We created the first annually resolved records of historical fire occurrence coupled with precise estimates of tree establishment for the northern half of the west slope of the Oregon Cascades, a region that is home to some of the most productive forests on earth. Our reconstructions at 36 randomly located sites document exceptional diversity in historical fire disturbance and successional dynamics. Most stands where we collected data appear to have initiated following stand-replacing fire between 200 and 750 years ago, although many sites exhibited evidence of moderate-severity fire that created multi-aged stands. More than two-thirds of sites experienced multiple non-stand-replacing fires following stand initiation. A spatial generalized linear mixed model demonstrated that historical fire occurrence was negatively associated with average snow disappearance day and time since last fire and positively associated with drought. Significant variability in the number of fires, length of fire return intervals, and sample depth across sites made calculation of informative mean fire return intervals (MFRIs) difficult. Site-level annual probability of fire from our mixed model ranged from 0.039 to 0.003, equivalent to MFRIs of 26-389 years. We used fire and tree establishment records to infer the general location of several large historical fire events that likely burned as much or more area as the >50,000 ha fires that burned across our study region in 2020. We also identified periods of extensive burning and subsequent tree establishment that occurred across seven centuries within six large river drainages that made up our study region. Although tree establishment occurred for up to a century following stand-replacing fire at some sites, we show that these apparent long periods of establishment were relatively short pulses of regeneration separated by reburns. This study demonstrates that many highly productive Douglas-fir-dominated stands in western Oregon are significantly departed from historical fire disturbance regimes. Management that emphasizes rapid re-establishment of closed canopy forest conditions following fire and development of old-growth forest conditions in the absence of fire may fail to provide for the unique and highly valued ecosystem services associated with these forests.

Abstract The US Department of Agriculture has proposed rescinding the 2001 Roadless Area Conservation Rule, which generally prohibits timber harvest and road building in inventoried roadless areas across the National Forest System. The need to address wildfire is cited as a primary purpose for overturning the Roadless Rule. To facilitate informed decision making, we analyzed four decades of spatially explicit wildfire data across the 11 western states to assess differences between the extent of fire and the extent of different fire severity classes in inventoried roadless areas versus the roaded and developed portions of the national forest landscape. Our analysis indicates that inventoried roadless areas and developed lands burned at broadly similar annual proportional rates. From 1984 to 2023, inventoried roadless areas burned at an estimated 1.13 times the annual rate of developed lands (95% CI: 0.92 to 1.36). From 2014 to 2023, inventoried roadless areas burned at an estimated 0.89 times the annual rate of developed lands (CI: 0.70 to 1.17). Congressionally designated wilderness areas, which would be unaffected by the proposed rule change, burned at almost double the annual rate of inventoried roadless areas or developed lands. This study shows that roadless areas and developed lands burn at similar rates, demonstrating that the Roadless Rule has limited overall influence on wildfire at broad spatial scales.

This brief communication presents selected findings from recent social and economic monitoring of national forest policies in the Pacific Northwest. Qualitative interviews with timber industry professionals, USDA Forest Service (Forest Service) employees, and rural community members provided local perspectives on increasing the pace and scale of timber harvests on national forests. Challenges noted by interviewees included spatial consolidation of the wood processing facilities, limitations of the timber supply from federal lands, misalignment between timber sales and industry needs, market volatility, labor shortages, and regulatory complexity. Interviewees expressed skepticism about the Forest Service’s reliability in delivering consistent timber volume and highlighted barriers in the bidding process that disadvantage smaller operators. Workforce issues—both in wood processing facilities and logging operations—further constrain current and future production capacity. Our findings suggest that increasing timber harvests will require coordinated, long-term efforts to build trust, improve Forest Service capacity, and better align timber sale offerings with market needs. Rather than attributing production shortfalls solely to environmental regulation, the study emphasizes the need for federal policies that address structural and economic realities of the forest industry. These insights can inform durable strategies for forest restoration and timber production in the American West.

Rapid increases in wildfire area burned across North American forests pose novel challenges for managers and society. Increasing area burned raises questions about whether, and to what degree, contemporary fire regimes (1984-2022) are still departed from historical fire regimes (pre-1880). We use the North American tree-ring fire-scar network (NAFSN), a multi-century record comprising >1800 fire-scar sites spanning diverse forest types, and contemporary fire perimeters to ask whether there is a contemporary fire surplus or fire deficit, and whether recent fire years are unprecedented relative to historical fire regimes. Our results indicate, despite increasing area burned in recent decades, that a widespread fire deficit persists across a range of forest types and recent years with exceptionally high area burned are not unprecedented when considering the multi-century perspective offered by fire-scarred trees. For example, 'record' contemporary fire years such as 2020 burned 6% of NAFSN sites-the historical average-well below the historical maximum of 29% sites that burned in 1748. Although contemporary fire extent is not unprecedented across many North American forests, there is abundant evidence that unprecedented contemporary fire severity is driving forest loss in many ecosystems and adversely impacting human lives, infrastructure, and water supplies.

