Purpose To explore the risk factors and develop predictive models for intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance in children with recurrent Kawasaki disease (KD). Patients and Methods Patients with recurrent KD were retrospectively reviewed. Clinical and laboratory data at recurrence were collected and compared between patients with and without IVIG resistance. The patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts for model development and validation. All variables were subjected to standard Lasso and its variant group Lasso analyses, respectively, to construct predictive models. Model performance was evaluated by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and Hosmer-Lemeshow tests. Results A total of 90 children with recurrent KD were included. A total of 16 cases were IVIG resistant. The patients with IVIG resistance had higher age and IVIG resistance probability at the first episode, increased CRP levels, neutrophil count, neutrophil percentage, direct bilirubin level, prothrombin time, and international normalized ratio, and decreased lymphocyte count, lymphocyte percentage, and serum sodium levels. Five variables including age and IVIG resistance at the first episode, lymphocytes count, serum sodium levels, and CRP levels were finally selected by standard Lasso (lLasso model) and four variables including age and IVIG resistance at the first episode, neutrophil percentage, and CRP levels were selected by group Lasso (gLasso). ROC curves suggested lLasso and gLasso models had similar excellent discrimination in both the training cohort (0.895 vs 0.906) and the validation cohort (0.855 vs 0.909). Hosmer-Lemeshow tests suggested the two models exerted a good calibration. Two nomograms were also constructed to facilitate the potential application of the two models. Conclusion Age and IVIG resistance at the first episode and some laboratory variables may be risk factors for IVIG resistance in recurrent KD. Two predictive models for IVIG resistance with excellent performance were established in recurrent KD. External validation should be performed before clinical use.
Objective:To provide a theoretical basis for diagnosing and treating recurrent Kawasaki disease based on data analysis of clinical symptoms.Methods:Data analysis of children with recurrent Kawasaki disease admitted to Beijing Children′s Hospital of Capital Medical University from January 2016 to December 2019 was conducted, including comparisons of the initial onset and the recurrence on patients′ clinical features, auxiliary examination and treatment.Results:During the four-year scale, 3 041 children with Kawasaki disease were admitted to the department of Cardiology.The recurrence data involved 65 children[male∶female 3.1∶1, average aged(2.42 ± 2.04) years]. First, children′s fever duration was(5.66 ± 2.37) days in recurrence data, significantly shorter than that of their initial onset.The recurrence data also reported a lower incidence of rash and limb changes, together with respiratory and gastrointestinal symptoms.Then, 19 cases out of the 65 children got coronary artery lesion(CAL) at their initial onset.A relief of CAL was reported from 15 children when the disease recurred, along with 11 new-reported CAL cases.Intravenous immunoglobulin(IVIG) refractory Kawasaki disease cases accounted for nine at the initial onset and 12 at the recurrent onset, respectively.Five IVIG refractory recurrent cases reported significant relief after 2 g/kg IVIG treatment.Conclusion:The recurrent Kawasaki disease in children usually occurs among children under three years old, within the first year after the initial onset.Most of the recurrent cases report a shorter fever duration and less typical clinical symptoms than their first onset.In some cases, IVIG treatment showed effects initially but failed to work when the disease recurred.Therefore, glucocorticoid or infliximab should be considered for further treatment.
Objective:To establish a comprehensive and effective scoring model based on ultrasonic characteristics for predicting the restenosis risk after superficial femoral artery stenting, in order to assess the possibility of in-stent restenosis and to provide guidance for the selection of therapeutic strategies.Methods:A retrospective review of a database of 328 patients (381 limbs) undergoing superficial femoral artery stents in Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University from January 2016 to January 2018 was made as a modeling group.In the modeling cohort, the multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to screen independent risk factors for in-stent restenosis. A predictive scoring model of restenosis risk was established with weighted score of independent risk factors according to the odd ratio values. Based on the best cut-off value of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, the scoring table was divided into low-risk and high-risk groups of restenosis.Results:Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that 8 factors were included in the score system to establish the scoring model of in-stent restenosis risk prediction including calcified plaque, peak systolic velocity of popliteal artery<40 cm/s, runoff scores≥4, ankle-brachial index<0.5, female (1 point each); complicated stroke, complicated chronic renal disease, total lesion length 15.0-24.9 cm (2 points each); total lesion length≥25.0 cm (3 points), a total of 12 points in the model. The validation indicated that the scoring system had good predictive value(AUC=0.775, 95% CI=0.727-0.824, P<0.001) and goodness of fit (Hosmer-Lemeshow χ 2=4.921, P=0.766). The agreement with digital subtraction angiography(DSA) was good (Kappa value=0.609). The scoring system was further divided into the low-risk restenosis (0-5 points) and high-risk restenosis (6-12 points) according to the best cut-off value of 5.5, with a sensitivity of 68.1%, a specificity of 74.6%, and the accuracy of 72.7%. Conclusions:The superficial femoral artery in-stent restenosis risk predicting score model based on ultrasonic characteristics may accurately predict the restenosis preoperatively. It provides a theoretical basis for the precise surgical plans.
儿童晕厥是小儿常见病之一.根据其病因可分为自主神经介导性晕厥、心源性晕厥和少部分原因不明性晕厥.流行病学显示,心源性晕厥为儿童晕厥的第二位病因.因其临床危急、重症,需尽快精准积极抢救,且猝死率高、风险大、预后较差等因素,近年来,逐渐受到更多临床医师的关注.该文综合分析了儿童心源性晕厥诊断与治疗的进展,旨在为临床医师对心源性晕厥提供更深刻的认识,以提高患儿晕厥后的存活率及生存质量.
目的 系统评价针刺治疗偏头痛的疗效,为临床治疗提供医学依据.方法 计算机检索CNKI、CBM、VIP及万方Data数据库,搜集针刺治疗偏头痛的随机对照试验文章,并辅以追溯纳入的文献,及手工检索的方式以补充获得相关文献.检索年限为2007年1月1日—2016年12月31日,根据纳入、排除标准筛选文献并评价纳入研究质量,提取资料后,进行Meta分析.结果 共纳入24篇RCT,其中20篇对照组为西药,2篇对照组为安慰针,2篇对照组为中药.Meta分析结果显示,针刺组治疗偏头痛有效率优于西药组[RR=3.96,95%CI(3.02,5.19),P<0.00001],优于安慰针刺组[RR=5.70,95%CI(1.88,17.27),P=0.002],优于中药组[RR=7.58,95%CI(2.30,24.92),P=0.0009].结论 目前研究提示,针刺治疗偏头痛的有效率高于西药、中药、安慰针刺治疗,但高质量、大样本的研究相对不足,需要进一步证实.