BACKGROUND:Despite a shortage of potential donors for heart transplant in the United States, most potential donor hearts are discarded. We evaluated predictors of donor heart acceptance in the United States and applied machine learning methods to improve prediction. METHODS:We included a nationwide (2005-2020) cohort of potential heart donors in the United States (n=73 948) from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients and a more recent (2015-2020) rigorously phenotyped cohort of potential donors from DHS (Donor Heart Study; n=4130). We identified predictors of acceptance for heart transplant in both cohorts using multivariate logistic regression, incorporating time-interaction terms to characterize their varying effects over time. We fit models predicting acceptance for transplant in a 50% training subset of DHS using logistic regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and random forest algorithms and compared their performance in the remaining 50% (test) of the subset. RESULTS:Predictors of donor heart acceptance were similar in the nationwide and DHS cohorts. Among these, older age (P value for time interaction, 0.0001) has become increasingly predictive of discard over time while other factors, including those related to drug use, infection, and mild cardiac diagnostic abnormalities, have become less influential (P value for time interaction, <0.05 for all). A random forest model (area under the curve, 0.908; accuracy, 0.831) outperformed other prediction algorithms in the test subset and was used as the basis of a novel web-based prediction tool. CONCLUSIONS:Predictors of donor heart acceptance for transplantation have changed significantly over the last 2 decades, likely reflecting evolving evidence regarding their impact on posttransplant outcomes. Real-time prediction of donor heart acceptance, using our web-based tool, may improve efficiency during donor management and heart allocation.

BACKGROUND:Potential organ donors often exhibit abnormalities on electrocardiograms (ECGs) after brain death, but the physiological and prognostic significance of such abnormalities is unknown. OBJECTIVES:This study sought to characterize the prevalence of ECG abnormalities in a nationwide cohort of potential cardiac donors and their associations with cardiac dysfunction, use for heart transplantation (HT), and recipient outcomes. METHODS:The Donor Heart Study enrolled 4,333 potential cardiac organ donors at 8 organ procurement organizations across the United States from 2015 to 2020. A blinded expert reviewer interpreted all ECGs, which were obtained once hemodynamic stability was achieved after brain death and were repeated 24 ± 6 hours later. ECG findings were summarized, and their associations with other cardiac diagnostic findings, use for HT, and graft survival were assessed using univariable and multivariable regression. RESULTS:Initial ECGs were interpretable for 4,136 potential donors. Overall, 64% of ECGs were deemed clinically abnormal, most commonly as a result of a nonspecific St-T-wave abnormality (39%), T-wave inversion (19%), and/or QTc interval >500 ms (17%). Conduction abnormalities, ectopy, pathologic Q waves, and ST-segment elevations were less common (each present in ≤5% of donors) and resolved on repeat ECGs in most cases. Only pathological Q waves were significant predictors of donor heart nonuse (adjusted OR: 0.39; 95% CI: 0.29-0.53), and none were associated with graft survival at 1 year post-HT. CONCLUSIONS:ECG abnormalities are common in potential heart donors but often resolve on serial testing. Pathologic Q waves are associated with a lower likelihood of use for HT, but they do not portend worse graft survival.

