The eastern Rhine Graben Boundary Fault (eastern RGBF) forms the eastern margin of the Upper Rhine Graben (URG), the most seismically active area in the plate interiors of Europe. Despite seismic activity posing a significant threat to the densely populated URG and critical facilities therein, only a few studies have documented the paleoearthquake history and associated seismic hazard, focusing mainly on the western margin. We present the results of the first paleoseismological trenching ever conducted on the eastern RGBF. Following highresolution near-surface geophysical studies, we excavated six trenches near EttlingenOberweier (south of Karlsruhe, Germany) on one of its secondary fault strands. The nearlyvertical fault is transtensional left-lateral and splits into several NNW-SSE en échelon branches, forming a negative flower structure. Stratigraphic and structural relationships along with radiocarbon and Optically Stimulated Luminescence dating reveal a minimum of three surfacerupturing paleoearthquakes with a moment magnitude of potentially 6.5 ± 0.5, occurring from old to young, >56 ka (EX), between 55 ka and 21 ka (EY), and between 17 ka and 1 ka (EZ). The events are poorly constrained in age due to unconformities, which may hide other paleoearthquakes. Based on the cumulative vertical separation (1.2 ± 0.3 m), we calculate a vertical slip rate of 0.02 ± 0.005 mm/yr. From a horizontally offset alluvial channel depicted in electric resistivity tomography (ERT) profiles and scarp-parallel trenches, we infer a cumulative left-lateral slip of 5.9 ± 0.7 m and derive a horizontal slip rate of 0.1 ± 0.01 mm/yr. The average net slip rate value is 0.1 ± 0.02 mm/yr for the past 59.5 ± 2.7 ka. Our findings highlight the seismic potential of the eastern RGBF, providing new evidence of the Late Pleistocene and Holocene tectonic activity of its central section.
The eastern Rhine Graben Boundary Fault (eastern RGBF) forms the eastern margin of the Upper Rhine Graben (URG), the most seismically active area in the plate interiors of Europe. Despite seismic activity posing a significant threat to the densely populated URG and critical facilities therein, only a few studies have documented the paleoearthquake history and associated seismic hazard, focusing mainly on the western margin. We present the results of the first paleoseismological trenching ever conducted on the central section of the eastern RGBF. Following high-resolution near-surface geophysical studies, we excavated six trenches near Ettlingen-Oberweier (south of Karlsruhe, Germany) on one of its secondary fault strands. The nearly-vertical fault is transtensional left-lateral and splits into several NNW-SSE en & eacute;chelon branches, forming a negative flower structure. Stratigraphic and structural relationships along with radiocarbon and Optically Stimulated Luminescence dating reveal a minimum of three surface-rupturing paleoearthquakes with a Mw of potentially 6.5 +/- 0.5, occurring from old to young, >56 ka (E-X), between 54 and 19 ka (E-Y), and between 15 and 1 ka (E-Z). The events are poorly constrained in age due to erosional unconformities. Based on the cumulative vertical separation of 1.2 +/- 0.3 m, we calculate an average vertical slip rate of 0.02 +/- 0.005 mm/yr. From a horizontally offset alluvial channel, we infer a cumulative left-lateral slip of 5.9 +/- 0.7 m and derive an average horizontal slip rate of 0.1 +/- 0.01 mm/yr. The average net slip rate is 0.1 +/- 0.02 mm/yr for the past 59.5 +/- 3.8 ka. This value represents a minimum slip rate for the eastern RGBF, considering slip distribution within the different fault strands of the fault system. Our findings highlight the seismic potential of the eastern RGBF, providing new evidence of the Late Pleistocene and Holocene tectonic activity of its central section.
