Background: Cognitive impairment is common in patients with heart failure (HF) and impacts patients' life. Sex differences in HF-characteristics are well-established. We hypothesized that women and men with HF also differ in cognitive functioning and that this may be related to sex differences in HF-characteristics and vascular brain injury. Methods: In the Heart-Brain Connection Study, 162 clinically stable HF patients (mean age 69.7 +/- 10.0, 33 % women) underwent neuropsychological assessments and brain-MRI. Test results were standardized into z-scores for memory, language, attention/speed, executive functioning, and global cognition. Using linear models adjusted for age and education, we calculated sex differences (women-to-men: W-M Delta) in cognitive functioning and examined effects of HF- and vascular brain injury-characteristics on these differences. Results: Men more often had an ischemic cause of HF and lower NYHA-classes, whereas women more often had preserved left ventricular ejection fractions (LVEF). Women had a higher volume of white matter hyperintensities (WMHs) whereas non-lacunar infarcts and microbleeds were more prevalent in men. Women performed better on global cognition than men (W-M Delta in z-score 0.20, 95 %CI 0.03-0.37), predominantly on memory (0.40, 0.02-0.78). These differences were associated with ischemic HF-etiology, as adjustment attenuated these sex differences. After adjustment for non-lacunar infarcts, global cognition difference persisted, but the difference in memory functioning attenuated. Adjustments for NYHA-class, LVEF, WMHs, and microbleeds did not change the results. Conclusion: Women and men with HF differ in cognitive functioning, predominantly in memory functioning, these differences were related to some sex differences in HF-characteristics and vascular brain injury, but not to all.

Background:Patients with carotid artery occlusion (CAO) are vulnerable to cognitive impairment (CI). Anaemia is associated with CI in the general population. We hypothesized that lower haemoglobin is associated with cognitive impairment (CI) in patients with CAO and that this association is accentuated by cerebral blood flow (CBF). Methods:104 patients (mean age 66±8 years, 77% men) with complete CAO from the Heart-Brain Connection study were included. Anaemia was defined as haemoglobin < 12 g/dL for women and < 13 g/dL for men. Cognitive test results were standardized into z-scores (using a reference group) in four cognitive domains. Patients were classified as cognitively impaired when ≥ one domain was impaired. The association between lower haemoglobin and both cognitive domain z-scores and the presence of CI was assessed with adjusted (age, sex, education and ischaemic stroke) regression models. Total CBF (measured with phase contrast MRI) and the interaction term haemoglobin*CBF were additionally added to the analyses. Results:Anaemia was present in 6 (6%) patients and was associated with CI (RR 2.54, 95% CI 1.36; 4.76). Lower haemoglobin was associated with the presence of CI (RR per minus 1 g/dL haemoglobin 1.15, 95% CI 1.02; 1.30). This association was strongest for the attention-psychomotor speed domain (RR for impaired attention-psychomotor speed functioning per minus 1 g/dL haemoglobin 1.27, 95% CI 1.09;1.47) and ß for attention-psychomotor speed z-scores per minus 1 g/dL haemoglobin -0.19, 95% CI -0.33; -0.05). Adjustment for CBF did not affect these results and we found no interaction between haemoglobin and CBF in relation to cognition. Conclusion:Lower haemoglobin concentrations are associated with CI in patients with complete CAO, particularly in the domain attention-psychomotor speed. CBF did not accentuate this association. If validated in longitudinal studies, haemoglobin might be a viable target to prevent cognitive deterioration in patients with CAO.

