This paper introduces the Combined Drought Indicator dataset, a collection of raster maps generated by the Copernicus European Drought Observatory for monitoring agricultural drought in Europe. Computationally, the CDI involves three indicators: the Standardized Precipitation Index, the Soil Moisture Anomaly and the Fraction of the Photosyntetically Active Radiation anomaly. These are complemented by the use of crop and snow masks. The CDI dataset has a spatial resolution of 1/24 decimal degrees (∼5 km), a temporal resolution of 10 days and is available from 2012 onward. As drought effects are variegated both in space and time, the CDI provides an effective instrument for assessing the different stages of propagation of agricultural drought and their spatial extent. Furthermore, the CDI maps provide relevant information for those private and public actors (water resource agencies, farmers, land managers and so on) involved both in drought preparedness and planning to mitigate drought impacts. Users can access and download the dataset from the Copernicus European Drought Observatory web portal, where an online mapviewer and clickable maps facilitate its interactive exploration.
The roadmap to enable operational soil moisture (SM) monitoring for meteorologic and hydrological early warning depends on the capabilities of the available remote sensing and modelling products. Since each type of soil moisture product shows specific strengths and limitations due to their technical restrictions over certain environments, the detection of impactful anomalies across a wide range of conditions and scales is often challenging and incomplete without a combination of complemental data types of sufficient resolution, revisit time and coverage. This study evaluates the capabilities of SM products of different nature and their compatibility for combination, with special attention to their uncertainties in spatial consistency and in residual trends. While the first has been often revisited to validate remote sensing and modelling products against in situ data, the last is often overlooked in studies addressing SM changes despite its potential to disrupt the outcomes. To meet the demands of operational monitoring this study evaluated three SM products: (1) the Satellite Application Facility on Support to Operational Hydrology and Water Management (H SAF) active Advanced SCATterometer (ASCAT)-derived dataset, (2) the passive subset of the European Space Agency (ESA) – Climate Change Initiative (CCIp), and (3) the modelled dataset from the European Drought Observatory (EDO). The analysis was carried out over Europe in the period 2007–2022 at 10 d temporal scales and 5 km × 5 km spatial sampling. First, Pearson's correlation coefficient (R) is used to measure the correspondence between H120, H121, CCIp and EDO SM products. Then triplets of the active, passive and model-based products are applied triple collocation analysis (TCA) to assess their performance based on TCA metrics such as the correlation, error variance, sensitivity and signal-to-noise ratio. We obtained that these popular well-validated datasets are increasingly capable in view of the notable TCA scores obtained but still subject to patches of spatial inconsistency and residual trends when compared against in situ SM data of the International Soil Moisture Network (ISMN). These uncertainties have minimal impact on drought monitoring in most of Europe, except in snow prone regions and for the assessment of long-term soil moisture trends used to design climate adaptation policies. Furthermore, each type of soil moisture product prevails in terms of triple collocation scores over the others under specific environmental conditions of the European continent. In view of the synergies shown by the active and passive remote sensing and the modelled SM estimates, two merged products are proposed and tested against the in situ data. The merging of the products is conducted by combining the various products based on weights calculated proportionally to the R_TCA scores of the triplets equalized in dynamic range matching their cumulative distribution functions. Results indicate that combining H SAF ASCAT, CCIp and EDO equals or surpasses the spatial and temporal consistency of the individual SM products alone, even when only the near-real-time products of H SAF ASCAT and EDO are combined. The evaluation of the trends of the individual products also indicates that small residual trends remain despite the improved filtering of the uncertainties, but given their differing sign of the trend, once combined into merged products can provide improved temporal stability of the series. Thus, merging remote sensing and modelled SM products enhances spatial consistency, resolution, temporal coverage and near-real-time capabilities for better European-scale drought monitoring, strengthening the early warning and risk management systems devoted to improving societal and environmental resilience.