We investigated recent forest mortality dynamics by revisiting a network of 1617 trees in unlogged roadless areas in the Blue Mountains of eastern Oregon for which we have precise age and growth data. There was extensive mortality of the oldest trees in stands-a quarter of trees >= 300 years of age died over a ten-year period. Trees with below average basal area increment and older trees were more likely to die in stands that have not experienced wildfire in the last 130 years. Smaller trees were more likely to die in stands that experienced wildfire during the ten-year observation period. Douglas-fir and western juniper experienced a lower rate of mortality than ponderosa pine, western larch, or grand fir in sites that have not experienced wildfire. There was little evidence for a difference in mortality between species in sites that experienced wildfire. We describe a novel simulation model which demonstrated that succession of young trees is unlikely to replace recent losses of old trees. The confluence of a rare insect defoliator outbreak, drought, and past management decisions that increased competitive stress and fuel connectivity is the most likely explanation for the elevated mortality we observed. The protected areas where we collected data are not achieving old tree conservation objectives. Active management to reduce forest competition is the most realistic pathway for old tree conservation in dry forests.

Fire is a key disturbance process that shapes the structure and function of montane temperate rainforest in the Pacific Northwest (PNW). Recent research is revealing more frequent historical fire activity in the western central Cascades than expected by conventional theory. Indigenous peoples have lived in the PNW for millennia. However, Indigenous people's roles in shaping vegetation mosaics in montane temperate forests of the PNW has been overlooked, despite archaeological evidence of long-term, continuous human use of these landscapes. In this paper, we present a generalizable research framework for overcoming biases often inherent in historical fire research. The framework centers Indigenous perspectives and ethnohistory, leveraging theory in human ecology and archaeology to interpret fire histories. We apply this framework to place-based, empirical evidence of Indigenous land use and dendroecological fire history. Our framework leads us to conclude that the most parsimonious explanation for the occurrence of historical high fire frequency in the western Cascades is Indigenous fire stewardship. Further, our case study makes apparent that scholars can no longer ignore the role of Indigenous people in driving montane forest dynamics in the PNW.

Invasions by non-native plant species after fire can negatively affect important ecosystem services and lead to invasion-fire cycles that further degrade ecosystems. The relationship between fire and plant invasion is complex, and the risk of invasion varies greatly between functional types and across geographic scales. Here, we examined patterns and predictors of non-native plant invasion following fire across the western United States. We specifically analyzed how the abundance of non-native plants after fire was related to fire characteristics and environmental conditions, such as climate, soil, and topography, in 26,729 vegetation plots from government networks and individual studies. Non-native plant cover was higher in plots measured after wildfires compared to prescribed burns or unburned plots. The post-fire cover of non-native species varied by plant functional type, and only the cover of short-lived (i.e., annual and biennial) forbs and short-lived C3 grasses was significantly higher in burned plots compared to unburned plots. Cool-season short-lived grasses composed most of the non-native post-fire vegetation, with cheatgrass ( Bromus tectorum ) being the most recorded species in the dataset. Climate variables were the most influential predictors of the cover of non-native short-lived grasses and forbs after fires, with invasion being more common in areas with drier summers and a higher proportion of yearly precipitation falling in October through March. Models using future projected climate for mid (2041–2070) and end (2071–2100) of century showed a potential for increasing post-fire invasion risk at higher elevations and latitudes. These findings highlight priorities for mitigation, monitoring, and restoration efforts to reduce post-fire plant invasion risk across the western United States.