BACKGROUND: Left ventricular dysfunction in potential donors meeting brain death criteria often results in nonuse of donor hearts for transplantation, yet little is known about its incidence or pathophysiology. Resolving these unknowns was a primary aim of the DHS (Donor Heart Study), a multisite prospective cohort study. METHODS: The DHS enrolled potential donors by neurologic determination of death (n=4333) at 8 organ procurement organizations across the United States between February 2015 and May 2020. Data included medications administered, serial diagnostic tests, and transthoracic echocardiograms (TTEs) performed: (1) within 48 hours after brain death was formally diagnosed; and (2) 24±6 hours later if left ventricular (LV) dysfunction was initially present. LV dysfunction was defined as an LV ejection fraction <50% and was considered reversible if LV ejection fraction was >50% on the second TTE. TTEs were also examined for presence of LV regional wall motion abnormalities and their reversibility. We assessed associations between LV dysfunction, donor heart acceptance for transplantation, and recipient 1-year survival. RESULTS: An initial TTE was interpreted for 3794 of the 4333 potential donors by neurologic determination of death. A total of 493 (13%) of these TTEs showed LV dysfunction. Among those donors with an initial TTE, LV dysfunction was associated with younger age, underweight, and higher NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) and troponin levels. A second TTE was performed within 24±6 hours for a subset of donors (n=224) with initial LV dysfunction; within this subset, 130 (58%) demonstrated reversibility. Sixty percent of donor hearts with normal LV function were accepted for transplant compared with 56% of hearts with reversible LV dysfunction and 24% of hearts with nonreversible LV dysfunction. Donor LV dysfunction, whether reversible or not, was not associated with recipient 1-year survival. CONCLUSIONS: LV dysfunction associated with brain death occurs in many potential heart donors and is sometimes reversible. These findings can inform decisions made during donor evaluation and help guide donor heart acceptance for transplantation.

Ruch, Brianna; Kumm, Kayla; Kirk, Wendy Van; Geraghty, PJ; Harbell, Jack W; Aqel, Bashar A; Reddy, Kunam S; Katariya, Nitin N; Mathur, Amit K Author Information

BACKGROUND:Therapeutic hypothermia in brain-dead organ donors has been shown to reduce delayed graft function in kidney recipients after transplantation. Data are needed on the effect of hypothermia as compared with machine perfusion on outcomes after kidney transplantation.METHODS:At six organ-procurement facilities in the United States, we randomly assigned brain-dead kidney donors to undergo therapeutic hypothermia (hypothermia group), ex situ kidney hypothermic machine perfusion (machine-perfusion group), or both (combination-therapy group). The primary outcome was delayed graft function in the kidney transplant recipients (defined as the initiation of dialysis during the first 7 days after transplantation). We also evaluated whether hypothermia alone was noninferior to machine perfusion alone and whether the combination of both methods was superior to each of the individual therapies. Secondary outcomes included graft survival at 1 year after transplantation.RESULTS:From 725 enrolled donors, 1349 kidneys were transplanted: 359 kidneys in the hypothermia group, 511 in the machine-perfusion group, and 479 in the combined-therapy group. Delayed graft function occurred in 109 patients (30%) in the hypothermia group, in 99 patients (19%) in the machine-perfusion group, and in 103 patients (22%) in the combination-therapy group. Adjusted risk ratios for delayed graft function were 1.72 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.35 to 2.17) for hypothermia as compared with machine perfusion, 1.57 (95% CI, 1.26 to 1.96) for hypothermia as compared with combination therapy, and 1.09 (95% CI, 0.85 to 1.40) for combination therapy as compared with machine perfusion. At 1 year, the frequency of graft survival was similar in the three groups. A total of 10 adverse events were reported, including cardiovascular instability in 9 donors and organ loss in 1 donor owing to perfusion malfunction.CONCLUSIONS:Among brain-dead organ donors, therapeutic hypothermia was inferior to machine perfusion of the kidney in reducing delayed graft function after transplantation. The combination of hypothermia and machine perfusion did not provide additional protection. (Funded by Arnold Ventures; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02525510.).

Solid organ transplantation continues to be constrained by a lack of suitable donor organs. Advances in donor management and evaluation are needed to address this shortage, but the performance of research studies in deceased donors is fraught with challenges. Here we discuss several of the major obstacles we faced in the conduct of the Donor Heart Study-a prospective, multi-site, observational study of donor management, evaluation, and acceptance for heart transplantation. These included recruitment and engagement of participating organ procurement organizations, ambiguities related to study oversight, obtaining authorization for donor research, logistical challenges encountered during donor management, sustaining study momentum, and challenges related to study data management. By highlighting these obstacles encountered, as well as the solutions implemented, we hope to stimulate further discussion and actions that will facilitate the design and execution of future donor research studies.