Background: In first-degree relatives of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), the risk of an intracranial aneurysm can be predicted at initial screening but not at follow-up screening. We aimed to develop a model for predicting the probability of a new intracranial aneurysm after initial screening in people with a positive family history of aSAH. Methods: In a prospective study, we obtained data from follow-up screening for aneurysms of 499 subjects with ≥2 affected first-degree relatives. Screening took place at the University Medical Center Utrecht, the Netherlands, and the University Hospital of Nantes, France. We studied associations between potential predictors and the presence of aneurysms using Cox regression analysis and the predictive performance at 5, 10, and 15 years after initial screening using C statistics and calibration plots, while correcting for overfitting. Results: In 5050 person-years of follow-up, intracranial aneurysms were found in 52 subjects. The risk of aneurysm at 5 years was 2% to 12%, at 10 years, 4% to 28%, and at 15 years, 7% to 40%. Predictors were female sex, history of intracranial aneurysms/aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage, and older age. The sex, previous history of intracranial aneurysm/aSAH, older age score had a C statistic of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.61–0.78) at 5 years, 0.71 (95% CI, 0.64–0.78) at 10 years, and 0.70 (95% CI, 0.63–0.76) at 15 years and showed good calibration. Conclusions: The sex, previous history of intracranial aneurysm/aSAH, older age score provides risk estimates for finding new intracranial aneurysms at 5, 10, and 15 years after initial screening, based on 3 easily retrievable predictors; this can help to define a personalized screening strategy after initial screening in people with a positive family history for aSAH.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES:Screening for unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) is effective for first-degree relatives (FDRs) of patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). Whether screening is also effective for FDRs of patients with UIA is unknown. We determined the yield of screening in such FDRs, assessed rupture risk and treatment decisions of aneurysms that were found, identified potential high-risk subgroups, and studied the effects of screening on quality of life (QoL). METHODS:In this prospective cohort study, we included FDRs, aged 20-70 years, of patients with UIA without a family history of aSAH who visited the Neurology outpatient clinic in 1 of 3 participating tertiary referral centers in the Netherlands. FDRs were screened for UIA with magnetic resonance angiography between 2017 and 2021. We determined UIA prevalence and developed a prediction model for UIA risk at screening using multivariable logistic regression. QoL was evaluated with questionnaires 6 times during the first year after screening and assessed with a linear mixed-effects model. RESULTS:We detected 24 UIAs in 23 of 461 screened FDRs, resulting in a 5.0% prevalence (95% CI 3.2-7.4). The median aneurysm size was 3 mm (interquartile range [IQR] 2-4 mm), and the median 5-year rupture risk assessed with the PHASES score was 0.7% (IQR 0.4%-0.9%). All UIAs received follow-up imaging, and none were treated preventively. After a median follow-up of 24 months (IQR 13-38 months), no UIA had changed. Predicted UIA risk at screening ranged between 2.3% and 14.7% with the highest risk in FDRs who smoke and have excessive alcohol consumption (c-statistic: 0.76; 95% CI 0.65-0.88). At all survey moments, health-related QoL and emotional functioning were comparable with those in a reference group from the general population. One FDR with a positive screening result expressed regret about screening. DISCUSSION:Based on the current data, we do not advise screening FDRs of patients with UIA because all identified UIAs had a low rupture risk. We observed no negative effect of screening on QoL. A longer follow-up should determine the risk of aneurysm growth requiring preventive treatment.