Estimates of coseismic vertical displacements from past and potential future subduction zone earthquakes provide critical constraints on regional seismic and tsunami hazard. Many studies use elastic homogeneous half-space models to calculate vertical displacements from a specified earthquake slip distribution, neglecting complexities of 3D structure in subduction zone settings. Here, we use 3D ground motion simulations of potential Cascadia Subduction Zone earthquakes to investigate the impact of realistic 3D Earth structure on estimated vertical displacements. We show that offshore uplift increases when including 3D structure due to high fault slip in low-rigidity accretionary wedge sediments and coastal subsidence decreases due to higher rigidity material at depth. These larger offshore uplifts cause increased tsunami maximum wave heights, and coastal subsidence at paleoseismic sites decreases on average by similar to 17 cm, or similar to 60%, which can have important implications for the amplitude and extent of slip in earthquake scenarios developed based on paleoseismic data constraints.
Interseismic deformation in the Pacific Northwest is constrained by the horizontal crustal velocity field derived from the Global Positioning System (GPS) in addition to vertical rates derived from GPS, leveling, and tide gauge measurements. Such measurements were folded in to deformation models of fault slip rates as part of the 2023 National Seismic Hazard Model update. Here I build upon one of the contributing models, the viscoelastic earthquake-cycle model of Pollitz (2022, ). This model permits inclusion of effects of time-dependent viscoelastic relaxation within earthquake cycles (i.e., "ghost transients") and laterally variable elastic and/or ductile material properties. I leverage these capabilities to incorporate the Cascadia megathrust into Western U.S.-wide deformation models in which crustal fault slip rates are estimated simultaneously with slip deficit rates along the interplate boundary between the descending Juan de Fuca plate and North American plate. This effort includes construction of a margin-wide model of viscoelastic structure founded on the Slab 2.0 model and probes different models of the ductile properties of the surrounding oceanic asthenosphere, continental lower crust, and mantle asthenosphere. This results in new estimates of the distribution of slip deficit rate along the similar to 1000 ${\sim} 1000$ km long margin, highlights the importance of correcting for glacial-isostatic adjustment effects, and permits assessment of sensitivity of results to assumed ductile properties.
We present the 2023 U.S. Geological Survey time -independent earthquake rupture forecast for the conterminous United States, which gives authoritative estimates of the magnitude, location, and time -averaged frequency of potentially damaging earthquakes throughout the region. In addition to updating virtually all model components, a major focus has been to provide a better representation of epistemic uncertainties. For example, we have improved the representation of multifault ruptures, both in terms of allowing more and less fault connectivity than in the previous models, and in sweeping over a broader range of viable models. An unprecedented level of diagnostic information has been provided for assessing the model, and the development was overseen by a 19 -member participatory review panel. Although we believe the new model embodies significant improvements and represents the best available science, we also discuss potential model limitations, including the applicability of logic tree branch weights with respect different types of hazard and risk metrics. Future improvements are also discussed, with deformation model enhancements being particularly worthy of pursuit, as well as better representation of sampling errors in the gridded seismicity components. We also plan to add time -dependent components, and assess implications with a wider range of hazard and risk metrics.
