As biodiversity loss continues, targeted conservation interventions are increasingly necessary. Stemming species loss requires mechanistic understanding of the processes governing population dynamics. However, this information is unavailable for most animals because it requires data that are difficult to collect using traditional methods. Advances in animal tracking technology have generated an avalanche of high-resolution observations for a growing list of species around the globe. To date, most research using these data has focused on questions about animal behavior, with less emphasis on population processes. Here, we argue that tracking data are uniquely poised to bring powerful new insights to the urgent, global problem of halting species extinctions by revealing when, where, how, and why populations are changing.

Mariculture is one of the fastest growing global markets. Although it has potential to improve livelihoods and facilitate economic growth, it can negatively impact marine biodiversity. Here we estimate local cumulative environmental impacts from current and future (2050) mariculture production on marine biodiversity (20,013 marine fauna), while accounting for species range shifts under climate change. With strategic planning, the 1.82-fold increase in finfish and 2.36-fold increase in bivalve production needed to meet expected global mariculture demand in 2050 could be achieved with up to a 30.5% decrease in cumulative impact to global marine biodiversity. This is because all future mariculture farms are strategically placed in sea areas with the lowest cumulative impact. Our results reveal where and how much mariculture impacts could change in the coming decades and identify pathways for countries to minimize risks under expansion of mariculture and climate change through strategic planning.

ABSTRACT Understanding animal movement is at the core of ecology, evolution and conservation science. Big data approaches for animal tracking have facilitated impactful synthesis research on spatial biology and behavior in ecologically important and human-impacted regions. Similarly, databases of animal traits (e.g. body size, limb length, locomotion method, lifespan) have been used for a wide range of comparative questions, with emerging data being shared at the level of individuals and populations. Here, we argue that the proliferation of both types of publicly available data creates exciting opportunities to unlock new avenues of research, such as spatial planning and ecological forecasting. We assessed the feasibility of combining animal tracking and trait databases to develop and test hypotheses across geographic, temporal and biological allometric scales. We identified multiple research questions addressing performance and distribution constraints that could be answered by integrating trait and tracking data. For example, how do physiological (e.g. metabolic rates) and biomechanical traits (e.g. limb length, locomotion form) influence migration distances? We illustrate the potential of our framework with three case studies that effectively integrate trait and tracking data for comparative research. An important challenge ahead is the lack of taxonomic and spatial overlap in trait and tracking databases. We identify critical next steps for future integration of tracking and trait databases, with the most impactful being open and interlinked individual-level data. Coordinated efforts to combine trait and tracking databases will accelerate global ecological and evolutionary insights and inform conservation and management decisions in our changing world.

Recent widespread reductions in body size across species have been linked to increasing temperatures; simultaneous increases in wing length relative to body size have been broadly observed but remain unexplained. Size and shape may change independently of one another, or these morphological shifts may be linked, with body size mediating or directly driving the degree to which shape changes. Using hierarchical Bayesian models and a morphological time series of 27 366 specimens from five North American migratory passerine bird species, we tested the roles that climate and body size have played in shifting wing length allometry over four decades. We found that colder temperatures and reduced precipitation during the first year of life were associated with increases in wing length relative to body size but did not explain long-term increases in wing length. We found no conclusive evidence that the slope of the relationship between body size and wing length changed among adult birds in response to any climatic variable or through time, suggesting that body size does not mediate shifts in relative wing length. Together, these findings suggest that long-term increases in wing length are not a compensatory adaptation mediated by size reductions, but rather are driven by non-climatic factors.