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES:In counseling patients with an unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA), quality of life (QoL) outcomes are important for informed decision making. We evaluated QoL outcomes in patients with and without preventive aneurysm occlusion at multiple time points during the first year after UIA diagnosis and studied predictors of QoL outcomes. METHODS:We performed a prospective cohort study in patients aged ≥18 years with a newly diagnosed UIA in 2 tertiary referral centers in the Netherlands between 2017 and 2019. Patients were sent QoL questionnaires at 7 (aneurysm occlusion) or 5 (no occlusion) moments during the first year after diagnosis. We collected baseline data on patient and aneurysm characteristics, passive coping style (Utrecht Coping List), occlusion modality, and neurologic complications. We assessed health-related QoL (HRQoL) with the EuroQol 5 dimensions (EQ-5D), emotional functioning with the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), and restrictions in daily activities with the Utrecht Scale for Evaluation of Rehabilitation-Participation (USER-P). We used a linear mixed-effects model to assess the course of QoL over time and to explore predictors of QoL outcomes. RESULTS:Of 153 eligible patients, 99 (65%) participated, of whom 30/99 (30%) underwent preventive occlusion. Patients undergoing occlusion reported higher baseline levels of passive coping, anxiety and depression, and restrictions than patients without occlusion. During recovery after occlusion, patients reported more restrictions compared with baseline (adjusted USER-P decrease 1 month post occlusion: -12.8 [95% CI -23.8 to -1.9]). HRQoL and emotional functioning gradually improved after occlusion (EQ-5D increase at 1 year: 8.6 [95% CI 0.1-17.0] and HADS decrease at 1 year: -5.4 [95% CI -9.4 to -1.5]). In patients without occlusion, the largest HRQoL improvement occurred directly after visiting the outpatient aneurysm clinic (EQ-5D increase: 9.2 [95% CI 5.5-12.8]). At 1 year, QoL outcomes were comparable in patients with and without occlusion. Factors associated with worse QoL outcomes were a passive coping style in all patients, complications in patients with occlusion, and higher rupture risks in patients without occlusion. DISCUSSION:After UIA diagnosis, QoL improves gradually after preventive occlusion and directly after counseling at the outpatient clinic in patients without occlusion, resulting in comparable 1-year QoL outcomes. A passive coping style is an important predictor of poor QoL outcomes in all patients with UIA.

Background: Cognitive impairment (CI) is common in patients with heart failure (HF) and impacts treatment adherence and other aspects of patient life in HF. Recognition of CI in patients with HF is therefore important. We aimed to develop a risk model with easily available patient characteristics, to identify patients with HF who are at high risk to be cognitively impaired and in need for further cognitive investigation.Methods & results: The risk model was developed in 611 patients & GE; 60 years with HF from the TIME-CHF trial. Fifty-six (9 %) patients had CI (defined as Hodkinson Abbreviated Mental Test & LE; 7). We assessed the association between potential predictors and CI with least-absolute-shrinkage-and-selection-operator (LASSO) regression analysis. The selected predictors were: older age, female sex, NYHA class III or IV, Charlson comorbidity index & GE; 6, anemia, heart rate & GE; 70 bpm and systolic blood pressure & GE; 145 mmHg. A model that combined these variables had a c-statistic of 0.70 (0.63-0.78). The model was validated in 155 patients & GE; 60 years with HF from the ECHO study. In the validation cohort 51 (33 %) patients had CI (defined as a Mini Mental State Exam & LE; 24). External validation showed an AUC of 0.56 (0.46-0.66).Conclusions: This risk model with easily available patient characteristics has poor predictive performance in external validation, which may be due to case-mix variation. These findings underscore the need for active screening and standardized assessment for CI in patients with HF.

