Large magnitude snow avalanches (destructive size ≥ D3) impact settlements, transportation corridors, and public safety worldwide. In Colorado, United States, avalanches have killed more people than any other natural hazard since 1950. In March 2019, a large magnitude avalanche cycle occurred throughout the entire mountainous portion of Colorado resulting in more than 1000 reported avalanches during a two-week period. Nearly 200 of these avalanches were size D4 or larger with at least three D5 avalanches. However, placing this 2019 large magnitude avalanche cycle in historic context requires data prior to the instrumental record. Here, we paired tree disturbance data from dendrochronology (1698 to 2020) with meteorological data from the modeled and instrumental record (1901 to 2020) to understand the frequency and climate drivers of large magnitude snow avalanche cycles. The extensive number of downed trees from the 2019 avalanche cycle allowed us to collect 1,188 cross-sections and cores from 1023 individual trees within 24 avalanche paths across the state. From these samples we identified 4135 avalanche-related growth disturbances. We employed a strategic nested sampling design to spatially aggregate avalanche frequency from individual avalanche paths, to counties, to three major sub-regions (i.e., north, central, and south), and across the entire region (i.e., state of Colorado). Over a period spanning more than three centuries (1698 to 2020), we identified 76 avalanche years within 24 individual avalanche paths. Large magnitude avalanche event frequency varied across paths and sub-regions with several notable region-wide avalanche cycles. Both tree-ring and historical written records highlighted 1899 as a year with widespread and large magnitude avalanche activity similar to the March 2019 avalanche cycle. Since the early-20th century (1900 to 2020) regional avalanche probability declined significantly in parallel with decreasing snowpack throughout Colorado. Similarly, dominant avalanche regimes shifted from large magnitude regional cycles driven by above average snowfall years over most of the record, to regional avalanche cycles occurring more commonly in average to low snow years since 1988. In recent decades, a lack of December precipitation and above average March precipitation characterized years with regional large magnitude avalanche activity. Even with declining snow water equivalent, truly extreme regional large magnitude avalanche cycles remain possible – as demonstrated by the 2019 cycle. This underscores that rare but high-impact events are not eliminated by long-term trends. Understanding the changing snow and weather drivers and subsequent behavior of large magnitude avalanche cycles across multiple spatial scales may improve avalanche forecasting and the products and mitigations strategies developed by structural engineers to mitigate avalanche danger. This can decrease the avalanche risk to the public and improve infrastructure design in avalanche terrain.
Abstract Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) offers a potential pathway for measuring seasonal snow water equivalent (SWE) and snow depth at spatial and temporal scales needed for basin‐scale hydrology. First proposed for seasonal snow more than 25 years ago, InSAR uses repeat‐pass radar phase differences to estimate changes in SWE or depth caused by microwave propagation through snow. This review synthesizes InSAR‐based snow monitoring from early theoretical and satellite demonstrations through recent tower, airborne, and spaceborne studies. We summarize the retrieval physics, evaluate published validation results, compare performance across wavelengths and snow environments, and identify barriers to operational implementation. The literature shows that InSAR can provide high‐resolution, spatially distributed information on snow accumulation and ablation, especially under dry‐snow conditions when temporal coherence is maintained and snow phase can be separated from atmospheric, vegetation, soil‐moisture, and other non‐snow contributions. Longer wavelengths, particularly L‐band, help maintain coherence, reduce phase‐wrapping ambiguity, and support retrievals in some vegetated environments, making the NASA–ISRO Synthetic Aperture Radar (NISAR) mission a timely opportunity for basin‐scale testing. Remaining challenges include correcting ionospheric and tropospheric delays; defining stable reference phases; identifying, correcting, or flagging coherence loss and phase‐unwrapping errors; accounting for forest‐canopy interactions; collecting spatially distributed validation data; and scaling site demonstrations to regional or global products. Operational use will require algorithmic maturation, robust validation, and integration with other remote sensing and modeling approaches. If these challenges are addressed, InSAR‐capable satellites could become an important component of an integrated global snow observation suite.
