Importance Current risk prediction guidelines for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy predict only sudden cardiac death and are imperfect, leading to avoidable deaths and unnecessary implantable cardioverter defibrillators. Objective To combine prospectively collected clinical history, imaging, genetic, and biomarker data to improve risk prediction of adverse events in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Design, Setting, and Participants A total of 2750 patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy were prospectively enrolled in the registry-based study from 44 sites in North America and Europe with expertise in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging. Participants were enrolled from April 1, 2014, to April 7, 2017. Exposures Patients underwent a health history questionnaire, blood sampling for biomarkers and genotyping, and contrast-enhanced CMR. Patients were followed up yearly by telephone and through records review regarding event documentation. Main Outcomes and Measures The predefined composite adjudicated primary end point was time to first event for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy-related deaths; nonfatal sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) requiring cardioversion or defibrillation; and left ventricular (LV) assist device implant or heart transplant. A secondary end point was a composite of sudden cardiac death and nonfatal VA events. The elastic-net method identified the most important predictors. Cox proportional hazards regression assessed associations with time to the first end point. Results Of the 2750 prospectively enrolled patients, 2698 (98%) had analyzable data after 9 were excluded because they had hypertrophic cardiomyopathy phenocopies and 43 withdrew. Of these remaining patients, 1919 (71%) were male, mean age was 50 years (SD, 11 years), and 423 (16%) were from underrepresented racial and minority groups. The mean follow-up was 6.9 years (SD, 2.1 years). The primary event model in 104 patients included LV scar as a percentage of LV mass by late gadolinium enhancement (LGE%; hazard ratio [HR], 1.86; 95% CI, 1.58-2.20; P < .001), LV mass index (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.01-1.17; P = .03), LV end-systolic volume index (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.12-1.46; P < .001 ), all per 10-unit increase, history of heart failure at study entry (HR, 2.89; 95% CI, 1.75-4.77; P < .001), and log N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP; HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.17-1.70; P < .001) level per log unit, (C index for all, 0.77). An LGE percentage of the LV mass of 9% or higher substantially increased the primary composite event rate (P = .001). The secondary sudden cardiac death and VA risk factor model (in 69 patients) included LGE%, LV mass index, LV ejection fraction, and log(NT-proBNP) (C index, 0.76). Conclusions and Relevance These results provide prospective evidence for incorporating cardiac magnetic resonance and NT-proBNP in the evaluation of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

Background The impact of COVID-19 in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), particularly in the post-vaccine era, remains incompletely understood. We evaluated whether pre-existing cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) phenotypes are associated with COVID-19 outcomes and recovery. Methods In 1704 participants from the international HCM Registry with prior CMR phenotyping, COVID-19 infection and outcomes were assessed using patient-reported questionnaires. Associations between baseline CMR features and hospitalisation or impaired recovery (≥3 months) were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression. Results Among 767 participants with reported COVID-19 infection (mean age 49±11 years), 4% required hospitalisation, 19% reported impaired recovery at ≥3 months and 2 (0.26%) non-cardiac deaths occurred. Persistent symptoms were common particularly fatigue (67%) and dyspnoea (33%). After adjustment, adverse CMR features, including hypertrophy, fibrosis (late gadolinium enhancement) and extracellular volume, were not associated with hospitalisation or impaired recovery. Female sex and younger age were associated with persistent symptoms. Conclusions In this large HCM cohort, COVID-19 was associated with a substantial burden of persistent symptoms, but pre-existing CMR phenotype was not associated with adverse outcomes. These findings suggest that baseline structural disease severity may not identify patients at higher risk of post-COVID-19 complications, although results should be interpreted in the context of self-reported outcomes and limited event rates.