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text. Background and Purpose: In previous studies, women had a higher risk of rupture of intracranial aneurysms than men, but female sex was not an independent risk factor. This may be explained by a higher prevalence of patient- or aneurysm-related risk factors for rupture in women than in men or by insufficient power of previous studies. We assessed sex differences in rupture rate taking into account other patient- and aneurysm-related risk factors for aneurysmal rupture. Methods: We searched Embase and Pubmed for articles published until December 1, 2020. Cohorts with available individual patient data were included in our meta-analysis. We compared rupture rates of women versus men using a Cox proportional hazard regression model adjusted for the PHASES score (Population, Hypertension, Age, Size of Aneurysm, Earlier Subarachnoid Hemorrhage From Another Aneurysm, Site of Aneurysm), smoking, and a positive family history of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Results: We pooled individual patient data from 9 cohorts totaling 9940 patients (6555 women, 66%) with 12 193 unruptured intracranial aneurysms, and 24 357 person-years follow-up. Rupture occurred in 163 women (rupture rate 1.04%/person-years [95% CI, 0.89–1.21]) and 63 men (rupture rate 0.74%/person-years [95% CI, 0.58–0.94]). Women were older (61.9 versus 59.5 years), were less often smokers (20% versus 44%), more often had internal carotid artery aneurysms (24% versus 17%), and larger sized aneurysms (≥7 mm, 24% versus 23%) than men. The unadjusted women-to-men hazard ratio was 1.43 (95% CI, 1.07–1.93) and the adjusted women/men ratio was 1.39 (95% CI, 1.02–1.90). Conclusions: Women have a higher risk of aneurysmal rupture than men and this sex difference is not explained by differences in patient- and aneurysm-related risk factors for aneurysmal rupture. Future studies should focus on the factors explaining the higher risk of aneurysmal rupture in women.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES:Preventive unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) occlusion can reduce the risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage, but both endovascular and microneurosurgical treatment carry a risk of serious complications. To improve individualized management decisions, we developed risk scores for complications of endovascular and microneurosurgical treatment based on easily retrievable patient, aneurysm, and treatment characteristics. METHODS:For this multicenter cohort study, we combined individual patient data from patients with UIA aged 18 years or older undergoing preventive endovascular treatment (standard, balloon-assisted or stent-assisted coiling, Woven EndoBridge-device, or flow-diverting stent) or microneurosurgical clipping at one of the 10 participating centers from 3 continents between 2000 and 2018. The primary outcome was death from any cause or clinical deterioration from neurologic complications ≤30 days. We selected predictors based on previous knowledge about relevant risk factors and predictor performance and studied the association between predictors and complications with logistic regression. We assessed model performance with calibration plots and concordance (c) statistics. RESULTS:Of the 1,282 included patients, 94 (7.3%) had neurologic symptoms that resolved <30 days, 140 (10.9%) had persisting neurologic symptoms, and 6 died (0.5%). At 30 days, 52 patients (4.1%) were dead or dependent. Predictors of procedural complications were size of aneurysm, aneurysm location, familial subarachnoid hemorrhage, earlier atherosclerotic disease, treatment volume, endovascular modality (for endovascular treatment) or extra aneurysm configuration factors (for microneurosurgical treatment, branching artery from aneurysm neck or unfavorable dome-to-neck ratio), and age (acronym: SAFETEA). For endovascular treatment (n = 752), the c-statistic was 0.72 (95% CI 0.67-0.77) and the absolute complication risk ranged from 3.2% (95% CI 1.6%-14.9%; ≤1 point) to 33.1% (95% CI 25.4%-41.5%; ≥6 points). For microneurosurgical treatment (n = 530), the c-statistic was 0.72 (95% CI 0.67-0.77) and the complication risk ranged from 4.9% (95% CI 1.5%-14.9%; ≤1 point) to 49.9% (95% CI 39.4%-60.6%; ≥6 points). DISCUSSION:The SAFETEA risk scores for endovascular and microneurosurgical treatment are based on 7 easily retrievable risk factors to predict the absolute risk of procedural complications in patients with UIAs. The scores need external validation before the predicted risks can be properly used to support decision-making in clinical practice. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE:This study provides Class III evidence that SAFETEA scores predict the risk of procedural complications after endovascular and microneurosurgical treatment of unruptured intracranial aneurysms.

Background: Preventive screening for intracranial aneurysms is effective in persons with a positive family history of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH), but for many relatives of aSAH patients, it can be difficult to assess whether their relative had an aSAH or another type of stroke. Aim: We aimed to develop a family history questionnaire for people in the population who believe they have a first-degree relative who had a stroke and to assess its accuracy to identify relatives of aSAH patients. Methods: A questionnaire to distinguish between aSAH and other stroke types (ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage) was developed by a team of clinicians and consumers. The level of agreement between the questionnaire outcome and medical diagnosis was pilot tested in 30 previously admitted aSAH patients. Next, the sensitivity and specificity of the questionnaire were assessed in 91 first-degree relatives (siblings/children) of previously admitted stroke patients. Results: All 30 aSAH patients were identified by the questionnaire in the pilot study; 29 of 30 first-degree relatives of aSAH patients were correctly identified. The questionnaire had a sensitivity of 97% (95% confidence interval (CI) = 83–100%) and a specificity of 93% (95% CI = 84–98%) when tested in the first-degree relatives of stroke patients. Conclusion: Our questionnaire can help persons to discriminate an aSAH from other types of stroke in their affected relative. This family history questionnaire is developed in the Netherlands but could also be used in other countries after validation.