ABSTRACT The extent of alpine land cover influences the chemistry of streams draining mountain catchments and may determine how they respond to ecosystem change. During the first two decades of the 2000s, the Southern Rockies, USA, experienced both severe bark beetle infestation and significant decreases in atmospheric nitrogen (N) and sulfur (S) deposition. To evaluate the consequences of these events, we compared the chemistry of samples collected during 2004–2006 and 2017–2019 in streams draining 18 headwater catchments comprised of mixtures of forest and alpine land cover. Stream total dissolved N, nitrate, and sulfate concentrations increased linearly with the proportion of alpine cover within the study catchments. Consistent with regional patterns in atmospheric deposition, stream nitrate decreased and ammonium increased, though stream sulfate was unchanged. Differences in solute concentrations between the sampling periods were greatest in catchments with the highest proportion of alpine cover and were minimal in fully forested catchments. This relationship demonstrates the sensitivity of catchments with alpine headwaters to changing nutrient deposition and, conversely, the capacity for nutrient retention by non‐host vegetation to buffer the impacts of beetle‐related tree mortality in fully forested catchments.
Intense precipitation events pose growing threats to forest infrastructure causing flooding, and soil erosion and deposition, creating bottlenecks at road-stream crossing structures (RSCS). We describe a hillslope-scale ensemble hydro-geomorphological vulnerability assessment integrating geospatial Streambank Erosion Vulnerability Assessment (SBEVA), Modified Revised Soil Loss Equation (MRUSLE), and process-based Water Erosion Prediction Project (WEPP) model into an ensemble hydro-geomorphologic vulnerability index (EHVI) for USDA Forest Service (USFS) managed 194 road-culverts at the Hubbard Brook Experimental Forest (HBR-EF) in New Hampshire, USA. The results revealed that five and one culvert with diameters of 0.46m and 0.61m, respectively, have extreme EHVI values between 4 and 5, and fifteen and three culverts with diameters of 0.46m and 0.61m, respectively, have severe EHVI values between 3 and 4, some of which were previously identified as hydrologically vulnerable (undersized) to floods. This knowledge will inform USFS efforts to improve the resilience of the RSCS and protect aquatic habitats.
ABSTRACT Habitat selection and movement are key mechanisms by which animals can respond to and potentially cope with highly variable environmental conditions. Optimal responses likely vary, however, depending on the severity and scope of conditions. We tested this hypothesis using a facultative migrant species, the Great Gray Owl (Strix nebulosa), which exhibits high inter‐ and intra‐individual variation in the timing, direction, and distance of winter movements. Specifically, we evaluated whether episodic, spatiotemporally variable “locked‐pasture” snow conditions, which restrict access to subnivean food, prompted shifts in habitat selection or long‐distance movements by owls. We quantified the movement of 42 owls using global positioning system (GPS) data within the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem, USA, during 2017–2022. We used a novel ecological application of SnowModel, a snow evolution modeling system, to estimate fine‐scale, physical snow properties likely to influence access to prey. Variables included snow depth, snow crusts produced by wind, and ice crusts produced by melt‐freeze and rain‐on‐snow events. Owls avoided heterogeneously distributed wind crusts via local shifts in habitat selection. More homogenous ice crusts elicited long‐distance movements away from affected home ranges. Finally, owls employed both proximate shifts in habitat selection and long‐distance movements to avoid deeper snow. Ultimately, owls exhibited behavioral flexibility in response to limiting snow conditions that can vary in terms of severity, spatial extent, and duration. Such behavioral responses determine species distribution, with implications for population and community dynamics in spatiotemporally variable systems. Understanding the effects of, and responses to, environmental controls is increasingly important given the scope of on‐going global change.
Boreal forest and Arctic tundra environments collectively hold the largest percentage of global terrestrial seasonal snow cover. Тhe in-situ snow measurement network is sparse and costly in these remote northern regions. Here, we complement existing snow depth monitoring in Arctic tundra and boreal forest by presenting an extensive (64°N–70°N) snow depth dataset and description of ground-based snow depth measurements collected during the NASA SnowEx Alaska intensive field campaign, March 7–16, 2023. We also report the accuracy of snow depth measurements in shallow boreal forest and Arctic tundra snowpack and share considerations in developing the consistent and repeatable snow depth data collection procedures. Snow depth measurements and technical validation described in this paper can serve as a robust product for testing snow remote sensing techniques, and for providing a reference dataset for climatological and hydrological studies.