Our understanding of forest dynamics and successional pathways in coastal Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii var menziesii) forests with relatively frequent mixed-severity fires is limited by a lack of annually precise dendroecological reconstructions that combine records of historical fires and tree establishment. The processes by which old-forest heterogeneity developed under historical fire regimes with recurrent low- and moderateseverity fires has not been well studied at fine temporal scales and across spatial scales. We developed crossdated multi-century records of fire and tree establishment histories in old forests (170 - 550 years) at 34 plots distributed across six sites. Study sites include warm-dry to cool-moist Douglas-fir forest types found in the southern west Cascades of Oregon, USA. Spatial variability in historical fire frequency and fire effects resulted in tremendous diversity in forest developmental histories, age structure, and forest conditions. Most historical fire intervals were very frequent (<10 years) to frequent (<25 years) in dry Douglas-fir forests. Exceptionally high fire frequency and an abrupt decrease in fire frequency after European colonization in dry Douglas-fir forests adds to growing evidence and recognition of Indigenous fire stewardship in montane Douglas-fir forests. In moist forests where Douglas-fir is seral to western hemlock, fire intervals were frequent to moderately frequent (<50 years), but intervals varied substantially over time. Relatively young moist forests burned frequently while mature moist forests had long fire intervals (50-160 years). Nearly all tree establishment cohorts were preceded by either stand-replacing (28 %) or non-stand-replacing fires (64 %). However, tree cohorts only provided evidence of 16 % of historical fire events that we reconstructed from cambial fire scars. This study demonstrates that frequent fire can be an important driver of forest development and in some contexts shapes the structure of coastal old-growth Douglas-fir forests, which are often characterized as developing from endogenous disturbances during long fire-free periods. The high level of pyrodiversity we observed was associated with variation in and interactions of micro-climate, topography, fuels, and Indigenous fire stewardship. We recommend rigorous dendroecological reconstructions across the coastal Douglas-fir region to refine our understanding of the geography of fire-mediated forest developmental dynamics in this important forest type, to inform forest management, conservation, and ecocultural restoration.

As contemporary wildfire activity intensifies across the western United States, there is increasing recognition that a variety of forest management activities are necessary to restore ecosystem function and reduce wildfire hazard in dry forests. However, the pace and scale of current, active forest management is insufficient to address restoration needs. Managed wildfire and landscape-scale prescribed burns hold potential to achieve broad-scale goals but may not achieve desired outcomes where fire severity is too high or too low. To explore the potential for fire alone to restore dry forests, we developed a novel method to predict the range of fire severities most likely to restore historical forest basal area, density, and species composition in forests across eastern Oregon. First, we developed probabilistic tree mortality models for 24 species based on tree characteristics and remotely sensed fire severity from burned field plots. We applied these estimates to unburned stands in four national forests to predict post-fire conditions using multi-scale modeling in a Monte Carlo framework. We compared these results to historical reconstructions to identify fire severities with the highest restoration potential. Generally, we found basal area and density targets could be achieved by a relatively narrow range of moderate-severity fire (roughly 365-560 RdNBR). However, single fire events did not restore species composition in forests that were historically maintained by frequent, low-severity fire. Restorative fire severity ranges for stand basal area and density were strikingly similar for ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) and dry mixed-conifer forests across a broad geographic range, in part due to relatively high fire tolerance of large grand (Abies grandis) and white fir (Abies concolor). Our results suggest historical forest conditions created by recurrent fire are not readily restored by single fires and landscapes have likely passed thresholds that preclude the effectiveness of managed wildfire alone as a restoration tool.

Abstract Detailed information about the historical range of variability in wildfire activity informs adaptation to future climate and disturbance regimes. Here, we describe one of the first annually resolved reconstructions of historical (1500–1900 ce) fire occurrence in coast Douglas‐fir dominated forests of the west slope of the Cascade Range in western Oregon. Mean fire return intervals (MFRIs) across 16 sites within our study area ranged from 6 to 165 years. Variability in MFRIs was strongly associated with average maximum summer vapor pressure deficit. Fire occurred infrequently in Douglas‐fir forest stands seral to mountain hemlock or silver fir, but fire frequency was much shorter than predicted by theory in other forest types. MFRIs within Douglas‐fir stands seral to western hemlock or grand fir ranged from 19 to 45 years, and MFRIs in stands seral to Douglas‐fir ranged from 6 to 11 years. There was little synchrony in fire occurrence or tree establishment across 16 sites separated by 4 km. The lack of synchrony in fire suggests that large, wind‐driven fire events that are often considered to be characteristic of coast Douglas‐fir forests were not an important driver of succession in our study area during the last ~400–500 years. Climate was more arid than normal during fire years in most forest types, but historical fire in stands seral to Douglas‐fir was strongly associated with antecedent moisture and less strongly associated with drought. We interpret the extraordinary tempo of fire we observed in stands seral to Douglas‐fir and the unique climate pattern associated with fire in these stands to be indicative of Indigenous fire stewardship. This study provides evidence of far more frequent historical fire in coast Douglas‐fir forests than assumed by managers or scientists—including some of the most frequent fire return intervals documented in the Pacific Northwest. We recommend additional research across the western Cascades to create a comprehensive account of historical fire in highly productive forests with significant cultural, economic, and ecological importance.