Background and Purpose: The net benefit of carotid endarterectomy (CEA) is determined partly by the risk of procedural stroke or death. Current guidelines recommend CEA if 30-day risks are Methods: We conducted a systematic search in MEDLINE and EMBASE for prediction models of procedural outcomes after CEA. We validated these models with data from patients who underwent CEA in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (2011-2017). We assessed discrimination using C statistics and calibration graphically. We determined the number of patients with predicted risks that exceeded recommended thresholds of procedural risks to perform CEA. Results: After screening 788 reports, 15 studies describing 17 prediction models were included. Nine were developed in populations including both asymptomatic and symptomatic patients, 2 in symptomatic and 5 in asymptomatic populations. In the external validation cohort of 26 293 patients who underwent CEA, 702 (2.7%) developed a stroke or died within 30-days. C statistics varied between 0.52 and 0.64 using all patients, between 0.51 and 0.59 using symptomatic patients, and between 0.49 to 0.58 using asymptomatic patients. The Ontario Carotid Endarterectomy Registry model that included symptomatic status, diabetes, heart failure, and contralateral occlusion as predictors, had C statistic of 0.64 and the best concordance between predicted and observed risks. This model identified 4.5% of symptomatic and 2.1% of asymptomatic patients with procedural risks that exceeded recommended thresholds. Conclusions: Of the 17 externally validated prediction models, the Ontario Carotid Endarterectomy Registry risk model had most reliable predictions of procedural stroke or death after CEA and can inform patients about procedural hazards and help focus CEA toward patients who would benefit most from it.

Background: Persons with a positive family history of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage are at increased risk of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Preventive screening for intracranial aneurysms (IAs) in these persons is cost-effective but not very efficient. We aimed to develop and externally validate a model for predicting the probability of an IA at first screening in persons with a positive family history of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. Methods: For model development, we studied results from initial screening for IA in 660 prospectively collected persons with ≥2 affected first-degree relatives screened at the University Medical Center Utrecht. For validation, we studied results from 258 prospectively collected persons screened in the University Hospital of Nantes. We assessed potential predictors of IA presence in multivariable logistic regression analysis. Predictive performance was assessed with the C statistic and a calibration plot and corrected for overfitting. Results: IA were present in 79 (12%) persons in the development cohort. Predictors were number of affected relatives, age, smoking, and hypertension (NASH). The NASH score had a C statistic of 0.68 (95% CI, 0.62–0.74) and showed good calibration in the development data. Predicted probabilities of an IA at first screening varied from 5% in persons aged 20 to 30 years with two affected relatives, without hypertension who never smoked, up to 36% in persons aged 60 to 70 years with ≥3 affected relatives, who have hypertension and smoke(d). In the external validation data IA were present in 67 (26%) persons, the model had a C statistic of 0.64 (95% CI, 0.57–0.71) and slightly underestimated IAs risk. Conclusions: For persons with ≥2 affected first-degree relatives, the NASH score improves current predictions and provides risk estimates for an IA at first screening between 5% and 36% based on 4 easily retrievable predictors. With the information such persons can now make a better informed decision about whether or not to undergo preventive screening.

