The relative prevalence of horizontal and vertical magnetic fields in the quiet-Sun internetwork remains debated, owing to the weak linear polarisation signals that make the inferred magnetic inclination distributions sensitive to observational quality and inversion methodology. We investigate the magnetic topology of the quiet-Sun internetwork in Sunrise iii observations by independently applying transformer-based and traditional inversion techniques to the same spectropolarimetric dataset. We analyse observations obtained with the Sunrise Chromospheric Infrared spectroPolarimeter (SCIP). Transformer-based inversions (SINN), trained exclusively on synthetic Stokes profiles generated from a large radiative magnetohydrodynamic simulation, are compared with independent inversions performed using the DeSIRe code. Both inversion methods recover a quiet-Sun magnetic topology in which internetwork fields are strongly dominated by the horizontal component, whereas network fields exhibit a substantially more balanced topology. At =-1.2, the median horizontal and unsigned line-of-sight field components in the internetwork are 64 and 7G with DeSIRe, and 71 and 8G with SINN, respectively, corresponding to a horizontal-to-line-of-sight ratio of approximately nine for both methods. The agreement between the two fundamentally different inversion methodologies indicates that the quiet-Sun internetwork is characterised by a substantially stronger horizontal than vertical magnetic field component. These results demonstrate that transformer-based inversions can be successfully transferred from synthetic training data to real spectropolarimetric observations, while providing inference orders of magnitude faster than traditional inversion techniques.
We present high-resolution multi-line spectropolarimetric observations of a quiet-Sun network element obtained with the Sunrise iii Chromospheric Infrared SpectroPolarimeter. The observations combine photospheric, upper-photospheric, and chromospheric diagnostics at a spatial resolution and polarimetric sensitivity that allow the transverse magnetic structure of the network boundary to be examined directly. We find that the strongest linear polarisation is concentrated in a narrow ridge around the edge of the magnetic element, co-spatial with enhanced transverse magnetic field inferred from multiline inversions. The magnetic azimuth exhibits a coherent, predominantly radial organisation around a more vertical core, consistent with an expanding magnetic canopy. An azimuth proxy derived directly from the observed Fe i and K i linear polarisation reproduces the same large-scale organisation, showing that this structure is encoded in the Stokes profiles rather than imposed by the inversion. Response functions and a MURaM-based forward-synthesis test indicate that the Fe i 8468 Å linear polarisation is sensitive to magnetic azimuth in the upper photosphere, with the closest proxy agreement occurring near ≈-3. We find no evidence for strong azimuthal shear between the Fe- and K-sensitive diagnostics. At the network boundary, we also identify localised parasitic-polarity patches associated with complex, multi-lobed Stokes V profiles, and one case in which the Stokes V polarity reverses between photospheric Fe i and chromospheric Ca ii lines. These results demonstrate that quiet-Sun network boundaries contain organised upper-photospheric canopy fields together with small-scale mixed-polarity structure, providing new constraints on the three-dimensional magnetic structure of network elements.
Solar spectropolarimetric inversion-inferring atmospheric conditions from the Stokes vector-is a key diagnostic tool for understanding solar magnetism, but traditional inversion methods are computationally expensive and sensitive to local minima. Advances in artificial intelligence offer faster solutions, but are often restricted to shallow models or a few spectral lines. We present a proof-of-concept study using a transformer machine learning model for multiline, full-Stokes inversion, to infer stratified parameters from synthetic spectra produced from 3D magnetohydrodynamic simulations. We synthesize a large set of Stokes vectors using forward modeling across 15 spectral lines spanning the deep photosphere toward the chromosphere. The model maps full-Stokes input to temperature, magnetic field strength, inclination, azimuth (encoded as sin2 phi , cos2 phi ), and line-of-sight velocity as a function of optical depth. The transformer incorporates an attention mechanism that allows the model to focus on the most informative regions of the spectrum for each inferred parameter, and uses positional embedding to encode wavelength and depth order. We benchmark it against a multilayer perceptron (MLP), test robustness to noise, and assess generalization. The transformer outperforms the MLP, especially in the higher layers and for magnetic parameters, yielding higher correlations and more regularized stratifications. The model retains strong performance across a range of noise levels typical for real observations, with magnetic parameter inference degrading predictably while temperature and velocity remain stable. We explore attention maps, linking the transformer's learned behaviour to line-formation physics.
