Nova Scotia is a small maritime province with limited capacity to gauge its abundant water resources, but it possesses a diverse geologic setting and surface water distribution. The common engineering practice of using nearest neighbor catchments as hydrologic surrogates may be unreliable in regions such as this. Catchment classification provides a tool to identify and explain variability in hydrologic regimes and inform data transfer across catchments. Here we develop a catchment classification framework using hydrometric, climatic, and landscape data from Nova Scotia, Canada. An inductive classification approach was first used to identify five generalized hydrologic metaclasses based on streamflow signatures derived from 47 long-term streamflow records. We then attempted to replicate this classification using deductive approaches, and identified key physiographic and meteorological variables that could be useful in classifying ungauged catchments. Due to the limited number of gauged catchments, two supervised deductive classification methodologies were applied for comparison: (1) an automated approach often used in more data-rich scenarios (random forests and classification and regression trees); and (2) a nonautomated approach, which involved manual construction and testing of decision trees. The products of the automated approach (random forests), although more robust, may be challenging to apply, while the manually constructed decision tree, which was guided by a combination of local knowledge and theoretical reasoning, could be a useful tool for practitioners. Climate did not emerge as a particularly strong controlling factor in hydrologic variability in this region, but surface water storage had an important role in flow regime across the province. Results demonstrate that this type of hybrid approach can be effective for understanding hydrologic variability and identifying surrogate watersheds in data-limited regions.
This paper presents the tidypaleo package for R, which enables high-quality reproducible visualizations of time-stratigraphic multivariate data that is common to several disciplines of the natural sciences. Rather than introduce new plotting functions, the tidypaleo package defines several orthogonal components of the ggplot2 package that, when combined, enable most types of stratigraphic diagrams to be created. We do so by conceptualizing multi-parameter data as a series of measurements (rows) with attributes (columns), enabling the use of the ggplot2 facet mechanism to display multi-parameter data. The orthogonal components include (1) scales that represent relative abundance and concentration values, (2) geometries that are commonly used in paleoenvironmental diagrams created elsewhere, (3) facets that correctly assign scales and sizes to panels representing multiple parameters, and (4) theme elements that enable tidypaleo to create elegant graphics. Collectively, this approach demonstrates the efficacy of a minimal ggplot2 wrapper to create domain-specific plots.
Declining emissions of sulfur and nitrogen have curtailed acid deposition across large areas of North America and Europe. This has allowed many lakes to recover from acidification, with decreases in sulfate, increases in pH, and increases in alkalinity. But reduced acid deposition has not always coincided with chemical lake recovery. Surface waters in Nova Scotia did not exhibit clear evidence of recovery as recently as 2007, due in part to increasing organic acidity and slow replenishment of base cations. In an updated assessment with data collected as recently as 2019, we analyze water chemistry representing 81 lakes and rivers and two precipitation monitoring stations over up to 41 years. We find that Nova Scotia surface waters are now exhibiting signs of chemical recovery. We estimated the linear decrease in precipitation sulfate and nitrate yield at up to 0.31 and 0.18 kg ha-1 year-2, respectively, and the linear increase in precipitation pH at up to 0.014 year-1. Sulfate decreased in 60 of 62 lakes and 14 of 17 rivers (-0.0051 to -0.23 mg L-1 year-1), while pH increased in 55 of 64 lakes and 11 of 17 rivers (0.0015-0.072 year-1). Apparent colour increased in 54 of 62 lakes and 13 of 17 rivers (0.0026-3.9 Pt-Co year-1). We identified increasing aluminum trends in 46 of 61 lakes, and we show using size-exclusion chromatography that binding to organic and iron-based colloids may help to explain these trends. To the extent that increases in apparent colour are explained by chromophoric dissolved organic matter (DOM), they imply greater binding capacity for metals in surface waters, and greater capacity for DOM to stabilize metal (oxyhydr)oxide colloids.
This paper describes argodata, an R package that makes it easier to work with data acquired in the International Argo Program, which provides over two decades of oceanographic measurements from around the world. Although Argo data are publicly available in NetCDF format and several software packages are available to assist in locating and downloading relevant Argo data, the multidimensional arrays used can be difficult to understand for non-oceanographers, particulary for the expanding arrays of biogeochemical variables measured by Argo floats. Given the increasing use of Argo data in other disciplines, we built a minimal interface to the data set that uses the data frame as the primary data structure. This approach allows users to leverage the rich ecosystem of R packages that manipulate data frames (e.g., the tidyverse) and associated instructional resources.