Earthquake surface-fault rupture location uncertainty is a key factor in fault displacement hazard analysis and informs hazard and risk mitigation strategies. Geologists often predict future rupture locations from fault map-ping based on the geomorphology interpreted from remote-sensing data sets. However, surface processes can obscure fault location, fault traces may be mapped in error, and a future rupture may not break every fault trace. We assessed how well geomorphology-based fault mapping predicted surface ruptures for seven earthquakes: 1983 M 6.9 Borah Peak, 2004 M 6.0 Parkfield, 2010 M 7.2 El Mayor-Cucapah, 2011 M 6.7 Fukushima-Hamadori, 2014 M 6.0 South Napa, 2016 M 7.8 Kaikoura, and 2016 M 7 Kumamoto. We trained geo-science students to produce active fault maps using topography and imagery acquired before the earthquakes. A geologic professional completed a "con-trol" map. Mappers used a new "geomorphic indicator ranking" approach to rank fault confidence based on geomorphologic landforms. We determined the accuracy of the mapped faults by comparing the fault maps to published rupture maps. We defined predicted ruptures as ruptures near a fault (50-200 m, depending on the fault confidence) that interacted with the landscape in a similar way to the fault. The mapped faults predicted between 12% to 68% of the principal rupture length for the studied earthquakes. The median sep-aration distances between predicted ruptures and strong, distinct, or weak faults were 15-30 m. Our work highlights that mapping future fault ruptures is an underappreciated challenge of fault displacement hazard analysis-even for experts-with implications for risk management, engineering site assess-ments, and fault exclusion zones.
<p>The Tien Shan are an intracontinental mountain belt experiencing shortening as a result of far field deformation from the ongoing India-Eurasian collision. At the longitude of Kyrgyzstan the Tien Shan accommodate ~20 mm/yr of shortening. In central Kyrgyzstan, the most well studied faults include the northwest-striking right-lateral Talas Fergana fault and the series of east-striking reverse & thrust faults that form the basins and subranges that accommodate most of this compression. Yet in satellite imagery, some of the most prominent fault ruptures appear on a series of east-northeast-striking left-lateral strike slip faults. Little is known about the paleoseismology, rate of slip, or tectonic role of these faults. Here we present new drone-based high resolution topography and imagery along with geomorphic, geochronology, paleoseismic, and slip rate data for four of these sinistral faults. The studied faults are in the Aksay, Kazarman, Issyk Kul, and Song Kol basins. These data reveal that each fault has produced Holocene surface ruptures with single event displacements as great as 5-7 m along faults as long as ~100 km, corresponding to M~7.5 earthquakes. We propose a structural model to explain how these faults may have evolved from reverse faults that have rotated about their horizontal axis and then reactivated as strike slip faults due to their optimal alignment in the current stress field. How the existence of these faults affects seismic hazards is a question of discussion, as they are currently not considered in the regional strain budget that is largely based on compression.</p>
The M 6.5 Monte Cristo Range earthquake that occurred in the central Walker Lane on 15 May 2020 was the largest earthquake in Nevada in 66 yr and resulted in a multidisciplinary scientific field response. The earthquake was the result of left-lateral slip along largely unmapped parts of the Candelaria fault, one of a series of east–northeast-striking faults that comprise the Mina deflection, a major right step in the north–northwest structural grain of the central Walker Lane. We describe the characteristics of the surface rupture and document distinct differences in the style and orientation of fractures produced along the 28 km long rupture zone. Along the western part of the rupture, left-lateral and extensional displacements occurred along northeasterly and north-striking planes that splay off the eastern termination of the mapped Candelaria fault. To the east, extensional and right-lateral displacements occurred along predominantly north-striking planes that project toward well-defined Quaternary and bedrock faults. Although, the largest left-lateral displacement observed was ∼20 cm, the majority of displacements were <5 cm and were distributed across broad zones up to 800 m wide, which are not likely to be preserved in the geologic record. The complex pattern of surface rupture is consistent with a network of faults defined in the shallow subsurface by aftershock seismicity and suggests that slip partitioning between east-striking left-lateral faults and north to northwest-striking right-lateral faults plays an important role in accommodating northwest-directed transtension in the central Walker Lane.
