Long‐term observations of raindrop size distributions (RSDs) in the WPTCs are leveraged to enhance estimates of rainfall rate ( R ) and slope parameter. The radar reflectivity–rainfall ( Z – R ) relationship for the WPTCs exhibits a distinct dependence on the mass‐weighted mean diameter ( D m ). Machine‐learning techniques, including Random Forest (RF), XGBoost, and Decision Tree, were applied to estimate R , with RF demonstrating superior performance. Additionally, a hybrid moment‐based approach was employed to elucidate the interrelationships among the gamma distribution parameters (slope, shape, and intercept), revealing strong predictability for the slope and intercept. These parameters showed a close association with liquid water content. Compared to linear regression, the RF method yielded more accurate estimates of the slope parameter. These results indicate that RF enhances both rainfall rate and slope parameter estimation, thereby improving precipitation forecasts and cloud modeling for the WPTCs.
The New York State Mesonet (NYSM) has provided continuous in situ and remote sensing observations near the surface and within the lower troposphere since 2017. The dense observing network can capture the evolution of mesoscale motions with high temporal and spatial resolution. The objective of this study was to investigate whether the as-similation of NYSM observations into numerical weather prediction models could be beneficial for improving model analy-sis and short-term weather prediction. The study was conducted using a convective event that occurred in New York on 21 June 2021. A line of severe thunderstorms developed, decayed, and then reintensified as it propagated eastward across the state. Several data assimilation (DA) experiments were conducted to investigate the impact of NYSM data using the operational DA system Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation with rapid update cycles. The assimilated datasets included National Centers for Environmental Prediction Automated Data Processing global upper-air and surface observations, NYSM surface observations, Doppler lidar wind retrievals, and microwave radiometer (MWR) thermodynamic retrievals at NYSM profiler sites. In comparison with the control experiment that assimilated only conventional data, the timing and location of the convection reintensification was significantly improved by assimilating NYSM data, especially the Doppler lidar wind data. Our analysis indicated that the improvement could be attributed to improved simulation of the Mohawk- Hudson Convergence. We also found that the MWR DA resulted in degraded forecasts, likely due to large errors in the MWR temperature retrievals. Overall, this case study suggested the positive impact of assimilating NYSM surface and pro-filer data on forecasting summertime severe weather.
A prominent Saharan Air Layer (SAL) was detected over the Northern Atlantic from the West African Coast to the Caribbean Sea in 2007. Data was collected from the Aerosols and Ocean Science Expedition (AEROSE), which encountered a major dust outflow on 13 and 14 May 2007. These observational measurements came from onboard instrumentation and radiosondes that captured the dust-front event from 13 to 14 May 2007. Aerosol backscatter was confined within the Marine Boundary Layer (MBL), with layers detected up to 3 km. Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) increased by one order of magnitude during the dust front, from 0.1 to 1. Downward solar radiation was also attenuated by 200 W/m2 and 100 W/m2 on the first and second days, respectively. A weaker gradient at and above 500 m from potential temperature profiles indicates a less-defined MBL, and an ambient air temperature of 26 °C on 14 May and 28 °C on 15 May were observed above 500 m, reinforcing the temperature inversion and static stability of the SAL. Subsequent days, clear and boundary-layer cloudy days were observed after the dust front. From 14 to 18 May, a Convective Inhibition (CIN) layer started to form at the top of the MBL, developing into a negative buoyancy from 17 to 23 May, and reinforcing the large-scale anticyclonic atmospheric conditions. These results show that the SAL acts as positive feedback on suppressing deep convection over the tropical Atlantic during this dust outflow and several days after its passage.
Climate is critically affected by aerosols, which alter cloud lifecycles and precipitation distribution through radiative and microphysical effects. In this study, aerosol and cloud property datasets from MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer), onboard the Aqua satellite, and surface observations, including aerosol concentrations, raindrop size distribution, and meteorological parameters, were used to statistically quantify the effects of aerosols on low-level warm-cloud microphysics and drizzle over northern Taiwan during multiple fall seasons (from 15 October to 30 November of 2005–2017). Our results indicated that northwestern Taiwan, which has several densely populated cities, is dominated by low-level clouds (e.g., warm, thin, and broken clouds) during the fall season. The observed effects of aerosols on warm clouds indicated aerosol indirect effects (i.e., increased aerosol loading caused a decrease in cloud effective radius (CER)), an increase in cloud optical thickness, an increase in cloud fraction, and a decrease in cloud-top temperature under a fixed cloud water path. Quantitatively, aerosol–cloud interactions (ACI=-∂lnCER∂lnα|CWP, changes in CER relative to changes in aerosol amounts) were 0.07 for our research domain and varied between 0.09 and 0.06 in the surrounding remote (i.e., ocean) and polluted (i.e., land) areas, respectively, indicating aerosol indirect effects were stronger in the remote area. From the raindrop size distribution analysis, high aerosol loading resulted in a decreased frequency of drizzle events, redistribution of cloud water to more numerous and smaller droplets, and reduced collision–coalescence rates. However, during light rain (≤1 mm h−1), high aerosol concentrations drove raindrops towards smaller droplet sizes and increased the appearance of drizzle drops. This study used long-term surface and satellite data to determine aerosol variations in northern Taiwan, effects on clouds and precipitation, and observational strategies for future research on aerosol–cloud–precipitation interactions.
