Metacognition is a foundational component of intelligence critical to effective learning, problem solving, decision-making, communication, and more. In recent years, it has become increasingly recognized as a cornerstone of capable, transparent AI systems. Yet while LLMs have made significant progress across diverse real-world tasks, it is not yet clear when, how, or to what extent they can exhibit or be endowed with effective metacognitive abilities, nor how such abilities can be adapted to advance the fundamental capabilities, reliability, and intelligence of AI systems. This paper bridges this gap by presenting the first comprehensive overview of the current state of knowledge on metacognition for LLMs. We analyze and taxonomize the landscape of this emerging field and summarize recent technical advancements, including methods and benchmarks to measure and evaluate LLMs' metacognitive abilities, techniques to elicit, improve, and apply metacognition in LLMs, and findings and implications of ongoing research. We also discuss applications, open questions and challenges, and promising directions for future work. Our aim is to provide a detailed and up-to-date review of this topic and stimulate meaningful research and discussion. An organized list of papers can be found at https://github.com/yale-nlp/LLM-Metacognition.
Successful human-AI collaboration requires accurate uncertainty communication. While prior research emphasizes calibration, we demonstrate that metacognitive sensitivity-the ability of confidence scores to discriminate between correct and wrong decisions-is equally important. We derive the Bayes-optimal decision rule for combining human and AI predictions and use signal detection theory to analytically express combined accuracy based on human and AI metacognitive sensitivities. We prove that above-chance metacognitive sensitivity in either agent guarantees complementarity, where joint accuracy exceeds both individual accuracies. Monte Carlo simulations and empirical validation on human-AI image classification demonstrate that our analytic solution remains robust to non-Gaussian confidence distributions. These findings establish metacognitive sensitivity as an important determinant of human-AI collaboration.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is being increasingly integrated into human problem-solving, yet its effects on individual skill development remain unclear. We examine how both AI usage and informativeness can shape learning in the context of a controlled logical reasoning task with on-demand access to AI assistance. We find that greater AI usage is associated with weaker skill development: heavy AI users underperform relative to comparable peers, whereas light AI users perform similarly to matched users who do not use AI. We also find in our study that these patterns are mediated by AI informativeness. Low-information AI neither improves immediate performance nor preserves performance after AI assistance is removed, and is linked to weaker learning overall. On the other hand, high-information AI was found to improve short-run performance without reducing post-AI outcomes on average in our experiments, but with heterogeneous effects. Our findings in general suggest that AI can, depending on context, either complement human skill development by amplifying independent reasoning or can act as a substitute that undermines such reasoning, with the implication that regulating AI access and usage will be important for promoting skill development in the presence of AI assistance.
Despite the growing interest in collaborative AI, designing systems that seamlessly integrate human input remains a major challenge. In this study, we developed a task to systematically examine human preferences for collaborative agents. We created and evaluated five collaborative AI agents with strategies that differ in the manner and degree they adapt to human actions. Participants interacted with a subset of these agents, evaluated their perceived traits, and selected their preferred agent. We used a Bayesian model to understand how agents' strategies influence the Human-AI team performance, AI's perceived traits, and the factors shaping human-preferences in pairwise agent comparisons. Our results show that agents who are more considerate of human actions are preferred over purely performance-maximizing agents. Moreover, we show that such human-centric design can improve the likability of AI collaborators without reducing performance. We find evidence for inequality-aversion effects being a driver of human choices, suggesting that people prefer collaborative agents which allow them to meaningfully contribute to the team. Taken together, these findings demonstrate how collaboration with AI can benefit from development efforts which include both subjective and objective metrics.