Earthquakes involve mass redistribution within the solid Earth and the ocean, and as a result, perturb the Earth's gravitational field. For most of the shallow (<60 km) earthquakes with Mw > 8.0, the GRACE satellite gravity measurements suggest considerable volumetric disturbance of rocks. At a spatial scale of hundreds of km, the effect of volumetric change exceeds gravity change by vertical deformation; for example, negative gravity anomalies associated with volumetric expansion are characteristic patterns after shallow thrust events. In this study, however, we report contrasting observations of gravity change from two intermediate-depth (100-150 km) earthquakes of 2016 & 2017 Mw 8.0 (two combined) Papua New Guinea thrust faulting events and 2019 Mw 8.0 Peru normal faulting and highlight the importance of compressibility in earthquake deformation. The combined 2016/17 thrust events resulted in a positive gravity anomaly of 5-6 microGal around the epicenter, while the 2019 normal faulting produced a negative gravity anomaly of 3-4 microGal. Our modeling found that these gravity changes are manifestation of vertical deformation with limited volumetric change, distinct from gravity changes after the shallow earthquakes. The stronger resistance of rocks to volume change at intermediate-depth results in largely incompressible deformation and thus in a gravity change dominated by vertical deformation. In addition, malleable rocks under high pressure and temperature at depth facilitated substantial afterslip and/or fast viscoelastic relaxation causing additional vertical deformation and gravity change equivalent to the coseismic change. For the Papua New Guinea events, this means that postseismic relaxation enhanced coseismic uplift and relative sea level decrease.
The US National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) was updated in 2023 for all 50 states using new science on seismicity, fault ruptures, ground motions, and probabilistic techniques to produce a standard of practice for public policy and other engineering applications (defined for return periods greater than ∼475 or less than ∼10,000 years). Changes in 2023 time-independent seismic hazard (both increases and decreases compared to previous NSHMs) are substantial because the new model considers more data and updated earthquake rupture forecasts and ground-motion components. In developing the 2023 model, we tried to apply best available or applicable science based on advice of co-authors, more than 50 reviewers, and hundreds of hazard scientists and end-users, who attended public workshops and provided technical inputs. The hazard assessment incorporates new catalogs, declustering algorithms, gridded seismicity models, magnitude-scaling equations, fault-based structural and deformation models, multi-fault earthquake rupture forecast models, semi-empirical and simulation-based ground-motion models, and site amplification models conditioned on shear-wave velocities of the upper 30 m of soil and deeper sedimentary basin structures. Seismic hazard calculations yield hazard curves at hundreds of thousands of sites, ground-motion maps, uniform-hazard response spectra, and disaggregations developed for pseudo-spectral accelerations at 21 oscillator periods and two peak parameters, Modified Mercalli Intensity, and 8 site classes required by building codes and other public policy applications. Tests show the new model is consistent with past ShakeMap intensity observations. Sensitivity and uncertainty assessments ensure resulting ground motions are compatible with known hazard information and highlight the range and causes of variability in ground motions. We produce several impact products including building seismic design criteria, intensity maps, planning scenarios, and engineering risk assessments showing the potential physical and social impacts. These applications provide a basis for assessing, planning, and mitigating the effects of future earthquakes.
For imaging of seismic discontinuities at depth, reverse time migration is a powerful method to apply to recordings of seismic events. It is especially powerful when an extensive receiver array, numerous seismic sources, or both, permit adequate reconstruction of incident and scattered wavefields at depth. Reconstructing either the incident or scattered wavefield at depth becomes less accurate when relatively few recordings of seismic events are available. Here, we explore an inverse scattering approach to imaging discontinuities based on an adjoint method, employing sensitivity kernels (Fr & eacute;chet derivatives) that represent jumps in material properties across seismic-discontinuity surfaces. When combined with ray-based requirements on scattering geometry, it constitutes a powerful approach to determining the locations and amplitudes of the discontinuities, recovering only those properties that can be resolved by a spatially limited source and/or receiver distribution. This is illustrated by synthetic examples with local sources followed by a field example in a subduction zone setting.
Rapid venting of volcanic material during the 15 January 2022 Tonga eruption generated impulsive downward reaction forces on the Earth of ~2.0 × 10 13 N that radiated seismic waves observed throughout the planet, with ~25 s source bursts persisting for ~4.5 hours. The force time history is determined by analysis of teleseismic P waves and Rayleigh waves with periods approximately <50 s, providing insight into the overall volcanic eruption process. The atmospheric acoustic-gravity Lamb wave expanding from the eruption produced broadband ground motions when transiting land, along with driven and conventional tsunami waves. Atmospheric standing acoustic waves near the source produced oscillatory peak forces as large as 4 × 10 12 N, exciting resonant solid Earth Rayleigh wave motions at frequencies of 3.7 and 4.6 mHz.