Flood peak magnitudes and frequency estimates are key components of any effective nationwide flood risk management and flood damage abatement program. In this study, we evaluated normalized peak design discharges ( Q p ) for 1,387 hydrologic unit code 16 to 20 (HUC16-20) watersheds in the White Mountain National Forest (WMNF), New Hampshire and in five Experimental Forest (EF) regions across the United States managed by USDA Forest Service (USDA-FS). Nonstationary regional frequency analysis (RFA) and single site frequency analysis (FA) with long-term high-resolution observed streamflow data along with the deterministic Rational Method (RM) and semi-empirical United States Geological Survey regional regression equation (USGS-RRE) were used. Additionally, a hydrologic vulnerability assessment was performed for 194 road culverts as a result of extreme precipitation-induced flooding on gauged and ungauged watersheds in the Hubbard Brook EF (HBR) within the WMNF. The RM outperformed the USGS-RRE in predicting Q p in the gauged and ungauged HUC16-20 watersheds of WMNF and in three other small, high-relief forest headwater watersheds - Coweeta Hydrologic Lab EF's watershed-14, and watershed-27 in North Carolina and HJ Andrews EF's watershed 8 in Oregon. However, the USGS-RRE performed better for larger watersheds, such as the Fraser EF's St. Louis watershed in Colorado and the Santee EF's watershed 80 in South Carolina. About 31%, 26%, and 56% of the culverts at the HBR site could not accommodate the 100-yr Q p estimated by RFA, RM and USGS-RRE, respectively. Based on the chosen RIs and techniques, it is determined that except for one culvert with diameter = 0.91 m (36 inches), none of the culverts with diameter of 0.75 m (30 inches) or larger are hydrologically vulnerable. Our results suggest that the observation based RFA works best where multiple gauges are available to extrapolate information for ungauged watersheds, otherwise, RM is best-suited for smaller headwater watersheds and USGS-RRE for larger watersheds. Results from the hydrologic vulnerability analysis revealed that replacing undersized culverts with new culverts of diameter ≥ 0.75-m will improve flood resiliency, provided that the structure is geomorphologically safe (with minimal effects of debris flow, erosion, and sedimentation) and allows for both bank-full discharge and necessary fish passage within that design limit. This study has implications in managing road culverts and crossings at Forest Service and other forested lands for their resiliency to extreme precipitation and flooding hazards induced by climate change.
Estimating snow mass in the mountains remains a major challenge for remote-sensing methods. Airborne lidar can retrieve snow depth, and some promising results have recently been obtained from spaceborne platforms, yet density estimates are required to convert snow depth to snow water equivalent (SWE). However, the retrieval of snow bulk density remains unsolved, and limited data are available to evaluate model estimates of density in mountainous terrain. Toward the goal of landscape-scale retrievals of snow density, we estimated bulk density and length-scale variability by combining ground-penetrating radar (GPR) two-way travel-time observations and airborne-lidar snow depths collected during the mid-winter NASA SnowEx 2020 campaign at Grand Mesa, Colorado, USA. Key advancements of our approach include an automated layer-picking method that leverages the GPR reflection coherence and the distributed lidar–GPR-retrieved bulk density with machine learning. The root-mean-square error between the distributed estimates and in situ observations is 11 cm for depth, 27 kg m−3 for density, and 46 mm for SWE. The median relative uncertainty in distributed SWE is 13 %. Interactions between wind, terrain, and vegetation display corroborated controls on bulk density that show model and observation agreement. Knowledge of the spatial patterns and predictors of density is critical for the accurate assessment of SWE and essential snow research applications. The spatially continuous snow density and SWE estimated over approximately 16 km2 may serve as necessary calibration and validation for stepping prospective remote-sensing techniques toward broad-scale SWE retrieval.