Importance:Current risk prediction guidelines for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy predict only sudden cardiac death and are imperfect, leading to avoidable deaths and unnecessary implantable cardioverter defibrillators. Objective:To combine prospectively collected clinical history, imaging, genetic, and biomarker data to improve risk prediction of adverse events in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Design, Setting, and Participants:A total of 2750 patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy were prospectively enrolled in the registry-based study from 44 sites in North America and Europe with expertise in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging. Participants were enrolled from April 1, 2014, to April 7, 2017. Exposures:Patients underwent a health history questionnaire, blood sampling for biomarkers and genotyping, and contrast-enhanced CMR. Patients were followed up yearly by telephone and through records review regarding event documentation. Main Outcomes and Measures:The predefined composite adjudicated primary end point was time to first event for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy-related deaths; nonfatal sustained ventricular arrhythmias (VAs) requiring cardioversion or defibrillation; and left ventricular (LV) assist device implant or heart transplant. A secondary end point was a composite of sudden cardiac death and nonfatal VA events. The elastic-net method identified the most important predictors. Cox proportional hazards regression assessed associations with time to the first end point. Results:Of the 2750 prospectively enrolled patients, 2698 (98%) had analyzable data after 9 were excluded because they had hypertrophic cardiomyopathy phenocopies and 43 withdrew. Of these remaining patients, 1919 (71%) were male, mean age was 50 years (SD, 11 years), and 423 (16%) were from underrepresented racial and minority groups. The mean follow-up was 6.9 years (SD, 2.1 years). The primary event model in 104 patients included LV scar as a percentage of LV mass by late gadolinium enhancement (LGE%; hazard ratio [HR], 1.86; 95% CI, 1.58-2.20; P < .001), LV mass index (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.01-1.17; P = .03), LV end-systolic volume index (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.12-1.46; P < .001 ), all per 10-unit increase, history of heart failure at study entry (HR, 2.89; 95% CI, 1.75-4.77; P < .001), and log N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP; HR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.17-1.70; P < .001) level per log unit, (C index for all, 0.77). An LGE percentage of the LV mass of 9% or higher substantially increased the primary composite event rate (P = .001). The secondary sudden cardiac death and VA risk factor model (in 69 patients) included LGE%, LV mass index, LV ejection fraction, and log(NT-proBNP) (C index, 0.76). Conclusions and Relevance:These results provide prospective evidence for incorporating cardiac magnetic resonance and NT-proBNP in the evaluation of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy. Trial Registration:ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01915615.

ABSTRACT:Despite concerns about the toxicity of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT) in older patients, prospective data characterizing prevalence or risk stratification for geriatric morbidity such as disability or frailty are limited. We prospectively assessed the prognostic impact of the novel composite health assessment risk model (CHARM), a score established to predict 1-year nonrelapse mortality (NRM), among 1105 patients aged ≥60 years enrolled on the Bone Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network Study 1704. Secondary end points were assessed post-alloHCT at day 100 (D100), D180, and D365 in multivariable models adjusted with predetermined clinical variables. Among alloHCT survivors, the prevalence of disability by instrumental activities of daily living (IADL), frailty by the Physical Frailty Phenotype, and physical function impairment by Patient Reported Measurement Information System (PROMIS) was highest at D100 and lower on D180 and D365. Higher CHARM scores were independently associated with greater disability (coefficient, -0.64; 95% confidence interval [CI], -0.85 to -0.43; P< .001), increased frailty (coefficient, 0.19; CI, 0.081-0.31; P< .001), worse PROMIS physical function, greater PROMIS depression, increased serious organ toxicity by D100, more cognitive decline at D100, and higher mortality after acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) but not significantly associated with PROMIS anxiety or acute GVHD. Higher CHARM scores predicted worse disability-free survival (odds ratio [OR], 2.03; CI, 1.66-2.48; P< .001) and lower frailty-free survival (OR, 2.00; CI, 1.61-2.49). In summary, CHARM is an independent prognostic scoring system not only for NRM but also for geriatric morbidity and functional limitation-free survival through 1 year after alloHCT. Pre-alloHCT CHARM is a novel tool to aid shared decision-making for older patients. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT03992352.