McGuire HE, Dunnington DW, Loder AL, Spooner IS, Mallory ML, McLellan NR, Su, C-C. 2021. Evaluating the multidecadal response of historic seawater incursion events and salinity-induced meromixis at Laytons Lake, Nova Scotia, Canada. Lake Reserv Manage. XX:XXX-XXX. Long-term monitoring data from freshwater lakes can be challenging to retrieve yet are valuable for assessing lakes at risk of saltwater intrusion. We demonstrate the use of an applied paleolimnological method to identify the response of a freshwater lake to seawater incursion and salinity-induced meromixis by examining the geochemistry of lake sediments deposited over the past century. Laytons Lake is located 1.5 km from the Bay of Fundy coastline, and experienced documented seawater incursion events in 1944 and 1949 leading to a period of extended meromixis (>40 yr). Our limnological measurements indicate that meromixis no longer exists at Laytons Lake, and hypolimnetic phosphorus (P) concentrations and conductivity values have declined since 1982. Meromictic conditions, the establishment of the chemocline, and high sedimentation rates collectively preserve a geochemical record of seawater incursion, which was identified as a short-duration, positive chloride (Cl-) excursion followed by the precipitation of iron sulfide (FeS2). A decline in Cl- concentration after the incursion events in the paleorecord may represent the deterioration of the chemocline, and the reestablishment of thermal stratification and mixing. We suspect that seawater incursions can have a multidecadal impact on aquatic systems, and that bulk geochemical analysis of paleolimnological records is a useful, low-cost tool that can provide a long-term perspective on the limnological consequences of such events. These long-term data can inform the assessment of aquatic systems at risk of saltwater incursion due to sea-level rise.
Dissolved organic matter (DOM) concentrations have been increasing in parts of the northern hemisphere for several decades. This process—brownification—often accompanies increasing iron and aluminum, but the metal–DOM interactions these concurrent trends imply are poorly described. Here we used field-flow fractionation with UV and ICP-MS detection to measure the size distribution of colloidal iron, aluminum, manganese, copper, uranium, and chromophoric DOM in six lakes over six months. Five of these lakes have browned to some degree in the past three decades, with linear increases in organic carbon and color ranging from 0.01 to 0.13 mg C L −1 yr −1 and 0.13–1.94 PtCo yr −1 . Browning trends were more pronounced and colloids more abundant in lakes with wetlands in their catchments. Iron and aluminum were present in two primary fractions, sized nominally at 1 and 1000 kDa. The 1 kDa fraction included the primary DOM signal, while the 1000 kDa fraction absorbed minimally at 254 nm and likely represents iron-rich (oxyhydr)oxides. Colloidal manganese was sized at 1000+ kDa, whereas colloidal copper and uranium occurred primarily at 1 kDa. These associations fit with a pattern of increasing DOC, iron, aluminum, and color in the region’s lakes. They represent a significant challenge for drinking water treatment systems, especially those in remote communities. Given that browning trends are expected to continue, monitoring plans would better inform treatment process design and operation by characterizing DOM and iron-rich, primarily inorganic colloids that contribute to adverse water quality outcomes.