Bright points (BPs) are small-scale, dynamic features that are ubiquitous across the solar disc and are often associated with the underlying magnetic field. Using broadband photospheric images obtained with the Visible Broadband Imager at the National Science Foundation's Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope (DKIST), the properties of BPs have been analyzed with DKIST for the first time at the highest spatial resolutions achievable. BPs were observed to have an average lifetime of 95 +/- 29 s and a mean transverse velocity of 1.60 +/- 0.41 km s-1. The BPs had a log-normal area distribution with a peak at 2300 km2. Transverse velocities and lifetimes across the DKIST images were comparable and consistent with previous studies. The area distribution of the DKIST data peaked in areas significantly lower than those from the literature. This was explored further and was observed to be due to an overestimation of BP areas due to the merging of close features when the spatial resolution is reduced, in tandem with possible oversplitting of features in the DKIST images. Furthermore, the effect of variable seeing in the data was determined. This showed that the average spatial resolution of the data was around 0.'' 034 +/- 0.'' 007 , in comparison to the theoretical diffraction limit of 0.'' 022 . Accounting for the influence of seeing, the peak of the area distribution of BPs in the DKIST data was estimated as 4800 km2, which is still significantly lower than previously observed.
The morphology of circular polarization profiles from solar spectropolarimetric observations encodes information about the magnetic field strength, inclination, and line-of-sight velocity gradients. Previous studies used manual methods or unsupervised machine learning (ML) to classify the shapes of circular polarization profiles. We trained a multilayer perceptron comparing classifications with unsupervised ML. The method was tested on quiet Sun data sets from Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope (DKIST), Hinode, and GREGOR, as well as simulations of granulation and a sunspot. We achieve validation metrics typically close to or above 90%. We also present the first statistical analysis of quiet Sun DKIST/ViSP data using inversions and our supervised classifier. We demonstrate that classifications with unsupervised ML alone can introduce systemic errors that could compromise statistical comparisons. DKIST and Hinode classifications in the quiet Sun are similar, despite our modeling indicating spatial resolution differences should alter the shapes of circular polarization signals. Asymmetrical (symmetrical) profiles are less (more) common in GREGOR than DKIST or Hinode data, consistent with narrower response functions in the 1564.85 nm line. Single-lobed profiles are extremely rare in GREGOR data. In the sunspot simulation, the 630.25 nm line produces “double” profiles in the penumbra, likely a manifestation of magneto-optical effects in horizontal fields; these are rarer in the 1564.85 nm line. We find the 1564.85 nm line detects more reverse polarity magnetic fields in the penumbra, in contradiction to observations. We detect mixed-polarity profiles in nearly one fifth of the penumbra. Supervised ML robustly classifies solar spectropolarimetric data, enabling detailed statistical analyses of magnetic fields.
The composition of the solar corona differs from that of the photosphere, with the plasma thought to fractionate in the solar chromosphere according to the First Ionisation Potential (FIP) of the different elements. This produces a FIP bias, wherein elements with a low FIP are preferentially enhanced in the corona compared to their photospheric abundance, but direct observations of this process remain elusive. Here we use a series of spectroscopic observations of Active Region AR 12759 as it transited the solar disc over a period of 6 days from 2-7 April 2020 taken using the Hinode Extreme ultraviolet Imaging Spectrometer (EIS) and Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph (IRIS) instruments to look for signatures of plasma fractionation in the solar chromosphere. Using the Si X/S X and Ca XIV/Ar XIV diagnostics, we find distinct differences between the FIP bias of the leading and following polarities of the active region. The widths of the IRIS Si IV lines exhibited clear differences between the leading and following polarity regions, indicating increased unresolved wave activity in the following polarity region compared to the leading polarity region, with the chromospheric velocities derived using the Mg II lines exhibiting comparable, albeit much weaker, behaviour. These results are consistent with plasma fractionation via resonant/non-resonant waves at different locations in the solar chromosphere following the ponderomotive force model, and indicate that IRIS could be used to further study this fundamental physical process.