ABSTRACT:Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) is potentially curative for older adults with hematologic malignancies. Concerns on nonrelapse mortality (NRM) in older adults limit allo-HCT utilization. We executed a prospective, observational study BMT-CTN 1704 (Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network) enrolling allo-HCT recipients aged ≥60 years from 49 centers in the United States. We analyzed associations between 13 measurements of older adult health and NRM within 1 year to construct a comprehensive health assessment risk model (primary-CHARM) using multivariate Fine-Gray model and grouped penalized variable selection. Two machine learning (ML) models (Cox and pseudo-value boosting) were also explored. Models' performances were compared using area under the curve (AUC), with bootstrap and cross-validation sampling to correct for optimism, decision curve analysis (DCA), calibration, and Brier scores. Among 1105 patients with median age of 67 (range, 60-82) years who received allo-HCT, NRM was 14.4% and overall survival (OS) 71.7% at 1 year. Factors statistically selected for inclusion in primary-CHARM were higher comorbidity burden, lower albumin, higher C-reactive protein, older age, higher weight-loss percentage, lower patient-reported performance score, and cognitive impairment. Primary-CHARM scores were independently associated with higher NRM (hazard ratio [HR], 2.72; P < .0001) and worse OS (HR, 2.09; P < .0001). Bootstrap bias-corrected AUC for primary-CHARM was 0.591. Comparing primary-CHARM with HCT-comorbidity index and 2 ML-CHARM models, calibration, Brier score, and DCA analysis favored primary-CHARM. Primary-CHARM, with mostly simple and readily available parameters, risk stratifies older adults for allo-HCT. Adopting primary-CHARM in practice may promote broader use of HCT by quantifying risk and enhance the design of strategies to improve outcomes. This trial was registered at www.ClinicalTrials.gov as #NCT03992352.

Study representation of underserved communities

CYP2C19 loss of function (LOF) carriers undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) have an increased risk of ischemic events when treated with clopidogrel. PCI patients in TAILOR-PCI were randomized to clopidogrel or genotype-guided (GG) therapy in which LOF carriers received ticagrelor and non-carriers clopidogrel. Direct medical costs associated with a GG approach have not been described before. TAILOR-PCI participants for whom direct medical costs were available for the duration from the date of PCI to one-year post PCI were included. Primary cost estimates were obtained from the Mayo Clinic Cost Data Warehouse. There were no differences in direct medical costs between the GG and clopidogrel groups (mean $20,682 versus $19,747, p = 0.11) however total costs were greater in the GG group (mean $21,245 versus $19,891, p = 0.02) which was primarily driven by ticagrelor costs. In conclusion the increased expense of a GG strategy post PCI as compared to clopidogrel for all is primarily driven by the cost of ticagrelor.

Abstract Purpose: Vaccination with dendritic cell (DC)/multiple myeloma (MM) fusions has been shown to induce the expansion of circulating MM-reactive lymphocytes and consolidation of clinical response following autologous hematopoietic cell transplant (autoHCT). Patients and Methods: In this randomized phase II trial (NCT02728102), we assessed the effect of DC/MM fusion vaccination, GM-CSF, and lenalidomide maintenance as compared to control arms of GM-CSF and lenalidomide or lenalidomide maintenance alone on clinical response rates and induction of MM-specific immunity at 1-year post-transplant. Results: The study enrolled 203 patients, with 140 randomized post-transplantation. Vaccine production was successful in 63/68 patients. At 1 year, rates of CR were 52.9% (vaccine) and 50% (control) (p=0.37, 80% CI 44.5%, 61.3% and 41.6%, 58.4%, respectively), and rates of VGPR or better were 85.3% (vaccine) and 77.8% (control) (p=0.2). Conversion to CR at 1 year was 34.8% (vaccine) and 27.3% (control) (p=0.4). Vaccination induced a statistically significant expansion of MM-reactive T cells at 1 year as compared to prior to vaccination (p=0.024) and in contrast to the non-vaccine arm (p=0.026). Single-cell transcriptomics revealed clonotypic expansion of activated CD8 cells and shared dominant clonotypes between patients at 1-year post-transplant. Conclusions: DC/MM fusion vaccination with lenalidomide did not result in a statistically significant increase in CR rates at 1-year post-transplant but was associated with a significant increase in circulating MM-reactive lymphocytes indicative of tumor-specific immunity. Site-specific production of a personalized cell therapy with centralized product characterization was effectively accomplished in the context of a multicenter cooperative group study.