While surface concentrations of ozone are routinely monitored, ozone aloft is infrequently measured, but critical for a full understanding of ozone production and transport. In this study, twenty‐six balloon‐borne ozonesondes were launched near the north shore of central Long Island in the summers of 2018 and 2019 as part of the Long Island Sound Tropospheric Ozone Study (LISTOS). The observed vertical ozone profiles are presented and analyzed with additional data sources and modeling tools, including lidar wind profiles from the New York State Mesonet, back trajectories based on 3 km resolution high‐resolution rapid refresh model data, and surface data, aircraft observations, sonde, and ozone lidar measurements from other LISTOS participants. Special attention is given to the region of interest for ozone pollution in the lower troposphere, from the surface to 2 km altitude. Cases analyzed in detail illustrate events with high ozone levels observed in the lower troposphere, often with pronounced vertical structure in the profile. Specifically, easily discernible layers are identified with ozone excursions of up to 40 ppb over short vertical distances. Analysis indicates that synoptic and local meteorological processes can combine to generate the observed vertical profiles. Hot, sunny days with high‐pressure systems are accompanied by high precursor emissions due to increased power demands, plentiful radiation for photochemistry, and stagnation of synoptic winds. Under these conditions, meso‐ and smaller‐scale flows like low‐level jets and sea/bay/land breeze circulations may dominate synoptic flow to produce shearing and the complex vertical layered structure observed.
Information about the raindrop size distribution (RSD) is vital for comprehending the precipitation microphysics, improving the rainfall estimation algorithms, and appraising the rainfall erosivity. Previous research has revealed that the RSD exhibits diversity with geographical location and weather type, which leads to the assessment of the region and weather-specific RSDs. Based on long-term (2004 to 2016) disdrometer measurements in northern Taiwan, this study attempts to demonstrate the RSD aspects of summer seasons that were bifurcated into two weather conditions, namely typhoon (TY) and non-typhoon (NTY) rainfall. The results show a higher concentration of small drops and a lower concentration of large-sized drops in TY compared to NTY rainfall, and this behavior persisted even after characterizing the RSDs into different rainfall rate classes. RSDs expressed in gamma parameters show higher mass-weighted mean diameter (Dm) and lower normalized intercept parameter (Nw) values in NTY than TY rainfall. Moreover, sorting these two weather conditions (TY and NTY rainfall) into stratiform and convective regimes revealed a larger Dm in NTY than in TY rainfall. The RSD empirical relations used in the valuation of rainfall rate (Z–R, Dm–R, and Nw–R) and rainfall kinetic energy (KE–R and KE–Dm) were enumerated for TY and NTY rainfall, and they exhibited profound diversity between these two weather conditions. Attributions of RSD variability between the TY and NTY rainfall to the thermodynamical and microphysical processes are elucidated with the aid of reanalysis, remote sensing, and ground-based data sets.
Twenty-six balloon-borne ozonesondes were launched near the north shore of central Long Island in the summers of 2018 and 2019 as part of the Long Island Sound Tropospheric Ozone Study (LISTOS). Wh...
Abstract. The microphysical features of the typhoon (TY) and non-typhoon (NTY) rainfall in summer seasons are analyzed using long-term (2004 to 2016) data from the impact disdrometer installed in north Taiwan. The RSD stratified based on rainfall rate showed distinct RSD characteristics between TY and NTY rainfall. More (less) number of small (big) size raindrops are noticed in TY rainfall than NTY rainfall. RSD features in terms of gamma parameters are studied for these two weather regimes. The mass-weighted mean diameter (Dm) values are higher in NTY than TY rainfall, and an inverse behavior is observed for the normalized intercept parameter (Nw). Even after separating the rainfall regimes into convective and stratiform type, a large Dm is found in NTY compared to TY precipitation. Distinct variations in Z–R, Dm–R, Nw–R, KE–R, and KE–Dm relations are noticed between TY and NTY rainfall. Possible mechanisms responsible for the RSD variations between TY and NTY are discussed using reanalysis, remote-sensing, and ground-based radar datasets.