During solar flares, spectral lines formed in the photosphere have been shown to exhibit changes to their profiles despite the challenges of energy transfer to these depths. Recent work has shown that deep-forming spectral lines are subject to significant contributions from regions above the photosphere throughout the flaring period, resulting in a composite emergent intensity profile from multiple layers of the atmosphere. We employ radiative-hydrodynamic and radiative transfer calculations to simulate the response of the solar/stellar atmosphere to electron beam heating and synthesize spectral lines of Fe I to investigate the line-of-sight velocity fields information available from Doppler shifts of the emergent intensity profile. By utilizing the contribution function to deconstruct the line profile shape into its constituent sources, we show that variations in the line profiles are primarily caused by changes in the chromosphere. Up-flows in this region were found to create blueshifts or "false" redshifts in the line core dependent on the relative contribution of the chromosphere compared to the photosphere. In extreme solar and stellar flare scenarios featuring explosive chromospheric condensations, red-shifted transient components can dominate the temporal evolution of the profile shape, requiring a tertiary component consideration to fully characterize. We conclude that deep-forming lines require a multi-component understanding and treatment, with different regions of the spectral line being useful for probing individual regions of the atmosphere's velocity flows.
The strongly coupled hydrodynamic, magnetic, and radiation properties of the plasma in the solar chromosphere makes it a region of the Sun's atmosphere that is poorly understood. We use data obtained with the high-resolution Visible Broadband Imager (VBI) equipped with an H$\beta$ filter and the Visible Spectro-Polarimeter (ViSP) at the Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope to investigate the fine-scale structure of the plage chromosphere. To aid the interpretation of the VBI imaging data, we also analyze spectra from the CHROMospheric Imaging Spectrometer on the Swedish Solar Telescope. The analysis of spectral properties, such as enhanced line widths and line depths explains the high contrast of the fibrils relative to the background atmosphere demonstrating that H$\beta$ is an excellent diagnostic for the enigmatic fine-scale structure of the chromosphere. A correlation between the parameters of the H$\beta$ line indicates that opacity broadening created by overdense fibrils could be the main reason for the spectral line broadening observed frequently in chromospheric fine-scale structures. Spectropolarimetric inversions of the ViSP data in the Ca II 8542 {\AA} and Fe I 6301/6302 {\AA} lines are used to construct semiempirical models of the plage atmosphere. Inversion outputs indicate the existence of dense fibrils in the Ca II 8542 {\AA} line. The analyses of the ViSP data show that the morphological characteristics, such as orientation, inclination and length of fibrils are defined by the topology of the magnetic field in the photosphere. Chromospheric maps reveal a prominent magnetic canopy in the area where fibrils are directed towards the observer.
The Lyman continuum (LyC; <911.12 Å) forms at the top of the chromosphere in the quiet Sun, making LyC a powerful tool for probing the chromospheric plasma during solar flares. To understand the effects of nonthermal energy deposition in the chromosphere during flares, we analyzed LyC profiles from a grid of field-aligned radiative-hydrodynamic models generated using the RADYN code as part of the F-CHROMA project. The spectral response of LyC, the temporal evolution of the departure coefficient of hydrogen, b _1 , and the color temperature, T _c , in response to a range of nonthermal electron distribution functions, were investigated. The LyC intensity was seen to increase by 4–5.5 orders of magnitude during solar flares, responding most strongly to the nonthermal electron flux of the beam. Generally, b _1 decreased from 10 ^2 –10 ^3 to closer to unity during solar flares, indicating a stronger coupling to local conditions, while T _c increased from 8–9 to 10–16 kK. T _c was found to be approximately equal to the electron temperature of the plasma when b _1 was at a minimum. Both optically thick and optically thin components of LyC were found to be in agreement with the interpretation of recent observations. The optically thick layer forms deeper in the chromosphere during a flare compared to quiescent periods, whereas the optically thin layers form at higher altitudes due to chromospheric evaporation, in low-temperature, high-density regions propagating upward. We put these results in the context of current and future missions.
Swirls are ubiquitous in the solar atmosphere. They are believed to be related to the excitation of different modes of magnetohydrodynamic waves and pulses, as well as spicules. However, statistical studies of their collective behaviour are rare. In this paper, we aim to study the collective, as well as the behaviour of individual photospheric and chromospheric swirls detected by the automated swirl detection algorithm (ASDA) from observations obtained by the Swedish 1-m Solar Telescope and the Hinode satellite. Detailed analysis of six different parameters of photospheric and chromospheric swirls is performed employing the wavelet analysis. Two clusters of periods with significant wavelet power, one from 3-8 minutes and the other from 10-14 minutes, have been found. The former coincides with the dominant period of the global p-mode spectrum. Wavelet and Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) analysis of example swirls also reveals similar periods. These results suggest that global p-modes might be important for triggering photospheric and thus chromospheric swirls. A novel scenario of global p-modes providing energy and mass fluxes to the upper solar atmosphere via generating swirls, Alfvén pulses and spicules is then proposed.
