Importance:Thyroid cancer incidence has increased substantially in the United States over the last 4 decades, driven largely by increases in papillary thyroid cancer. It is unclear whether the increasing incidence of papillary thyroid cancer has been related to thyroid cancer mortality trends. Objective:To compare trends in thyroid cancer incidence and mortality by tumor characteristics at diagnosis. Design, Setting, and Participants:Trends in thyroid cancer incidence and incidence-based mortality rates were evaluated using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-9 (SEER-9) cancer registry program, and annual percent change in rates was calculated using log-linear regression. Exposure:Tumor characteristics. Main Outcomes and Measures:Annual percent changes in age-adjusted thyroid cancer incidence and incidence-based mortality rates by histologic type and SEER stage for cases diagnosed during 1974-2013. Results:Among 77 276 patients (mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 48 [16] years; 58 213 [75%] women) diagnosed with thyroid cancer from 1974-2013, papillary thyroid cancer was the most common histologic type (64 625 cases), and 2371 deaths from thyroid cancer occurred during 1994-2013. Thyroid cancer incidence increased, on average, 3.6% per year (95% CI, 3.2%-3.9%) during 1974-2013 (from 4.56 per 100 000 person-years in 1974-1977 to 14.42 per 100 000 person-years in 2010-2013), primarily related to increases in papillary thyroid cancer (annual percent change, 4.4% [95% CI, 4.0%-4.7%]). Papillary thyroid cancer incidence increased for all SEER stages at diagnosis (4.6% per year for localized, 4.3% per year for regional, 2.4% per year for distant, 1.8% per year for unknown). During 1994-2013, incidence-based mortality increased 1.1% per year (95% CI, 0.6%-1.6%) (from 0.40 per 100 000 person-years in 1994-1997 to 0.46 per 100 000 person-years in 2010-2013) overall and 2.9% per year (95% CI, 1.1%-4.7%) for SEER distant stage papillary thyroid cancer. Conclusions and Relevance:Among patients in the United States diagnosed with thyroid cancer from 1974-2013, the overall incidence of thyroid cancer increased 3% annually, with increases in the incidence rate and thyroid cancer mortality rate for advanced-stage papillary thyroid cancer. These findings are consistent with a true increase in the occurrence of thyroid cancer in the United States.
Descriptive epidemiological information on myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) and myelodysplastic (MDS)/MPNs is largely derived from single institution and European population-based studies. Data obtained following adoption of the World Health Organization classification of haematopoietic neoplasms and JAK2 V617F mutation testing are sparse. Using population-based data, we comprehensively assessed subtype-specific MPN and MDS/MPN incidence rates (IRs), IR ratios (IRRs) and relative survival (RS) in the United States (2001-12). IRs were highest for polycythaemia vera (PV) (IR = 10·9) and essential thrombocythaemia (ET) (IR = 9·6). Except for ET and mastocytosis, overall IRs were significantly higher among males (IRRs = 1·4-2·3). All evaluable MPNs were associated with lower IRs among Hispanic whites than non-Hispanic whites (NHWs), with the exception of BCR-ABL1-positive chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML), chronic eosinophilic leukaemia (CEL) and juvenile myelomonocytic leukaemia. Except for CEL, Asians/Pacific Islanders had significantly lower MPN IRs than NHWs. ET, MPN-unclassifiable and CEL IRs were 18%, 19% and 60% higher, respectively, among blacks than NHWs. Five-year RS was more favourable for younger (<60 years) than older individuals and for women compared with men, except for PV at older ages. RS was highest (>90%) for younger PV and ET patients and lowest (<20%) for older chronic myelomonocytic leukaemia and atypical BCR-ABL1-negative CML patients. Varying MPN and MDS/MPN incidence patterns by subtype support distinct aetiologies and/or susceptible populations. Decreased survival rates as compared to that expected in the general population were associated with every MPN subtype, highlighting the need for new treatments, particularly among older individuals.