The 2020 M 5.1 Sparta, North Carolina, earthquake is the largest in the eastern United States since the 2011 M 5.8 Mineral, Virginia, earthquake and produced a - 2.5-km-long surface rupture, unusual for an event of this magnitude. A geological field study conducted soon after the event indicates oblique slip along a east-southeast-trending fault with a consistently observed thrust component. My analysis of regional seismic wavedata yields a compact shallow rupture extending from Earth's surface down-dip to the southwest over a - 3 km fault length. The inferred kinematic rupture is primarily toward the up-dip and eastward along-strike directions and has predominantly thrust motion in the west, transitioning to roughly equal thrust and left-lateral strike-slip motion in the east. No normal faulting component, as proposed in an earlier geophysical study, is necessary to explain the data. The prevalence of only dip-slip motions observed at Earth's surface may demand slip partitioning between dip slip and lateral motions at depth.
ABSTRACT We present the 2023 U.S. Geological Survey time-independent earthquake rupture forecast for the conterminous United States, which gives authoritative estimates of the magnitude, location, and time-averaged frequency of potentially damaging earthquakes throughout the region. In addition to updating virtually all model components, a major focus has been to provide a better representation of epistemic uncertainties. For example, we have improved the representation of multifault ruptures, both in terms of allowing more and less fault connectivity than in the previous models, and in sweeping over a broader range of viable models. An unprecedented level of diagnostic information has been provided for assessing the model, and the development was overseen by a 19-member participatory review panel. Although we believe the new model embodies significant improvements and represents the best available science, we also discuss potential model limitations, including the applicability of logic tree branch weights with respect different types of hazard and risk metrics. Future improvements are also discussed, with deformation model enhancements being particularly worthy of pursuit, as well as better representation of sampling errors in the gridded seismicity components. We also plan to add time-dependent components, and assess implications with a wider range of hazard and risk metrics.
SUMMARY We use a newly developed 2-D elastic reverse time migration (RTM) imaging algorithm based on the Helmholtz decomposition to test approaches for imaging the descending slab in subduction zone regions using local earthquake sources. Our elastic RTM method is designed to reconstruct incident and scattered wavefields at depth, isolate constituent P- and S-wave components via Helmholtz decomposition, and evaluate normalized imaging functions that leverage dominant P and S signals. This method allows us to target particular converted-wave scattering geometries, for example incident S to scattered P, which may be expected to have dominant signals in any given data set. The method is intended to be applied to dense seismic array observations that adequately capture both incident and converted wavefields. We draw a direct connection between our imaging functions and the first-order contrasts in shear wave material properties across seismic discontinuities. Through tests on synthetic data using either S → P or P → S conversions, we find that our technique can successfully recover the structure of a subducting slab using data from a dense wide-angle array of surface stations. We also calculate images with a small-aperture array to test the impact of array geometry on image resolution and interpretability. Our results show that our imaging technique is capable of imaging multiple seismic discontinuities at depth, even with a small number of earthquakes, but that limitations arise when a small aperture array is considered. In this case, the presence of artefacts makes it more difficult to determine the location of seismic discontinuities.
