higher value of immigrant output, a more efficient or cheaper public health service, or a lower level of immigration (which occurs if the wage in the recipient country is not significantly higher than that in the sourcing country) may lead to more restrictive trade policies compared to the benchmark of no immigration and no public healthcare provision. Second, contrary to conventional wisdom, all else being equal, trade in goods and factors may be complements under a lower value of output creation by immigrants, a more inefficient or expensive public healthcare system, or a higher level of immigration.

    2026
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    5Finance and Growth: What Shifts the Relationship?
    Stephen G. Cecchetti,Enisse Kharroubi

    We revisit the inverted-U relationship between finance and growth using data for 40 countries from 1969 to 2019. Our estimates of the tipping point-the level of credit-to-GDP above which additional credit becomes a drag on growth-are substantially lower than those we reported in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. Why is this? Our analysis points to global factors as the most important determinant of the turning point. That is, we show that common movements in GDP and credit across countries significantly lower the estimated turning point. We go on to investigate the impact of banking-system concentration, which raises the turning point but steepens the costs of exceeding it; bank credit-to-deposit ratios, which tend to lower it; and, most strikingly, the stock market capitalisation, where a high level can cause the inverted-U to disappear entirely, so that additional bank credit is associated with lower growth at all levels.

    2026
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    高被引作者

    作者引用发文
    Bela Balassa112161
    William Arthur Lewis102225
    Philip Molyneux9282
    Nigel Driffield7683
    J. C. Mitchell7591
    Michael Woodford7421
    john goddard7291
    Denise R. Osborn7265
    M. Emranul Haque7173
    Niloy Bose6852

    高产作者

    作者引用发文
    Arijit Mukherjee26518
    G. W. Daniels2111
    Jack Stafford711
    John Creedy769
    Da Peel4119
    David Cobham949
    Keith Cuthbertson1358
    Jeong-Yoo Kim368
    Mark P. Taylor3868
    Stephen G. Hall2518

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