Prostate cancer (CaP) is the leading cancer among men of African descent in the USA, Caribbean, and Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The estimated number of CaP deaths in SSA during 2008 was more than five times that among African Americans and is expected to double in Africa by 2030. We summarize publicly available CaP data and collected data from the men of African descent and Carcinoma of the Prostate (MADCaP) Consortium and the African Caribbean Cancer Consortium (AC3) to evaluate CaP incidence and mortality in men of African descent worldwide. CaP incidence and mortality are highest in men of African descent in the USA and the Caribbean. Tumor stage and grade were highest in SSA. We report a higher proportion of T1 stage prostate tumors in countries with greater percent gross domestic product spent on health care and physicians per 100,000 persons. We also observed that regions with a higher proportion of advanced tumors reported lower mortality rates. This finding suggests that CaP is underdiagnosed and/or underreported in SSA men. Nonetheless, CaP incidence and mortality represent a significant public health problem in men of African descent around the world.
Objective. To evaluate oral cavity and pharynx cancer (OCPC) patterns by gender. Methods. We used Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program data for 71,446 cases diagnosed during 1975–2008 to classify OCPC by anatomic subsite as potentially HPV-related or not, with oral tongue cancer considered a separate category. Results. Total OCPC rates among men were 2–4 times those among women. Among whites, total OCPC rates rose in the younger age groups due to substantial increases in successive birth cohorts for HPV-related cancers, more rapid among men than women, and oral tongue cancers, more rapid among women than men. Among blacks, total OCPC rates declined among cohorts born since 1930 reflecting the strong downward trends for HPV-unrelated sites. Among Hispanics and Asians, HPV-unrelated cancer rates generally declined, and oral tongue cancer rates appeared to be converging among young men and women. Conclusions. Decreases in total OCPC incidence reflect reductions in smoking and alcohol drinking. Rising HPV-related cancers among white men may reflect changing sexual practices. Reasons for the increasing young oral tongue cancer rates are unknown, but the narrowing of the gender differences provides a clue.
Burkitt's lymphoma (BL) in the general population and immunosuppressed persons with AIDS in the United States was characterized by three age‐specific incidence peaks near 10, 40, and 70 years. We hypothesized that BL from different geographical areas may exhibit pediatric, adult, and elderly age incidence peaks. We investigated this hypothesis using data on 3,403 cases obtained from the International Agency for Research on Cancer (1963–2002). Data from Africa were sparse or incomplete, and thus were excluded. Age‐standardized rates (ASRs) and age‐specific incidence rates were calculated, supplemented with the calculations performed using age–period–cohort (APC) models. The ASR rose 5.3% (95% confidence interval [CI], 5.0–5.6) per year in males and 4.6% (95% CI, 4.5–4.8) in females. The ASR increased gradually in children, steeply in adults and most rapidly in the elderly both in males and in females. Overall, BL male/female ASR ratio was 2.5, but it declined from 3.1 (95% CI, 3.0–3.3) for pediatric BL to 2.3 (95% CI, 2.2–2.4) for adult BL and 1.5 (95% CI, 1.4–1.6) for elderly BL. Age‐specific incidence peaks occurred near 10 and 70 years in all regions and periods. A peak near 40 years of age emerged in the mid‐1990s, particularly in men. Findings using APC models confirmed those based on the standard analyses. Our findings, based on the international BL cases, support our hypothesis that BL is multimodal and that BL peaks at different ages may be clues to differences in the etiology and/or biology of BL at those ages. Am. J. Hematol. 87:573–578, 2012. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
OBJECTIVE:In view of mobile phone exposure being classified as a possible human carcinogen by the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), we determined the compatibility of two recent reports of glioma risk (forming the basis of the IARC's classification) with observed incidence trends in the United States.DESIGN:Comparison of observed rates with projected rates of glioma incidence for 1997-2008. We estimated projected rates by combining relative risks reported in the 2010 Interphone study and a 2011 Swedish study by Hardell and colleagues with rates adjusted for age, registry, and sex; data for mobile phone use; and various latency periods.SETTING:US population based data for glioma incidence in 1992-2008, from 12 registries in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) programme (Atlanta, Detroit, Los Angeles, San Francisco, San Jose-Monterey, Seattle, rural Georgia, Connecticut, Hawaii, Iowa, New Mexico, and Utah).PARTICIPANTS:Data for 24,813 non-Hispanic white people diagnosed with glioma at age 18 years or older.RESULTS:Age specific incidence rates of glioma remained generally constant in 1992-2008 (-0.02% change per year, 95% confidence interval -0.28% to 0.25%), a period coinciding with a substantial increase in mobile phone use from close to 0% to almost 100% of the US population. If phone use was associated with glioma risk, we expected glioma incidence rates to be higher than those observed, even with a latency period of 10 years and low relative risks (1.5). Based on relative risks of glioma by tumour latency and cumulative hours of phone use in the Swedish study, predicted rates should have been at least 40% higher than observed rates in 2008. However, predicted glioma rates based on the small proportion of highly exposed people in the Interphone study could be consistent with the observed data. Results remained valid if we used either non-regular users or low users of mobile phones as the baseline category, and if we constrained relative risks to be more than 1.CONCLUSIONS:Raised risks of glioma with mobile phone use, as reported by one (Swedish) study forming the basis of the IARC's re-evaluation of mobile phone exposure, are not consistent with observed incidence trends in US population data, although the US data could be consistent with the modest excess risks in the Interphone study.
