The natural gas industry is crucial for the carbon emission reduction, energy security, and structural transformation of China’s energy system. Therefore, the high-quality development of the industry can inject impetus for the green transformation of the economy and society, construction of a new type of energy system, technological innovation, and international cooperation. This study analyzes the basis for and major challenges faced by the high-quality development of China’s natural gas industry. Specifically, the weak links in the high-quality development of the natural gas industry is mainly manifested in the insufficient supply capacity, incomplete market mechanism, and lack of innovation capabilities regarding key technologies and equipment. In this regard, the study proposes a path for the high-quality development of China’s natural gas industry: (1) guaranteeing the safe supply of natural gas, (2) improving the market system of the natural gas industry, (3) promoting the upgrading of technologies and equipment in the natural gas industry, and (4) accelerating the green and low-carbon development of the natural gas industry. This aims to innovate the development ideas of the natural gas industry and better satisfy the requirements for realizing high-quality economic development, guaranteeing energy security, promoting carbon peaking and carbon neutralization, and achieving balanced industrial development.

With more energy imported by China, the business on construction and operation of multinational oil and gas pipelines is increasing rapidly. The unique political attributes of multinational oil and gas pipelines are likely to bring about complicated and prominent political risks to the pipelines, which may not only trigger hazardous risks, but also induce risk effects. According to the system characteristics of multinational oil and gas pipelines, the influence factors, formation process and occurrence conditions of the catastrophe effect of political risk diffusion on the multinational oil and gas pipelines were analyzed based on the swallowtail catastrophe model by introducing the risk entropy theory. Based on the essence of catastrophe effect of political risk diffusion on multinational oil and gas pipelines, the suggestions were put forward to cope with the catastrophe effect by prohibiting the formation of dissipative structure and risk decoupling in the pipeline system, providing reference to the political risk management of multinational oil and gas pipelines to some extent.

随着石油天然气的广泛使用,油气资源对世界经济发展发挥着越来重要的作用,而油气资源的消耗也在不断增长.而跨国油气管道作为油气贸易以及运输的主要方式,也被广泛运用于油气资源的输送过程中,成为仅次于海洋运输的能源运输手段.但跨国油气管道项目动辄几百上千公里,受到相关国家政治环境和外来政治干扰因素较多,同时由于油气管道的"管道政治"特性,使得面临的政治风险易发多发,并且对油气管道和相关主体带来潜在的巨大风险.而目前对跨国油气管道政治风险扩散研究有助于厘清政治风险的扩散规律、条件等,对于防范和应对油气管道政治风险,提高项目的平稳运行有积极意义.

随着中国经济社会的快速发展,对石油天然气的需求也不断增长,而油气管道作为油气运输的主要方式,也被广泛运用于油气资源的输送过程中,成为仅处于海洋运输的能源运输手段,而跨国油气管道作为连接资源国消费国的长输管线,也经过了地缘政治重心,而该区域的政治风险因素较国内更多,更加复杂,而对政治风险的形成研究有助于厘清政治风险的形成规律、条件等等,对于防范和应对政治风险,提高项目的安全稳定有积极意义.

With the continuous development of petroleum industry, oil and gas development has entered the deep sea, and international oil and gas cooperation projects are increasing. How to effectively avoid various risks and uncertainties has become an important challenge. This paper establishes a risk factor prediction model for oil and gas construction projects based on combinatorial mathematical model. Through the combination of theory and empirical method, the cooperative development model of oil and gas resources and environmental risk are analyzed; through the commonly used project risk prediction model, the evaluation index system of oil and gas construction project is constructed, and the grey relational theory is introduced to construct the risk factor prediction model of oil and gas construction project based on the combined mathematical model. The model is used to predict and analyze oil and gas construction projects. The simulation results show that compared with the existing methods, the proposed method has less energy consumption, higher data mining accuracy and more practicability.

针对石油工程项目风险管理的现存问题进行分析,其问题突出表现在风险管控意识薄弱,难以发现潜在隐患;缺乏风险评判标准,危急处理能力较差及污染现象比较严重,故障设备存在老化等方面,且提出石油工程项目风险管理的优化对策,以期能够不断提升项目风险管理的效果.