Background: Multivariable prognostic models in the general population predict individual risk of developing Alzheimer’s disease (AD) or all-cause dementia, which can aid selection of high-risk individuals for clinical trials and prevention. While development of new models flourished across the past decades, external validation for the majority of models is lacking. We aimed to evaluate the external performance of prediction models for all-cause dementia or AD in the general population.Methods: We identified 17 published prognostic models for external validation in the AGES-Reykjavik Study, a prospective population-based cohort study (n=5343 without dementia at baseline; 76.6±5.7 years, 58% woman). Predictive performance was assessed with c statistics (discrimination) and calibration plots, using the models’ prediction horizon (5-10 years), outcome (AD or all-cause dementia), and modelling technique (logistic, Cox, or competing risk regression).Findings: During 45,021 person-years of follow-up 1099 participants developed dementia, and during 40,917 person-years of follow-up 492 participants developed AD. The mean observed risk of dementia was 10.1% [95% CI: 9.2-11.0] for six years and 22.8% [21.5-24.1] for ten years; the risk for AD was 5.6% [4.9-6.3] and 12.1% [11.0-13.2], respectively. Models ranged from 2-11 predictors; notably, all five models with a c statistic >.75 (.76-.81) contained cognitive testing as a predictor, while all models with lower c statistics (.67-.75) did not. Calibration ranged from good to poor, including systematic risk overestimation or overestimation for particularly the highest risk group.Interpretation: The majority of models demonstrated acceptable, but not strong, discrimination and only few calibrated well. Models that overestimate predicted risks may be acceptable for exclusion purposes, but lack the ability to accurately identify individuals at higher risk for clinical trials and prevention. Both updating existing models or developing new models aimed at identifying high-risk individuals, as well as more external validation studies of dementia prediction models are warranted.Funding: National Institute on Aging; National Eye Institute; National Institute on Deafness and Other Communication Disorders; National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute; National Institute on Aging Intramural Research Program; Hjartavernd (the Icelandic Heart Association); the Althingi (Icelandic Parliament); Alzheimer Nederland; the Dutch Research Council (NWO)/ZonMwDeclaration of Interests: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form at www.icmje.org/coi_disclosure.pdf and declare: no support from any organization for the submitted work; no financial relationships with any organizations that might have an interest in the submitted work in the previous three years; no other relationships or activities that could appear to have influenced the submitted work.Ethics Approval Statement: AGES-RS was approved by the Icelandic National Bioethics Committee (VSN: 00-063), the Icelandic Data Protection Authority (Iceland), and by the Institutional Review Board for the National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health (USA). Written informed consent was obtained from all participants.

IMPORTANCE In patients with space-occupying hemispheric infarction, surgical decompression reduces the risk of death and increases the chance of a favorable outcome. Uncertainties, however, still remain about the benefit of this treatment for specific patient groups. OBJECTIVE To assess whether surgical decompression for space-occupying hemispheric infarction is associated with a reduced risk of death and an increased chance of favorable outcomes, as well as whether this association is modified by patient characteristics. DATA SOURCES MEDLINE, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and the Stroke Trials Registry were searched from database inception to October 9, 2019, for English-language articles that reported on the results of randomized clinical trials of surgical decompression vs conservative treatment in patients with space-occupying hemispheric infarction. STUDY SELECTION Published and unpublished randomized clinical trials comparing surgical decompression with medical treatment alone were selected. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS Patient-level data were extracted from the trial databases according to a predefined protocol and statistical analysis plan. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses () reporting guideline and the Cochrane Collaboration's tool for assessing risk of bias were used. One-stage, mixed-effect logistic regression modeling was used for all analyses. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The primary outcome was a favorable outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score <= 3) at 1 year after stroke. Secondary outcomes included death, reasonable (mRS score <= 4) and excellent (mRS score <= 2) outcomes at 6 months and 1 year, and an ordinal shift analysis across all levels of the mRS. Variables for subgroup analyses were age, sex, presence of aphasia, stroke severity, time to randomization, and involved vascular territories. RESULTS Data from 488 patients from 7 trials from 6 countries were available for analysis. The risk of bias was considered low to moderate for 6 studies. Surgical decompression was associated with a decreased chance of death (adjusted odds ratio, 0.16; 95% CI, 0.10-0.24) and increased chance of a favorable outcome (adjusted odds ratio, 2.95; 95% CI, 1.55-5.60), without evidence of heterogeneity of treatment effect across any of the prespecified subgroups. Too few patients were treated later than 48 hours after stroke onset to allow reliable conclusions in this subgroup, and the reported proportions of elderly patients reaching a favorable outcome differed considerably among studies. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE The results suggest that the benefit of surgical decompression for space-occupying hemispheric infarction is consistent across a wide range of patients. The benefit of surgery after day 2 and in elderly patients remains uncertain.