ABSTRACT The fore-arc of the southern Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ), north of the Mendocino triple junction (MTJ), is home to a network of Quaternary-active crustal faults that accumulate strain due to the interaction of the North American, Juan de Fuca (Gorda), and Pacific plates. These faults, including the Little Salmon and Mad River fault (LSF and MRF) zones, are located near the most populated parts of California’s north coast and show paleoseismic evidence for three slip events of several-meter scale in the past 1700 yr. However, the geodetic slip rates of these faults are poorly constrained. In this work, we analyze a new compilation of interseismic geodetic velocities from Global Navigation Satellite Systems, leveling, and tide gauge data near the MTJ to constrain present-day slip deficit rates on upper-plate faults and coupling on the megathrust. We construct Green’s functions for interseismic slip deficit for discrete faults embedded in an elastic plate overlying a viscoelastic mantle. We then use a constrained least-squares inversion to determine best-fitting slip rates on the major faults and investigate slip rate trade-offs between faults. Results indicate that the LSF and MRF systems together accumulate 4–5 mm/yr of reverse-slip deficit, although their separate slip rates cannot be determined independently. Modeling of the horizontal and vertical velocities suggests that the southernmost CSZ is coupled interseismically to deeper than 25 km depth. We also find that 6–17 mm/yr of right-lateral slip deficit extends north of the MTJ and into the southern Cascadia fore-arc. These results reinforce the notion that both the southernmost Cascadia megathrust and the smaller fore-arc faults above it contribute to regional seismic hazard.
This report describes geodetic and geologic information used to constrain deformation models of the 2023 update to the National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM), a set of deformation models to interpret these data, and their implications for earthquake rates in the western United States. Recent updates provide a much larger data set of Global Positioning System crustal velocities than used in the 2014 NSHM, as well as hundreds of new faults considered as active sources for the 2023 NSHM. These data are interpreted by four geodetic models of deformation that estimate fault slip rates and their uncertainties together with off-fault moment release rates. Key innovations in the 2023 NSHM relative to past practice include (1) the addition of two new (in addition to two existing) deformation models, (2) the revision and expansion of the geologic slip rate database, (3) accounting for fault creep through development of a creep-rate model that is employed by the four deformation models, and (4) accounting for time-dependent earthquake-cycle effects through development of viscoelastic models of the earthquake cycle along the San Andreas fault and the Cascadia subduction zone. The effort includes development of a geologic deformation model that complements the four geodetic models. The current deformation models provide a new assessment of outstanding discrepancies between geologic and geodetic slip rates, at the same time highlighting the need for both geologic and geodetic slip rates to robustly inform the earthquake rate model.
We present a kinematic slip model of the 8 July 2021 Antelope Valley earthquake from a finite-source inversion based on regional seismic waveforms and static offsets from Global Positioning System (GPS) and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR). Seismic waveforms are employed at 6 s dominant period out to 100 km from the epicenter, and the combined GPS and InSAR datasets cover the near field and far field out to ∼100 km and constrain the overall rupture size. The aftershock pattern defines a nearly north-striking, 50° east-dipping fault plane. We find a unilateral rupture along this fault plane propagating southward and updip with predominantly normal slip up to ∼1.5 m. The estimated seismic moment of 8.47×1017 N·m is equivalent to Mw 5.92. A finite-source inversion that retains seismic waveforms and GPS static offsets but omits InSAR range changes yields a seismic moment of 1.08×1018 N·m (Mw 5.99). Despite vigorous aftershock activity between 10 km and Earth’s surface, coseismic slip is concentrated in the depth interval 7–10 km.
ABSTRACT The 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake sequence involved predominantly right-lateral strike slip on a northwest–southeast-trending subvertical fault in the 6 July M 7.1 mainshock, preceded by left-lateral strike slip on a northeast–southwest-trending subvertical fault in the 4 July M 6.4 foreshock. To characterize the postseismic deformation, we assemble displacements measured by Global Positioning System (GPS) and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar. The geodetic measurements illuminate vigorous postseismic deformation for at least 21 months following the earthquake sequence. The postseismic transient deformation is particularly well constrained from survey-mode GPS (sGPS) in the epicentral region carried out during the weeks after the mainshock. We interpret these observations with mechanical models including afterslip and viscoelastic relaxation of the lower crust and mantle asthenosphere. During the first 21 months, up to several centimeters of horizontal motions are measured at continuous GPS and sGPS sites, with amplitude that diminishes slowly with distance from the mainshock rupture, suggestive of deeper afterslip or viscoelastic relaxation. We find that although afterslip involving right-lateral strike slip along the mainshock fault traces and their deeper extensions reach a few decimeters, most postseismic deformation is attributable to viscoelastic relaxation of the lower crust and mantle. Within the Basin and Range crust and mantle, we infer a transient lower crust viscosity several times that of the mantle asthenosphere. The transient mantle asthenosphere viscosity is ∼1.3×1017 Pa s, and the adjacent Central Valley transient mantle asthenosphere viscosity is ∼7×1017 Pa s, about five times higher and consistent with an asymmetry in postseismic horizontal motions across the mainshock surface rupture.
