INTRODUCTION:Sacubitril/valsartan shows benefits in heart failure and may have kidney protective effects. Its impact on kidney tubular health in chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unclear. We evaluated the effects of sacubitril/valsartan on urinary markers of tubular dysfunction and injury in UK Heart and Renal Protection-III (HARP III, ISRCTN:11958993). METHODS:Urine tubular biomarkers were measured at baseline, 3 and 6 months using first morning void or spot urine samples among 411 participants from UK HARP III. A mixed model repeated measures approach was used to quantify the study average effect of treatment on the urine biomarkers. RESULTS:Compared to allocation to irbesartan, allocation to sacubitril/valsartan reduced neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL), a marker secreted in the distal tubules after ischemia and reperfusion, by 18% (95% CI: -32% to -1%). No significant changes were observed for the other biomarkers, and there was no evidence of effect modification by key baseline characteristics across all biomarkers studied. CONCLUSION:In UK HARP-III, sacubitril/valsartan reduced urinary NGAL compared with irbesartan but did not affect other tubular biomarkers of injury, ischemia, and fibrosis, suggesting limited tubular benefits, consistent with no observed effect on kidney function.

BACKGROUND:Urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) and urinary protein-creatinine ratio (UPCR) are both used in clinical practice to diagnose and monitor chronic kidney disease (CKD). Which measure exhibits stronger associations with clinical outcomes and whether this varies by patient characteristics are unknown. OBJECTIVE:To assess and compare the performance of UACR and UPCR across CKD-related clinical outcomes. DESIGN:Individual patient-level meta-analysis. SETTING:38 research and clinical cohorts. PARTICIPANTS:148 994 participants with same-day measurements of UACR and UPCR. MEASUREMENTS:We quantified the associations of UACR and UPCR with subsequent clinical outcomes, including kidney failure and cardiovascular events, using Cox proportional hazards regression. Analyses were done in each cohort, followed by random-effects meta-analysis. Subgroups included those based on severity of proteinuria, type 2 diabetes, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and glomerular disease. RESULTS:There were 148 994 participants and 9773 kidney failure events during a median of 3.8 years of follow-up. Higher UACR and UPCR both had a log-linear association with increased risk for kidney failure. The association with kidney failure was somewhat stronger for UACR (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] per SD increment, 2.55 [95% CI, 2.36 to 2.74]) than UPCR (HR, 2.40 [CI, 2.28 to 2.53]; P for comparison<0.001). Results were consistent to slightly stronger in subgroups with UACR greater than 30 mg/g, UPCR greater than 500 mg/g, eGFR less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, diabetes, and glomerular disease. Associations between UACR and UPCR were generally similar for cardiovascular outcomes but favored UACR in subgroups with moderately to severely elevated UACR. LIMITATION:Assessment of UACR and UPCR in spot urine samples. CONCLUSION:Overall, UACR was more strongly associated with kidney failure than UPCR (particularly in subgroups with higher UACR), supporting the use of UACR rather than UPCR to diagnose and risk-stratify patients. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE:National Kidney Foundation and National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.

