Time series forecasting has become increasingly critical in real-world scenarios, where future sequences are influenced not only by historical patterns but also by forthcoming events. In this context, forecasting must dynamically adapt to complex and stochastic future conditions, which introduces fundamental challenges in both forecasting and evaluation. Traditional methods typically rely on historical data or factual future conditions, while overlooking counterfactual scenarios. Furthermore, many existing approaches are restricted to simple structured conditions, limiting their ability to generalize to the real-world complexities. To address these gaps, we introduce the task of counterfactual time series forecasting with textual conditions, enabling more flexible and condition-aware forecasting. We propose a comprehensive evaluation framework that encompasses both factual and counterfactual settings, even in the absence of ground truth time series. Additionally, we present a novel text-attribution mechanism that distinguishes mutable from immutable factors, thereby improving forecast accuracy under sophisticated and stochastic textual conditions.

Network alignment (NA) aims to identify node correspondence across different networks and serves as a critical cornerstone behind various downstream multi-network learning tasks. Despite growing research in NA, there lacks a comprehensive library that facilitates the systematic development and benchmarking of NA methods. In this work, we introduce PLANETALIGN, a comprehensive Python library for network alignment that features a rich collection of built-in datasets, methods, and evaluation pipelines with easy-to-use APIs. Specifically, PLANETALIGN integrates 18 datasets and 14 NA methods with extensible APIs for easy use and development of NA methods. Our standardized evaluation pipeline encompasses a wide range of metrics, enabling a systematic assessment of the effectiveness, scalability, and robustness of NA methods. Through extensive comparative studies, we reveal practical insights into the strengths and limitations of existing NA methods. We hope that PLANETALIGN can foster a deeper understanding of the NA problem and facilitate the development and benchmarking of more effective, scalable, and robust methods in the future. The The source code of PLANETALIGN is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/PlanetAlign-E9BA

Time series data are integral to critical applications across domains such as finance, healthcare, transportation, and environmental science. While recent work has begun to explore multi-task time series question answering (QA), current benchmarks remain limited to forecasting and anomaly detection tasks. We introduce TSAQA, a novel unified benchmark designed to broaden task coverage and evaluate diverse temporal analysis capabilities. TSAQA integrates six diverse tasks under a single framework ranging from conventional analysis, including anomaly detection and classification, to advanced analysis, such as characterization, comparison, data transformation, and temporal relationship analysis. Spanning 210k samples across 13 domains, the dataset employs diverse formats, including true-or-false (TF), multiple-choice (MC), and a novel puzzling (PZ), to comprehensively assess time series analysis. Zero-shot evaluation demonstrates that these tasks are challenging for current Large Language Models (LLMs): the best-performing commercial LLM, Gemini-2.5-Flash, achieves an average score of only 65.08. Although instruction tuning boosts open-source performance: the best-performing open-source model, LLaMA-3.1-8B, shows significant room for improvement, highlighting the complexity of temporal analysis for LLMs.

Time series are often embedded in rich contexts that are essential for holistic modeling. Moreover, real-world practitioners often require end-to-end workflows for analyzing temporal dynamics, where widely studied tasks such as forecasting are only one step in a broader solution loop. While generalist AI agents offer a promising interface for such workflows under complex contexts, they still operate primarily in textual spaces that are not fully aligned with structured temporal signals. In this work, we introduce TimeClaw, an agentic harness framework for time series that equips generalist LLM agents with the time series-native runtime support needed for contextualized temporal reasoning. TimeClaw integrates executable temporal tools for grounded and auditable analysis, experience-driven capability evolution for creating reusable analytical routines, and episodic multimodal memory for retrieving relevant reasoning traces. Together, these components unlock harnessed open-ended temporal reasoning with contextual information. Extensive evaluation on multiple benchmarks covering diverse tasks across energy, finance, weather, traffic, and other real-world domains demonstrates improved performance of TimeClaw. Code is available at https://github.com/iDEA-iSAIL-Lab-UIUC/TimeClaw.