We clearly state in the statistical methods that, while the figures are based on a specific reference group (men aged 60-64, Los Angeles registry), the entire dataset was used to estimate these rates.1 2 3 The reference group was chosen purely for statistical reasons, to minimise the variance of estimates: choosing a different group …
Tumor stage at diagnosis often varies by racial/ethnic group, possibly because of inequitable health care access. Within the Department of Defense (DoD) Military Health System, beneficiaries have equal health care access. The objective of this study was to determine whether tumor stage differed between whites and blacks with breast, cervical, colorectal, and prostate cancers, which have effective screening regimens, based on data from the DoD Automated Cancer Tumor Registry from 1990 to 2003.
Background: Increases in thyroid papillary carcinoma incidence rates have largely been attributed to heightened medical surveillance and improved diagnostics. We examined papillary carcinoma incidence in an equal-access health care system by demographics that are related to incidence. Methods: Incidence rates during 1990–2004 among white and black individuals aged 20 to 49 years in the military, and the general U.S. population were compared using data from the Department of Defense's Automated Central Tumor Registry and the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER-9) program. Results: Incidence was significantly higher in the military than in the general population among white women [incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 1.42; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.25–1.61], black women (IRR = 2.31; 95% CI, 1.70–2.99), and black men (IRR = 1.69, 95% CI, 1.10–2.50). Among whites, differences between the two populations were confined to rates of localized tumors (women: IRR = 1.73, 95% CI, 1.47–2.00; men: IRR = 1.51, 95% CI, 1.30–1.75), which may partially be due to variation in staging classification. Among white women, rates were significantly higher in the military regardless of tumor size and rates rose significantly over time both for tumors ≤ 2 cm (military: IRR = 1.64, 95% CI, 1.18–2.28; general population: IRR = 1.55, 95% CI, 1.45–1.66) and > 2 cm (military: IRR = 1.74, 95% CI, 1.07–2.81; general population: IRR = 1.48, 95% CI, 1.27–1.72). Among white men, rates increased significantly only in the general population. Incidence also varied by military service branch. Conclusions: Heightened medical surveillance does not appear to fully explain the differences between the two populations or the temporal increases in either population. Impact: These findings suggest the importance of future research into thyroid cancer etiology. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 20(11); 2369–76. ©2011 AACR.
Background: The U.S. Military and general populations may differ in the exposure to sunlight and other risk factors for melanoma and therefore the incidence rates of melanoma may be different in these two populations. However, few studies have compared melanoma incidence rates and trends over time between the military and the general population. Methods: Melanoma incidence rates from 1990 to 2004 among white active-duty military personnel and the general U.S. population were compared using data from the Department of Defense Automated Central Tumor Registry and the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program. Results: Age-adjusted melanoma rates overall were significantly lower in the military than in the general population; the incidence rate ratio was 0.75 for men and 0.56 for women. Age-specific rates, however, were significantly lower among individuals younger than 45 years, but significantly higher among those 45 years or older (P < 0.05). Melanoma incidence increased from 1990–1994 to 2000–2004 in both populations, with the most rapid increase (40%) among younger men in the military. Melanoma incidence rates also varied by branch of military service; rates were highest in the air force. Conclusion: These results suggest that melanoma incidence rate patterns differ between the military and the general population. Impact: Further studies of risk factors for melanoma in the military are needed to explain these findings. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev; 20(2); 318–23. ©2010 AACR.