ABSTRACT The largest earthquake since 1954 to strike the state of Nevada, United States, ruptured on 15 May 2020 along the Monte Cristo range of west-central Nevada. The Mw 6.5 event involved predominantly left-lateral strike-slip faulting with minor normal components on three aligned east–west-trending faults that vary in strike by 23°. The kinematic rupture process is determined by joint inversion of Global Navigation Satellite Systems displacements, Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data, regional strong motions, and teleseismic P and SH waves, with the three-fault geometry being constrained by InSAR surface deformation observations, surface ruptures, and relocated aftershock distributions. The average rupture velocity is 1.5 km/s, with a peak slip of ∼1.6 m and a ∼20 s rupture duration. The seismic moment is 6.9×1018 N·m. Complex surface deformation is observed near the fault junction, with a deep near-vertical fault and a southeast-dipping fault at shallow depth on the western segment, along which normal-faulting aftershocks are observed. There is a shallow slip deficit in the Nevada ruptures, probably due to the immature fault system. The causative faults had not been previously identified and are located near the transition from the Walker Lane belt to the Basin and Range province. The east–west geometry of the system is consistent with the eastward extension of the Mina Deflection of the Walker Lane north of the White Mountains.
The Queen Charlotte‐Fairweather Fault (QC‐FF) system off the coast of British Columbia and southeast Alaska is a highly active dextral strike‐slip plate boundary that accommodates ∼50 mm/yr of relative motion between the Pacific and North America plates. Nine M W ≥ 6.7 earthquakes have occurred along the QC‐FF system since 1910, including a M S (G‐R) 8.1 event in 1949. Two recent earthquakes, the October 28, 2012 Haida Gwaii ( M W 7.8) and January 5, 2013 Craig, Alaska ( M W 7.5) events, produced postseismic transient deformation that was recorded in the motions of 25 nearby continuous Global Positioning System (cGPS) stations. Here, we use 5+ yr of cGPS measurements to characterize the underlying mechanisms of postseismic deformation and to constrain the viscosity structure of the upper mantle surrounding the QC‐FF. We construct forward models of viscoelastic deformation driven by coseismic stress changes from these two earthquakes and explore a large set of laterally heterogeneous viscosity structures that incorporate a relatively weak back‐arc domain; we then evaluate each model based on its fit to the postseismic signals in our cGPS data. In determining best‐fit model structures, we additionally incorporate the effects of afterslip following the 2012 event. Our results indicate the occurrence of a combination of temporally decaying afterslip and vigorous viscoelastic relaxation of the mantle asthenosphere. In addition, our best‐fit viscosity structure (transient viscosity of 1.4–2.0 × 10 18 Pa s; steady‐state viscosity of 10 19 Pa s) is consistent with the range of upper mantle viscosities determined in previous studies of glacial isostatic rebound and postseismic deformation.