The Long Island Sound Tropospheric Ozone Study (LISTOS) was organized to investigate ozone formation and transport in the New York City metropolitan area and locations downwind. During LISTOS, the University at Albany Atmospheric Sciences Research Center (ASRC) mobile laboratory was used for measuring surface O 3 , NO 2 , and aerosol number and mass concentration. Sharp O 3 concentration gradients, with ΔO 3 Δy −1 over 15 ppb km −1 , were measured both at and near the land‐water interface and on the highway on days characterized by high regional O 3 concentrations. These large O 3 gradients at or near the land‐water interface, and in air masses relatively low in NO 2 , are shown to be influenced in part by the transport of highly oxidized air masses via sea breeze circulation and convergence with gradient flow. On the highway under regionally high O 3 concentrations, strong anticorrelation ( R 2 = 0.78, p < 0.05) between O 3 and NO 2 and an absolute slope less than 1 suggested that O x concentrations (O 3 + NO 2 ) increased with increasing NO 2 . Overall, the on‐road measurements made during LISTOS help to better characterize the interaction between the emitted pollution and the meteorological conditions on Long Island, thereby having potential policy implications.
This paper uses the “Super Outbreak” of 2011 as a case study to examine the potential gaps between the dissemination of severe weather warnings and the public’s behavioral response to this information. This study focuses on a single tornado track that passed through Tuscaloosa, Alabama. The tornado caused massive damage and destruction and led to a total of 62 fatalities. The threat of severe storms was known days in advance, and forecasts were disseminated to the public. Questions were raised about the forecasts, warning lead times, and the perception of the warnings among residents. This paper examines the potential gaps that exist between the dissemination of tornadic warning information and citizen response. The analysis of data collected through a mixed-method approach suggests that, regardless of weather forecast accuracy, a significant chasm exists between the dissemination of warnings and the personalizing of risks, which results in limited use of protective measures in the face of severe weather threats.
Wildfire smoke aerosols, once emitted, can transport over long distances and affect surface air quality in downwind regions. In New York State (NYS), fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentration continues to decrease due to anthropogenic emission reductions and regulatory initiatives in recent years. Smoke aerosols, however, are projected to increase, making them the dominant source of PM2.5. Thus, the influences of smoke aerosols could become more important in the future. In this study, the long-range transport of smoke aerosols, and their impacts on local air quality over NYS in mid-August 2018 were investigated using satellite measurements, ground-based networks, and model products. Satellite measurements showed extensive fire activities over the northwestern United States (US) during August 8th - 10th. Air quality monitoring sites in NYS reported a threefold increase in average PM2.5 concentration (from 8.4 +/- 3.4 mu g m(-3) to 24.8 +/- 4.0 mu g m(-3)) on August 15th - 16th, while the ground-based profiler network detected aerosol layers at 2-5 km across the state. Analysis of backward trajectories revealed that the plumes originated from wildfires, transported through southern Canada and arrived at the east coast during a period of 5-7 days. The increased PM2.5 in NYS can be attributed to boundary layer entrainment and vertical mixing of the aloft transported smoke aerosols down to the surface. The NYS mesoscale weather network (NYSM), which is originally designed for severe weather monitoring, demonstrate the capability to probe the lower atmosphere and provide the vertical extent information of air pollutants.
Aqueous chemical processing within cloud and fog water is thought to be a key process in the production and transformation of secondary organic aerosol mass, found abundantly and ubiquitously throughout the troposphere. Yet, significant uncertainty remains regarding the organic chemical reactions taking place within clouds and the conditions under which those reactions occur, owing to the wide variety of organic compounds and their evolution under highly variable conditions when cycled through clouds. Continuous observations from a fixed remote site like Whiteface Mountain (WFM) in New York State and other mountaintop sites have been used to unravel complex multiphase interactions in the past, particularly the conversion of gas-phase emissions of SO2 to sulfuric acid within cloud droplets in the presence of sunlight. These scientific insights led to successful control strategies that reduced aerosol sulfate and cloud water acidity substantially over the following decades. This paper provides an overview of observations obtained during a pilot study that took place at WFM in August 2017 aimed at obtaining a better understanding of Chemical Processing of Organic Compounds within Clouds (CPOC). During the CPOC pilot study, aerosol cloud activation efficiency, particle size distribution, and chemical composition measurements were obtained below-cloud for comparison to routine observations at WFM, including cloud water composition and reactive trace gases. Additional instruments deployed for the CPOC pilot study included a Doppler lidar, sun photometer, and radiosondes to assist in evaluating the meteorological context for the below-cloud and summit observations.