This study evaluates using interferometry on low-frequency synthetic aperture radar (SAR) images to monitor snow water equivalent (SWE) over seasonal and synoptic scales. We retrieved SWE changes from nine pairs of SAR images, mean 8 d temporal baseline, captured by an L-band aerial platform, NASA's Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle Synthetic Aperture Radar (UAVSAR), over central Idaho as part of the NASA SnowEx 2020 and 2021 campaigns. The retrieved SWE changes were compared against coincident in situ measurements (SNOTEL and snow pits from the SnowEx field campaign) and to 100 m gridded SnowModel modeled SWE changes. The comparison of in situ to retrieved measurements shows a strong Pearson correlation (R=0.80) and low RMSE (0.1 m, n=64) for snow depth change and similar results for SWE change (RMSE = 0.04 m, R=0.52, n=57). The comparison between retrieved SWE changes to SnowModel SWE change also showed good correlation (R=0.60, RMSD = 0.023 m, n=3.2×106) and especially high correlation for a subset of pixels with no modeled melt and low tree coverage (R=0.72, RMSD = 0.013 m, n=6.5×104). Finally, we bin the retrievals for a variety of factors and show decreasing correlation between the modeled and retrieved values for lower elevations, higher incidence angles, higher tree percentages and heights, and greater cumulative melt. This study builds on previous interferometry work by using a full winter season time series of L-band SAR images over a large spatial extent to evaluate the accuracy of SWE change retrievals against both in situ and modeled results and the controlling factors of the retrieval accuracy.
Increasing wildfire frequency and severity in high-elevation seasonal snow zones presents a considerable water resource management challenge across the western U.S. Wildfires can affect snowpack accumulation and melt patterns, altering the quantity and timing of runoff. While prior research has shown that wildfire generally increases snow melt rates and advances snow disappearance dates, uncertainties remain regarding variations across complex terrain and the energy balance between burned and unburned areas. Utilizing multiple paired in-situ data sources within the 2020 Cameron Peak burn area during the 2021–2022 winter, we found no significant difference in peak snow water equivalent (SWE) magnitude between burned and unburned areas. However, the burned south aspect reached peak SWE 22 days earlier than burned north. During the ablation period, burned south melt rates were 71% greater than unburned south melt rates, whereas burned north melt rates were 94% greater than unburned north aspects. Snow disappeared 7 to 11 days earlier in burned areas than unburned areas. Net energy differences at the burned and unburned AWS sites were seasonally variable, with the burned area losing more energy during the winter but gaining significantly more energy during the spring. Net shortwave radiation was 56% greater at the burned area during the winter and 137% greater during the spring driving a ~60% greater cumulative net energy at the burned site during May. These findings emphasize the need for post-wildfire water resource planning that accounts for aspect-dependent differences in energy and mass balance to accurately predict snowpack storage and runoff timing.
Urgency of Precipitation Intensity-Duration-Frequency (IDF) estimation using the most recent data has grown significantly due to recent intense precipitation and cloud burst circumstances impacting infrastructure caused by climate change. Given the continually available digitized up-to-date, long-term, and fine resolution precipitation dataset from the United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service’s (USDAFS) Experimental Forests and Ranges (EF) rain gauge stations, it is both important and relevant to develop precipitation IDF from onsite dataset (Onsite-IDF) that incorporates the most recent time period, aiding in the design, and planning of forest road-stream crossing structures (RSCS) in headwaters to maintain resilient forest ecosystems. Here we developed Onsite-IDFs for hourly and sub-hourly duration, and 25-yr, 50-yr, and 100-yr design return intervals (RIs) from annual maxima series (AMS) of precipitation intensities (PIs) modeled by applying Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) analysis and L-moment based parameter estimation methodology at six USDAFS EFs and compared them with precipitation IDFs obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Atlas 14 (NOAA-Atlas14). A regional frequency analysis (RFA) was performed for EFs where data from multiple precipitation gauges are available. NOAA’s station-based precipitation IDFs were estimated for comparison using RFA (NOAA-RFA) at one of the EFs where NOAA-Atlas14 precipitation IDFs are unavailable. Onsite-IDFs were then evaluated against the PIs from NOAA-Atlas14 and NOAA-RFA by comparing their relative differences