Background and Purpose:Lifelong treatment with antiplatelet drugs is recommended following a transient ischemic attack or ischemic stroke. Bleeding complications may offset the benefit of antiplatelet drugs in patients at increased risk of bleeding and low risk of recurrent ischemic events. We aimed to investigate the net benefit of antiplatelet treatment according to an individuals’ bleeding risk.Methods:We pooled individual patient data from 6 randomized clinical trials (CAPRIE [Clopidogrel Versus Aspirin in Patients at Risk of Ischemic Events], ESPS-2 [European Stroke Prevention Study-2], MATCH [Management of Atherothrombosis With Clopidogrel in High-Risk Patients], CHARISMA [Clopidogrel for High Atherothrombotic Risk and Ischemic Stabilization, Management, and Avoidance], ESPRIT [European/Australasian Stroke Prevention in Reversible Ischemia Trial], and PRoFESS [Prevention Regimen for Effectively Avoiding Second Strokes]) investigating antiplatelet therapy in the subacute or chronic phase after noncardioembolic transient ischemic attack or stroke. Patients were stratified into quintiles according to their predicted risk of major bleeding with the S2TOP-BLEED score. The annual risk of major bleeding and recurrent ischemic events was assessed per quintile for 4 scenarios: (1) aspirin monotherapy, (2) aspirin-clopidogrel versus aspirin or clopidogrel monotherapy, (3) aspirin-dipyridamole versus clopidogrel, and (4) aspirin versus clopidogrel. Net benefit was calculated for the second, third, and fourth scenario.Results:Thirty seven thousand eighty-seven patients were included in the analyses. Both risk of major bleeding and recurrent ischemic events increased over quintiles of predicted bleeding risk, but risk of ischemic events was consistently higher (eg, from 0.7%/y (bottom quintile) to 3.2%/y (top quintile) for major bleeding on aspirin and from 2.5%/y to 10.2%/y for risk of ischemic events on aspirin). Treatment with aspirin-clopidogrel led to more major bleedings (0.9%–1.7% per year), than reduction in ischemic events (ranging from 0.4% to 0.9/1.0% per year) across all quintiles. There was no clear preference for either aspirin-dipyridamole or clopidogrel according to baseline bleeding risk.Conclusions:Among patients with a transient ischemic attack or ischemic stroke included in clinical trials of antiplatelet therapy, the risk of recurrent ischemic events and of major bleeding increase in parallel. Antiplatelet treatment cannot be individualized solely based on bleeding risk assessment.

