为探究在政府监管下,先后进入市场的两个冷链物流企业之间"最后一公里"配送的策略博弈演化过程,本文综合运用演化博弈理论与系统动力学的方法,构建冷链企业A与冷链企业B的动态混合策略演化博弈模型,分析了主体策略选择的演化稳定性,并通过Vensim进一步分析模型中参数变量对主体策略选择的影响.研究结果表明:政府监管部门的奖惩体系对冷链企业是否"搭便车"具有正向积极作用;"搭便车"行为曝光后的舆论关注效益会使冷链企业顾忌企业形象而主动解决配送问题;冷链企业举报"搭便车"行为后的额外收益与损失的关系是影响其举报与否的关键因素.冷链企业之间的策略博弈使双方主体的行为活动向利益最大化演化,有效维护了冷链市场的稳定,也为政府部门和冷链企业的决策提供参考.

成本信息谎报行为会对供应链定价决策和渠道成员收益产生重要影响.文章建立了制造商和零售商成本信息谎报情况下的双渠道供应链定价模型,探讨了成本谎报因子对最优均衡解的影响.对比分析了双边成本信息谎报、单边成本信息谎报以及信息不谎报四种情况下的供应链最优定价与利润,讨论了渠道成员不同谎报策略对供应链定价决策的影响,并通过算例仿真进行验证.研究表明:(1)制造商单方面成本信息谎报会提高批发价格和网络直销价格,而零售商单方面成本信息谎报则会导致批发价格降低;(2)双边信息谎报行为会导致零售价格和网络直销渠道价格都增加;(3)零售商成本信息谎报会提高自身利润,而制造商成本信息谎报则会降低各渠道成员和整个供应链的绩效水平.

文章在两个进行碳减排投入的竞争型制造商和一个零售商组成的供应链结构下,研究零售商需求预测信息共享问题,分析不同模式下制造商竞争水平和碳减排成本系数对供应链成员信息共享价值的影响.研究表明,零售商在任何情况下都没有动机共享需求预测信息,但对制造商和供应链来说信息共享总是有利的,与两个制造商信息共享模式优于与单个制造商信息共享模式.最后通过算例分析制造商竞争强度和碳减排成本系数对供应链信息共享价值的影响.

针对一个风险规避型零售商和一个风险中性制造商组成的供应链,考虑消费者服务"搭便车"行为,构建单渠道和零售商双渠道下零售商主导的均值?方差模型.通过逆向求解,得到并对比供应链成员的最优决策.最后通过算例分析验证表明,零售商双渠道价格与零售商的风险态度和市场需求波动呈反比,制造商批发价格变化则相反;零售商风险规避程度在一定范围内时,集中决策下的期望效用比分散决策下的高;零售商在"搭便车"下开通网络渠道不一定总是有利的,且存在搭便车比例、促销努力系数和风险规避度的取值区间使得零售商开通网络渠道有利可图;相反,在最优区间之外时,则会对利润造成负增长,因此企业应合理地控制自身风险规避程度和成本系数才能更好地在双渠道模式下获得超额利润.

创新驱动发展背景下,创新型人力资本存量与水平是衡量和评价长江经济带各省市创新能力和潜力的重要因素.引入生态位理论,从生态位值、生态位宽度、生态位重叠度三个方面实证研究长江经济带11省市创新型人力资本竞争力水平及其演化趋势.研究发现:长江经济带创新型人力资本生态位值并未随着时间变化而呈现出明显的变化态势,各地有明显的空间差异;各省市创新型人力资本生态位宽度差距较大,总体而言各地生态位宽度差距随时间变化逐渐缩小;从整体上看,长江经济带省域创新型人力资本生态位重叠度较高,创新型人力资本存在高度竞争.基于此,应当从优化生态位结构、拓展生态位宽度、减少生态位重叠等方面提高创新型人力资本竞争力.

文化与创新的关系不仅停留在技术创新领域,也呈现于理论研究领域.以1998年至2017年间CSSCI收录的355篇有关"文化与创新"的文献为研究对象,借助Citespace软件,对文献年代分布、作者产量、高被引文献、期刊共被引、作者共被引、关键词共现等进行系统化分析后发现:文化与创新相关文献网络密度较低,各研究之间的关系不够紧密;文化与创新的研究多集中在管理学领域,学术指向性强烈;当前我国文化与创新领域的研究与西方学界交集较多;文化与创新研究的四大热点领域分别为文化对创新行为及创新绩效的驱动作用研究,文化与创新能力、创新人才培养关系的研究,本土文化对创新的影响作用研究以及组织文化、知识管理与创新关系的研究.