and storm frequencies. Results show considerable relative differences between the Onsite- and NOAA-Atlas14 (or NOAA-RFA) IDFs at these EFs, some of which are strongly dependent on the storm durations and elevation of precipitation gauges, particularly in steep, forested sites of H. J. Andrews (HJA) and Coweeta Hydrological Laboratory (CHL) EFs. At the higher elevation gauge of HJA EF, NOAA-RFA based precipitation IDFs underestimate PI of 25-yr, 50-yr, and 100-yr RIs by considerable amounts for 12-h and 24-h duration storm events relative to the Onsite-IDFs. At the low-gradient Santee (SAN) EF, the PIs of 3- to 24-h storm events with 100-yr frequency (or RI) from NOAA-Atlas14 gauges are found to be equivalent to PIs of more frequent storm events (25–50-yr RI) as estimated from the onsite dataset. Our results recommend use of the Onsite-IDF estimates for the estimation of design storm peak discharge rates at the higher elevation catchments of HJA, CHL, and SAN EF locations, particularly for longer duration events, where NOAA-based precipitation IDFs underestimate the PIs relative to the Onsite-IDFs. This underscores the importance of long-term high resolution EF data for new applications including ecological restorations and indicates that planning and design teams should use as much local data as possible or account for potential PI inconsistencies or underestimations if local data are unavailable.
During 2020 and 2021, the NASA SnowEx Mission performed a time series with UAVSAR, and L-band InSAR, in the Western U.S. Small field efforts were performed throughout the time series, and in addition, SnowEx carried out an intensive campaign on Grand Mesa, involving five aircraft with seven different airborne instruments, and a large field campaign. Snow properties can vary significantly over distances of 50-200 meters, and therefore rapid techniques for measuring bulk snow properties are valuable for calibration and validation of snow remote sensing efforts. We developed and deployed a ground-based microwave radar from a snowmobile, during the 2020 NASA SnowEx campaign on Grand Mesa. These observations provide information about the spatial distribution of snow depth, snow water equivalent, and stratigraphy, and were performed coincident with many different in-situ and airborne snow remote sensing observations.
Abstract For wildlife inhabiting snowy environments, snow properties such as onset date, depth, strength, and distribution can influence many aspects of ecology, including movement, community dynamics, energy expenditure, and forage accessibility. As a result, snow plays a considerable role in individual fitness and ultimately population dynamics, and its evaluation is, therefore, important for comprehensive understanding of ecosystem processes in regions experiencing snow. Such understanding, and particularly study of how wildlife–snow relationships may be changing, grows more urgent as winter processes become less predictable and often more extreme under global climate change. However, studying and monitoring wildlife–snow relationships continue to be challenging because characterizing snow, an inherently complex and constantly changing environmental feature, and identifying, accessing, and applying relevant snow information at appropriate spatial and temporal scales, often require a detailed understanding of physical snow science and technologies that typically lie outside the expertise of wildlife researchers and managers. We argue that thoroughly assessing the role of snow in wildlife ecology requires substantive collaboration between researchers with expertise in each of these two fields, leveraging the discipline‐specific knowledge brought by both wildlife and snow professionals. To facilitate this collaboration and encourage more effective exploration of wildlife–snow questions, we provide a five‐step protocol: (1) identify relevant snow property information; (2) specify spatial, temporal, and informational requirements; (3) build the necessary datasets; (4) implement quality control procedures; and (5) incorporate snow information into wildlife analyses. Additionally, we explore the types of snow information that can be used within this collaborative framework. We illustrate, in the context of two examples, field observations, remote‐sensing datasets, and four example modeling tools that simulate spatiotemporal snow property distributions and, in some cases, evolutions. For each type of snow data, we highlight the collaborative opportunities for wildlife and snow professionals when designing snow data collection efforts, processing snow remote sensing products, producing tailored snow datasets, and applying the resulting snow information in wildlife analyses. We seek to provide a clear path for wildlife professionals to address wildlife–snow questions and improve ecological inference by integrating the best available snow science through collaboration with snow professionals.