Abstract Background Ethnic inequalities in acute health acute care are not well researched. We examined how attendee ethnicity influenced outcomes of emergency care in unselected patients presenting with a gastrointestinal (GI) disorder. Methods A descriptive, retrospective cohort analysis of anonymised patient level data for University Hospitals of Leicester emergency department attendees, from 1 January 2018 to 31 December 2021, receiving a diagnosis of a GI disorder was performed. The primary exposure of interest was self-reported ethnicity, and the two outcomes studied were admission to hospital and whether patients underwent clinical investigations. Confounding variables including sex and age, deprivation index and illness acuity were adjusted for in the analysis. Chi-squared and Kruskal–Wallis tests were used to examine ethnic differences across outcome measures and covariates. Multivariable logistic regression was used to examine associations between ethnicity and outcome measures. Results Of 34,337 individuals, median age 43 years, identified as attending the ED with a GI disorder, 68.6% were White. Minority ethnic patients were significantly younger than White patients. Multiple emergency department attendance rates were similar for all ethnicities (overall 18.3%). White patients had the highest median number of investigations (6, IQR 3–7), whereas those from mixed ethnic groups had the lowest (2, IQR 0–6). After adjustment for age, sex, year of attendance, index of multiple deprivation and illness acuity, all ethnic minority groups remained significantly less likely to be investigated for their presenting illness compared to White patients (Asian: aOR 0.80, 95% CI 0.74–0.87; Black: 0.67, 95% CI 0.58–0.79; mixed: 0.71, 95% CI 0.59–0.86; other: 0.79, 95% CI 0.67–0.93; p < 0.0001 for all). Similarly, after adjustment, minority ethnic attendees were also significantly less likely to be admitted to hospital (Asian: aOR 0.63, 95% CI 0.60–0.67; Black: 0.60, 95% CI 0.54–0.68; mixed: 0.60, 95% CI 0.51–0.71; other: 0.61, 95% CI 0.54–0.69; p < 0.0001 for all). Conclusions Significant differences in usage patterns and disparities in acute care outcomes for patients of different ethnicities with GI disorders were observed in this study. These differences persisted after adjustment both for confounders and for measures of deprivation and illness acuity and indicate that minority ethnic individuals are less likely to be investigated or admitted to hospital than White patients.

In order to train a future workforce able to meet the needs of its patients it is vital to ensure that opportunities to engage in research are inbuilt to training programmes. This strategy meets national recommendations recently published by NIHR, RCP and GMC. A nationally funded expansion of 'standard' Foundation programmes offers a unique opportunity to develop innovative new posts which include exposure to clinical research. In NHSE Midlands a pilot Foundation Year two (F2) post in Diabetes Research was implemented in August 2022, embedded into a standard Foundation programme. Subjective evaluation of the post, by F2 doctors and trainers, has been very positive and a further two posts in Research and Innovation commence August 2023 and 2024. These unique and geographically co-located programmes also aim to support the widening participation in medicine agenda. This model could be adapted within any Foundation School.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a risk factor of chronic kidney disease, without specific treatment. This study investigated the effect of co-treatment using erythropoietin-derived helix B surface peptide (HBSP) and caspase-3 small interfering RNA (CASP3siRNA) on preventing fibrosis post AKI in order to achieve better efficacy by different action mechanisms. Ischemia-reperfusion (IR) in mice was induced by clamping bilateral renal pedicles for 30 min followed by 2-week reperfusion, with HBSP and/or CASP3siRNA administered at the onset of IR. Serum creatinine, apoptosis, active caspase-3 and high mobility group protein B1 (HMGB1) in kidneys were decreased by HBSP, CASP3siRNA or both, with increased PCNA. α-SMA expression and collagen I deposition were also reduced by CASP3siRNA and both. Most interestingly, the co-treatment further reduced tubulointerstitial damage and fibrosis, but raised PCNA compared to CASP3siRNA. EPOR/βcR was reduced by HBSP, and positively correlated with Sirius red staining, whereas EPOR was unchanged. In TCMK-1 cells, H2O2 raised apoptosis and α-SMA were reduced by HBSP, while the same was occurred to HMGB1. However, HMGB1 was further increased by EPOR siRNA under H2O2 stimulation with/without HBSP treatment. In conclusion, this study demonstrated synergistic long-term renoprotection post IR-AKI by HBSP and CASP3siRNA, which may be due to co-inhibiting inflammation and stimulating repair at early stage, and subsequently preventing fibrosis.