ABSTRACTSurface rupture in the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquake sequence occurred along two orthogonal cross faults and includes dominantly left-lateral and northeast-striking rupture in the Mw 6.4 foreshock and dominantly right-lateral and northwest-striking rupture in the Mw 7.1 mainshock. We present >650 field-based, surface-displacement observations for these ruptures and synthesize our results into cumulative along-strike displacement distributions. Using these data, we calculate displacement gradients and compare our results with historical strike-slip ruptures in the eastern California shear zone. For the Mw 6.4 rupture, we report 96 displacements measured along 18 km of northeast-striking rupture. Cumulative displacement curves for the rupture yield a mean left-lateral displacement of 0.3–0.5 m and maximum of 0.7–1.6 m. Net mean vertical displacement based on the difference of down-to-the-west (DTW) and down-to-the-east (DTE) displacement curves is close to zero (0.02 m DTW). The Mw 6.4 displacement distribution shows that the majority of displacement occurred southwest of the intersection with the Mw 7.1 rupture. The Mw 7.1 rupture is northwest-striking and 50 km long based on 576 field measurements. Displacement curves indicate a mean right-lateral displacement of 1.2–1.7 m and a maximum of 4.3–7.0 m. Net vertical displacement in the rupture averages 0.3 m DTW. The Mw 7.1 displacement distributions demonstrate that maximum displacement occurred along a 12-km-long portion of the fault near the Mw 7.1 epicenter, releasing 66% of the geologically based seismic moment along 24% of the total rupture length. Using our displacement distributions, we calculate kilometer-scale displacement gradients for the Mw 7.1 rupture. The steepest gradients (∼1–3 m/km) flank the 12-km-long region of maximum displacement. In contrast, gradients for the 1992 Mw 7.3 Landers and 1999 Mw 7.1 Hector Mine earthquakes are <0.6 m/km. Our displacement distributions are important for understanding the influence of cross-fault rupture on Mw 6.4 and 7.1 rupture length and displacement and will facilitate comparisons with distributions generated remotely and at broader scales.
Paleoseismic data on the eastern central Rhine Graben Boundary Fault, as part of the Upper Rhine Graben (URG) fault system, revealed Holocene earthquake activity with surface rupturing faults. The URG is one of the most seismically active areas in the stable continental interiors of Central Europe north of the Alps. We opened the first paleoseismic trenches N of Basel and S of Frankfurt along the ca. 300 km long eastern Rhine Graben Boundary Fault (RGBF). After extensive shallow geophysical and morphotectonic investigations and analyses, we discovered that the eastern central RGBF consists of several parallel fault strands that are marked by topographic steps, by varying hydrogeologic conditions, moisture content and by geophysical anomalies in the subsurface (GPR and ERT data). Some of the scarps close to the alluvial plain of the river Rhine have been identified as erosional features. We opened six trenches perpendicular and parallel to the second topographic scarp and strand of the main RGBF in Ettlingen area. Trenching the main RGBF was precluded due to forest cover and the presence of big blocks of rock in the colluvium at the base of the slope (red Triassic sandstones). Trenches were up to 20 m in length and 2 m in width, and up to 3 m in depth. None of the trenches reached the Triassic Buntsandstein “basement”, and all exposed Pleistocene and Holocene strata. Some strata are interpreted as blocky/gravelly colluvium of the Glacial periods, Loess, redeposited gleyey Loess, soli-/gelifluction layers and deposits and organic paleosols. Most of these layers are clearly displaced by faults and downthrown to the west, although some strata appear to warp or fold over faults. Massive liquefaction and periglacial features have been found, the relation to the sedimentary sequences in the trenches need to be elaborated in future. The process is interpreted to be instantaneous, as massive colluvium is placed against clayey/silty Loess deposits, and therefore we attribute these displacements to earthquake-related faulting. Creep along the strand can be ruled out. The displacement on free faces is on the order of 30 – 50 cm per event vertically, and considerable horizontal offset (ca. 2 m), and we found evidence for two of such events. Applying the commonly used empirical relationships, these findings are interpreted as two events with a magnitude M larger than 6. These results show the bias between the seismogenic landforms (scarps, hanging valleys, triangular facets, etc.) in the eastern UGR margin and seismicity recorded by seismic stations in the area, as currently most of the activity is found in the southern URG near Freiburg. Our findings contribute significantly to the completeness of the earthquake history in the eastern central URG.