An increasingly important goal of federal land managers in seasonally dry forests of the western US is restoring forest resilience. In this study, we quantified the degree to which a thinning treatment in a dry forest of eastern Oregon restored aspects of forest resilience by focusing on key functional attributes of our study system. First, we measured several physiological responses of overstory trees that are associated with resilience, including radial growth, resin production, abundance of non-structural carbohydrates (NSC), and leaf area. Second, we investigated understory vegetation responses including species diversity, composition, and cover by growth form that influence fire behavior and resilience to disturbance. We found that tree radial growth was greater in trees in thinned stands beginning three years post-treatment. The abundance of key chemical compounds found in trees, including resin, starch, total NSC and sucrose did not differ between treatments; however, abundance of glucose plus fructose was lower in treated stands, suggesting mobilization and use of carbon reserves for foliar and wood production following thinning. We observed an increase in species richness and diversity within thinned stands three to four years after thinning, primarily due to the release of forbs and reestablishment of graminoids following ground disturbance. Here, we demonstrate that elements of forest resilience can be restored in dry forest systems via selective thinning to promote historical forest structure. In forests where thinning reduces stand density, vigorous overstory trees and increased herbaceous cover can help facilitate the re-establishment of low intensity surface fire regimes that maintain stable and persistent vegetative states. Understanding the ecological effects of fuel reduction treatments allows land managers to assess potential forest resiliency and adapt future treatments based on the observed results of previous activities.

The USDA Forest Service is working closely with collaborative stakeholder groups to accelerate the pace and scale of restoration in fire-prone mixed conifer forests of eastern Oregon. Collaboratively planned restoration projects are typically designed to conserve older trees established before fire exclusion policies and other management practices began to alter forest landscapes beginning in the late 1800s. Tools exist for accurately estimating the age of common species including ponderosa pine, Douglas-fir, and western larch. There are no existing tools available for aging grand/white fir, although an important objective of many restoration projects in mixed conifer stands is to retain older grand/white fir while removing younger individuals that have infilled into stands in the absence of fire to enhance resilience of stands to future climate and disturbance regimes. This article describes the development of tools to age grand fir on the Malheur National Forest by taking simple field measurements of morphological characteristics. Bark fissure depth, height to live foliage, and diameter at breast height were the strongest noncorrelated tree morphological characteristics associated with tree age. Crown class had no predictive power for estimating tree age. A variety of methods are presented that can estimate the age of grand fir with reasonable accuracy and are appropriate for different management objectives. Additional field testing and continued experimentation with different tree aging methods within an adaptive management framework is recommended. Study Implications: Shade tolerant grand fir has expanded dramatically in mixed conifer stands of eastern Oregon in the absence of frequent fire. Collaboratively designed restoration projects in mixed conifer stands usually call for the removal of younger grand fir while maintaining older grand fir that contribute to stand- and landscape-scale biodiversity. It can be difficult to estimate the age of grand fir based on morphological clues because of highly variable growth forms in this species. However, several easy-to-use grand fir aging tools promise to facilitate restoration by making reasonably accurate estimates of tree age.

Abstract Wildfires devastated communities in Oregon and Washington in September 2020, burning almost as much forest west of the Cascade Mountain crest (“the westside”) in 2 weeks (~340,000 ha) as in the previous five decades (~406,00 ha). Unlike dry forests of the interior western United States, temperate rain forests of the Pacific Northwest have experienced limited recent fire activity, and debates surrounding what drove the 2020 fires, and management strategies to adapt to similar future events, necessitate a scientific evaluation of the fires. We evaluate five questions regarding the 2020 Labor Day fires: (1) How do the 2020 fires compare with historical fires? (2) How did the roles of weather and antecedent climate differ geographically and from the recent past (1979–2019)? (3) How do fire size and severity compare to other recent fires (1985–2019), and how did forest management and prefire forest structure influence burn severity? (4) What impact will these fires have on westside landscapes? and (5) How can we adapt to similar fires in the future? Although 5 of the 2020 fires were much larger than any others in the recent past and burned ~10 times the area in high‐severity patches >10,000 ha, the 2020 fires were remarkably consistent with historical fires. Reports from the early 1900s, along with paleo‐ and dendro‐ecological records, indicate similar and potentially even larger wildfires over the past millennium, many of which shared similar seasonality (late August/early September), weather conditions, and even geographic locations. Consistent with the largest historical fires, strong east winds and anomalously dry conditions drove the rapid spread of high‐severity wildfire in 2020. We found minimal difference in burn severity among stand structural types related to previous management in the 2020 fires. Adaptation strategies for similar fires in the future could benefit by focusing on ignition prevention, fire suppression, and community preparedness, as opposed to fuel treatments that are unlikely to mitigate fire severity during extreme weather. While scientific uncertainties remain regarding the nature of infrequent, high‐severity fires in westside forests, particularly under climate change, adapting to their future occurrence will require different strategies than those in interior, dry forests.