Significance Statement The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) uses age, sex, GFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) to predict 2- and 5-year risk of kidney failure in populations with eGFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2. However, the CKD-EPI 2021 creatinine equation for eGFR is now recommended for use but has not been fully tested in the context of KFRE. In 59 cohorts comprising 312,424 patients with CKD, the authors assessed the predictive performance and calibration associated with the use of the CKD-EPI 2021 equation and whether additional variables and accounting for the competing risk of death improves the KFRE's performance. The KFRE generally performed well using the CKD-EPI 2021 eGFR in populations with eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m2 and was not improved by adding the 2-year prior eGFR slope and cardiovascular comorbidities. Background The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) uses age, sex, GFR, and urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) to predict kidney failure risk in people with GFR <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Methods Using 59 cohorts with 312,424 patients with CKD, we tested several modifications to the KFRE for their potential to improve the KFRE: using the CKD-EPI 2021 creatinine equation for eGFR, substituting 1-year average ACR for single-measure ACR and 1-year average eGFR in participants with high eGFR variability, and adding 2-year prior eGFR slope and cardiovascular comorbidities. We also assessed calibration of the KFRE in subgroups of eGFR and age before and after accounting for the competing risk of death. Results The KFRE remained accurate and well calibrated overall using the CKD-EPI 2021 eGFR equation. The other modifications did not improve KFRE performance. In subgroups of eGFR 45–59 ml/min per 1.73 m2 and in older adults using the 5-year time horizon, the KFRE demonstrated systematic underprediction and overprediction, respectively. We developed and tested a new model with a spline term in eGFR and incorporating the competing risk of mortality, resulting in more accurate calibration in those specific subgroups but not overall. Conclusions The original KFRE is generally accurate for eGFR <45 ml/min per 1.73 m2 when using the CKD-EPI 2021 equation. Incorporating competing risk methodology and splines for eGFR may improve calibration in low-risk settings with longer time horizons. Including historical averages, eGFR slopes, or a competing risk design did not meaningfully alter KFRE performance in most circumstances.

Background The kidney failure risk equation (KFRE) predicts the 2- and 5-year risk of needing kidney replacement therapy (KRT) using four risk factors — age, sex, urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) and creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Although the KFRE has been recalibrated in a UK cohort, this did not consider minority ethnic groups. Further validation of the KFRE in different ethnicities is a research priority. The KFRE also does not consider the competing risk of death, which may lead to overestimation of KRT risk. This study externally validates the KFRE for patients of South Asian ethnicity and compares methods for accounting for ethnicity and the competing event of death. Methods Data were gathered from an established UK cohort containing 35,539 individuals diagnosed with chronic kidney disease. The KFRE was externally validated and updated in several ways taking into account ethnicity, using recognised methods for time-to-event data, including the competing risk of death. A clinical impact assessment compared the updated models through consideration of referrals made to secondary care. Results The external validation showed the risk of KRT differed by ethnicity. Model validation performance improved when incorporating ethnicity and its interactions with ACR and eGFR as additional risk factors. Furthermore, accounting for the competing risk of death improved prediction. Using criteria of 5 years ≥ 5% predicted KRT risk, the competing risks model resulted in an extra 3 unnecessary referrals (0.59% increase) but identified an extra 1 KRT case (1.92% decrease) compared to the previous best model. Hybrid criteria of predicted risk using the competing risks model and ACR ≥ 70 mg/mmol should be used in referrals to secondary care. Conclusions The accuracy of KFRE prediction improves when updated to consider South Asian ethnicity and to account for the competing risk of death. This may reduce unnecessary referrals whilst identifying risks of KRT and could further individualise the KFRE and improve its clinical utility. Further research should consider other ethnicities.

Thyroid hormones play a critical role in regulation of multiple physiological functions and thyroid dysfunction is associated with substantial morbidity. Here, we use electronic health records to undertake a genome-wide association study of thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels, with a total sample size of 247,107. We identify 158 novel genetic associations, more than doubling the number of known associations with TSH, and implicate 112 putative causal genes, of which 76 are not previously implicated. A polygenic score for TSH is associated with TSH levels in African, South Asian, East Asian, Middle Eastern and admixed American ancestries, and associated with hypothyroidism and other thyroid disease in South Asians. In Europeans, the TSH polygenic score is associated with thyroid disease, including thyroid cancer and age-of-onset of hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism. We develop pathway-specific genetic risk scores for TSH levels and use these in phenome-wide association studies to identify potential consequences of pathway perturbation. Together, these findings demonstrate the potential utility of genetic associations to inform future therapeutics and risk prediction for thyroid diseases.