国际化日益成为高等教育发展的时代潮流,"一带一路"战略的提出为我国高校教育国际化提供了重要机遇.江苏科技大学在办学历史、办学目标与办学特色上与"一带一路"战略发展要求高度契合,近年来在外国留学生教育、中外合作办学、师生国际化及跨国科研合作等方面取得了较大进展.针对"一带一路"战略为学校高等教育国际化发展带来的重要发展机遇,结合学校国际化发展现状和存在的问题,从以下几个方面提出对策:扩大规模,提质增效,促进外国留学生教育健康发展;增加数量,提高内涵,提高中外合作办学水平;"引进来"与"走出去"相结合,拓展师生国际化视野;依托跨国科研机构,大力促进国际科研合作与人才交流.

以供应链金融系统利润最大化为目标,构建应收账款融资交易模型,分别比较资金约束下不采用融资策略与采用应收账款融资策略的供应链利润大小并进行融资策略选择.接着,基于所选策略以零供双方的批发价格作为决策变量,采用"一对一"讨价还价博弈模型来求解零供双方的最优交易价格,以此实现成员企业间的利润合理分配.最后,通过算例分析进一步论证模型的可行性与合理性.研究结果表明,相比于不融资策略,应收账款融资可以使得供应链整体获得更多的利益;应收账款融资下供应链企业采用集中式决策可以比分散式决策获得更多的利益;讨价还价博弈所得的交易价格能够实现利润在企业间的合理分配.

非正式组织作为企业组织结构的重要组成部分,其内部成员之间的消极情绪传递对本组织乃至整个企业的运营管理都会造成较大影响.在论证采用传染病模型研究非正式组织内消极情绪传递规律可行性的基础上,构建非正式组织内消极情绪传递的SIRS模型,验证消极情绪传递平衡点的存在性与稳定性,并通过数值仿真证明了模型的稳态特征,最后结合消极情绪再生数表达式给出了管理建议.

本文以江苏省高校为例,结合当前留学生教育发展的现状,剖析了"一带一路"战略下来华留学生教育发展所面临的机遇与挑战,从留学生招生、师资队伍建设、培养体制完善等方面提出了切实可行的建议与对策,以期提升来华留学生的培养规范,提高人才培养质量,为"一带一路"建设提供智力支持和人才支撑.

构建虚拟品牌社区是企业的营销方式之一,而顾客持续参与是虚拟品牌社区得以发展的关键.针对顾客持续参与问题,采用扎根理论,以四个手机类虚拟品牌社区为研究对象,通过收集顾客在虚拟社区内发布的帖子,经开放式编码、主轴编码、选择性编码,构建顾客持续参与虚拟品牌社区的动机模型.研究结果表明,顾客持续参与虚拟品牌社区的动机可分为七类:品牌社区依恋、社交性动机、娱乐动机、价值获取动机、参与回报、自我实现和自我表现.参与动机对顾客持续参与虚拟品牌社区意愿具有重要影响,能影响顾客持续参与的行为.

Based on the analytical framework of stochastic frontier border,technical efficiency of the shipbuilding industry is calculated for 14 provinces and autonomous regions from 2005 to 2015.Regional difference in technical efficiency and the influencing factors are analyzed,while the panel unit root is applied to analyze the stochastic convergence of the technical efficiency of the shipbuilding industry in China.It is shown that in the statistical period,technical efficiency of the shipbuilding industry in China appears a slight downward trend after the first rise.Foreign investment dependence,proportion of foreign investment and large-scale shipbuilding enterprises have significant effect on technical efficiency of the shipbuilding industry.It is also shown that the stochastic convergence of the technical efficiency of the shipbuilding industry exists,but the convergence of the technical efficiency does not exist in Eastern,Middle and Western regions.Regional difference can be reduced and the technical efficiency of the shipbuilding industry can be improved by the optimization of the structure of foreign investment,promotion of the proportion of large-scale shipbuilding enterprises,and perfection of institutional mechanisms of state-owned and collective enterprises.