Context: Solar flares are the result of the sudden release of magnetic energy in the corona. Much of this energy goes into accelerating charged particles to high velocity. These particles travel along the magnetic field and the energy is dissipated when the density gets high enough, primarily in the solar chromosphere. Modelling this region is difficult because the radiation energy balance is dominated by strong, optically thick spectral lines. Aims: Our aim is to provide the community with realistic simulations of a flaring loop with an emphasis on the detailed treatment of the chromospheric energy balance. This will enable a detailed comparison of existing and upcoming observations with synthetic observables from the simulations, thereby elucidating the complex interactions in a flaring chromosphere. Methods: We used the 1D radiation hydrodynamics code RADYN to perform simulations of the effect of a beam of electrons injected at the apex of a solar coronal loop. A grid of models was produced, varying the total energy input, the steepness, and low-energy cutoff of the beam energy spectrum. Results: The full simulation results for a grid of models are made available online. Some general properties of the simulations are discussed.
Previous examinations of fully convective M-dwarf stars have highlighted enhanced rates of nanoflare activity on these distant stellar sources. However, the specific role the convective boundary, which is believed to be present for spectral types earlier than M2.5V, plays on the observed nanoflare rates is not yet known. Here, we utilize a combination of statistical and Fourier techniques to examine M-dwarf stellar lightcurves that lie on either side of the convective boundary. We find that fully convective M2.5V (and later subtypes) stars have greatly enhanced nanoflare rates compared with their pre-dynamo mode-transition counterparts. Specifically, we derive a flaring power-law index in the region of 3.00 ± 0.20, alongside a decay timescale of 200 ± 100 s for M2.5V and M3V stars, matching those seen in prior observations of similar stellar subtypes. Interestingly, M4V stars exhibit longer decay timescales of 450 ± 50 s, along with an increased power-law index of 3.10 ± 0.18, suggesting an interplay between the rate of nanoflare occurrence and the intrinsic plasma parameters, e.g., the underlying Lundquist number. In contrast, partially convective (i.e., earlier subtypes from M0V to M2V) M-dwarf stars exhibit very weak nanoflare activity, which is not easily identifiable using statistical or Fourier techniques. This suggests that fully convective stellar atmospheres favor small-scale magnetic reconnection, leading to implications for the flare-energy budgets of these stars. Understanding why small-scale reconnection is enhanced in fully convective atmospheres may help solve questions relating to the dynamo behavior of these stellar sources.
For many years it has been an ambition of the solar and heliophysics communities to obtain a 3-D view of the entire Sun as this is critical for understanding many fundamental processes acting within and around our star; these are key questions to address for all stars, but particularly our own.To understand solar activity, we must study the structure and evolution of the seats of such activity, the so-called active regions that are regions defined by complex and highly dynamic magnetic structure.Currently we do that from a limited set of measurement and view-points constraining the science we can do.The majority of our solar observations are made near or from the Earth, but there have been notable exceptions.Steps towards measuring different views of the Sun were carried out by the Ulysses mission.Despite plans to carry remote sensing instrumentation, the spacecraft only carried in-situ instruments, but flew an extremely successful mission providing the first measurements over the Sun's poles.The NASA STEREO mission provided 2 views of the Sun in the equatorial region, from widely separated platforms but was limited due to the lack of magnetic field data and visibility of the poles.The recent ESA/NASA Solar Orbiter mission will gradually reach out of the equatorial plane and observe from 33 degrees with both remote sensing and in situ instruments providing a major step forward in studies of our star's polar regions.In recent reviews such as the JAXA/NASA/ESA next generation solar physics mission report in 2017, 5 multi spacecraft mission to provide an extended view of the Sun were proposed.In the ESA Voyage 2050 call, polar solar mission concepts were proposed to provide extensive measurements of the mysterious polar regions that have not yet been observed with imaging instruments [1] -this paper describes different technologies that allow an extended view of the poles.ESA's Vigil mission will be stationed at the Lagrange L5 point and will carry both remote sensing and in situ instruments.This white paper indicates the support of the European and Japanese communities for the Firefly mission concept (see white paper led by Nour Raouafi).These communities have expertise from probing the interior of the Sun using helioseismology methods to solar activity and how it feeds the heliosphere.An ambitious mission such as Firefly provides extensive opportunities to answer scientific questions that remain unanswered due to our restricted views of the Sun.There are 4 science questions probing the fundamental processes of what drives the Sun's magnetic activity from the inside of the star to activity in the heliosphere.These topics are of significant consequence to the impact our understanding of every star and hence the understanding of habitability and impacts of space weather on planets.