IntroductionThe BMT CTN 1301 trial evaluated the role of calcineurin Inhibitor (CNI)-free approaches using T-cell depletion, either by ex vivo CD 34 selection or in vivo post-transplant cyclophosphamide (PTCy) without additional immune suppression compared to tacrolimus and methotrexate with bone marrow grafts and MAC. It demonstrated no difference in the primary composite endpoint of chronic GVHD, relapse-free survival (CRFS) and worse overall survival (OS) with CD-34 selection, despite low rates of chronic GVHD. This is an updated 5 year follow up analysis.MethodsBMT CTN 1301 is a phase III trial that randomized patients aged ≤ 65 years with acute leukemia or myelodysplasia (blasts <5%) and an HLA matched related or unrelated donor to receive a CD34 selected peripheral blood stem cell (PBSC) graft without posttransplant immune suppression (IS), PTCy after a bone marrow graft (BM) without additional IS or tacrolimus/methotrexate (Tac/MTX) after BM (control). For the long-term analysis data from the BMT CTN 1301 trial was merged with data reported to the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research on outcomes after completion of the trial at 24 months. Outcomes include CRFS, OS, transplant-related mortality (TRM) and disease relapse. Analysis of these outcomes were based both on intent to treat (ITT, N=346) and as treated (AT, N=300) analysis due to differential attrition with CD34 selection (86% of patients received the assigned arm - table). Outcomes were adjusted on age, donor type, performance status, disease and disease risk.ResultsRates of CRFS in ITT at 5 years were 46.9% for CD34 (hazard ratio [HR] compared to control 1.33, p=0.15), 41.5% for PTCy (HR 0.88, p=0.55) and 36.5% for control. Rates of CRFS in AT at 5 years were 50.8% for CD34 (HR 1.70, p=0.05), 44.1% for PTCy (HR 0.90, p=0.65) and 36.6% for control Corresponding rates of OS in ITT were 59% (HR 1.35, p=0.18), 69.5% (HR 0.87, p=0.58) and 65.2%. Rates of OS in AT were 60.2% (HR 1.92, p=0.03), 72.3% (HR 0.97, p=0.58) and 66.1% (Figure).TRM rates in AT at 5 years were 22.8% (HR 3.80, p<0.01), 15.7% (HR 1.73, p=0.38) and 12.1%, for CD34, PTCY and control, respectively. Corresponding rates for relapse in AT were 25.4% (HR 1.11, p=0.76), 19.8% (HR 0.62, p=0.11) and 29.3%.ConclusionLong term ITT analysis of BMT CTN 1301 no differences in CRFS and OS across the groups, the AT showed better CRFS with CD34 selection compared to control but not PTCy while worse OS due to higher TRM.

Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) improves outcomes for patients with AML harboring an internal tandem duplication mutation of