The 2020 M 6.5 Stanley, Idaho, earthquake produced rupture in the north of the active Sawtooth fault in the northern basin and range at depth, without any observable surface rupture. Global Positioning System (GPS) and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data yield several millimeters of static offsets out to ∼100 km from the rupture and up to ∼0.1 m of near-field crustal deformation. We combine the GPS and InSAR data with long-period regional seismic waveforms to derive models of kinematic slip and afterslip. We find that the coseismic rupture is complex, likely involving up to 2 m combined left-lateral strike slip and normal slip on a previously unidentified ∼south-southeast-striking fault. This slip is predominantly left-lateral strike slip, different from the dominant east-northeast–west-northwest normal faulting of the region. At least one ∼northeast-trending fault, likely associated with the Trans-Challis fault system, is inferred to have accommodated a few decimeters of right-lateral afterslip, consistent with vigorous aftershock activity at depth along northeast-trending lineations.
The 2020 Magna, Utah, earthquake produced observable crustal deformation over an similar to 100 km(2) area around the southeast margin of Great Salt Lake, but it did not produce any surface rupture. To obtain a detailed picture of the fault slip, we combine strong-motion seismic waveforms with Global Positioning System static offsets and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar observations to obtain kinematic and static slip models of the event. We sample the regional seismic wavefield with three-component records from 68 stations of the University of Utah Seismograph Stations network. We find that coseismic slip and afterslip, with predominantly normal slip, distributed on a shallowly west-dipping plane, possibly augmented by afterslip on a steeply northeast-dipping plane, best fits the joint dataset. The west-dipping plane locates near previously inferred sources of interseismic creep at depth. Hence, the earthquake may have occurred on the down-dip extension of the Wasatch fault and activated further slip (afterslip) at shallow depth east of the hypocenter. This inferred afterslip may have driven the vigorous aftershock activity that was concentrated east of the hypocenter.
Cite this article as Brooks, B. A., J. Murray, J. Svarc, E. Phillips, R. Turner, M. Murray, T. Ericksen, K. Wang, S. Minson, R. Burgmann, et al. (2020). Rapid Geodetic Observations of Spatiotemporally Varying Postseismic Deformation Following the Ridgecrest Earthquake Sequence: The U.S. Geological Survey Response, Seismol. Res. Lett. XX, 1–16, doi: 10.1785/0220200007. Supplemental Material The U.S. Geological Survey’s geodetic response to the 4–5 July 2019 (Pacific time) Ridgecrest earthquake sequence comprised primarily the installation and/or reoccupation of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) monumentation. Our response focused primarily on theUnited States’Navy’s China Lake Naval AirWeapons Station base (NAWSCL). This focuswas becausemuch of the surface rupture occurred on theNAWSCL and because of NAWSCL access restrictions only permitting Federal and State of California personnel. In total, we measured or are still measuring at 24 sites, 14 of which were on the NAWSCL and, as of this writing, operational. The majority of sites were set up as continuous stations logging at either 1 sample per second or 1 sample per 15 s. Two stationswere recording a 200 m cross-rupture aperture starting ∼10 hr after the M 6.4 event, and they recorded the coseismic displacements of the M 7.1. Approximately, 1 hr after the M 7.1 event, two new stations were recording a ∼200 m cross-rupture aperture of the surface rupture. In the days following, we established the rest of the stations ranging to a distance of ∼ 15 km from the M 7.1 principal rupture trace. The lack of differential displacement across the M 6.4 rupture during the M 7.1 event suggests that it did not reactivate theM 6.4 plane. The lack of differential cross-fault displacement for both events suggests that rapid shallow afterslip did not occur at those two locations. The postseismic time series from these stations shows centimeters of horizontal displacement over periods of a few months. They record a mixture of fault-parallel and fault-normal displacements that, in conjunction with analysis of more spatially complete Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar displacement fields, suggest that both poroelastic and afterslip phenomena occur along the M 6.4 and 7.1 rupture planes. Using preliminary data from these and other regional stations, we also explore the Ridgecrest sequence’s effect on regional GNSS time series and the differentiation