Objective: To determine the incidence of testicular germ cell tumors among active duty males and compare it with the incidence in the general U.S. population. Methods: The Automated Cancer Tumor Registry and the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program data from 1990 to 2003 were analyzed for men aged between 20 and 59 years by histology and stage at diagnosis. Rates were age adjusted using the male active duty military population as the standard. Results: Nonseminoma incidence was significantly lower in the military than in the general population (incidence rate ratio = 0.90, 95% confidence interval = 0.82-0.98). Trends in incidence tended to be similar in both the populations. Increases were observed for both histologic types but were only significant for seminoma (Automated Cancer Tumor Registry: 21% and Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program: 16%; p < 0.05). Increases in incidence were only observed for localized tumors of both histologic types. Conclusions: The lower incidence of non-seminoma in the military and the increased incidence of localized tumors in both populations remain unexplained.
African American men have among the highest prostate cancer incidence rates in the world yet rates among their African counterparts are unclear. In this paper, we compared reported rates among black men of Sub-Saharan African descent using data from the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) and the National Cancer Institute Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program for 1973–2007. Although population-based data in Africa are quite limited, the available data from IARC showed that rates among blacks were highest in the East (10.7–38.1 per 100,000 man-years, age-adjusted world standard) and lowest in the West (4.7–19.8). These rates were considerably lower than those of 80.0–195.3 observed among African Americans. Rates in Africa increased over time (1987–2002) and have been comparable to those for distant stage in African Americans. These patterns are likely due to differences between African and African American men in medical care access, screening, registry quality, genetic diversity, and Westernization. Incidence rates in Africa will likely continue to rise with improving economies and increasing Westernization, warranting the need for more high-quality population-based registration to monitor cancer incidence in Africa.
BACKGROUND:Primary cutaneous adenoid cystic carcinoma (PCACC) is a rare appendageal tumor of uncertain origin. Details on epidemiologic features of PCACC are sparse and largely based on clinical reports. OBJECTIVE:We sought to develop an understanding of PCACC incidence, survival, and associated cancers using population-based data. METHODS:We used the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program to calculate age-adjusted incidence rates (IRs), IR ratios, 95% confidence intervals, standardized incidence ratios (SIRs), and 5-year relative survival of PCACC diagnosed during 1976 to 2005. RESULTS:In a population of 723,174,580 person-years, the overall PCACC IR was 0.23 per 1 million person-years (n = 152), with similar IRs among male and female patients (IR = 0.24). Most cases of PCACC presented at a localized stage and arose on the face/head/neck. Among 122 of the 2-month survivors of PCACC and more than 2.4 million 2-month cancer survivors, risk of associated cancers overall was not significantly increased (SIR = 1.17 [n = 24] and SIR = 1.43 [n = 16], respectively). However, PCACC was associated with significantly increased risks of subsequent lymphohematopoietic (n = 6; SIR = 3.70) and thyroid (n = 2; SIR = 15.25) cancers, whereas the converse associations were not observed. Five-year relative survival was excellent (96.1%; n = 122) with more favorable survival noted for PCACC involving the face/head/neck than the trunk. LIMITATIONS:A pathologic review of reported cases was not undertaken. CONCLUSION:PCACC is a rare appendageal tumor that affects male and female individuals equally, primarily presents at localized stage, predominates in the face/head/neck, and is associated with favorable survival. Immunosuppression does not appear to contribute to the development of PCACC, and the observed associated cancer patterns will need to be confirmed in larger studies.