Abstract Aims Donor obesity has increased over the last decade. The aim of this study was to assess the effect of donor obesity on fibrosis in pre-implantation biopsy and kidney outcomes in live kidney transplants. Methods A series of 288 live kidney donors between 1998 and 2010 were studied. The series was divided into three groups according to the donor Body Mass Index (BMI); Normal BMI 17-24.9 (n=119), overweight BMI 25–29.9 (n=118) and obese BMI ≥30 (n=51). Donor and recipient demographics were gathered and recipient post-transplant renal function up to five years was retrieved. Fibrosis level in pre-implantation biopsies was analysed and graft and recipient survival were assessed. Results Hypertension and live kidney donor profile index LKDPI were statistically significantly higher in obese donors compared with non-obese donors (p=0.004 and p<0.001 respectively). Donor creatinine levels for obese group were comparable to the other two groups over three post-operative years (p=0.933). Fibrosis analysis showed no statistically significant difference among the three BMI groups (p=0.063). Donor obese group had statistically significant higher 5 year graft and patient loss rate compared with non-obese BMI groups (p=0.018 and p=0.015 respectively). Recipient post-operative creatinine levels showed no statistically significant differences among the three BMI groups (p=0.393). Similarly, fibrosis in pre-implantation biopsies had no statistically significant impact on recipient post-operative creatinine levels (p=0.243). Conclusions Donor obesity has no significant impact on fibrosis in the pre-implantation biopsy and on recipient post-operative kidney function. However, Donor obesity results in lower five-year graft and patient survival rate.

Introduction: Contemporary differences between South Asian and White ethnicities in the incidence of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and mortality are poorly described.ethods: Data for all South Asian patients who had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) mea -sure after January 1, 2006, and 1 million randomly selected participants of other ethnicities were extracted from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). All participants were followed-up with from index date until ESKD, all-cause mortality, or end of study. All-cause mortality rate and ESKD incidence rate by age were described among Whites and South Asians, and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of these 2 outcomes by baseline eGFR estimated using Cox proportional hazard model. Results: A total of 40,888 South Asians and 236,634 Whites were followed for a median of 5.3 and 9.4 years for ESKD incidence and mortality outcomes, respectively. All-cause mortality rates were higher among Whites than South Asians; South Asian women aged between 70 and 85 years had a slightly higher ESKD incidence rate compared to their White counterparts. Compared to Whites with a baseline eGFR of 90 ml/ min per 1.73 m2, adjusted HRs for all-cause mortality were significantly lower among South Asians than Whites; however, adjusted HRs for ESKD incidence by baseline eGFR were similar in both ethnicities. Calculating South Asian eGFRs using an ethnicity-specific equation had no impact on the results. Conclusions: South Asians experience lower mortality than Whites but not substantially higher rates of ESKD. Further research is warranted to better understand the reasons for these ethnic differences and possible impacts on chronic kidney disease (CKD) service delivery and patient outcomes.

Aims Chronic kidney disease (CKD) increases risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Less is known about how CVD associates with future risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT). Methods and results The study included 25 903 761 individuals from the CKD Prognosis Consortium with known baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and evaluated the impact of prevalent and incident coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, heart failure (HF), and atrial fibrillation (AF) events as time-varying exposures on KFRT outcomes. Mean age was 53 (standard deviation 17) years and mean eGFR was 89 mL/min/1.73 m(2), 15% had diabetes and 8.4% had urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR) available (median 13 mg/g); 9.5% had prevalent CHD, 3.2% prior stroke, 3.3% HF, and 4.4% prior AF. During follow-up, there were 269 142 CHD, 311 021 stroke, 712 556 HF, and 605 596 AF incident events and 101 044 (0.4%) patients experienced KFRT. Both prevalent and incident CVD were associated with subsequent KFRT with adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 3.1 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.9-3.3], 2.0 (1.9-2.1), 4.5 (4.2-4.9), 2.8 (2.7-3.1) after incident CHD, stroke, HF and AF, respectively. HRs were highest in first 3 months post-CVD incidence declining to baseline after 3 years. Incident HF hospitalizations showed the strongest association with KFRT [HR 46 (95% CI: 43-50) within 3 months] after adjustment for other CVD subtype incidence. Conclusion Incident CVD events strongly and independently associate with future KFRT risk, most notably after HF, then CHD, stroke, and AF. Optimal strategies for addressing the dramatic risk of KFRT following CVD events are needed.