Fire regimes in North American forests are diverse and modern fire records are often too short to capture important patterns, trends, feedbacks, and drivers of variability. Tree-ring fire scars provide valuable perspectives on fire regimes, including centuries-long records of fire year, season, frequency, severity, and size. Here, we introduce the newly compiled North American tree-ring fire-scar network (NAFSN), which contains 2562 sites, >37,000 fire-scarred trees, and covers large parts of North America. We investigate the NAFSN in terms of geography, sample depth, vegetation, topography, climate, and human land use. Fire scars are found in most ecoregions, from boreal forests in northern Alaska and Canada to subtropical forests in southern Florida and Mexico. The network includes 91 tree species, but is dominated by gymnosperms in the genus Pinus. Fire scars are found from sea level to >4000-m elevation and across a range of topographic settings that vary by ecoregion. Multiple regions are densely sampled (e.g., >1000 fire-scarred trees), enabling new spatial analyses such as reconstructions of area burned. To demonstrate the potential of the network, we compared the climate space of the NAFSN to those of modern fires and forests; the NAFSN spans a climate space largely representative of the forested areas in North America, with notable gaps in warmer tropical climates. Modern fires are burning in similar climate spaces as historical fires, but disproportionately in warmer regions compared to the historical record, possibly related to under-sampling of warm subtropical forests or supporting observations of changing fire regimes. The historical influence of Indigenous and non-Indigenous human land use on fire regimes varies in space and time. A 20th century fire deficit associated with human activities is evident in many regions, yet fire regimes characterized by frequent surface fires are still active in some areas (e.g., Mexico and the southeastern United States). These analyses provide a foundation and framework for future studies using the hundreds of thousands of annually- to sub-annually-resolved tree-ring records of fire spanning centuries, which will further advance our understanding of the interactions among fire, climate, topography, vegetation, and humans across North America.

Reducing fuels to better manage risk of high severity wildfire in seasonally dry, fire-prone forests of the western U.S. is an important goal of forest managers, including private landowners, non-governmental organizations, tribal, state, and local governments, and federal agencies. Managing fire risk is a critical objective of the U.S. Forest Service, which emphasizes the use of thinning to reduce tree density and ladder fuels followed by prescribed fire to reduce surface fuel. But the area of Forest Service land treated with thinning and prescribed fire is lagging far behind the area treated only with mechanical thinning due to regulatory and logistical challenges in prescribed fire implementation. Determining if mechanical thinning alone (without prescribed fire) can achieve adequate fire risk reduction has important implications for addressing the fire and fuel management goals set by Congress and the Administration, as well as the management objectives set by non-federal actors. In this study, we report on the effects of mechanical thinning and standard post-thinning fuels management but without prescribed fire on modeled fire behavior and changes in fuel loading over time in a ponderosa pine forest in Eastern Oregon. Thinning without prescribed fire significantly reduced potential crown fire immediately following thinning and also moderated surface modeled fire behavior beginning 2-3 years following thinning. Although small (<7.6 cm diameter) woody surface fuel loading increased following thinning, other ground and surface fuels (i.e., litter and duff) declined substantially, which we attribute to surface disturbance from groundbased logging, decreased deposition of litter, and increased decomposition. These results suggest that fuel reduction and fire risk management objectives can be met with mechanical thinning alone for a number of years. Prescribed fire is likely necessary to extend the effectiveness of mechanical thinning after significant tree or shrub regeneration. Continued monitoring will allow managers to use prescribed fire most efficiently to achieve fire and fuel management objectives.