The paleolimnological method was used to decouple geogenic and anthropogenic metal (loids) contributions in a sediment stabilization basin (Boat Harbour) located in Nova Scotia, Canada. Boat Harbour has been impacted by industrial effluents discharged by a bleached kraft pulp mill (1967 to 2019) and a chlor-alkali plant (1971 to 1992). The former estuary now contains >577,000 m3 of unconsolidated sediment, impacted by inorganic and organic contaminants, including metal[loid]s, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons and polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins, polychlorinated dibenzofurans. Previous studies indicated significant knowledge gaps in our understanding of the spatial, stratigraphic, and temporal variation of sediment contamination. Twenty-five lakebed sediment gravity cores were obtained between 2016 and 2019 to determine spatiotemporal distribution of sediment As, Cu, Pb, and Zn concentrations which consistently exceeded guidelines for aquatic sediments. Results demonstrate there is no distinct spatial trend in metal concentrations despite point source effluent inputs. High and variable concentrations of Cu and Zn in contaminated sediment likely represent a combination of cation capture by highly organic sediment and influence of pulp mill on lakebed sediment chemistry. Elevated Pb in contaminated sediment is the result of atmospheric deposition from combustion of fossil fuels and bioaccumulation in effluent feedstock. Average sedimentation rate (1 cm every 3 years) is high compared to a nearby freshwater lake and is enhanced by increased nutrient loading and more productive water column conditions associated with effluent introduction. Temporal trends indicate significantly higher concentrations of Zn and Cu in top sediment samples consistent with changes in effluent treatment procedures as well as composition of effluent solids. Comparison of geochemistry of effluent influenced sediment and pre-effluent substate sediment at Boat Harbour to freshwater and marine reference was required to understand the degree to which geogenic and anthropogenic sources of metal(loids) have influenced effluent chemistry. This study demonstrates that undisturbed, time transgressive samples from both impacted sites and reference sites combined with non-destructive, rapid, small sample analytical techniques such as X-ray fluorescence, provide an accurate assessment of sediment metal contaminant distribution, data required to guide remediation and environmental effects monitoring and compliance.
Using an organic carbon removal data set (n = 500), we compared a physically based semiempirical coagulation model (Langmuir sorption-removal) and three ML modeling methods using quantitative (model performance) and qualitative (model interpretability and accessibility) criteria to identify potential barriers to adoption in water treatment. We found that a gradient-boosted tree ensemble and an artificial neural network provided the most accurate predictions of organic carbon removal and that all models provided accurate predictions when test data were well-characterized by the training data and confirmed that the physically based model had the lowest prediction error when extrapolating. As assessed by the ability of model predictions to be reconciled with industry-specific knowledge, the physically based and linear models were the most interpretable. As assessed by the ability for utilities to implement models on an ad hoc basis, the physically based and multiple linear models were deemed to be the most accessible. Collectively, our study suggests that ML-based models offer the best predictive performance when adequate training data are available and that physically based models are best suited when extrapolation is necessary. Potential solutions for limited interpretability of ML-based models include variable importance and sensitivity analysis; a potential solution for limited accessibility of ML-based models is training of stakeholders in modeling techniques.
We evaluated anthropogenic Pb deposition along a west-east transect from the Adirondack Mountains, New York, USA (ADIR) region, the Vermont-New Hampshire-Maine, USA (VT-NH-ME) region, and Nova Scotia, Canada (NS) region using 47 Pb-210-dated lake sediment records. We used focus-corrected Pb inventories to evaluate cumulative deposition and breakpoint analysis to evaluate possible differences in timings among regions. Peak Pb concentrations decreased from west to east (ADIR region: 52-378 mg kg(-1), VT-NH-ME region: 54-253 mg kg(-1), NS: 38-140 mg kg(-1)). Cumulative deposition of anthropogenic Pb also decreased from west to east (ADIR region: 791-1344 mg m(-2), VT-NH-ME region: 209-1206 mg m(-2), NS: 52-421 mg m(-2)). The initiation of anthropogenic Pb deposition occurred progressively later along the same transect (ADIR region: 1869-1900, VT-NH-ME region: 1874-1905, NS region: 1901-1930). Previous lead isotope studies suggest that eastern Canadian Pb deposition over the past similar to 150 years has originated from a mix of both Canadian and U.S. source. The results of this study indicate that anthropogenic Pb from sources west of the ADIR region were deposited in lesser amounts from west to east and/or Pb sources reflect less population density from west to east. The timing of the initiation of anthropogenic Pb deposition in the NS region suggests that Pb from gasoline may be an important source in this region. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Mass accumulation rates, tracer element ratios, enrichment factors, excess measures, and centred log-ratios are elemental measures used in paleolimnological studies when more than one source (e.g. pollution and/or erosion) contributes an element of interest to the sediment archive, or when the closure constraint results in spurious correlations between element concentrations. To determine which measures perform best, we created a model to simulate sediment archives with known inputs from multiple sources. We then calculated each measure and evaluated performance based on whether or not the measure preserved the timing and/or magnitude of mass input from a single source (e.g. pollution). We found that mass accumulation rates performed well when there was a low concentration of the target element in the erosional source, tracer element ratios performed well when erosion was constant, and excess measures performed well when erosion was variable. Enrichment factors did not preserve the magnitude of mass input between simulations with different erosional compositions, and tracer element ratios performed poorly when erosion was not constant. We confirmed these results using real elemental geochemistry from two lakes near Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, the data from which suggested that the composition of the erosional source is likely to change over time. Collectively, our data suggest that although elemental measures are useful interpretive tools, each method has specific numerical and geochemical assumptions that must be evaluated prior to its use. Assumptions of each measure used in a study should be made clear, and concentration profiles should always be made available to the reader.