Importance:Chronic kidney disease (low estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] or albuminuria) affects approximately 14% of adults in the US.Objective:To evaluate associations of lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine combined with cystatin C, and more severe albuminuria with adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular outcomes, and other health outcomes.Design, Setting, and Participants:Individual-participant data meta-analysis of 27 503 140 individuals from 114 global cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine alone) and 720 736 individuals from 20 cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C) and 9 067 753 individuals from 114 cohorts (albuminuria) from 1980 to 2021.Exposures:The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration 2021 equations for eGFR based on creatinine alone and eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C; and albuminuria estimated as urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR).Main Outcomes and Measures:The risk of kidney failure requiring replacement therapy, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, acute kidney injury, any hospitalization, coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and peripheral artery disease. The analyses were performed within each cohort and summarized with random-effects meta-analyses.Results:Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine alone (mean age, 54 years [SD, 17 years]; 51% were women; mean follow-up time, 4.8 years [SD, 3.3 years]), the mean eGFR was 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 11 mg/g (IQR, 8-16 mg/g). Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C (mean age, 59 years [SD, 12 years]; 53% were women; mean follow-up time, 10.8 years [SD, 4.1 years]), the mean eGFR was 88 mL/min/1.73 m2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m2) and the median UACR was 9 mg/g (IQR, 6-18 mg/g). Lower eGFR (whether based on creatinine alone or based on creatinine and cystatin C) and higher UACR were each significantly associated with higher risk for each of the 10 adverse outcomes, including those in the mildest categories of chronic kidney disease. For example, among people with a UACR less than 10 mg/g, an eGFR of 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m2 based on creatinine alone was associated with significantly higher hospitalization rates compared with an eGFR of 90 to 104 mL/min/1.73 m2 (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.3 [95% CI, 1.2-1.3]; 161 vs 79 events per 1000 person-years; excess absolute risk, 22 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI, 19-25 events per 1000 person-years]).Conclusions and Relevance:In this retrospective analysis of 114 cohorts, lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C, and more severe UACR were each associated with increased rates of 10 adverse outcomes, including adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, and hospitalizations.

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is one of the leading causes of death worldwide. Around 13% of the world’s population are living with CKD and over the last 20 years there has been over a 40% increase in mortality rates due to CKD 1,2.

Phagocytosis plays vital roles in injury and repair, while its regulation by properdin and innate repair receptor, a heterodimer receptor of erythropoietin receptor (EPOR)/β common receptor (βcR), in renal ischaemia-reperfusion (IR) remains unclear. Properdin, a pattern recognition molecule, facilitates phagocytosis by opsonizing damaged cells. Our previous study showed that the phagocytic function of tubular epithelial cells isolated from properdin knockout (PKO) mouse kidneys was compromised, with upregulated EPOR in IR kidneys that was further raised by PKO at repair phase. Here, helix B surface peptide (HBSP), derived from EPO only recognizing EPOR/βcR, ameliorated IR-induced functional and structural damage in both PKO and wild-type (WT) mice. In particular, HBSP treatment led to less cell apoptosis and F4/80+ macrophage infiltration in the interstitium of PKO IR kidneys compared to the WT control. In addition, the expression of EPOR/βcR was increased by IR in WT kidneys, and furthered increased in IR PKO kidneys, but greatly reduced by HBSP in the IR kidneys of PKO mice. HBSP also increased PCNA expression in IR kidneys of both genotypes. Moreover, iridium-labelled HBSP (HBSP-Ir) was localized mainly in the tubular epithelia after 17-h renal IR in WT mice. HBSP-Ir also anchored to mouse kidney epithelial (TCMK-1) cells treated by H2O2. Both EPOR and EPOR/βcR were significantly increased by H2O2 treatment, while further increased EPOR was showed in cells transfected with small interfering RNA (siRNA) targeting properdin, but a lower level of EPOR was seen in EPOR siRNA and HBSP-treated cells. The number of early apoptotic cells was increased by EPOR siRNA in H2O2-treated TCMK-1, but markedly reversed by HBSP. The phagocytic function of TCMK-1 cells assessed by uptake fluorescence-labelled E.coli was enhanced by HBSP dose-dependently. Our data demonstrate for the first time that HBSP improves the phagocytic function of tubular epithelial cells and kidney repair post IR injury, via upregulated EPOR/βcR triggered by both IR and properdin deficiency.