Graph Self-Supervised Learning (SSL) has emerged as a pivotal area of research in recent years. By engaging in pretext tasks to learn the intricate topological structures and properties of graphs using unlabeled data, these graph SSL models achieve enhanced performance, improved generalization, and heightened robustness. Despite the remarkable achievements of these graph SSL methods, their current implementation poses significant challenges for beginners and practitioners due to the complex nature of graph structures, inconsistent evaluation metrics, and concerns regarding reproducibility hinder further progress in this field. Recognizing the growing interest within the research community, there is an urgent need for a comprehensive, beginner-friendly, and accessible toolkit consisting of the most representative graph SSL algorithms. To address these challenges, we present a Graph SSL toolkit named PyG-SSL, which is built upon PyTorch and is compatible with various deep learning and scientific computing backends. Within the toolkit, we offer a unified framework encompassing dataset loading, hyper-parameter configuration, model training, and comprehensive performance evaluation for diverse downstream tasks. Moreover, we provide beginner-friendly tutorials and the best hyper-parameters of each graph SSL algorithm on different graph datasets, facilitating the reproduction of results. The GitHub repository of the library is https://github.com/iDEA-iSAIL-Lab-UIUC/pyg-ssl.

While great success has been achieved in building vision models with Contrastive Language-Image Pre-training (CLIP) over Internet-scale image-text pairs, building transferable Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) with CLIP pipeline is challenging because of the scarcity of labeled data and text supervision, different levels of downstream tasks, and the conceptual gaps between domains. In this work, to address these issues, we propose a multi-modal prompt learning paradigm to effectively adapt pre-trained GNN to downstream tasks and data, given only a few semantically labeled samples, each with extremely weak text supervision. Our new paradigm embeds the graphs directly in the same space as the Large Language Models (LLMs) by learning both graph prompts and text prompts simultaneously. We demonstrate the superior performance of our paradigm in few-shot, multi-task-level, and cross-domain settings. Moreover, we build the first CLIP-style zero-shot classification prototype that can generalize GNNs to unseen classes with extremely weak text supervision.

Revealing the underlying causal mechanisms in the real world is critical for scientific and technical progress. Despite advancements over the past decades, the lack of high-quality data and the inability of traditional causal discovery algorithms (TCDA) to fully comprehend the exact semantics of variables have long been major obstacles to the broader application of causal discovery. To address this issue, this paper proposes a novel causal modeling framework, LLM-CD, which integrates the metadata-based reasoning capabilities of large language models (LLMs) with the data-driven modeling abilities of TCDA for causal discovery. LLM-CD deeply couples the reasoning abilities of LLMs at various stages of TCDA, and enhances causal discovery through an iterative process. Due to the issues of overconfidence and hallucination in LLMs, LLM-CD quantifies and analyzes its uncertainty by incorporating evidence-based deep learning theory with the assumptions of TCDA. We utilize a large-scale de-identified real patient dataset provided by a hospital, a new dataset extracted from MIMIC-IV about the same disease (lung cancer), and two benchmark datasets to comprehensively evaluate LLM-CD. Extensive experimental results confirm the effectiveness and reliability of LLM-CD, with the highest improvement of 403.93% in the Recall and 25.77% in the Ratio metric across four datasets.

Time series synthesis has become a foundational task in modern society, underpinning decision-making across various scenes. Recent approaches primarily generate time series from structured conditions, such as attribute-based metadata. However, these methods struggle to capture the full complexity of time series, as the predefined structures often fail to reflect intricate temporal dynamics or other nuanced characteristics. Moreover, constructing structured metadata requires expert knowledge, making large-scale data labeling costly and impractical. In this paper, we introduce VerbalTS, a novel framework for generating time series from unstructured textual descriptions, offering a more expressive and flexible solution to time series synthesis. To bridge the gap between unstructured text and time series data, VerbalTS employs a multi-focal alignment and generation framework, effectively modeling their complex relationships. Experiments on two synthetic and four real-world datasets demonstrate that VerbalTS outperforms existing methods in both generation quality and semantic alignment with textual conditions.

