Given Nepal’s vulnerability to extreme precipitation (EP), it is imperative to conduct a comprehensive analysis to comprehend the historical trends of such events. However, acquiring precise precipitation data for EP remains challenging in mountainous countries like Nepal owing to the scarcity of densely gauged networks. This limitation impedes the dissemination of knowledge pertaining to EP variability events in Nepal. The current research on this topic is deficient for two main reasons: 1) there is a lack of studies leveraging recently released high-resolution precipitation products to identify their EP detection capabilities, which further hinders the usability of those products in data-scarce regions like Nepal, and 2) most studies have focused on the characterisation of EP events in Nepal rather than their spatial and temporal variability. To address these issues, this study evaluated the EP detection capabilities of four high-resolution precipitation product datasets (PPDs) across Nepal from 1985 to 2020. These datasets include the ERA5 Land reanalysis data, satellite-based precipitation data (PERSIANN_CCS_CDR and CHIRPS_V2.0) and a merged dataset (TPHiPr). We used various statistical and categorical indices to assess their ability to capture the spatial and temporal variability of EP events. The annual EP events were characterised by 11 indices divided into frequency and intensity categories. The TPHiPr merged dataset offered a robust depiction of monthly precipitation estimates, achieving the highest critical success index, accuracy, probability of detection and a low false alarm ratio for daily precipitation detection of 0.1 mm in Nepal. Conversely, the PERSIANN_CCS_CDR dataset exhibited poor performance. Most PPDs showed increasing trends in EP indices. However, the TPHiPr dataset showcased those trends with fewer errors and stronger correlations for many frequency (R10mm, R20mm and R25mm) and intensity (RX1day, RX5day, PRCPTOT and R99p) indices. The results indicate that TPHiPr outperformed other PPDs in accurately representing the spatial distribution of EP trends in Nepal from 1985 to 2020, particularly noting an exacerbation of EP events mostly in the eastern region of Nepal throughout the study period. While TPHiPr demonstrated superior performance in detecting various EP indices across Nepal, individual products like the ERA5 Land reanalysis dataset showed enhanced performance in the western region of Nepal. Conversely, PERSIANN_CCS_CDR and CHIRPS_V2.0 performed well in the eastern region compared to other PPDs.
In recent days there have been discussions regarding the impact of climate change and its vagaries of the weather, particularly concerning extreme events. Nepal, being a mountainous country, is more susceptible to precipitation extreme events and related hazards, which hinder the socioeconomic development of the nation. In this regard, this study aimed to address this phenomenon for one of the most naturally and socioeconomically important regions of Nepal, namely, Eastern Nepal. The data were collected for the period of 1997 to 2016. The interdecadal comparison for two periods (1997–2006 and 2007–2016) was maintained for the calculation of extreme precipitation indices as per recommended by Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices. Linear trends were calculated by using Mann‐Kendall and Sen's Slope estimator. The average annual precipitation was found to be decreasing at an alarming rate of −20 mm/year in the last two decades' tenure. In case of extreme precipitation events, consecutive dry days, one of the frequency indices, showed a solo increase in its trend (mostly significant). Meanwhile, all the intensity indices of extreme precipitation showed decreasing trends (mostly insignificant). Thus, it can be concluded that Eastern Nepal has witnessed some significant drier days in the last two decades, as the events of heavy, very heavy, extremely heavy precipitation events, and annual wet day precipitation (PRCPTOT) were found to be decreasing. The same phenomena were also seen in the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission 3B42 V7 satellite precipitation product for whole Nepal.
This study examines the seasonal and diurnal variations of carbon dioxide and energy fluxes over three land cover types of Nepal by using the eddy covariance method from March to November 2016. The surface energy balance closures were moderate with the values of about 56%, 61%, and 64% closure at Kirtipur, Simara, and Tarahara sites respectively. The monthly average values of net radiation flux and latent heat flux peaked in August at Kirtipur and Tarahara sites whereas in June at the Simara site respectively. The maximum monthly average measured sensible heat flux was 37 W m−2, 43.6 W m−2, and 36.3 W m−2 in April for all the sites whereas soil heat flux was 5.1 W m−2 and 2.9 W m−2 in April for Kirtipur and Simara sites and 6.2 W m−2 in June for the Tarahara site. The magnitude of diurnal peak of net ecosystem CO2 exchange (NEE) reached up to 11.04 μmol m−2 s−1 at Kirtipur, 15.04 μmol m−2 s−1 at Simara, and 10.44 μmol m−2 s−1 at Tarahara sites respectively. Among the three study sites, the ecosystem at the Kirtipur site was a good carbon source; the ecosystems at Simara and Tarahara sites were low and good carbon sink in the growing season. In addition, all three different land cover ecosystem were carbon source when accounted for the measurement period.
Land surface temperature (LST) is an important variable for assessing climate change and related environmental impacts observed in recent decades. Regular monitoring of LST using satellite sensors such as MODIS has the advantage of global coverage, including topographically complex regions such as Nepal. In order to assess the climatic and environmental changes, daytime and nighttime LST trend analysis from 2000 to 2017 using Terra-MODIS monthly daytime and nighttime LST datasets at seasonal and annual scales over the territory of Nepal was performed. The magnitude of the trend was quantified using ordinary linear regression, while the statistical significance of the trend was identified by the Modified Mann–Kendall test. Our findings suggest that the nighttime LST in Nepal increased more prominently compared to the daytime LST, with more pronounced warming in the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. The annual nighttime LST increased at a rate of 0.05 K yr−1 (p < 0.01), while the daytime LST change was statistically insignificant. Spatial heterogeneity of the LST and LST change was observed both during the day and the night. The daytime LST remained fairly unchanged in large parts of Nepal, while a nighttime LST rise was dominant all across Nepal in the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons. Our results on LST trends and their spatial distribution can facilitate a better understanding of regional climate changes.
In recent days there have been discussions regarding the impact of climate change and its vagaries of the weather, particularly concerning extreme events. Nepal, being a mountainous country, is more susceptible to precipitation extreme events and related hazards, which hinder the socioeconomic development of the nation. In this regard, this study aimed to address this phenomenon for one of the most naturally and socioeconomically important regions of Nepal, namely, Eastern Nepal. The data were collected for the period of 1997 to 2016. The interdecadal comparison for two periods (1997–2006 and 2007–2016) was maintained for the calculation of extreme precipitation indices as per recommended by Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices. Linear trends were calculated by using Mann‐Kendall and Sen's Slope estimator. The average annual precipitation was found to be decreasing at an alarming rate of −20 mm/year in the last two decades' tenure. In case of extreme precipitation events, consecutive dry days, one of the frequency indices, showed a solo increase in its trend (mostly significant). Meanwhile, all the intensity indices of extreme precipitation showed decreasing trends (mostly insignificant). Thus, it can be concluded that Eastern Nepal has witnessed some significant drier days in the last two decades, as the events of heavy, very heavy, extremely heavy precipitation events, and annual wet day precipitation (PRCPTOT) were found to be decreasing. The same phenomena were also seen in the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission 3B42 V7 satellite precipitation product for whole Nepal.