Soil moisture is a crucial state variable for understanding the water cycle. The increasingly available soil moisture data from remote sensing and models is rapidly facilitating improved hydrological analysis and evaluation of climate change impacts. To discern the degree of alteration of soil moisture, the patterns of spatiotemporal anomalies must be considered, but often product-specific uncertainties are overlooked. Such limitations are of particular concern for the operational monitoring and long-term evaluation of soil moisture. Among the sources of uncertainty jeopardizing remotely sensed and modeled soil moisture, this study evaluates over Europe (1) the heterogeneous spatial patches of validity, (2) the residual trends in the series, and (3) the sensitivity of anomaly detection to the baseline period of popular soil moisture products such as the Satellite Application Facility on Support to Operational Hydrology and Water Management (H SAF), the passive subset of the Climate Change initiative on SM (CCIp) and the European Drought Observatory (EDO) datasets. The inter-comparison of these remotely sensed and modeled soil moisture products by triple collocation analysis and against data of the international soil moisture network (ISMN) provides insightful results regarding (1) the contrasting patches of accurate soil moisture estimates, (2) the existence of residual temporal trends in the series, and (3) the differing sensitivity of the products to the baseline period for anomaly analysis. The factors impacting products are subject to debate, particularly concerning spatial and temporal consistency. Merged products combining H SAF, EDO and CCIp are also assessed to elucidate their potential and limitations for operational monitoring in comparison to individual products. Overall, the combined products equal or exceed the performance of individual products while incorporating specific benefits and drawbacks. Outcomes also inform about the best-performing product by area and period. All in all, the study illustrates the notable degree of consistency of commonly available soil moisture databases for multiple applications, despite some constraints, while highlighting the potential of merged soil moisture products for the operational monitoring of droughts within the European Drought Observatory (EDO) system.
Abstract Land surface processes such as the soil moisture—air temperature coupling influence compound climate anomalies like heatwaves and droughts, yet the spatial and temporal variability of the coupling strength is still understudied. We assess global land exposure to concurrent heat waves and drought since the 1980s. We found that drought significantly shapes the spatial distribution of the risk of heat waves. We show that the portion of global land experiencing drought‐conditioned heat anomalies more than tripled in less than 3 decades. However, using such traditional heat waves indicators, the level of spatial coupling between heat waves and drought seems to decline. Conversely, time‐dependent approaches accounting for the baseline climate change offer a more stable perspective. We conclude that tailoring hazard definitions to specific processes and impacts is crucial. Early warning systems can play a prominent role in mitigating the impacts of global warming to society.
High -resolution soil moisture data is crucial in the development of hydrological applications as it provides detailed insights into the spatiotemporal variability of soil moisture. The emergence of advanced remote sensing technologies, alongside the widespread adoption of machine learning, has facilitated the creation of continental and global soil moisture products both at fine spatial (1 km) and temporal (daily) scales. Some of these products rely on several data sources as input (satellite, in situ, modelling), and therefore an evaluation of their actual spatial and temporal resolution is required. Nevertheless, the absence of appropriate ground monitoring networks poses a significant challenge for this assessment. In this study, five high -resolution (1 km) soil moisture products (S1-RT1, S1 -COP, SMAP-Planet, SMAP-NSIDC, and ESACCI-Zheng) were analysed and evaluated throughout the Italian territory, together with a coarse resolution (12.5 km) dataset for comparison (ASCAT-HSAF). The main objective is to investigate their actual spatial and temporal resolution, and accuracy. Firstly, a cross -comparison of the products in space and time is carried out, including the use of triple collocation analysis. Secondly, an application -based assessment is implemented, considering irrigation, fire, drought, and precipitation case studies. The results clearly indicate the limitations and the potential of each product. Sentinel -1 based products (S1COP and S1-RT1) are found able to reproduce high -resolution spatial patterns by detecting localised events for irrigation, fire, and precipitation. Their lower temporal resolution leads to accuracies lower than that of the SMAP-Planet product, and comparable with SMAP-NSIDC and ESACCI-Zheng products. However, SMAP-Planet is found to have an actual spatial resolution coarser than 1 km. The study highlights the need for further research to improve the high -resolution soil moisture products, and particularly to determine accurately the spatial resolution represented in soil moisture products. At the same time, the analysed products are found able to address high -resolution applications for the first time, opening promising activities for their operational use in hydrology and water resources management.
Droughts evolve in space and time without following borders or pre-determined temporal constraints. Here, we present a new database of drought events built with a three-dimensional density-based clustering algorithm. The chosen approach is able to identify and characterize the spatio-temporal evolution of drought events, and it was tuned with a supervised approach against a set of past global droughts characterized independently by multiple drought experts. About 200 events were detected over Europein the period 1981-2020 using SPI-3 (3-month cumulated Standardized Precipitation Index) maps derived from the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts) 5th generation reanalysis (ERA5) precipitation. The largest European meteorological droughts during this period occurred in 1996, 2003, 2002 and 2018. A general agreement between the major events identified by the algorithm and drought impact records was found, as well as with previous datasets based on pre-defined regions.