Power-law distributions have been studied as a significant characteristic of nonlinear dissipative systems. Since discovering the power-law distribution of solar flares that was later extended to nanoflares and stellar flares, it has been widely accepted that different scales of flares share the same physical process. Here we present the newly developed semiautomated jet identification algorithm and its application for detecting more than 1200 off-limb solar jets during Solar Cycle 24. Power-law distributions have been revealed between the intensity/energy and frequency of these events, with indices found to be analogous to those for flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). These jets are also found to be spatially and temporally modulated by the solar cycle, forming a butterfly diagram in their latitudinal-temporal evolution, experiencing quasi-annual oscillations in their analyzed properties, and very likely gathering in certain active longitudinal belts. Our results show that coronal jets display the same nonlinear behavior as that observed in flares and CMEs, in solar and stellar atmospheres, strongly suggesting that they result from the same nonlinear statistics of scale-free processes as their counterparts in different scales of eruptive events. Although these jets, like flares and other large-scale dynamic phenomena, are found to be significantly modulated by the solar cycle, their corresponding power-law indices still remain similar.
Using the observations of the coronal hole in Si IV 1393.755 Å line as recorded by interface region imaging spectrograph (IRIS) on 8th October 2013, Chen et al. (Astrophys. J. 873(1):79, 2019) have reported non-Gaussian line profiles showing unusual line broadening that may correspond to the velocity enhancement in the emitting plasma. This observational scenario may be caused by the localized impulsive energy release associated with the footpoint of spicule-like cool jet. We revisit the observations of Chen et al. (Astrophys. J. 873(1):79, 2019) to analyse a specific event showing non-Gaussian profiles in the Si IV 1393.755 Å line, for a lifetime of 3.0 min and Doppler shifts reaching 68 km s ^-1 , which is associated with a spicule-like jet of length 8.0 Mm. We model this jet by implementing an observed velocity enhancement in a magnetized, gravitationally stratified, two-dimensional (2-D) model solar atmosphere. The model atmosphere consists of open magnetic fields and realistic temperature profile. The velocity perturbation of ≈ 68 km s ^-1 , resembling the observed velocity enhancement, launches a thin spicule-like jet whose properties closely match with the observed jet. We also show that non-adiabatic conditions (e.g., thermal conduction and radiative cooling) affect the jet propagation, mass flux, and kinetic energy density. We demonstrate that such spicule-like jets may transport mass and energy into the overlying solar atmosphere. The synthetic images derived from the use of simulation data (e.g., density, temperature) and atomic parameters of Si IV 1393.755 Å from CHIANTI database show that model jet consists of bright plasma as detected in the emissions at transition region temperature. It also consists of a cool core material that indicates its origin in the solar chromosphere. This cool chromospheric material appears as a dark plasma thread seen in the synthetic images that is eventually not evident in the Si IV emissions. IRIS Si IV emissions capture the heated counterpart of the observed jet, which is also evident in the synthetic images as a bright feature. Complementing the recent observations revealing the impulsive origin of the spicule-like jets, our present model emphasizes comprehensively their evolution in both adiabatic and non-adiabatic conditions of the solar atmosphere. The model implicitly displays the presence of the hot and cool components of jet’s plasma. It also demonstrates that the cooling atmosphere affects the kinematics and energetics of the jets.
Synthetic observations produced from radiative magnetohydrodynamic simulations have predicted that higher polarization fractions in the quiet solar photosphere would be revealed by increasing the total integration time of observations at GREGOR resolutions. We present recently acquired disk center observations of the Fe i 15648.5 Å line obtained with the GREGOR telescope equipped with the GRIS-IFU during excellent seeing conditions, showing exceptionally high polarization fractions. Our observations reveal an internetwork region with a majority (>60%) of magnetized pixels displaying a clear transverse component of the magnetic field. This result is in stark contrast to previous disk center GRIS-IFU observations in this spectral line, which had predominantly vertical magnetic fields in the deep photosphere. At the same time, the median magnetic field strength is weaker than previous GRIS-IFU observations, indicating that the larger fraction of polarization signals cannot be explained by a more active target. We use the Stokes Inversion based on Response functions (SIR) code to analyze the data, performing over 45 million inversions, and interrogate the impact of two conflicting approaches to the treatment of noise on the retrieval of the magnetic inclination and azimuth. We present several case studies of the zoo of magnetic features present in these data, including small-scale magnetic loops that seem to be embedded in a sea of magnetism, and serpentine fields, focusing on regions where full-vector spectropolarimetry has been achieved. We also present a new open-source Python 3 analysis tool, SIR Explorer, which we use to examine the dynamics of these small-scale magnetic features.