While AI assistance can improve human task performance in the short term, it may also undermine the development of skills in the longer term. We examine this tension in a controlled logic-puzzle experiment involving on-demand AI assistance, where participants complete tasks before, during, and after AI is available. By experimentally varying AI request costs, we find that lower-cost assistance induces more frequent AI use. We also find that participants who request AI assistance during the AI-access phase perform worse at the task after assistance is removed, and their subsequent unassisted performance is overestimated when predicted from earlier AI-assisted performance. We use a Bayesian latent ability model to separate initial ability, post-AI ability, and participant-specific skill change, while estimating how independent reasoning during the AI-access phase relates to skill development. The results show that greater independent problem-solving effort is associated with larger gains in latent ability, consistent with the interpretation that skill development is weaker when AI assistance substitutes for independent reasoning.
Humans increasingly turn to Language Models (LMs) in ways that shape beliefs and drive decisions, including discussing, rewriting, and summarizing information from scientific articles, news, and medical reports. However, in these domains, where how confidently a claim is expressed matters, little is known about whether LMs faithfully preserve it. In this work, we investigate certainty distortion in LMs, defined as meaningful changes in expressed certainty when semantic content is preserved. We propose an LM-based evaluation metric that is consistent with population-level judgments of certainty. Using this metric, we characterize certainty distortion across different sizes and families of models in the context of scientific and medical communication tasks. Our results show that certainty distortion affects up to 75% of LM outputs and is systematically asymmetric in rewriting tasks with most LMs being 1.5-2× more likely to increase the expressed certainty than to decrease it. These effects can compound over repeated paraphrasing: in the medical domain, claude-haiku-4-5 increases certainty of 20% examples after a single iteration, increasing to 40% after five iterations. Prompt-based interventions reduce overall certainty distortion but do not eliminate it. Together, these findings reveal a general bias toward inflating expressed certainty, with direct implications for users who rely on LMs in high-stakes domains.
We propose a decision-theoretic framework in which a robot strategically can shape inferred human's prosocial state during repeated interactions. Modeling the human's prosociality as a latent state that evolves over time, the robot learns to infer and influence this state through its own actions, including helping and signaling. We formalize this as a latent-state POMDP with limited observations and learn the transition and observation dynamics using expectation maximization. The resulting belief-based policy balances task and social objectives, selecting actions that maximize long-term cooperative outcomes. We evaluate the model using data from user studies and show that the learned policy outperforms baseline strategies in both team performance and increasing observed human cooperative behavior.
As robots and autonomous agents integrate into society, understanding their influence on human social dynamics is crucial. We investigate human-robot interactions, focusing on the impact of prosocial behavior by robots on subsequent human interactions and humans’ willingness to exhibit prosocial behavior towards robots. Our study involved a token-collection game in a grid-world environment. Players, human or robot, could become trapped; a prosocial action involved another player freeing the trapped individual. Findings indicate that robots demonstrating prosocial behavior toward humans can inspire prosocial behavior toward others. Humans also show a notable propensity to assist robots. Witnessing robots engage in prosocial behavior may activate social norms related to cooperation, prompting humans to emulate these behaviors. Robots’ actions could improve the saliency of these acts, focusing people's attention on prosocial behaviors they might not notice otherwise. Overall, the findings suggest that robots can promote prosocial behavior among humans, contributing to a more cooperative social environment. This research has implications for design and implementation of future autonomous systems, emphasizing the importance of social considerations in human-AI interaction studies.
Productive human-AI collaboration requires appropriate reliance, yet contemporary AI systems are often miscalibrated, exhibiting systematic overconfidence or underconfidence. We investigate whether humans can learn to mentally recalibrate AI confidence signals through repeated experience. In a behavioral experiment (N = 200), participants predicted the AI's correctness across four AI calibration conditions: standard, overconfidence, underconfidence, and a counterintuitive "reverse confidence" mapping. Results demonstrate robust learning across all conditions, with participants significantly improving their accuracy, discrimination, and calibration alignment over 50 trials. We present a computational model utilizing a linear-in-log-odds (LLO) transformation and a Rescorla-Wagner learning rule to explain these dynamics. The model reveals that humans adapt by updating their baseline trust and confidence sensitivity, using asymmetric learning rates to prioritize the most informative errors. While humans can compensate for monotonic miscalibration, we identify a significant boundary in the reverse confidence scenario, where a substantial proportion of participants struggled to override initial inductive biases. These findings provide a mechanistic account of how humans adapt their trust in AI confidence signals through experience.