Importance Chronic kidney disease (low estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR] or albuminuria) affects approximately 14% of adults in the US. Objective To evaluate associations of lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine combined with cystatin C, and more severe albuminuria with adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular outcomes, and other health outcomes. Design, Setting, and Participants Individual-participant data meta-analysis of 27 503 140 individuals from 114 global cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine alone) and 720 736 individuals from 20 cohorts (eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C) and 9 067 753 individuals from 114 cohorts (albuminuria) from 1980 to 2021. Exposures The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration 2021 equations for eGFR based on creatinine alone and eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C; and albuminuria estimated as urine albumin to creatinine ratio (UACR). Main Outcomes and Measures The risk of kidney failure requiring replacement therapy, all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, acute kidney injury, any hospitalization, coronary heart disease, stroke, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and peripheral artery disease. The analyses were performed within each cohort and summarized with random-effects meta-analyses. Results Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine alone (mean age, 54 years [SD, 17 years]; 51% were women; mean follow-up time, 4.8 years [SD, 3.3 years]), the mean eGFR was 90 mL/min/1.73 m 2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m 2 ) and the median UACR was 11 mg/g (IQR, 8-16 mg/g). Within the population using eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C (mean age, 59 years [SD, 12 years]; 53% were women; mean follow-up time, 10.8 years [SD, 4.1 years]), the mean eGFR was 88 mL/min/1.73 m 2 (SD, 22 mL/min/1.73 m 2 ) and the median UACR was 9 mg/g (IQR, 6-18 mg/g). Lower eGFR (whether based on creatinine alone or based on creatinine and cystatin C) and higher UACR were each significantly associated with higher risk for each of the 10 adverse outcomes, including those in the mildest categories of chronic kidney disease. For example, among people with a UACR less than 10 mg/g, an eGFR of 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m 2 based on creatinine alone was associated with significantly higher hospitalization rates compared with an eGFR of 90 to 104 mL/min/1.73 m 2 (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.3 [95% CI, 1.2-1.3]; 161 vs 79 events per 1000 person-years; excess absolute risk, 22 events per 1000 person-years [95% CI, 19-25 events per 1000 person-years]). Conclusions and Relevance In this retrospective analysis of 114 cohorts, lower eGFR based on creatinine alone, lower eGFR based on creatinine and cystatin C, and more severe UACR were each associated with increased rates of 10 adverse outcomes, including adverse kidney outcomes, cardiovascular diseases, and hospitalizations.

Background Little is known about how asymptomatic testing as a method to control transmission of COVID-19 can be implemented, and the prevalence of asymptomatic infection within university populations. The objective of this study was to investigate how to effectively set-up and implement a COVID-19 testing programme using novel reverse transcriptase loop-mediated isothermal amplification (RT-LAMP) technology and to quantify the scale of asymptomatic infection on a university campus. Methods An observational study to describe the set-up and implementation of a novel COVID-19 testing programme on a UK university campus between September and December 2020. RT-LAMP testing was used to identify asymptomatic cases. Results A total of 1,673 tests were performed using RT-LAMP during the study period, of which 9 were positive for COVID-19, giving an overall positivity rate of 0.54%, equivalent to a rate in the tested population of 538 cases per 100,000 over the duration of testing. All positive tests were found to be positive on RT-PCR testing, giving a false positive rate of 0%. Conclusions This study shows that it is possible to rapidly setup a universal university testing programme for COVID-19 in collaboration with local healthcare providers using RT-LAMP testing. Positive results were comparable to those in the local population, though with a different peak of infection. Further research to inform the design of the testing programme includes focus groups of those who underwent testing and further interrogation of the demographics of those opting to be tested to identify potential access problems or inequalities.

