Across the Congo, there is a wide spread in rainfall in the two wet seasons in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 global climate models (GCMs). As the Congo is believed to be a moisture recycling hot spot, the evaporation of excess water from the land surface in some models could be amplifying the model spread in rainfall. This study performs an exploratory process‐based evaluation of Congo Basin evaporation in 11 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 GCMs that took part in the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project. Our aims are to improve scientific understanding about Congo evaporation, and to determine whether there are opportunities to improve how models produce Congo evaporation. Climatologically, we find that models with “realistic” rainfall simulate higher rainfall in November, the peak of the second wet season, than March, the peak of the first. However, models with “realistic” evaporation simulate lower evaporation in November than March, because these models suppress the transpiration component of the evaporation in November relative to March. In both wet seasons, subgrid rainfall schemes make these models simulate a credible ratio of transpiration to canopy evaporation, and cause them to generate evaporation in a more realistic manner. We therefore trust how these models produce evaporation in the wet seasons, and argue that lower transpiration is likely to explain why evaporation is lower in November than March in reality. We also suggest that using subgrid rainfall schemes in all GCMs could improve how models produce Congo evaporation during the wet seasons. This might reduce the model spread in Congo rainfall.
Evaporation is a crucial driver of Congo Basin climate, but the dynamics controlling the seasonality of basin evaporation are not well understood. This study aims to discover why evaporation on the basin-wide average is lower at the November rainfall peak than the March rainfall peak, despite similar rainfall. Using 16-year mean LandFlux-EVAL data, we find that evaporation is lower in November than March in the rainforest and the eastern savannah. The ERA5-Land reanalysis, which effectively reproduces this pattern, shows that transpiration is the main component responsible for lower evaporation in these regions. Using ERA5-Land, we find the following contrasting controls on transpiration, and therefore evaporation, at the two rainfall peaks: (a) In the northern rainforest, there is lower leaf area index (LAI) in November, driven by lower surface downward shortwave radiation (DSR), and lower vapour pressure deficit (VPD) in November, driven by lower sensible heat flux that results from lower net radiation. The combination of lower LAI and VPD explains lower transpiration, and therefore lower evaporation, in November. (b) In the southern rainforest, and in the north-eastern savannah, there is lower LAI in November, driven by lower surface DSR, and this explains lower transpiration, and therefore lower evaporation, in November. (c) In the south-eastern savannah, there is lower LAI in November, driven by lower volumetric water content (VWC), and this explains lower transpiration, and therefore lower evaporation, in November. Collectively, these contrasting controls at the two rainfall peaks explain why the basin-wide average evaporation is lower in November than March.
In this study, we quantify the climatological annual cycle of evaporation in the Congo Basin in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) models that took part in the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP). We examine how the annual cycle of evaporation differs between models which perform well against the LandFlux-EVAL evaporation dataset, and models which do not. We then carry out a process-based assessment of the model evaporation to explain why these differences occur, and identify opportunities to improve how evaporation is represented across the model spectrum. In many models, evaporation decreases between March and November, despite an increase in rainfall. In better performing models, this drop in evaporation is particularly strong, and is typically explained by a strong drop in transpiration, as opposed to negligible changes in canopy evaporation and bare soil …