As artificial intelligence systems, particularly large language models (LLMs), become increasingly integrated into decision-making processes, the ability to trust their outputs is crucial. To earn human trust, LLMs must be well calibrated such that they can accurately assess and communicate the likelihood of their predictions being correct. Whereas recent work has focused on LLMs’ internal confidence, less is understood about how effectively they convey uncertainty to users. Here we explore the calibration gap, which refers to the difference between human confidence in LLM-generated answers and the models’ actual confidence, and the discrimination gap, which reflects how well humans and models can distinguish between correct and incorrect answers. Our experiments with multiple-choice and short-answer questions reveal that users tend to overestimate the accuracy of LLM responses when provided with default explanations. Moreover, longer explanations increased user confidence, even when the extra length did not improve answer accuracy. By adjusting LLM explanations to better reflect the models’ internal confidence, both the calibration gap and the discrimination gap narrowed, significantly improving user perception of LLM accuracy. These findings underscore the importance of accurate uncertainty communication and highlight the effect of explanation length in influencing user trust in artificial-intelligence-assisted decision-making environments. Understanding how people perceive and interpret uncertainty from large language models (LLMs) is crucial, as users often overestimate LLM accuracy, especially with default explanations. Steyvers et al. show that aligning LLM explanations with their internal confidence improves user perception.
This research examines whether and how observing prosocial behaviors by robots can influence humans to act more prosocially in spatially complex interactions. Combining behavioral experiments with theoretical simulations using agent-based modeling, we investigated observational learning effects among human participants engaged in a cooperative, token-collecting task. One participant was repeatedly trapped, needing assistance, while the other participant, who was never trapped, could observe the robot’s prosocial actions and potentially provide help. Across three experimental conditions—no robot involvement, robot help without explicit intention signaling, and robot help with explicit intention signaling—we assessed participants’ awareness of the robot’s actions and subsequent helping behaviors. Findings show that explicit signaling notably improved awareness of robot interventions; however, this enhanced awareness had no significant effect on increasing prosocial acts by participants. Qualitative analyses further revealed that individuals already inclined toward prosociality were most attentive to and influenced by robot behavior. Agent-based modeling complemented these empirical results by identifying conditions under which observational learning could promote broader prosocial cascades, emphasizing the critical role of attentional thresholds. These insights underline important considerations and constraints for employing robots to foster collective prosocial behavior through observational learning.
Applications of machine learning often involve making predictions based on both model outputs and the opinions of human experts. In this context, we investigate the problem of querying experts for class label predictions, using as few human queries as possible, and leveraging the class probability estimates of pre-trained classifiers. We develop a general Bayesian framework for this problem, modeling expert correlation via a joint latent representation, enabling simulation-based inference about the utility of additional expert queries, as well as inference of posterior distributions over unobserved expert labels. We apply our approach to two real-world medical classification problems, as well as to CIFAR-10H and ImageNet-16H, demonstrating substantial reductions relative to baselines in the cost of querying human experts while maintaining high prediction accuracy.
Evidence-accumulation models (EAMs) are powerful tools for making sense of human and animal decision-making behavior. EAMs have generated significant theoretical advances in psychology, behavioral economics, and cognitive neuroscience and are increasingly used as a measurement tool in clinical research and other applied settings. Obtaining valid and reliable inferences from EAMs depends on knowing how to establish a close match between model assumptions and features of the task/data to which the model is applied. However, this knowledge is rarely articulated in the EAM literature, leaving beginners to rely on the private advice of mentors and colleagues and inefficient trial-and-error learning. In this article, we provide practical guidance for designing tasks appropriate for EAMs, relating experimental manipulations to EAM parameters, planning appropriate sample sizes, and preparing data and conducting an EAM analysis. Our advice is based on prior methodological studies and the our substantial collective experience with EAMs. By encouraging good task-design practices and warning of potential pitfalls, we hope to improve the quality and trustworthiness of future EAM research and applications.