BACKGROUND:The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic highlighted the need to conduct efficient randomized clinical trials with interim monitoring guidelines for efficacy and futility. Several randomized coronavirus disease 2019 trials, including the Multiplatform Randomized Clinical Trial (mpRCT), used Bayesian guidelines with the belief that they would lead to quicker efficacy or futility decisions than traditional "frequentist" guidelines, such as spending functions and conditional power. We explore this belief using an intuitive interpretation of Bayesian methods as translating prior opinion about the treatment effect into imaginary prior data. These imaginary observations are then combined with actual observations from the trial to make conclusions. Using this approach, we show that the Bayesian efficacy boundary used in mpRCT is actually quite similar to the frequentist Pocock boundary. METHODS:The mpRCT's efficacy monitoring guideline considered stopping if, given the observed data, there was greater than 99% probability that the treatment was effective (odds ratio greater than 1). The mpRCT's futility monitoring guideline considered stopping if, given the observed data, there was greater than 95% probability that the treatment was less than 20% effective (odds ratio less than 1.2). The mpRCT used a normal prior distribution that can be thought of as supplementing the actual patients' data with imaginary patients' data. We explore the effects of varying probability thresholds and the prior-to-actual patient ratio in the mpRCT and compare the resulting Bayesian efficacy monitoring guidelines to the well-known frequentist Pocock and O'Brien-Fleming efficacy guidelines. We also contrast Bayesian futility guidelines with a more traditional 20% conditional power futility guideline. RESULTS:A Bayesian efficacy and futility monitoring boundary using a neutral, weakly informative prior distribution and a fixed probability threshold at all interim analyses is more aggressive than the commonly used O'Brien-Fleming efficacy boundary coupled with a 20% conditional power threshold for futility. The trade-off is that more aggressive boundaries tend to stop trials earlier, but incur a loss of power. Interestingly, the Bayesian efficacy boundary with 99% probability threshold is very similar to the classic Pocock efficacy boundary. CONCLUSIONS:In a pandemic where quickly weeding out ineffective treatments and identifying effective treatments is paramount, aggressive monitoring may be preferred to conservative approaches, such as the O'Brien-Fleming boundary. This can be accomplished with either Bayesian or frequentist methods.

Supplemental Figure 1: (A) Progression Free Survival Kaplan Meier Curve. (B) Overall Survival Kaplan Meier Curve.

Recent examples for unplanned external events are the global COVID-19 pandemic, the war in Ukraine, or most recently Hurricane Ian in Puerto Rico. Disruptions due to unplanned external events can lead to violation of assumptions in clinical trials. In certain situations, randomization tests can provide nonparametric inference that is robust to violation of the assumptions usually made in clinical trials. The ICH E9 (R1) Addendum on estimands and sensitivity analyses provides a guideline for aligning the trial objectives with strategies to address disruptions in clinical trials. In this article, we embed randomization tests within the estimand framework to allow for inference following disruptions in clinical trials in a way that reflects recent literature. A stylized clinical trial is presented to illustrate the method, and a simulation study highlights situations when a randomization test that is conducted under the intention-to-treat principle can provide unbiased results.

Clinical trials disruption has always represented a non negligible part of the ending of interventional studies. While the SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) pandemic has led to an impressive and unprecedented initiation of clinical research, it has also led to considerable disruption of clinical trials in other disease areas, with around 80% of non-COVID-19 trials stopped or interrupted during the pandemic. In many cases the disrupted trials will not have the planned statistical power necessary to yield interpretable results. This paper describes methods to compensate for the information loss arising from trial disruptions by incorporating additional information available from auxiliary data sources. The methods described include the use of auxiliary data on baseline and early outcome data available from the trial itself and frequentist and Bayesian approaches for the incorporation of information from external data sources. The methods are illustrated by application to the analysis of artificial data based on the Primary care pediatrics Learning Activity Nutrition (PLAN) study, a clinical trial assessing a diet and exercise intervention for overweight children, that was affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. We show how all of the methods proposed lead to an increase in precision relative to use of complete case data only.

PURPOSE:Prognostic Immunophenotyping in Myeloma Response (PRIMeR) is an ancillary study of minimal residual disease (MRD) assessment for multiple myeloma by next-generation multiparameter flow cytometry (MFC). Patients were enrolled on a three-arm randomized control trial (Blood and Marrow Transplants Clinical Trials Network 0702 Stem Cell Transplant for Myeloma in Combination of Novel Agents [STaMINA]; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01109004). METHODS:Four hundred and thirty-five patients consented to the MRD panel, which included 10 monoclonal antibodies measured via six-color MFC. MRD was measured at baseline/preautologous hematopoietic cell transplant (BL/preAutoHCT), premaintenance (PM), and 1 year (Y1) after AutoHCT with a sensitivity of 10-5 to 10-6. The primary objective was to assess MRD-negative (MRDneg) at 1 year after AutoHCT and progression-free survival and overall survival (PFS/OS). RESULTS:Similar to the STaMINA results, at a median follow-up of 70 months, there was no significant difference in PFS/OS by treatment arm in the PRIMeR patients. MRDneg at all three time points was associated with significantly improved PFS, and MRDneg at Y1 had significantly longer OS. Multivariate analysis of PFS, adjusting for disease risk and treatment arm, demonstrated hazard ratios (HRs) in MRD-positive patients compared with MRDneg patients at BL, PM, and Y1 of 1.55 (P = .0074), 1.83 (P = .0007), and 3.61 (P < .0001), respectively. Corresponding HRs for OS were 1.19 (P = .48), 0.88 (P = .68), and 3.36 (P < .001). Patients with sustained MRDneg or who converted to MRDneg by Y1 had similar PFS/OS. CONCLUSION:To our knowledge, this first, prospective US cooperative group, multicenter study demonstrates that MRDneg at Y1 after AutoHCT with lenalidomide maintenance is prognostic for improved 6-year PFS and OS. Serial MRD measurements may direct trials to test how further therapy may improve long-term PFS and OS.