BACKGROUND The increasing incidence of thyroid cancer in the United States is well documented. In this study, we assessed the incidence patterns by histologic type according to demographic and tumor characteristics to further our understanding of these cancers. METHODS We used the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program for cases diagnosed during 1992-2006 to investigate patterns for the four major histologic types of thyroid cancer by gender, race/ethnicity, and age as well as registry, tumor stage, and size. RESULTS Among women, papillary thyroid cancer rates were highest among Asians (10.96 per 100,000 woman-years) and lowest among blacks (4.90 per 100,000 woman-years); follicular cancer rates did not vary substantially by race/ethnicity (p-values >0.05), medullary cancer rates were highest among Hispanics (0.21 per 100,000 woman-years) and whites (0.22 per 100,000 woman-years), and anaplastic rates were highest among Hispanics (0.17 per 100,000 woman-years). Among men, both papillary and follicular thyroid cancer rates were highest among whites (3.58 and 0.58 per 100,000 man-years, respectively), medullary cancer rates were highest among Hispanics (0.18 per 100,000 man-years), and anaplastic rates were highest among Asians (0.11 per 100,000 man-years). Racial/ethnic-specific rates did not vary notably across registries. In contrast to age-specific rates of papillary thyroid cancer that peaked in midlife (age 50), especially pronounced among women, rates for follicular, medullary, and anaplastic types continued to rise across virtually the entire age range, especially for anaplastic carcinomas. Female-to-male incidence rate ratios among whites decreased with age most steeply for the follicular type and least steeply for the medullary type; it was <1 until the very oldest ages for the anaplastic type. CONCLUSION We conclude that the similar age-specific patterns and lack of geographical variation across the SEER racial/ethnic groups indicate that detection effects cannot completely explain the observed thyroid cancer incidence patterns as variation in the amount or quality of healthcare provided has been shown to vary by SEER racial/ethnic groups, gender, and age. We find that the variations in age-specific patterns by gender and across histologic types are intriguing and recommend that future etiologic investigation focus on exogenous and endogenous exposures that are experienced similarly by racial/ethnic groups, more strongly among women, and distinctively by age.
Trimodal or bimodal age-specific incidence rates for Burkitt lymphoma (BL) were observed in the United States general population, but the role of immunosuppression could not be excluded. Incidence rates, rate ratios, and 95% confidence intervals for BL and other non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), by age and CD4 lymphocyte count categories, were estimated using Poisson regression models using data from the United States HIV/AIDS Cancer Match study (1980-2005). BL incidence was 22 cases per 100 000 person-years and 586 for non-BL NHL. Adjusted BL incidence rate ratio among males was 1.6× that among females and among non-Hispanic blacks, 0.4× that among non-Hispanic whites, but unrelated to HIV-transmission category. Non-BL NHL incidence increased from childhood to adulthood; in contrast, 2 age-specific incidence peaks during the pediatric and adult/geriatric years were observed for BL. Non-BL NHL incidence rose steadily with decreasing CD4 lymphocyte counts; in contrast, BL incidence was lowest among people with ≤ 50 CD4 lymphocytes/μL versus those with ≥ 250 CD4 lymphocytes/μL (incidence rate ratio 0.3 [95% confidence interval = 0.2-0.6]). The bimodal peaks for BL, in contrast to non-BL NHL, suggest effects of noncumulative risk factors at different ages. Underascertainment or biological reasons may account for BL deficit at low CD4 lymphocyte counts.
8115 Background: Multiple myeloma (MM) is the most common hematologic malignancy in blacks. Prior studies suggest poorer survival among blacks than whites; however, some smaller hospital-based studies suggest similar survival in equal access health systems. We conducted a large-scale, population-based study to evaluate racial disparities in MM incidence and MM-specific survival. Methods: Data were obtained from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results-9 Registry, covering new diagnoses of MM from 1973-2005 with follow-up through 2006. Age at diagnosis was grouped into three strata (<50, 50-69, and 70+ years). Incidence rates were calculated using SEER*Stat. Cumulative MM-specific survival was assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test. Results: 37,977 MM patients (5,798 blacks; 28,939 whites) were identified. Mean age at diagnosis was 65.7 years for blacks and 70.0 years for whites (p<0.001). Incidence was 2-fold higher in blacks than whites (10.9 and 4.9 per 100,000 person-years, respectively). This disparity was significantly greater among younger patients (3-fold higher incidence among patients <50 years old). MM-specific survival was better in blacks than whites at 5 and 10 years of follow-up (p<0.001). After the introduction of novel therapies, 5-year MM-specific survival for whites improved (38% in 1973-1979 vs 56% in 2000-2005; p<0.001); significant improvement was not seen in blacks over this period. Conclusions: Our study shows for the first time that, despite a 4-5 year younger average age at MM diagnosis and greater incidence rates, MM-specific survival was greater for blacks than whites. Previously reported excess mortality in blacks is only seen clinically because MM is more common in blacks than whites. These somewhat paradoxical results suggest disease heterogeneity by race. Whites demonstrate a more pronounced survival benefit following recent treatment advances, likely reflecting access disparities; regardless, blacks continue to show superior survival in the era of novel therapies. Further studies are needed to improve our understanding of the molecular basis of these patterns to appreciate disease subtype-specific features. No significant financial relationships to disclose.