The task of modeling asynchronous time series data in clinical practice is a formidable challenge, made even more difficult by the multi-modal and irregular nature of real-world medical time series data. Despite advances in deep learning for sequential data processing in other domains, e.g., natural language processing and speech recognition, a solution for clinical scenarios is yet to be fully realized. To meet this challenge, we propose Simple Temporal Attention (SimTA), a new temporal attention module, where the relation between asynchronous timesteps is modeled by a simple time-dependent attention mechanism. We further extend the method into SimTA++, by incorporating a non-linear temporal attention mechanism that captures non-monotonic relationships in temporal data. Our experiments demonstrate the superiority of SimTA++ over recurrent neural networks, graph neural networks, temporal fusion transformers and neural differential equations on three benchmark datasets, including a synthetic proof-of-concept dataset, PhysioNet 2019, and an in-house immunotherapy response prediction dataset. Notably, the proposed method achieves promising performance as a predictive multi-omics biomarker in predicting the immunotherapy response. The source code for our PyTorch implementation is available on GitHub at https://github.com/jingyuerY/SimTA_plus.

Cross-domain time series imputation is an underexplored data-centric research task that presents significant challenges, particularly when the target domain suffers from high missing rates and domain shifts in temporal dynamics. Existing time series imputation approaches primarily focus on the single-domain setting, which cannot effectively adapt to a new domain with domain shifts.Meanwhile, conventional domain adaptation techniques struggle with data incompleteness, as they typically assume the data from both source and target domains are fully observed to enable adaptation. For the problem of cross-domain time series imputation, missing values introduce high uncertainty that hinders distribution alignment, making existing adaptation strategies ineffective. Specifically, our proposed solution tackles this problem from three perspectives: (i) Data: We introduce a frequency-based time series interpolation strategy that integrates shared spectral components from both domains while retaining domain-specific temporal structures, constructing informative priors for imputation. (ii) Model: We design a diffusion-based imputation model that effectively learns domain-shared representations and captures domain-specific temporal dependencies with dedicated denoising networks. (iii) Algorithm: We further propose a cross-domain consistency alignment strategy that selectively regularizes output-level domain discrepancies, enabling effective knowledge transfer while preserving domain-specific characteristics. Extensive experiments on three real-world datasets demonstrate the superiority of our proposed approach. Our code implementation is available here ( https://github.com/kexin-kxzhang/CD2-TSI ).

The advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs) has made ensuring their trustworthiness increasingly critical, especially in terms of fairness across diverse human groups. While modern LLMs are aligned with user preferences through Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF), the reward models used for alignment are trained on preference data that may both reflect societal biases and suffer from demographic skewness, as labeler populations are often uneven due to systemic accessibility or participation gaps. In this work, we reveal that reward models can exhibit significant discrepancies across different demographic groups, posing a fundamental challenge to fair and robust alignment. Using real-world datasets, we conduct the most comprehensive study to date, auditing various state-of-the-art reward models across nine sensitive attributes, including age, gender, ethnicity, etc. Our evaluation spans both (1) the agreement level between reward models and specific user groups, and (2) the reward model’s preference toward responses associated with different groups. Based on these findings, we propose the first method to mitigate group disparities in reward modeling. Code is available at https://github.com/Violet24K/FaRM.

In the context of long-tailed classification on graphs, the vast majority of existing work primarily revolves around the development of model debiasing strategies, with the aim of mitigating class imbalances and enhancing overall performance. Despite the notable success, there is very limited literature that provides a theoretical tool for characterizing the behaviors of long-tail categories in graphs and gaining insight into generalization performance in real-world scenarios. To bridge this gap, we propose the first generalization bound for long-tail classification on graphs by formulating the problem in the fashion of multi-task learning, i.e., each task corresponds to the prediction of one particular category. Our theoretical results show that the generalization performance of long-tailed classification is dominated by the overall loss range and the total number of tasks. Building upon the theoretical findings, we propose a novel generic framework Tail2Learn for long-tailed classification on graphs. In particular, we start with a hierarchical task grouping module that allows us to assign related tasks into hypertasks and thus control the complexity of task space; then, we further design a balanced contrastive learning module to adaptively balance the gradients of both head and tail classes to control the loss range across all tasks in a unified fashion. Finally, extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of Tail2Learn in characterizing long-tail categories on real graphs. We publish our data and code at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/Tail2Learn-CE08/.