Background Recommendations for screening patients with lower-extremity arterial disease (LEAD) to detect asymptomatic carotid stenosis (ACS) are conflicting. Prediction models might identify patients at high risk of ACS, possibly allowing targeted screening to improve preventive therapy and compliance. Methods A systematic search for prediction models for at least 50 per cent ACS in patients with LEAD was conducted. A prediction model in screened patients from the USA with an ankle : brachial pressure index of 0.9 or less was subsequently developed, and assessed for discrimination and calibration. External validation was performed in two independent cohorts, from the UK and the Netherlands. Results After screening 4907 studies, no previously published prediction models were found. For development of a new model, data for 112 117 patients were used, of whom 6354 (5.7 per cent) had at least 50 per cent ACS and 2801 (2.5 per cent) had at least 70 per cent ACS. Age, sex, smoking status, history of hypercholesterolaemia, stroke/transient ischaemic attack, coronary heart disease and measured systolic BP were predictors of ACS. The model discrimination had an area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve of 0.71 (95 per cent c.i. 0.71 to 0.72) for at least 50 per cent ACS and 0.73 (0.72 to 0.73) for at least 70 per cent ACS. Screening the 20 per cent of patients at greatest risk detected 12.4 per cent with at least 50 per cent ACS (number needed to screen (NNS) 8] and 5.8 per cent with at least 70 per cent ACS (NNS 17). This yielded 44.2 and 46.9 per cent of patients with at least 50 and 70 per cent ACS respectively. External validation showed reliable discrimination and adequate calibration. Conclusion The present risk score can predict significant ACS in patients with LEAD. This approach may inform targeted screening of high-risk individuals to enhance the detection of ACS.

Background: In management decisions on saccular unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) the risk of rupture is an important factor. The PHASES score, introduced in 2014, provides absolute 5-year risks of rupture based on six easily retrievable patient and aneurysm characteristics. We assessed whether management decisions on UIAs changed after implementation of the PHASES score. Patient and methods: We included all patients with UIAs who were referred to two Dutch tertiary referral centers for aneurysm care in the Netherlands (University Medical Center Utrecht (UMCU) and Leiden University Medical Center (LUMC)) between 2011 and 2017. Analyses were done on an aneurysm level. We calculated the overall proportion of UIAs with a decision to treat before and after PHASES implementation and studied the influence of age and center on post-implementation management changes. Results: We included 623 patients with 803 UIAs. The proportion of UIAs with a decision to treat was 123/360 (34.2%) before and 117/443 (26.4%) after PHASES implementation (absolute risk difference:-7.8%; 95% CI: -14.1 to-1.4). The decision to treat was made at a higher median PHASES score after implementation (7 points (IQR 5;10) pre-versus 8 points (IQR 5;10) post-implementation; p = 0.14). The reduced proportion with a treatment decision after implementation was most pronounced in patients <50 years (-22.3%; 95% CI:-39.2 to -3.4) and was restricted to treatment decisions made at the UMCU (-10.6%; 95% CI:-18.5 to-2.5). Discussion and conclusions: Management of UIAs changed following implementation of the PHASES score, but the impact of PHASES implementation on treatment decisions differed across age subgroups and centers.

BACKGROUND:Emerging evidence shows sex differences in manifestations of vascular brain injury in memory clinic patients. We hypothesize that this is explained by sex differences in cardiovascular function.OBJECTIVE:To assess the relation between sex and manifestations of vascular brain injury in patients with cognitive complaints, in interaction with cardiovascular function.METHODS:160 outpatient clinic patients (68.8±8.5 years, 38% female) with cognitive complaints and vascular brain injury from the Heart-Brain Connection study underwent a standardized work-up, including heart-brain MRI. We calculated sex differences in vascular brain injury (lacunar infarcts, non-lacunar infarcts, white matter hyperintensities [WMHs], and microbleeds) and cardiovascular function (arterial stiffness, cardiac index, left ventricular [LV] mass index, LV mass-to-volume ratio and cerebral blood flow). In separate regression models, we analyzed the interaction effect between sex and cardiovascular function markers on manifestations of vascular brain injury with interaction terms (sex*cardiovascular function marker).RESULTS:Males had more infarcts, whereas females tended to have larger WMH-volumes. Males had higher LV mass indexes and LV mass-to-volume ratios and lower CBF values compared to females. Yet, we found no interaction effect between sex and individual cardiovascular function markers in relation to the different manifestations of vascular brain injury (p-values interaction terms > 0.05).CONCLUSION:Manifestations of vascular brain injury in patients with cognitive complaints differed by sex. There was no interaction between sex and cardiovascular function, warranting further studies to explain the observed sex differences in injury patterns.