We present the first quiet Sun spectropolarimetric observations obtained with the Visible SpectroPolarimeter at the 4 m Daniel K. Inouye Solar Telescope. We recorded observations in a wavelength range that includes the magnetically sensitive Fe i 6301.5/6302.5 Å doublet. With an estimated spatial resolution of 0.″08, this represents the highest spatial resolution full-vector spectropolarimetric observations ever obtained of the quiet Sun. We identified 53 small-scale magnetic elements, including 47 magnetic loops and four unipolar magnetic patches, with linear and circular polarization detected in all of them. Of particular interest is a magnetic element in which the polarity of the magnetic vector appears to change three times in only 400 km and which has linear polarization signals throughout. We find complex Stokes V profiles at the polarity inversion lines of magnetic loops and discover degenerate solutions, as we are unable to conclusively determine whether these arise due to gradients in the atmospheric parameters or smearing of opposite-polarity signals. We analyze a granule that notably has linear and circular polarization signals throughout, providing an opportunity to explore its magnetic properties. On this small scale, we see the magnetic field strength range from 25 G at the granular boundary to 2 kG in the intergranular lane (IGL) and sanity-check the values with the weak and strong field approximations. A value of 2 kG in the IGL is among the highest measurements ever recorded for the internetwork.
The European Solar Telescope (EST) is being designed to optimize studies of the magnetic coupling between the lower layers of the solar atmosphere (the photosphere and chromosphere) in order to investigate the origins and evolution of the solar magnetic field and its role in driving solar activity. In order to achieve this, the thermal, dynamic and magnetic properties of the solar plasma must be probed over many scale heights and at intrinsic scales, requiring the use of multi-wavelength spectroscopy and spectropolarimetry at high spatial, spectral and temporal resolution. In this paper we describe some of the over-arching science questions that EST will address and briefly outline the main features of the proposed telescope design and the associated instrumentation package.
The Solar Activity Magnetic Monitor (SAMM) Network (SAMNet) is a future UK-led international network of ground-based solar telescope stations. SAMNet, at its full capacity, will continuously monitor the Sun’s intensity, magnetic, and Doppler velocity fields at multiple heights in the solar atmosphere (from photosphere to upper chromosphere). Each SAMM sentinel will be equipped with a cluster of identical telescopes each with a different magneto-optical filter (MOFs) to take observations in K I, Na D, and Ca I spectral bands. A subset of SAMM stations will have white-light coronagraphs and emission line coronal spectropolarimeters. The objectives of SAMNet are to provide observational data for space weather research and forecast. The goal is to achieve an operationally sufficient lead time of e.g., flare warning of 2–8 h and provide many sought-after continuous synoptic maps (e.g., LoS magnetic and velocity fields, intensity) of the lower solar atmosphere with a spatial resolution limited only by seeing or diffraction limit, and with a cadence of 10 min. The individual SAMM sentinels will be connected to their master HQ hub where data received from all the slave stations will be automatically processed and flare warning issued up to 26 h in advance.
Solar active regions (ARs) play a fundamental role in driving many of the geoeffective eruptions, which propagate into the solar system. However, we are still unable to consistently predict where and when ARs will occur across the solar disk by identifying preemergence signatures in observables such as the Doppler velocity (without using helioseismic methods). Here we aim to determine the earliest time at which preemergence signatures, the horizontal divergent flow (HDF) in particular, can be confidently detected using data from the Solar Dynamics Observatory’s Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager. Initially, we follow previous studies using the thresholding method, which searches for significant increases in the number of pixels that display a specific line-of-sight velocity. We expand this method to more velocity windows and conduct a basic parameter study investigating the effect of cadence on the inferred results. Our findings agree with previous studies with 37.5% of ARs displaying an HDF, with average lead times between the HDF and flux emergence of 58 minutes. We present a new potential signature of flux emergence, which manifests as cadence-independent transient disruptions to the amplitudes of multiple velocity windows and recover potential preemergence signatures for 10 of the 16 ARs studied, with lead times of 60–156 minutes. Several effects can influence both the estimated times of both HDF and flux emergence suggesting that one may need to combine Doppler and magnetic field data to get a reliable indicator of continued flux emergence.