Five large gravitational slope deformation features (GSDFs) in the Lookout Mountain-Tablelands region of western Newfoundland exemplify bedrock slope instabilities in eastern Canada. The Lookout Hills GSDF (8.3 km3) on Bonne Bay (glacial trough) may be the largest GSDF in eastern Canada. It appears to be a post-glacial feature, has vertical total displacement up to 100 m, and exhibits a complex arrangement of scarps and fissures. Four other large GSDFs occur along the walls of glacial troughs in the Tablelands of Western Newfoundland with estimated volumes between 1 and 2 km3. All five features are above steep slopes and have the potential to become catastrophic massive rock slope failures. While it is tempting to link the failure in all 5 GSDFs to the removal of laterally supporting bedrock or glacier ice during the late Pleistocene, the location of these deformations may simply relate to slope steepness. Non-glacial, first order controls on the deformation include changes in the effective shear strength and opening of fractures owing to Holocene permafrost thaw may have induced failure. No discernible movement has occurred in the Tablelands GSDFs in the last 50 years. Nevertheless, the Lookout Hills GSDF requires more detailed study to determine the potential for future movement as rapid collapse into the adjacent fjord may present significant risk to coastal residents, infrastructure and marine ecosystems.
We assessed factory-calibrated field-portable X-ray fluorescence (pXRF) data quality for use with minimally-prepared aquatic sediments, including the precision of replicate pXRF measurements, accuracy of factory-calibrated pXRF values as compared to total digestion/ICP-OES concentrations, and comparability of calibrated pXRF values to extractable concentrations. Data quality levels for precision, accuracy, and comparability were not equivalent for element/analyzer combinations. All analyses of elements that were assessed for precision and accuracy on a single analyzer were both precise (<10% relative standard deviation) and accurate (r2 > 0.85) for K, Ca, Ti, Mn, Fe, and Zn. Calibrated pXRF values for Al, K, Ca, Ti, Mn, Fe, Cu, Zn, and Pb were within ∼10% relative difference of total digestion/ICP-OES concentrations. Calibrated pXRF values for Fe, Cu, Zn, As, and Pb were within ∼20% relative difference of extractable concentrations. Some elements had a higher level of data quality using specific analyzers, but in general, no pXRF analyzer had the highest level of data quality in all categories. Collectively, our data indicate that a wide range of factory-calibrated pXRF units are capable of providing high-quality total concentrations for the analysis of aquatic sediments.
Multiparameter data with both spatial and temporal components are critical to advancing the state of environmental science. These data and data collected in the future are most useful when compared with each other and analyzed together, which is often inhibited by inconsistent data formats and a lack of structured documentation provided by researchers and (or) data repositories. In this paper we describe a linked table-based structure that encodes multiparameter spatiotemporal data and their documentation that is both flexible (able to store a wide variety of data sets) and usable (can easily be viewed, edited, and converted to plottable formats). The format is a collection of five tables (Data, Locations, Params, Data Sets, and Columns), on which restrictions are placed to ensure data are represented consistently from multiple sources. These tables can be stored in a variety of ways including spreadsheet files, comma-separated value (CSV) files, JavaScript object notation (JSON) files, databases, or objects in a software environment such as R or Python. A toolkit for users of R statistical software was also developed to facilitate converting data to and from the data format. We have used this format to combine data from multiple sources with minimal metadata loss and to effectively archive and communicate the results of spatiotemporal studies. We believe that this format and associated discussion of data and data storage will facilitate increased synergies between past, present, and future data sets in the environmental science community.