Aim: The tendency for animals in warmer climates to be longer-limbed (Allen's Rule) is widely attributed to the demands of thermoregulation. The role of thermoregulation in structuring bird wings, however, has been overshadowed by the selective demands placed on wings by flight. We test whether occurrence in warmer climates is associated with longer wing bones. Location: Global. Time Period: Current. Major Taxa Studied: Aves: Passeriformes. Methods: Using computer vision, we measure wing-bone length from photographs of museum skeletal specimens for 1520 species of passerine birds. We then model the relationship between wing-bone length and temperature, accounting for allometry, the demands of flight efficiency and manoeuvrability, and a range of ecological and environmental variables. Results: Wing bones are longer in warmer climates. Our models, largely as a result of allometric effects, explain nearly all the variation in wing-bone length in our data, with a marginal R-2 = 0.80 and a conditional R-2 > 0.99. Main Conclusions: Across 1520 species of birds, higher temperatures are associated with longer wing bones, as predicted by Allen's Rule. The vascularised musculature along these bones is maximally uncovered when birds actively hold their wings away from their bodies to aid in cooling or during flight. Conversely, the musculature along the wing bones is insulated by feathering when at rest, such that wings play a minor role in heat exchange when individuals are less active and may need to retain heat. While our analyses do not directly establish the mechanistic basis underlying the pattern we recover, given the asymmetry in the role of wings in thermoregulation, we interpret the positive relationship between temperature and wing-bone length to reflect increased demand for heat dissipation in warmer climates. Our findings highlight the role of thermoregulation in shaping even the most critical features of vertebrate anatomy.

Large comparative datasets of avian functional traits have been used to address a wide range of questions in ecology and evolution. To date, this work has been constrained by the limited availability of skeletal trait datasets that include extensive inter- and intra-specific sampling. We use computer vision to identify and measure bones from photographs of museum skeletal specimens to assemble an extensive dataset of functionally important skeletal elements in birds. The dataset spans 2,057 species of birds (Aves: Passeriformes) and includes measurements of 12 skeletal elements from 14,419 individuals. In addition to the trait values directly measured from photographs, we leverage the multi-dimensional nature of our dataset and known phylogenetic relationships of the species to impute missing data under an evolutionary model. To facilitate use of the dataset, the taxonomy has been reconciled with an existing comprehensive avian phylogeny and an additional dataset of external functional traits for all birds.

The spatial and temporal dynamics of biodiversity are shaped by complex interactions among species characteristics and geographic processes. A key example is the effect of dispersal on geographical range expansion and gene flow, both of which may determine speciation rates. In this study, we constructed a time-calibrated phylogeny of over 9,000 bird species and leveraged extensive data on avian traits and spatial occurrence to explore the connections between dispersal, biogeography, and speciation. Phylogenetic path analyses and trait-dependent diversification models reveal that geographic range size is strongly associated with the hand-wing index, a proxy for wing aspect ratio related to flight efficiency and dispersal ability. By contrast, we found mixed evidence for the effect of dispersal on diversification rates: dispersive lineages show either slightly higher speciation rates or higher extinction rates. Our results therefore suggest that high dispersal ability increases range expansion and turnover, perhaps because dispersive lineages expand into islands or other geographically restricted environments and have lower population sizes. Our results highlight the nuanced and interconnected roles of dispersal and range size in shaping global patterns of avian diversification and biogeography and provide a richly sampled phylogenetic template for exploring a wide array of research questions in macroecology and macroevolution.

BackgroundRapid morphological change is emerging as a consequence of climate change in many systems. It is intuitive to hypothesize that temporal morphological trends are driven by the same selective pressures that have established well-known ecogeographic patterns over spatial environmental gradients (e.g., Bergman's and Allen's rules). However, mechanistic understanding of contemporary morphological shifts is lacking.ResultsWe combine morphological data and whole genome sequencing from a four-decade dataset in the migratory bird hermit thrush (Catharus guttatus) to test whether morphological shifts over time are accompanied by genetic change. Using genome-wide association, we identify alleles associated with body size, bill length, and wing length. Shifts in morphology and concordant shifts in morphology-associated alleles over time would support a genetic basis for the observed changes in morphology over recent decades, potentially an adaptive response to climate change. In our data, bill size decreases were paralleled by genetic shifts in bill size-associated alleles. On the other hand, alleles associated with body size showed no shift in frequency over time.ConclusionsTogether, our results show mixed support for evolutionary explanations of morphological response to climate change. Temporal shifts in alleles associated with bill size support the hypothesis that selection is driving temporal morphological trends. The lack of evidence for genetic shifts in body size alleles could be explained by a large role of plasticity or technical limitations associated with the likely polygenic architecture of body size, or both. Disentangling the mechanisms responsible for observed morphological response to changing environments will be vital for predicting future organismal and population responses to climate change.