结合金融服务行业的特点,分析金融服务供应链的结构特征.考虑BSC兼顾财务与非财务、内部与外部、短期与长期等的优势,分析了影响金融服务供应链绩效的关键因素,构建基于BSC的金融服务供应链绩效测评体系.结合灰色关联分析评价方法,以某财务公司为例,开展模型与方法的应用研究.该研究对于金融服务企业开展供应链测评、提升供应链管理绩效具有指导意义.

In order to solve the order delivering dilemma of manufacturers ’ electronic channel,drop shipping by the retailer was proposed.With the fee and cost of drop shipping considered,a benchmark and a reverse revenue-sharing contract dual-channel models of drop shipping by the retailer were established comprising a retailer and a manufacturer,in which both of them owned electronic channel.The dual-channel supply chain system was inefficient after analyzing and comparing the best performance of a centralized system and a decentralized system. Research showed that reverse revenue-sharing contract can coordinate this dual-channel supply chain of drop shipping and the selling price of the manufacturer’s electronic channel has a positive correlation with the fee of drop shipping.Finally,a numerical example was carried out to verify the above conclusions.

In order to improve the income of express enterprises and to meet the requirements of the users ′time and cost ,we analyze the location problem of service outlets , and builds 0-1 mixed integer programming model . The GM (1,1) model is adopted to predict the future demand of users in the MATLAB environment .We consid-er the impact of traffic factors on transportation costs .Thereby the traffic factors will affect enterprises′profit and the new location of service outlets .Then the 0-1 mixed integer programming model about traffic impact factors is established .Under the premise of forecasting users′future demand , the paper uses LINGO11.0 to solve 0-1 mixed integer programming model .The new location of service outlets is obtained meeting the requirements of the users′time and cost .Through case studies , the method can quickly and efficiently obtain the optimal solution , which meets the actual requirement and long-term development .

江苏造船业已经进入新的历史发展阶段,为了制定有效、合理的船舶产业政策,需要对江苏造船业的所处生命周期的阶段做出科学的判断.本文以产业生命周期理论为基础,以12年的数据进行实证分析,应用Logistic模型,判定出江苏造船业的生命周期正处于成长初期.针对江苏造船业在成长初期所面临的问题,从船舶企业、政府、社会力量三个角度出发提出优化升级的对策.

Shipbuilding industry ,closely linked with the three major industries ,is a strategic industry with a strong industrial drive .Correlation analysis of grey theory can be used to make a quantitative a-nalysis of the correlation between the shipbuilding industry and the three major industries and it clear-ly show s how closely they are correlated .T he results show that the shipbuilding industry has a closer correlation with the tertiary industry than with the first industry .The development of Jiangsu ship-building industry is uncoordinated with the development of the second industry .

A model of drop shipping by the e-tailer is proposed , in which the manufacturer sends its cus-tomer orders to the e-tailer and e-tailer fulfills the orders .Then a dual-channel model is established , com-prising of an e-tailer and a manufacturer which owns electronic channel .And the e-tailer is a leader in Stackelberg game .The dual-channel supply chain system is inefficient after analyzing and comparing the profits of a centralized system and a decentralized system .Then a reverse revenue-sharing contract is con-firmed to coordinate the dual-channel supply chain .Finally, a numerical example indicates that a range of the sharing-factors can achieve the dual-channel supply chain coordination .

自20世纪90年代以来,我国船舶制造业得到长足的发展.船舶制造业作为集劳动、资金、技术于一体的大型设备制造业,人才尤其是技能人才对其发展至关重要.利用灰色理论对我国船舶制造业技能人才需求量进行预测,可以为技能人才管理和培养决策提供科学依据和参考,促进船舶制造业的可持续发展.

In this paper,under the combination of contract purchasing and spot purchasing,we established the purchaser's expected profit function,added the attitude of the purchaser toward risk into the profit utility function of the purchaser as a risk factor,and obtained the analytic solution for the optimal contractual order quantity of the purchaser under such condition.Then we analyzed the influence of market demand variation and spot price variation on the purchasing strategy and then determined the relationship between the parameters such as the risk factor,contractual order quantity and expected profit.