of long-term postseismic motions and secular deformation rates. We find that redefining a common-mode noise filter using different GNSS stations that are assumed to be unaffected by the earthquakes results in small but systematic differences in the regional velocity field estimate. Introduction The southern California 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence from 4 to 5 July (Pacific time) was a multifault rupture comprising a left-lateral M 6.4 foreshock (∼11:7 km depth) on a northeast-trending fault plane followed ∼34 hr later by a right-lateral M 7.1 (∼8 km depth) mainshock on a 1. Earthquake Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Moffett Field, California, U.S.A.; 2. Earthquake Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Menlo Park, California, U.S.A.; 3. Department of Earth and Planetary Science, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California, U.S.A.; 4. Earthquake Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Pasadena, California, U.S.A.; 5. Earthquake Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington, U.S.A.; 6. California Geological Survey, Los Angeles, California, U.S.A. *Corresponding author: bbrooks@usgs.gov © Seismological Society of America Volume XX • Number XX • – 2020 • www.srl-online.org Seismological Research Letters 1 Downloaded from https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/srl/article-pdf/doi/10.1785/0220200007/5049208/srl-2020007.1.pdf by University of California Berkeley Library user on 01 June 2020 northwest-trending fault plane (Ross et al., 2019; Stewart et al., 2019) (Fig. 1a). Both events produced substantial surface rupture (∼1–5 m) measured over distances of 10s of kilometers (Stewart et al., 2019). Although previously unmapped, the causative faults reside in the Little Lake fault zone, a northwest-trending series of faults that occur in a complicated portion of the Eastern California Shear Zone (ECSZ) that is ∼25 km east of the southern terminus of the southern Sierra Nevada fault zone (itself the western limit of Basin and Range extension) and ∼15 km north of the east-northeast–westsouthwest-trending left-lateral Garlock fault. As a result of this setting, the region experiences a complicated background combination of right-lateral ECSZ-related stress, extensional stress from Basin and Range deformation, and left-lateral, Garlock-related stress (Becker et al., 2005). Given that it was the first major seismic event in southern California for two decades, the Ridgecrest sequence generated a substantial amount of scientific interest and research. Early reports have focused on the surface disruption (Stewart et al., 2019) and multifault nature of the sequence (Ross et al., 2019). Here, we report on the rapid geodetic response to the Ridgecrest sequence led by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS). Much of the surface rupture for both events occurred within the limits of the United States’ Navy’s China Lake Naval Air Weapons Station base (NAWSCL). Because of NAWSCL access restrictions, USGS and California Geological Survey personnel were the only scientists permitted onsite and to deploy equipment. Immediately following the M 6.4 event, our team maintained close contact and collaboration with the large group of academic geodetic researchers from the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) (Floyd et al., 2020). Our principal scientific objective is to better understand postseismic deformation processes—both the surface deformation they produce and, through inference, the physical processes controlling slip on the fault planes. The spatiotemporal signatures of different postseismic processes such as poroelastic rebound and dilation (Peltzer et al., 1996), fault afterslip (Marone et al., 1991), and viscoelastic relaxation (Pollitz et al., 2001; Bürgmann and Dresen, 2008) are fundamental characteristics of continental lithosphere that can only be studied following infrequent seismic events. The postseismic response to crustal faulting still poses first-order questions: what is the relative contribution of fault afterslip versus viscoelastic mantle relaxation? When and why do poroelastic postseismic responses occur? Why do some faults have shallow afterslip and others not? For instance, the large amount of shallow, rapid afterslip for the Mw 6.0 South Napa earthquake was a surprise (Floyd et al., 2016; Brooks et al., 2017). The shallowest portion of seismogenic faults (<1 km depth) has gained much recent attention, in particular, because of the significant increase in sensing capability for near-field surface 0 75 150 km −122° −120° −118° −116° −114° 34° 36° 38° 40° (a) Figure 1. (a) Regional location map showing western U.S. state boundaries andmapped Quaternary