A fundamental challenge of bipartite graph representation learning is how to extract informative node embeddings. Self-Supervised Learning (SSL) is a promising paradigm to address this challenge. Most recent bipartite graph SSL methods are based on contrastive learning which learns embeddings by discriminating positive and negative node pairs. Contrastive learning usually requires a large number of negative node pairs, which could lead to computational burden and semantic errors. In this paper, we introduce a novel synergistic representation learning model (STERLING) to learn node embeddings without negative node pairs. STERLING preserves the unique local and global synergies in bipartite graphs. The local synergies are captured by maximizing the similarity of the inter-type and intra-type positive node pairs, and the global synergies are captured by maximizing the mutual information of co-clusters. Theoretical analysis demonstrates that STERLING could improve the connectivity between different node types in the embedding space. Extensive empirical evaluation on various benchmark datasets and tasks demonstrates the effectiveness of STERLING for extracting node embeddings.

Synthesizing time series data is pivotal in modern society, aiding effective decision making and ensuring privacy preservation in various scenarios. Time series are associated with various attributes, including trends, seasonality, and external information such as location. Recent research has predominantly focused on random unconditional synthesis or conditional synthesis. Nonetheless, these paradigms generate time series from scratch and are incapable of manipulating existing time series samples. This paper introduces a novel task, called Time Series Editing (TSE), to synthesize time series by manipulating existing time series. The objective is to modify the given time series according to the specified attributes while preserving other properties unchanged. This task is not trivial due to the inadequacy of data coverage and the intricate relationships between time series and their attributes. To address these issues, we introduce a novel diffusion model, called TEdit. The proposed TEdit is trained using a novel bootstrap learning algorithm that effectively enhances the coverage of the original data. It is also equipped with an innovative multi-resolution modeling and generation paradigm to capture the complex relationships between time series and their attributes. Experimental results demonstrate the efficacy of TEdit for editing specified attributes upon the existing time series data. The project page is at https://seqml.github.io/tse.

In the context of long-tail classification on graphs, the vast majority of existing work primarily revolves around the development of model debiasing strategies, intending to mitigate class imbalances and enhance the overall performance. Despite the notable success, there is very limited literature that provides a theoretical tool for characterizing the behaviors of long-tail classes in graphs and gaining insight into generalization performance in real-world scenarios. To bridge this gap, we propose a generalization bound for long-tail classification on graphs by formulating the problem in the fashion of multi-task learning, i.e., each task corresponds to the prediction of one particular class. Our theoretical results show that the generalization performance of long-tail classification is dominated by the overall loss range and the task complexity. Building upon the theoretical findings, we propose a novel generic framework HierTail for long-tail classification on graphs. In particular, we start with a hierarchical task grouping module that allows us to assign related tasks into hypertasks and thus control the complexity of the task space; then, we further design a balanced contrastive learning module to adaptively balance the gradients of both head and tail classes to control the loss range across all tasks in a unified fashion. Extensive experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of HierTail in characterizing long-tail classes on real graphs, which achieves up to 12.9% improvement over the leading baseline method in balanced accuracy.

Spatiotemporal time series are usually collected via monitoring sensors placed at different locations, which usually contain missing values due to various failures, such as mechanical damages and Internet outages. Imputing the missing values is crucial for analyzing time series. When recovering a specific data point, most existing methods consider all the information relevant to that point regardless of the cause-and-effect relationship. During data collection, it is inevitable that some unknown confounders are included, e.g., background noise in time series and non-causal shortcut edges in the constructed sensor network. These confounders could open backdoor paths and establish non-causal correlations between the input and output. Over-exploiting these non-causal correlations could cause overfitting. In this paper, we first revisit spatiotemporal time series imputation from a causal perspective and show how to block the confounders via the frontdoor adjustment. Based on the results of frontdoor adjustment, we introduce a novel Causality-Aware Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Network (Casper), which contains a novel Prompt Based Decoder (PBD) and a Spatiotemporal Causal Attention (SCA). PBD could reduce the impact of confounders and SCA could discover the sparse causal relationships among embeddings. Theoretical analysis reveals that SCA discovers causal relationships based on the values of gradients. We evaluate Casper on three real-world datasets, and the experimental results show that Casper could outperform the baselines and could effectively discover the causal relationships.