Introduction: The BMT CTN 1704 study developed and validated the CHARM that stratified risk for non-relapse mortality and overall mortality among older adults, performing better than the HCT-CI alone (Artz A et al, Blood. 2023;142:109) and equally to two machine learning models. CHARM assigns a total score for 7 health variables: increasing age, higher HCT-CI scores, lower albumin, higher C-reactive protein, higher percent of weight loss over the preceding year, lower patient-reported performance status scores, and lower cognitive score per Montreal cognitive assessment (MoCA). A CHARM calculator is available at:https://cibmtr.org/CIBMTR/OffNav/DevSandbox/CHARM-Risk-NRM-Calculator No multi-institutional prospective data exist on functional trajectories and morbidity after HCT in older patients. We now report on the association of CHARM to trajectories of secondary morbidity outcomes among allo-HCT survivors of this large, prospective study. Patients and Methods: Allo-HCT candidates, aged ≥60 years (yrs), were enrolled (n=1226) from 49 centers in the US between 2019 - 2021. The primary analysis includes 1105 patients proceeding to allo-HCT on study and secondary endpoints were assessed at day (D) 100, 180 and 365 except MoCA and organ toxicity were restricted to D100 and frailty had inadequate data for D100. A sequential multiple imputation strategy was implemented to impute endpoints for survivors at each time point with missing data. Analyses on multiply imputed datasets were conducted and the results combined using Rubin's rule. Associations between CHARM scores and secondary outcomes were analyzed using a multivariable Cox, Fine-Gray, Generalized Estimating Equations, and logistic regression model for survival, competing risks, continuous, and binary outcomes, respectively, with latter two focused on surviving patients. Models were adjusted for other variables including conditioning intensity, graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis regimen, disease-risk index, donor-recipient gender match, ethnicity, baseline value of the dependent variable, and visit timepoints. Results: Higher CHARM scores were associated with development of serious organ toxicities by D100 (OR: 2.05, [1.52-2.78], p<0.0001) and ≥2 worsening score on the MoCA (odds ratio (OR) 1.55 [1.16-2.1], p=0.003). Among survivors at all timepoints, higher CHARM scores were associated with greater disability by instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) (Slope -0.640 [-0.433-0.846], p<0.001) and worsening Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Reporting System (PROMIS) physical function (Slope -0.981 [-0.057 - -1.904], p=0.037), depression (Slope 0.763 [0.042-1.484], p=0.038) and in a lesser magnitude anxiety (Slope 0.659, p=0.076). Among survivors at D180 and D365, higher CHARM scores were associated with worse frailty (Slope 0.193 [0.081-0.305], p<0.001). CHARM scores were not associated with development of acute GVHD grades 2-4 or 3-4 but were associated with post-GVHD increased mortality (HR: 1.61, [1.25-2.08], p=0.0002). Higher CHARM scores are associated with a lower incidence of chronic GVHD (HR: 0.83, p=0.026), likely due to the effect of CHARM on the competing risk of death leaving fewer patients at risk for chronic GVHD. Conclusions: The novel primary CHARM, originally developed to predict risks of NRM, also predicts worse frailty, disability, cognitive decline, and serious organ toxicities; outcomes that are critically important to older recipients of allo-HCT. CHARM therefore informs risks of transplant morbidity, separate from risks of developing acute GVHD. Results further support adopting CHARM in practice to counsel patients, expedite HCT referrals for lower risk CHARM, and design trials for high CHARM score patients.