fault traces (red lines). The blue box indicates the study area and Ridgecrest earthquakes surface rupture (black lines) shown in (b). (b) Study area showing the city of Ridgecrest, location of the China Lake Naval Air Weapons Station base (NAWSCL) (cyan lines), mapped Quaternary faults (pink lines), the Ridgecrest earthquake sequence surface rupture trace (red lines, C. B. DuRoss et al., unpublished manuscript, see Data and Resources), Plate Boundary Observatory continuous stations (yellow squares), and stations installed or occupied as part of this study (green squares). Red vectors are coseismic displacements estimated for the M 7.1 event. Note that displacements from stations RCRW and RCRE are so similar, they plot on top of one another. GF, Garlock fault; LLFZ, Little Lake fault zone; SNFZ, Sierra Nevada fault zone. Stations RCRW and RCRE as well as 71RW and 71RE are along Highway 178. Spray-paint markers discussed in the Instrument Deployment and Details section were installed between each of these two locations.(Continued) 2 Seismological Research Letters www.srl-online.org • Volume XX • Number XX • – 2020 Downloaded from https://pubs.geoscienceworld.org/ssa/srl/article-pdf/doi/10.1785/0220200007/5049208/srl-2020007.1.pdf by University of California Berkeley Library user on 01 June 2020 deformation (Nissen et al., 2014; Zinke et al., 2014; Milliner et al., 2015; Brooks et al., 2017). Given that historical surface ruptures predominate in the databases from which empirical relations for seismic hazard analyses are derived (Wesnousky, 2008), it is important to document the prevalence of rapid shallow afterslip. In addition, the presence or absence of rapid shallow afterslip (occurring minutes to days after the mainshock) is critical to the current debate about the amount of coseismic slip that reaches the surface in continental strike-slip faulting events (Simons et al., 2002; Fialko et al., 2005; Dolan and Haravitch, 2014; Xu et al., 2016) and whether a deficit in shallow coseismic slip could be rapidly recuperated by afterslip, as it was, for instance in the 2004 Mw 6.0 Parkfield earthquake (Bilham, 2005; Langbein et al., 2006) and the South Napa event (Lienkaemper et al., 2016; Brooks et al., 2017). Robust quantification of the postseismic deformation field both in the nearand far field of faults also potentially permits placing rheological constraints on the shallowest portion of slipping faults for which, recently, there has been much interest, especially in the field of fault displacement hazard analysis (Petersen et al., 2011). To address these questions, it is critical to rapidly collect geodetic data on surface deformation, especially in the near field. Although space-based instruments have the capability of widespread imaging, their response time (days) is not necessarily adequate to capture the afterslip decay that occurs
ABSTRACT The 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake sequence produced observable crustal deformation over much of central and southern California, as well as surface rupture over several tens of kilometers. To obtain a detailed picture of the fault slip involved in the 4 July M 6.4 foreshock and 6 July M 7.1 mainshock, we combine strong-motion seismic waveforms with crustal deformation observations to obtain kinematic and static slip models of both events. We sample the regional seismic wavefield for both the foreshock and mainshock with three-component records from 31 stations of the California Integrated Seismic Network. The deformation observations include Global Positioning System (GPS), Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR), and borehole strainmeter recordings of the dynamic strain field. These data collectively constrain the kinematic coseismic slip distributions of the events, with measurements variously observing coseismic slip from one event (e.g., seismic waveforms, kinematic solutions from continuous GPS, and strainmeter time series) or coseismic slip from both events combined (InSAR). We find that the foreshock ruptured two separate faults, one with left-lateral strike slip on a northeast–southwest-trending fault and the other with right-lateral strike slip on an orthogonal fault, with unilateral rupture propagation along both. The mainshock ruptured a series of northwest–southeast-trending faults with right-lateral strike slip concentrated in the uppermost 6 km with exceptionally low-rupture velocity averaging 1.0–1.5 km/s. A possible explanation for the low-rupture velocity is that the mainshock rupture expended relatively high energy, generating secondary fractures in off-fault deformation, which is consistent with field and seismic evidence of plastic deformation on small fault strands adjacent to the main rupture trace.