The M-w 6.4 and M-w 7.1 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence occurred on 4 and 5 July 2019 within the eastern California shear zone of southern California. Both events produced extensive surface faulting and ground deformation within Indian Wells Valley and Searles Valley. In the weeks following the earthquakes, more than six dozen scientists from government, academia, and the private sector carefully documented the surface faulting and ground-deformation features. As of December 2019, we have compiled a total of more than 6000 ground observations; approximately 1500 of these simply note the presence or absence of fault rupture or ground failure, but the remainder include detailed descriptions and other documentation, including tens of thousands of photographs. More than 1100 of these observations also include quantitative field measurements of displacement sense and magnitude. These field observations were supplemented by mapping of fault rupture and ground-deformation features directly in the field as well as by interpreting the location and extent of surface faulting and ground deformation from optical imagery and geodetic image products. We identified greater than 68 km of fault rupture produced by both earthquakes as well as numerous sites of ground deformation resulting from liquefaction or slope failure. These observations comprise a dataset that is fundamental to understanding the processes that controlled this earthquake sequence and for improving earthquake hazard estimates in the region. This article documents the types of data collected during postearthquake field investigations, the compilation effort, and the digital data products resulting from these efforts.
ABSTRACTThe July 2019 Ridgecrest earthquakes in southeastern California were characterized as surprising by some, because only ∼35% of the rupture occurred on previously mapped faults. Employing more detailed inspection of pre-event high-resolution topography and imagery in combination with field observations, we document evidence of active faulting in the landscape along the entire fault system. Scarps, deflected drainages, and lineaments and contrasts in topography, vegetation, and ground color demonstrate previous slip on a dense network of orthogonal faults, consistent with patterns of ground surface rupture observed in 2019. Not all of these newly mapped fault strands ruptured in 2019. Outcrop-scale field observations additionally reveal tufa lineaments and sheared Quaternary deposits. Neotectonic features are commonly short (<2 km), discontinuous, and display en echelon patterns along both the M 6.4 and M 7.1 ruptures. These features are generally more prominent and better preserved outside the late Pleistocene lake basins. Fault expression may also be related to deformation style: scarps and topographic lineaments are more prevalent in areas where substantial vertical motion occurred in 2019. Where strike-slip displacement dominated in 2019, the faults are mainly expressed by less prominent tonal and vegetation features. Both the northeast- and northwest-trending active-fault systems are subparallel to regional bedrock fabrics that were established as early as ∼150 Ma, and may be reactivating these older structures. Overall, we estimate that 50%–70% (i.e., an additional 15%–35%) of the 2019 surface ruptures could have been recognized as active faults with detailed inspection of pre-earthquake data. Similar detailed mapping of potential neotectonic features could help improve seismic hazard analyses in other regions of eastern California and elsewhere that likely have distributed faulting or incompletely mapped faults. In areas where faults cannot be resolved as single throughgoing structures, we recommend a zone of potential faulting should be used as a hazard model input.