PURPOSE Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) improves outcomes for patients with AML harboring an internal tandem duplication mutation of FLT3 ( FLT3-ITD) AML. These patients are routinely treated with a FLT3 inhibitor after HCT, but there is limited evidence to support this. Accordingly, we conducted a randomized trial of post-HCT maintenance with the FLT3 inhibitor gilteritinib (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02997202 ) to determine if all such patients benefit or if detection of measurable residual disease (MRD) could identify those who might benefit. METHODS Adults with FLT3-ITD AML in first remission underwent HCT and were randomly assigned to placebo or 120 mg once daily gilteritinib for 24 months after HCT. The primary end point was relapse-free survival (RFS). Secondary end points included overall survival (OS) and the effect of MRD pre- and post-HCT on RFS and OS. RESULTS Three hundred fifty-six participants were randomly assigned post-HCT to receive gilteritinib or placebo. Although RFS was higher in the gilteritinib arm, the difference was not statistically significant (hazard ratio [HR], 0.679 [95% CI, 0.459 to 1.005]; two-sided P = .0518). However, 50.5% of participants had MRD detectable pre- or post-HCT, and, in a prespecified subgroup analysis, gilteritinib was beneficial in this population (HR, 0.515 [95% CI, 0.316 to 0.838]; P = .0065). Those without detectable MRD showed no benefit (HR, 1.213 [95% CI, 0.616 to 2.387]; P = .575). CONCLUSION Although the overall improvement in RFS was not statistically significant, RFS was higher for participants with detectable FLT3-ITD MRD pre- or post-HCT who received gilteritinib treatment. To our knowledge, these data are among the first to support the effectiveness of MRD-based post-HCT therapy.

Background: Immunosuppressive therapy (IST) is considered the standard front-line treatment for acquired severe aplastic anemia (SAA) for pts >40 years. For pts aged <40 years who have a suitable human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-matched sibling donor (MSD), hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) is recommended. This recommendation is based on the toxicity associated with alternative donors; haploidentical (HAPLO) and unrelated donor (URD) HSCT for patients who lack a MSD. However, the hematopoietic response after IST is ~ 70-80%, even after augmentation with eltrombopag in the front-line setting, and failure-free survival (FFS, defined as patients alive and in remission without clonal disease more than 10 years after IST) remains < 40%. HSCT is often employed as a second line salvage therapy for those who do not respond to IST or have disease recurrence. However, outcomes after HSCT are often compromised because of IST-related complications such as clonal evolution, development of donor specific antibodies, infectious adverse events and organ dysfunction. In contrast, a successful allogeneic HSCT leads to relatively prompt hematopoietic and immune reconstitution and mitigates the risk of secondary clonal disease. Innovations in recent decades, such as improved graft versus host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis and supportive care, have steadily reduced the morbidity and mortality of adults undergoing HSCT from unrelated or mismatched donors and expanded the donor pool such that almost all pts with SAA have a potential donor available. The use of post-transplant cyclophosphamide (PTCy) is now a well-established approach to facilitate engraftment and mitigate the risk of GVHD. It was successfully used in relapsed/refractory SAA pts using HAPLO donors in the multi-center BMT CTN #1502 trial (NCT02918292). Similar PTCy based approaches have been effective in the upfront setting with HAPLO and URD in small single center studies. Opened in July 2024, the CureAA trial (NCT06517641), seeks to increase donor options for SAA pts who have not yet received IST by using PTCy based GVHD prophylaxis for HSCT using HAPLO or URD. Study Design and Methods: This BMT CTN study (#2207) is a prospective multi-center phase II trial to assess efficacy of HSCT using HAPLO or URD bone marrow with a reduced intensity, thymoglobulin (ATG)-containing preparative regimen and PTCy GVHD prophylaxis in previously untreated SAA pts. This trial has two parallel cohorts for each donor type, HAPLO and URD, with an accrual goal of 30 participants in each cohort. All will receive ATG (0.5mg/kg on day -9 and 2mg/kg on days -8 and -7), cyclophosphamide (14.5mg/kg on days -6 and -5), fludarabine (30mg/m2 on days -6 to -2), 400 cGy total body irradiation (day -1 in a single fraction), a marrow graft (goal >2.5 x 108 nucleated cells per kg of recipient) on day 0 and PTCy (50mg/kg on days +3 and +4). Additionally, participants receive tacrolimus (until day +180) and mycophenolate mofetil days +5-35. The primary objective of the trial is to estimate the GVHD-free failure-free survival (GFFS) rate at 1 year after initiation of conditioning. GFFS is a composite endpoint of survival without grade III-IV acute GVHD, chronic GVHD requiring immunosuppression, or primary or secondary graft failure requiring second definitive therapy within 1 year after initiation of conditioning. Secondary objectives will evaluate patient survival, engraftment, transfusion dependence, cumulative incidence of GVHD and hematologic response. Health related quality of life, healthcare utilization and financial toxicity data will also be collected. These endpoints will allow clinical comparison with current results achieved with upfront IST in other studies. We hypothesize that this HSCT approach will improve survival without significant transplant-associated morbidity by using a low toxicity regimen that reduces rates of GVHD and provides rapid hematologic recovery without graft failure, thereby making HAPLO and URD HSCT a viable option for initial upfront treatment of SAA. The ability to use mismatched donors will also ensure that a HSCT option is more widely available to all racial/ethnic groups. This collaborative study was funded by grants U10HL069294, U24HL138660 to the BMT CTN from the NHLBI/ NCI, along with funding from Sanofi. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the NIH.