In recent years, Contrastive Learning (CL) has become a predominant representation learning paradigm for time series. Most existing methods in the literature focus on manually building specific Contrastive Learning Strategies (CLS) by human heuristics for certain datasets and tasks. However, manually developing CLS usually require excessive prior knowledge about the datasets and tasks, e.g., professional cognition of the medical time series in healthcare, as well as huge human labor and massive experiments to determine the detailed learning configurations. In this paper, we present an Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) practice at Microsoft, which automatically learns to contrastively learn representations for various time series datasets and tasks, namely Automated Contrastive Learning (AutoCL). We first construct a principled universal search space of size over 3x1012, covering data augmentation, embedding transformation, contrastive pair construction and contrastive losses. Further, we introduce an efficient reinforcement learning algorithm, which optimizes CLS from the performance on the validation tasks, to obtain more effective CLS within the space. Experimental results on various real-world tasks and datasets demonstrate that AutoCL could automatically find the suitable CLS for a given dataset and task. From the candidate CLS found by AutoCL on several public datasets/tasks, we compose a transferable Generally Good Strategy (GGS), which has a strong performance for other datasets. We also provide empirical analysis as a guidance for future design of CLS.

In the era of big data and Artificial Intelligence, an emerging paradigm is to utilize contrastive self-supervised learning to model large-scale heterogeneous data. Many existing foundation models benefit from the generalization capability of contrastive self-supervised learning by learning compact and high-quality representations without relying on any label information. Amidst the explosive advancements in foundation models across multiple domains, including natural language processing and computer vision, a thorough survey on heterogeneous contrastive learning for the foundation model is urgently needed. In response, this survey critically evaluates the current landscape of heterogeneous contrastive learning for foundation models, highlighting the open challenges and future trends of contrastive learning. In particular, we first present how the recent advanced contrastive learning-based methods deal with view heterogeneity and how contrastive learning is applied to train and fine-tune the multi-view foundation models. Then, we move to contrastive learning methods for task heterogeneity, including pretraining tasks and downstream tasks, and show how different tasks are combined with contrastive learning loss for different purposes. Finally, we conclude this survey by discussing the open challenges and shedding light on the future directions of contrastive learning.

Contrastive learning is an effective unsupervised method in graph representation learning, and the key component of contrastive learning lies in the construction of positive and negative samples. Previous methods usually utilize the proximity of nodes in the graph as the principle. Recently, the data-augmentation-based contrastive learning method has advanced to show great power in the visual domain, and some works extended this method from images to graphs. However, unlike the data augmentation on images, the data augmentation on graphs is far less intuitive and much harder to provide high-quality contrastive samples, which leaves much space for improvement. In this work, by introducing an adversarial graph view for data augmentation, we propose a simple but effective method, Adversarial Graph Contrastive Learning (ArieL), to extract informative contrastive samples within reasonable constraints. We develop a new technique called information regularization for stable training and use subgraph sampling for scalability. We generalize our method from node-level contrastive learning to the graph level by treating each graph instance as a super-node. ArieL consistently outperforms the current graph contrastive learning methods for both node-level and graph-level classification tasks on real-world datasets. We further demonstrate that ArieL is more robust in the face of adversarial attacks.

Long-tail data distributions are prevalent in many real-world networks, including financial transaction networks, e-commerce networks, and collaboration networks. Despite the success of recent developments, the existing works mainly focus on debiasing the machine learning models via graph augmentation or objective reweighting. However, there is limited literature that provides a theoretical tool to characterize the behaviors of long-tail categories on graphs and understand the generalization performance in real scenarios. To bridge this gap, we propose the first generalization bound for long-tail classification on graphs by formulating the problem in the fashion of multi-task learning, i.e., each task corresponds to the prediction of one particular category. Our theoretical results show that the generalization performance of long-tail classification is dominated by the range of losses across all tasks and the total number of tasks. Building upon the theoretical findings, we propose a novel generic framework Tail2Learn to improve the performance of long-tail categories on graphs. In particular, we start with a hierarchical task grouping module that allows label-limited classes to benefit from the relevant information shared by other classes; then, we further design a balanced contrastive learning module to balance the gradient contributions of head and tail classes. Finally, extensive experiments on various real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of Tail2Learn in capturing long-tail categories on graphs.