The neotectonics of southern Alaska (USA) are characterized by a several hundred kilometers-wide zone of dextral transpressional that spans the Alaska Range. The Denali fault system is the largest active strike-slip fault system in interior Alaska, and it produced a M-w 7.9 earthquake in 2002. To evaluate the late Quaternary slip rate on the Denali fault system, we collected samples for cosmogenic surface exposure dating from surfaces offset by the fault system. This study includes data from 107 samples at 19 sites, including 7 sites we previously reported, as well as an estimated slip rate at another site. We utilize the interpreted surface ages to provide estimated slip rates. These new slip rate data confirm that the highest late Quaternary slip rate is similar to 13 mm/yr on the central Denali fault near its intersection with the eastern Denali and the Totschunda faults, with decreasing slip rate both to the east and west. The slip rate decreases westward along the central and western parts of the Denali fault system to 5 mm/yr over a length of similar to 575 km. An additional site on the eastern Denali fault near Kluane Lake, Yukon, implies a slip rate of similar to 2 mm/yr, based on geological considerations. The Totschunda fault has a maximum slip rate of similar to 9 mm/yr. The Denali fault system is transpressional and there are active thrust faults on both the north and south sides of it. We explore four geometric models for southern Alaska tectonics to explain the slip rates along the Denali fault system and the active fault geometries: rotation, indentation, extrusion, and a combination of the three. We conclude that all three end-member models have strengths and shortcomings, and a combination of rotation, indentation, and extrusion best explains the slip rate observations.
The Mw 6.0 South Napa earthquake of 24 August 2014 caused slip on several active fault strands within the West Napa Fault Zone (WNFZ). Field mapping identified 12.5 km of surface rupture. These field observations, near‐field geodesy and space geodesy, together provide evidence for more than ~30 km of surface deformation with a relatively complex distribution across a number of subparallel lineaments. Along a ~7 km section north of the epicenter, the surface rupture is confined to a single trace that cuts alluvial deposits, reoccupying a low‐slope scarp. The rupture continued northward onto at least four other traces through subparallel ridges and valleys. Postseismic slip exceeded coseismic slip along much of the southern part of the main rupture trace with total slip 1 year postevent approaching 0.5 m at locations where only a few centimeters were measured the day of the earthquake. Analysis of airborne interferometric synthetic aperture radar data provides slip distributions along fault traces, indicates connectivity and extent of secondary traces, and confirms that postseismic slip only occurred on the main trace of the fault, perhaps indicating secondary structures ruptured as coseismic triggered slip. Previous mapping identified the WNFZ as a zone of distributed faulting, and this was generally borne out by the complex 2014 rupture pattern. Implications for hazard analysis in similar settings include the need to consider the possibility of complex surface rupture in areas of complex topography, especially where multiple potentially Quaternary‐active fault strands can be mapped.
Paleoseismic work completed at Hog Lake on the San Jacinto Fault (SJF) near Anza, California, indicates that at least 21 surface ruptures have occurred in the Anza Seismic gap over the past 4,000 years. The ages of the ruptures are constrained by 111 radiocarbon dates, 97 of which fall in stratigraphic order. The average recurrence interval for all ruptures for this period is about 185 ± 105 years, although some ruptures, such as occurred in the April 1918 earthquake, caused only minor displacement. We rate the expression of each interpreted event in each of the twelve developed field exposures presented in this work by assigning numeric values for the presence of different criteria that indicate rupture to a paleo-ground surface. Weakly expressed ruptures, for example the deformation we interpret to be the result of the historical 1918 earthquake, received low scores and are interpreted as smaller earthquakes. From this analysis, we infer that at least fifteen of the identified ruptures are indicative of large earthquakes similar to the penultimate earthquake, inferred to be the M w 7.3 22 November 1800 earthquake. The adjusted recurrence interval for large earthquakes lengthens to approximately 254 years. Comparison with the rupture history at the Mystic Lake paleoseismic site on the Claremont strand indicates that it is plausible that several of the large ruptures identified at Hog Lake could have jumped the Hemet step-over at Mystic Lake and continued on the Claremont strand (or vice versa), but most of the event ages do not match between the two sites, indicating that most ruptures do not jump the step. Finally, comparison with San Andreas Fault ruptures both to the north and south of its juncture with the SJF suggest that some northern SJF ruptures identified at Mystic Lake may correlate with events identified at Wrightwood, but that these northern ruptures have no match at Hog Lake and can not indicate rupture of the entire SJF onto the SAF.