AI systems and technologies that can interact with humans in real time face a communication dilemma: when to offer assistance and how frequently. Overly frequent or contextually redundant assistance can cause users to disengage, undermining the long-term benefits of AI assistance. We introduce a cognitive modeling framework based on Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) that addresses this timing challenge by inferring a user's latent cognitive state related to AI engagement over time. Additionally, our framework incorporates reasoning about the long-term effects of AI assistance, explicitly aiming to avoid actions that could lead the human user to disengage or deactivate the AI. A key component of our approach is counterfactual reasoning: at each time step, the AI considers how well the user would perform independently and weighs the potential boost in performance against the risk of diminishing engagement with the AI. Through simulations, we show that this adaptive strategy significantly outperforms baseline policies in which assistance is always provided or never provided. Our results highlight the importance of balancing short-term decision accuracy with sustained user engagement, showing how communication strategies can be optimized to avoid alert fatigue while preserving the user's receptiveness to AI guidance.
Task-switching paradigms have been used to investigate cognitive control processes, emulating everyday tasks which require regulating cognitive resources. Cognitive modelling approaches, in the context of task-switching have sought to identify constituent processes contributing to task-switching performance. However, these approaches have typically used diffusion decision models (DDM) that are not designed to capture task-switching behaviour. Here, we extend a recent model of task-switching (Steyvers et al., 2019) to capture the complex dynamics of task activation in a cued-trials task-switching paradigm in a sample of community-dwelling older adults (n=177, 60-70 years). The model is based on an evidence-accumulation architecture extended to incorporate cognitive processes associated with task-set maintenance and updating that occur in the cue-target interval, namely task-set activation and deactivation. Results show that, with the additional processes associated with task activation, the model captures qualitative and quantitative trends in behavioural data that are consistent with task-switching literature (e.g., switch cost, mixing cost, and congruency costs) and provides a strong, quantitative basis for some of the theoretically proposed processes underlying task-switching performance (e.g., task activation). On examination of the parameter values of the weakest and strongest performers on five different task-switching metrics, the model provided unique insights into individual differences on the cognitive processes driving performance in cued trials task-switching behaviour. By disentangling key cognitive processes thought to underlie task switching performance (e.g., task set reconfiguration and task set inertia), our model provides greater precision with which to describe the underlying processes that have been observed beyond the standard mean RT measures.
Metacognition-the capacity to monitor and evaluate one's own knowledge and performance-is foundational to human decision-making, learning, and communication. As large language models (LLMs) become increasingly embedded in both high-stakes and widespread low-stakes contexts, it is important to assess whether, how, and to what extent they exhibit metacognitive abilities. Here, we provide an overview of the current knowledge of LLMs' metacognitive capacities, how they might be studied, and how they relate to our knowledge of metacognition in humans. We show that although humans and LLMs can sometimes appear quite aligned in their metacognitive capacities and behaviors, it is clear many differences remain; attending to these differences is important for enhancing the collaboration between humans and artificial intelligence. Last, we discuss how endowing future LLMs with more sensitive and more calibrated metacognition may also help them develop new capacities such as more efficient learning, self-direction, and curiosity.
In settings where human decision-making relies on AI input, both the predictive accuracy of the AI system and the reliability of its confidence estimates influence decision quality. We highlight the role of AI metacognitive sensitivity – its ability to assign confidence scores that accurately distinguish correct from incorrect predictions – and introduce a theoretical framework for assessing the joint impact of AI's predictive accuracy and metacognitive sensitivity in hybrid decision-making settings. Our analysis identifies conditions under which an AI with lower predictive accuracy but higher metacognitive sensitivity can enhance the overall accuracy of human decision making. Finally, a behavioral experiment confirms that greater AI metacognitive sensitivity improves human decision performance. Together, these findings underscore the importance of evaluating AI assistance not only by accuracy but also by metacognitive sensitivity, and of optimizing both to achieve superior decision outcomes.