AIMSHospital activity represents the major component of health care expenditure related to heart failure. This study evaluated the economic impact of applying specialist nurse management programmes that limit heart failure-related hospital readmissions within a whole population.METHODSUsing a reliable and validated estimate of the current level and cost of heart failure-related hospital activity in the U.K., we determined the thresholds at which the actual cost of establishing and applying a national service based on three different models of specialist nurse management would be equal to the 'cost' of bed utilization associated with preventable hospital readmissions in the year 2000. The three models of care examined were home-based, clinic-based or a combination of home plus clinic-based, post-discharge follow-up. The potential impact of this service was based on a U.K.-wide caseload of 122,000 patients discharged to home with a discharge diagnosis of congestive heart failure in that year.RESULTSBased on heart failure-specific patterns of hospital activity, we estimate that 47,000 of these 122,000 patients would normally accumulate a total of 594000 days of associated hospital stay from 49,000 readmissions (for any reason) within 1 year of hospital discharge. The cost of these admissions to the National Health Service was calculated at 166.2 million pounds sterling. Taking into account other costs associated with such hospital activity (e.g. general practice and hospital outpatient visits) each 10% reduction in recurrent bed utilization would be associated with 18.0 million ponds sterling in cost savings. Alternatively, the cost of applying a U.K.-wide programme of home-, clinic- or home plus clinic-based follow-up was calculated to be 69.4 pounds sterling, 73.1 pounds sterling and 72.5 million pounds sterling per annum, respectively. The relative thresholds at which generated 'cost-savings' would equal the cost of applying these programmes of care would therefore be a 38.5%, 40.6% and 40.3% reduction in recurrent bed utilization, respectively. If, as expected, a home-based programme of specialist nurse management reduced recurrent bed utilization by 50% or more, annual savings equivalent to 169,000 pounds sterling per 1000 patients treated would be generated.CONCLUSIONSThis is the first study to examine the economic consequences of applying a specialist nurse-mediated, post-discharge management service for heart failure within a whole population. Our findings suggest that such a service will not only improve quality of life and reduce readmissions in patients with congestive heart failure, but also reduce costs and improve the efficiency of the health care system in doing so.

Objective: An elevated risk of urinary tract infections (UTIs) in postmenopausal women has been attributed to an increase in the vaginal pH. Estrogen replacement therapy (ERT) helps restore the vaginal milieu and may have a beneficial effect on risk of infection. Studies examining the association between ERT and UTIs have been inconsistent. We conducted a nested case control study to clarify this relationship in women aged 45-89.Design: For each case, we selected up to five control women, matched by year of birth. We used pharmacy records to classify women as new users, past users, ongoing users (past and new users), and never users of ERT. There were 254 cases and 1,268 controls.Results: The risk ratio for UTI was 1.02 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.74, 1.40] for any use versus never use, after adjustment for health care utilization. The risk ratio for the association between new use and UTI was 1.13 (95% CI 0.46, 2.77). For ongoing users the risk ratio was 1.08 (95% CI 0.76, 1.54), whereas the risk ratio for past use was 0.77 (95% CI 0.39, 1.48).Conclusions: Our results do not support a protective effect of ERT on the risk of UTIs.