Understanding the extent to which people and wildlife overlap in space and time is critical for the conservation of biodiversity and ecological services. Yet, how global change will reshape the future of human-wildlife overlap has not been assessed. We show that the potential spatial overlap of global human populations and 22,374 terrestrial vertebrate species will increase across ~56.6% and decrease across only ~11.8% of the Earth’s terrestrial surface by 2070. Increases are driven primarily by intensification of human population densities, not change in wildlife distributions caused by climate change. The strong spatial heterogeneity of future human-wildlife overlap found in our study makes it clear that local context is imperative to consider, and more targeted area-based land-use planning should be integrated into systematic conservation planning.

Differences in life history can cause co-distributed species to display discordant population genetic patterns. In high-latitude animals, evolutionary processes may be especially influenced by long-distance seasonal migration, a widespread adaptation to seasonality. Although migratory movements are intuitively linked to dispersal, their evolutionary genetic consequences remain poorly understood. Using ~1700 genomes from 35 co-distributed boreal-breeding bird species, we reveal that most long-distance migrants exhibit spatial genetic structure, revealing evolutionary effects of philopatry rather than dispersal. We further demonstrate that migration distance and genetic diversity are strongly positively correlated in our study species. This striking relationship suggests that the adaptive seasonal shifts in biogeography that long-distance migratory species undergo each year lends them enhanced population stability that preserves genetic diversity relative to shorter-distance migrants that winter at higher latitudes. Our results suggest that the major impact of long-distance seasonal migration on population genetic evolution occurs through promotion of demographic stability, rather than facilitation of dispersal. ### Competing Interest Statement The authors have declared no competing interest.

Many blame partisan news media for polarization in America. This paper examines the effects of liberal, conservative, and centrist news on affective and attitude polarization. To this end, we rely on two studies that combine two-wave panel surveys (N1 = 303, N2 = 904) with twelve months worth of web browsing data submitted by the same participants comprising roughly thirty-eight million visits. We identify news exposure using an extensive list of news domains and develop a machine learning classifier to identify exposure to political news within these domains. The results offer a robust pattern of null findings. Exposure to partisan and centrist news websites-no matter if it is congenial or crosscutting-does not enhance polarization. These null effects also emerge among strong and weak partisans as well as Democrats and Republicans alike. We argue that these null results accurately portray the reality of limited effects of news in the "real world." Politics and partisan news account for a small fraction of citizens' online activities, less than 2 percent in our trace data, and are nearly unnoticeable in the overall information and communication ecology of most individuals.

The tendency for animals in warmer climates to be longer-limbed (Allen’s Rule) is widely attributed to the demands of thermoregulation. However, the underlying mechanism remains unclear, because variation in limb-length can typically be driven by selection for both efficient heat retention and increased heat dissipation capacity. Using comparative phylogenetic models, we find that occurrence in warmer climates is associated with longer wing bones for 1,520 species of passerine birds. The highly vascularized musculature along these bones is only uncovered during flight, when the wings function as the primary site of heat exchange, cooling the organism by dissipating excess heat generated by muscular activity. Conversely, the musculature along the wing bones is insulated by feathering when at rest, playing a negligible role in heat retention, even in colder climates. Given this asymmetry in thermoregulatory roles, we can identify the positive relationship between temperature and wing bone length as a phenotypic gradient shaped by increased demand for heat dissipation in warmer climates. Our findings provide a clear illustration of the mechanism by which global warming can drive spatial and temporal trends in appendage length, and also highlight the role of heat dissipation in reshaping even the most critical features of vertebrate anatomy. Significance Statement Animals tend to be longer-limbed in warmer climates, but it remains unclear whether this pattern is driven by selection for cold tolerance at low temperatures or efficient heat dissipation at high temperatures. We show that for 1,520 species of passerines, bird wing bones are relatively longer in warmer climates. The vascularized musculature along these bones primarily functions in heat exchange during flight, when the overwhelming thermoregulatory challenge is dissipating heat, suggesting longer wing-bone length is driven by heat dissipation demands. Our findings reveal the pervasive impacts of thermoregulatory demands on even the most important functional traits.