The Accelerating COVID-19 Therapeutic Interventions and Vaccines (ACTIV) Cross-Trial Statistics Group gathered lessons learned from statisticians responsible for the design and analysis of the 11 ACTIV therapeutic master protocols to inform contemporary trial design as well as preparation for a future pandemic. The ACTIV master protocols were designed to rapidly assess what treatments might save lives, keep people out of the hospital, and help them feel better faster. Study teams initially worked without knowledge of the natural history of disease and thus without key information for design decisions. Moreover, the science of platform trial design was in its infancy. Here, we discuss the statistical design choices made and the adaptations forced by the changing pandemic context. Lessons around critical aspects of trial design are summarized, and recommendations are made for the organization of master protocols in the future.

Background: The clinical consequences of coexistent tricuspid regurgitation (TR) in patients with severe ischemic mitral regurgitation (IMR) remain unclear. We examined the association of baseline TR severity with outcomes after mitral valve (MV) surgery for IMR. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis of a randomized trial evaluating the effectiveness and safety of MV replacement versus repair for severe IMR. Patients were stratified by baseline TR (none/trace/mild vs moderate/severe). The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Secondary endpoints included major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and quality of life (QoL) using the Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire (MLHFQ). Cox proportional hazards and logistic models were used in the analysis. Results: Of 251 randomized patients with severe IMR, 246 undergoing MV repair or replacement (123 each) were included in this secondary analysis. Sixty-one patients (25%) had ≥ severe TR, of whom 43% underwent MV repair and 57% underwent MV replacement. The 2-year all-cause mortality was significantly higher for those with moderate/severe TR compared to those with none/trace/mild TR (38% vs 16%; adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.93; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.59-5.38). MACCE rates were higher in patients with moderate/severe TR (53%) compared to those with none/trace/mild TR (39%) (aHR, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.21-3.03). No significant difference in 1-year QoL, measured as being alive with a 5-point improvement in the MLHFQ, was observed (odds ratio, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.28-1.33). Conclusions: In patients undergoing surgery for severe IMR, preoperative moderate/severe TR was significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality and MACCE. Whether concomitant TV surgery would improve postoperative outcomes in patients with severe IMR and different degrees of TR should be evaluated in a randomized trial.