ABSTRACT Background Leicester was the first city in the UK to have ‘local lockdown’ measures imposed in response to high community rates of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission. As part of this response, a directive was issued by NHS England to offer testing of asymptomatic healthcare workers (HCWs) at University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust (UHL) for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Methods Between 20 July and 14 August 2020, we invited all HCWs at UHL to attend for SARS-CoV-2 testing by nucleic acid amplification (NAAT). We combined the result of this assay with demographic information from the electronic staff record. Results A total of 1150 staff (~8% of the workforce) volunteered. The median age was 46 years (IQR 34–55), 972 (84.5%) were female; 234 (20.4%) were of South Asian and 58 (5.0%) of Black ethnicity; 564 (49.0%) were nurses/healthcare assistants. We found no cases of asymptomatic infection. In comparison, average community test positivity rate in Leicester city was 2.6%. Conclusions Within the context of local lockdowns due to high community transmission rates, voluntary testing of asymptomatic staff has low uptake and low yield and thus its premise and cost-effectiveness should be re-considered.

Background and Objectives Risk factors for cardiovascular disease in chronic kidney disease differ to the general population due to the increased role of inflammation, calcification and arteriosclerosis. Over 350 cardiovascular risk models ('models') exist in the general population but most have not undergone testing ('external validation') in other populations, such as cohorts with chronic kidney disease. We aimed to update a previous systematic review of models in chronic kidney disease and then perform external validation of these and general population models in a chronic kidney disease cohort. Design, Setting, Participants and Measurements We searched Medline up to 26th August 2020 for models in chronic kidney disease. We performed external validation of models using a primary care chronic kidney disease cohort of 17,248 individuals with 2,072 (12.0%) cardiovascular events, 5,108 (29.6%) deaths and a median follow-up of 5.0 years. Model discrimination and calibration was assessed and where appropriate models were re-calibrated. Multiple imputation was used to account for missing data. Results Seven chronic kidney disease specific models were identified. These models and three general population models underwent external validation. All models had worse discrimination of events than in their original cohorts, particularly in the chronic kidney disease specific models. General population models were miscalibrated and overpredicted risk. The major contributor to this was the high competing risk of death from non-cardiovascular causes. Conclusions Existing chronic kidney disease cardiovascular risk models performed poorly in external validation. General population cardiovascular disease risk models should be interpreted with caution in individuals with chronic kidney disease as they may overestimate risk due to the competing risk of death. Further development of models to include simultaneous risk prediction for cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular disease risk is required.

Purpose To demonstrate the diagnostic performance of rapid SARS-CoV-2 RT-LAMP assays, comparing the performance of genomic versus sub-genomic sequence target with subsequent application in an asymptomatic screening population. Methods RT-LAMP diagnostic specificity (DSe) and sensitivity (DSe) was determined using 114 RT-PCR clinically positive and 88 RT-PCR clinically negative swab samples processed through the diagnostic RT-PCR service within the University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust. A swab-based RT-LAMP SARS-CoV-2 screening programme was subsequently made available to all staff and students at the University of Leicester (Autumn 2020), implemented to ISO 15189:2012 standards using NHS IT infrastructure and supported by University Hospital Leicester via confirmatory NHS diagnostic laboratory testing of RT-LAMP ‘positive’ samples. Results Validation samples reporting a Ct < 20 were detected at 100% DSe and DSp, reducing to 95% DSe (100% DSp) for all samples reporting a Ct < 30 (both genomic dual sub-genomic assays). Advisory screening identified nine positive cases in 1680 symptom free individuals (equivalent to 540 cases per 100,000) with results reported back to participants and feed into national statistics within 48 hours. Conclusion This work demonstrates the utility of a rapid RT-LAMP assay for collapsing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in an asymptomatic screening population.