Digital media provide individuals platforms to express political views. Despite the significant scholarly attention to how and why political expression occurs through technologies and to what effect, research remains fragmented in its theoretical frameworks. The present work synthesizes research on computer-mediated communication and political communication to offer a framework that describes theoretically (a) which technological affordances lead (b) to which psychological processes with (c) which politically relevant actions. We address these questions in the context of four different technological affordances. In doing so, we emphasize the psychological cost-benefit calculations that occur when deciding whether to engage in political expression online.

Variation in evolutionary rates among species is a defining characteristic of the tree of life and may be an important predictor of species' capacities to adapt to rapid environmental change. It is broadly assumed that generation length is an important determinant of microevolutionary rates, and body size is often used as a proxy for generation length. However, body size has myriad biological correlates that could affect evolutionary rates independently from generation length. We leverage two large, independently collected datasets on recent morphological change in birds (52 migratory species breeding in North America and 77 South American resident species) to test how body size and generation length are related to the rates of contemporary morphological change. Both datasets show that birds have declined in body size and increased in wing length over the past 40 y. We found, in both systems, a consistent pattern wherein smaller species declined proportionally faster in body size and increased proportionally faster in wing length. By contrast, generation length explained less variation in evolutionary rates than did body size. Although the mechanisms warrant further investigation, our study demonstrates that body size is an important predictor of contemporary variation in morphological rates of change. Given the correlations between body size and a breadth of morphological, physiological, and ecological traits predicted to mediate phenotypic responses to environmental change, the relationship between body size and rates of phenotypic change should be considered when testing hypotheses about variation in adaptive responses to climate change.

Natal dispersal-the movement from birthplace to breeding location-is often considered the most significant dispersal event in an animal's lifetime. Natal dispersal distances may be shaped by a variety of intrinsic and extrinsic factors, and remain poorly quantified in most groups, highlighting the need for indices that capture variation in dispersal among species. In birds, it is hypothesized that dispersal distance can be predicted by flight efficiency, which can be estimated using wing morphology. However, the use of morphological indices to predict dispersal remains contentious and the mechanistic links between flight efficiency and natal dispersal are unclear. Here, we use phylogenetic comparative models to test whether hand-wing index (HWI, a morphological proxy for wing aspect ratio) predicts natal dispersal distance across a global sample of 114 bird species. In addition, we assess whether HWI is correlated with flight usage in foraging and daily routines. We find that HWI is a strong predictor of both natal dispersal distance and a more aerial lifestyle. Our results support the use of HWI as a valid proxy for relative natal dispersal distance, and also suggest that evolutionary adaptation to aerial lifestyles is a major factor connecting flight efficiency with patterns of natal dispersal. Read the free Plain Language Summary for this article on the Journal blog.

As temperatures increase, there is growing evidence that species across much of the tree of life are getting smaller. These climate change-driven size reductions are often interpreted as a temporal analogue of the observation that individuals within a species tend to be smaller in the warmer parts of the species' range. For ectotherms, there has been a broad effort to understand the role of developmental plasticity in temperature-size relationships, but in endotherms, this mechanism has received relatively little attention in favour of selection-based explanations. We review the evidence for a role of developmental plasticity in warming-driven size reductions in birds and highlight insulin-like growth factors as a potential mechanism underlying plastic responses to temperature in endotherms. We find that, as with ectotherms, changes in temperature during development can result in shifts in body size in birds, with size reductions associated with warmer temperatures being the most frequent association. This suggests developmental plasticity may be an important, but largely overlooked, mechanism underlying warming-driven size reductions in endotherms. Plasticity and natural selection have very different constraining forces, thus understanding the mechanism linking temperature and body size in endotherms has broad implications for predicting future impacts of climate change on biodiversity.