In this article, we investigate the potential of using single-pass InSAR model-based approaches to retrieve dry snow parameters. Two InSAR scattering models of dry snow are considered: the dense-medium random volume over ground (RVoG) model and the simple variant of the full penetration (FP) model. A quasi-crystalline approximation (QCA)-based extinction analysis confirms the negligible extinction dependence of the InSAR observables at L/C/X-band for fresh dry snow. The FP models the low-frequency (L/C/X-band) InSAR phase as a single constraint of snow depth and density, which can be supplemented by an extra observation (e.g., InSAR coherence or in situ depth/density). The single-pass InSAR models and inversion approaches were validated using X-band InSAR data collected from a tower-based three-frequency (X/Ku-low/Ku-high) fully polarimetric TomoSAR system, where a multi-frequency polarimetric InSAR analysis and ground-to-volume ratio-based snow condition analysis were conducted. We also analyzed the sensitivity and error propagation of the single-pass InSAR phase and coherence in measuring dry snow depth/density. It was found that the X-band HH-pol FP-modeled single-pass InSAR phase along with RVoG-modeled coherence or in situ depth is capable of measuring snow water equivalent (SWE) with a 23–26 mm uncertainty (13–15%) and a 20–26 mm bias (12–15%) for dry snow SWE of 0.2 m, and with an optimal perpendicular baseline on the order of a tenth of the snow depth (0.8 m) at our test site. This single-pass InSAR approach with the FP model is potentially useful and thus needs further investigation for large-scale dry snow retrieval with a wide range of snow conditions using ground-based/airborne/spaceborne low-frequency (L/C/X-band) InSAR observations.
Abstract. The European Space Agency SnowSAR instrument is a side looking, dual polarized (VV/VH), X/Ku band synthetic aperture radar (SAR), operable from a small aircraft. Between 2010 and 2013, the instrument was deployed at several sites in Northern Finland, Austrian Alps, and northern Canada. The purpose of the airborne campaigns was to measure the backscattering properties of snow-covered terrain to support the development of snow water equivalent retrieval techniques using SAR. SnowSAR was deployed in Sodankylä, Northern Finland for a single flight mission in March 2011 and twelve missions at two sites (tundra and boreal forest) in the winter of 2011–2012. Over the Austrian Alps, three flight missions were performed between November 2012 and February 2013 over three sites located in different elevation zones, representing a montane valley, Alpine tundra, and a glacier environment. In Canada, a total of two missions were flown in March and April 2013, over sites in the Trail Valley Creek watershed, Northwest Territories, representative of the tundra snow regime. This paper introduces the airborne SAR data, as well as coincident in situ information on land cover, vegetation and snow properties. To facilitate easy access to the data record the datasets described here are deposited in a permanent data repository (https://doi.pangaea.de/10.1594/PANGAEA.933255; Lemmetyinen et al., 2021). A temporary link to access the data without login information is provided for reviewers of this manuscript: https://www.pangaea.de/tok/e8c562c3c8a15ac34daa83d00c76fcb347330884.
Springs are the point of origin for most headwater streams and are important regulators of their chemical composition. We analysed solute concentrations of water emerging from 57 springs within the 3 km 2 Fool Creek catchment at the Fraser Experimental Forest and considered sources of spatial variation among them and their influence on the chemical composition of downstream water. On average, calcium and acid neutralizing capacity (bicarbonate‐ANC) comprised 50 and 90% of the cation and anion charge respectively, in both spring and stream water. Variation in inorganic chemical composition among springs reflected distinct groundwater sources and catchment geology. Springs emerging through glacial deposits in the upper portion of the catchment were the most dilute and similar to snowmelt, whereas lower elevation springs were more concentrated in cations and ANC. Water emerging from a handful of springs in a geologically faulted portion of the catchment were more concentrated than all others and had a predominant effect on downstream ion concentrations. Chemical similarity indicated that these springs were linked along surface and subsurface flowpaths. This survey shows that springwater chemistry is influenced at nested spatial scales including broad geologic conditions, elevational and spatial attributes and isolated local features. Our results highlight the role of overlapping factors on solute export from headwater catchments.