Fire has been an important catalyst of change in Pacific Northwest forests throughout the Holocene. The role of fire varied across this biophysically diverse region prior to European colonization, but fire exclusion and logging drastically altered forest conditions during the 19th and 20th centuries. Despite recent increases in area burned and several large wildfires with devastating social and economic consequences, area burned in recent decades remains far less than under historical regimes across most of the region. Some dry forest landscapes have experienced profound change through uncharacteristically severe fires. In moist and cold forest landscapes, wildfires have enhanced biodiversity through the creation of structurally complex early-seral habitats. Area burned is expected to double or triple in the future under a warming climate. Strategies to adapt to future wildfires vary among historical regimes and biophysical settings and will require collaborative engagement and adaptive management to facilitate ecological change at meaningful scales.

The influence of climate change on wildland fire has received considerable attention, but few studies have examined the potential effects of climate variability on grassland area burned within the extensive steppe land of Eurasia. We used a novel statistical approach borrowed from the social science literature—dynamic simulations of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models—to explore the relationship between temperature, relative humidity, precipitation, wind speed, sunlight, and carbon emissions on grassland area burned in Xilingol, a large grassland-dominated landscape of Inner Mongolia in northern China. We used an ARDL model to describe the influence of these variables on observed area burned between 2001 and 2018 and used dynamic simulations of the model to project the influence of climate on area burned over the next twenty years. Our analysis demonstrates that area burned was most sensitive to wind speed and temperature. A 1% increase in wind speed was associated with a 20.8% and 22.8% increase in observed and predicted area burned respectively, while a 1% increase in maximum temperature was associated with an 8.7% and 9.7% increase in observed and predicted future area burned. Dynamic simulations of ARDL models provide insights into the variability of area burned across Inner Mongolia grasslands in the context of anthropogenic climate change.

Implementation of wildfire- and climate-adaptation strategies in seasonally dry forests of western North America is impeded by numerous constraints and uncertainties. After more than a century of resource and land use change, some question the need for proactive management, particularly given novel social, ecological, and climatic conditions. To address this question, we first provide a framework for assessing changes in landscape conditions and fire regimes. Using this framework, we then evaluate evidence of change in contemporary conditions relative to those maintained by active fire regimes, i.e., those uninterrupted by a century or more of human-induced fire exclusion. The cumulative results of more than a century of research document a persistent and substantial fire deficit and widespread alterations to ecological structures and functions. These changes are not necessarily apparent at all spatial scales or in all dimensions of fire regimes and forest and nonforest conditions. Nonetheless, loss of the once abundant influence of low- and moderate-severity fires suggests that even the least fire-prone ecosystems may be affected by alteration of the surrounding landscape and, consequently, ecosystem functions. Vegetation spatial patterns in fire-excluded forested landscapes no longer reflect the heterogeneity maintained by interacting fires of active fire regimes. Live and dead vegetation (surface and canopy fuels) is generally more abundant and continuous than before European colonization. As a result, current conditions are more vulnerable to the direct and indirect effects of seasonal and episodic increases in drought and fire, especially under a rapidly warming climate. Long-term fire exclusion and contemporaneous social-ecological influences continue to extensively modify seasonally dry forested landscapes. Management that realigns or adapts fire-excluded conditions to seasonal and episodic increases in drought and fire can moderate ecosystem transitions as forests and human communities adapt to changing climatic and disturbance regimes. As adaptation strategies are developed, evaluated, and implemented, objective scientific evaluation of ongoing research and monitoring can aid differentiation of warranted and unwarranted uncertainties.

GENERAL COMMENTARY article Front. For. Glob. Change, 23 March 2021Sec. Forest Management https://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2021.653774

National forests in the western United States are divided roughly in half between lands without roads managed for wilderness characteristics and lands with an extensive road system managed for multiple uses including resource extraction. We investigated the influence of these land use designations on fire ignitions, fire extent, and fire severity over the last three decades. Although roadless areas experienced fewer fire ignitions and are generally cooler, moister, and higher elevation landscapes less conducive to fire, wildfire extent was far greater in these areas than in roaded areas. An area equivalent to approximately one-third of roadless areas burned in the last three decades, while an area equivalent to less than one-fifth of roaded areas experienced fire. Most of the largest fires that have burned on national forest land in recent years began in roadless areas. Despite greater fire extent in roadless areas, there was no significant difference in fire severity between roadless areas and roaded areas after accounting for biophysical differences between these management regimes. Although fire patterns in roadless areas may pose challenges to land managers, the available evidence suggests that the greater extent of fire in roadless areas may confer resilience to these landscapes in the face of climate change.