Increases in biodiversity often lead to greater, and less variable, levels of ecosystem functioning. However, whether species are less likely to go extinct in more diverse ecosystems is unclear. We use comprehensive estimates of avian taxonomic, phylogenetic and functional diversity to characterise the global relationship between multiple dimensions of diversity and extinction risk in birds, focusing on contemporary threat status and latent extinction risk. We find that more diverse assemblages have lower mean IUCN threat status despite being composed of species with attributes that make them more vulnerable to extinction, such as large body size or small range size. Indeed, the reduction in current threat status associated with greater diversity far outweighs the increased risk associated with the accumulation of extinction-prone species in more diverse assemblages. Our results suggest that high diversity reduces extinction risk, and that species conservation targets may therefore best be achieved by maintaining high levels of overall biodiversity in natural ecosystems.

The online environment dramatically expands the number of ways people can encounter news but there remain questions of whether these abundant opportunities facilitate news exposure diversity. This project examines key questions regarding how internet users arrive at news and what kinds of news they encounter. We account for a multiplicity of avenues to news online, some of which have never been analyzed: (1) direct access to news websites, (2) social networks, (3) news aggregators, (4) search engines, (5) webmail, and (6) hyperlinks in news. We examine the extent to which each avenue promotes news exposure and also exposes users to news sources that are left leaning, right leaning, and centrist. When combined with information on individual political leanings, we show the extent of dissimilar, centrist, or congenial exposure resulting from each avenue. We rely on web browsing history records from 636 social media users in the US paired with survey self-reports, a unique data set that allows us to examine both aggregate and individual-level exposure. Visits to news websites account for about 2 percent of the total number of visits to URLs and are unevenly distributed among users. The most widespread ways of accessing news are search engines and social media platforms (and hyperlinks within news sites once people arrive at news). The two former avenues also increase dissimilar news exposure, compared to accessing news directly, yet direct news access drives the highest proportion of centrist exposure.

1. Increasingly, natural history museum collections are being used to generate large-scale morphological datasets to address a range of macroecological and macroevolutionary questions. One challenge to this approach is that large numbers of individuals either from a single species or from taxonomically broad sets of species may be necessary to characterize morphology at the relevant spatial, phylogenetic or temporal scales. 2. We present 'Skelevision', a method for rapidly handling, photographing and measuring skeletal specimens with a computer vision approach that uses a deep neural network to segment the photographs of specimens into individual bones, and identify and measure functional aspects of those bones. 3. We demonstrate the scale of what is feasible with Skelevision by estimating 11 functional traits from 11 different bones for 12,450 bird skeletal specimens spanning 1,882 species of passerines (similar to 32% of all passerine diversity). We quantify the accuracy of Skelevision estimates by comparing them to handmade measurements for 174 specimens from 115 species across 79 genera that span 59 families. Skelevision is precise, with a mean standard deviation of 0.86 mm for repeated independent measurements of individual bones, and is extremely accurate, with a mean RMSE of 0.89 mm across all traits when compared to handmade measurements. There is minimal phylogenetic signal in the measurement error (mean Pagel's lambda across traits = 0.13), and Skelevision estimates are robust to variation in the degree to which specimens remain articulated. 4. This approach has several important advantages over traditional methods for building large-scale morphological datasets (e.g. measurements from long-term field-based operations or handmade measurements of museum specimens). First, measuring new specimens only requires the collection of photographs, which can then be measured automatically, and effectively instantaneously, with the neural network. This is a significant departure from the time and skill required to measure skeletal specimens by hand. Second, the measurements are repeatable. Third, even as the dataset of photographed specimens expands, the amount of annotation data needed to measure new traits on all of the photographed specimens using the neural network will remain fixed and can be done without re-capturing images.

The cover image is based on the Letter AVONET: morphological, ecological and geographical data for all birds by Tobias et al., https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13898. The sword-billed hummingbird (Ensifera ensifera) is exquisitely adapted to its trophic niche as an aerial pollinator of flowerings plants (angiosperms) in the high Andes. A new global dataset of detailed ecomorphological traits for all birds offers a resource with numerous potential uses in ecology, evolution, and conservation biology. Image Credit: Cover Image © Oliver Krüger. Reproduced with permission.