Having the ability to accurately and effectively obtain soil organic carbon (SOC) spatial information is critical for assessing soil carbon sequestration capacity and mitigating climate change. However, there remains a significant research gap in the collaborative application of multi-source data and their impact on model estimation accuracy. This gap limits the ability to assess soil carbon pools accurately. Therefore, we propose a data-model fusion framework that uses three types of multi-source data-environmental variables, optical remote sensing, and synthetic aperture radar (SAR)- along with three machine learning algorithms to predict SOC. We conducted data fusion of SOC field observation data and model simulations using high-accuracy surface modeling (HASM). The results showed that: (1) The data VII combination, which incorporates all three data types, paired with support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) models, obtained higher prediction accuracy (R2 increased by 4 % - 53 %, and RMSE decreased by 18 % - 25 %) compared to other data combinations. (2) After data fusion using HASM, simulation accuracy improved significantly (R2 increased by 18 % - 22 %, and RMSE decreased by 2 % - 12 %). Additionally, the spatial distribution pattern was more reasonable, with corrections made to previously underestimated and overestimated SOC content. This study demonstrates that multi-source data fusion combined with machine learning techniques can achieve optimal results for SOC prediction. This approach provides an accurate and novel method for estimating SOC at national and global scales and offers scientific guidance for the spatial planning of terrestrial carbon sink strategies.
Understanding the driving forces of land use and land cover change (LUCC) is crucial for revealing the coupled dynamics of human-land systems and supporting optimized spatial planning and resource allocation. To overcome the limitations of conventional Geodetector applications in mountainous regions with complex terrain, this study proposes a terrain-population dual-factor adaptive grid designed for use with the Geodetector model. This adaptive grid refines cells in steep and densely populated areas while merging cells in flatter and sparsely populated regions, thus capturing both natural and socioeconomic heterogeneity. Coupled with the Geodetector model, this framework improves the accuracy and computational efficiency of identifying LUCC drivers. Using the Chongqing Metropolitan Area (CMA) as a case study, LUCC dynamics and their driving mechanisms were systematically examined based on five annual land cover datasets (from 2000 to 2020 at five-year intervals.). The results show the following: (1) From 2000 to 2020, cropland, forest land, and built-up land were the dominant land use types. During this period, cropland and forest land declined, whereas built-up land expanded continuously, with the most pronounced changes occurring between 2000 and 2010. (2) The dominant drivers of LUCC shifted over time: socioeconomic factors such as population density and GDP were primary drivers from 2000 to 2010, while both natural and socioeconomic factors exerted strong influence between 2010 and 2020. (3) The proposed terrain-population dual-factor irregular grid performed better than traditional regular grids in detecting socioeconomic drivers while retaining comparable explanatory power for natural factors. Compared with traditional regular grids, with an average q-value improvement of 18.7% and a 55.52% reduction in sampling points, resulting in substantially improved computational efficiency. Overall, the proposed method enhances the applicability of Geodetector in complex mountainous cities and provides practical implications for urban land use regulation and refined spatial management.
Rice, as one of the world’s three major staple crops, provides a food source for nearly half of the global population. Timely and accurate acquisition of rice cultivation information is crucial for optimizing spatial distribution, guiding production practices, and safeguarding food security. Taking Bishan District of Chongqing as the study area, NDVI values were derived from Sentinel-2 satellite imagery to construct standard NDVI time-series curves for typical land-cover types, including paddy fields, dryland, water bodies, construction land, and forest and grassland. These curves were then used in the NDVI time-series characteristics method to identify paddy fields. First, the Euclidean distance between the standard NDVI time series of paddy fields and those of other land-cover types was calculated. The sum of these element-wise differences was used to determine the upper threshold for paddy field extraction. Second, the mean absolute deviation between elements of the rice sample dataset and the standard NDVI time series was calculated for each time step. The sum of these average deviations was used as the lower threshold to extract the initial paddy field data. On this basis, an extreme-value constraint was introduced to reduce the interference of mixed pixels from forest and grassland and construction land, effectively eliminating anomalous pixels and improving the accuracy of paddy field identification. Finally, the results were validated and compared with those from other extraction methods. The results indicate that: (1) Paddy fields exhibit distinct NDVI time-series characteristics throughout the entire growing season, which can serve as a reference standard. By calculating the Euclidean distance between the NDVI curves of other land-cover types and those of paddy fields, similarity can be quantified, enabling rice identification. (2) The extraction method based on NDVI time-series characteristics successfully identified paddy fields through the appropriate setting of thresholds. The overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient remained high, while the F1-score consistently exceeded 0.8, indicating a good balance between precision and recall. Furthermore, the bootstrap uncertainty analysis revealed narrow 95% confidence intervals across all metrics, confirming the robustness and statistical reliability of the results. Overall, the proposed method demonstrated excellent performance in paddy field classification and significantly outperformed traditional machine learning methods implemented on the GEE platform. (3) Mixed pixels considerably affected the accuracy of rice classification; however, the introduction of the extreme-value constraint effectively mitigated this influence and further improved classification results.
>1. Introduction Malthus (1798) was one of the earliest researchers to propose a coupled human-natural system (CHANS) model, particularly in his analysis of the relationship between population growth and food supply. He argued that while population grows geometrically, food supply increases only arithmetically, suggesting that this imbalance could eventually lead to a food crisis due to diminishing per capita food availability (Malthus, 1798).
Rice is a globally important food crop, and it is crucial to accurately and conveniently obtain information on rice fields, understand their spatial patterns, and grasp their dynamic changes to address food security challenges. In this study, Chongqing’s Yongchuan District was selected as the research area. By utilizing UAVs (Unmanned Aerial Vehicles) to collect multi-spectral remote sensing data during three seasons, the phenological characteristics of rice fields were analyzed using the NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index). Based on Sentinel data with a resolution of 10 m, the NDVI difference method was used to extract rice fields between 2019 and 2023. Furthermore, the reasons for changes in rice fields over the five years were also analyzed. First, a simulation model of the rice harvesting period was constructed using data from 32 sampling points through multiple regression analysis. Based on the model, the study area was classified into six categories, and the necessary data for each region were identified. Next, the NDVI values for the pre-harvest and post-harvest periods of rice fields, as well as the differences between them, were calculated for various regions. Additionally, every year, 35 samples of rice fields were chosen from high-resolution images provided by Google. The thresholds for extracting rice fields were determined by statistically analyzing the difference in NDVI values within the sample area. By utilizing these thresholds, rice fields corresponding to six harvesting regions were extracted separately. The rice fields extracted from different regions were merged to obtain the rice fields for the study area from 2019 to 2023, and the accuracy of the extraction results was verified. Then, based on five years of rice fields in the study area, we analyzed them from both temporal and spatial perspectives. In the temporal analysis, a transition matrix of rice field changes and the calculation of the rice fields’ dynamic degree were utilized to examine the temporal changes. The spatial changes were analyzed by incorporating DEM (Digital Elevation Model) data. Finally, a logistic regression model was employed to investigate the causes of both temporal and spatial changes in the rice fields. The study results indicated the following: (1) The simulation model of the rice harvesting period can quickly and accurately determine the best period of remote sensing images needed to extract rice fields. (2) The confusion matrix shows the effectiveness of the NDVI difference method in extracting rice fields. (3) The total area of rice fields in the study area did not change much each year, but there were still significant spatial adjustments. Over the five years, the spatial distribution of gained rice fields was relatively uniform, while the lost rice fields showed obvious regional differences. In combination with the analysis of altitude, it tended to grow in lower areas. (4) The logistic regression analysis revealed that gained rice fields tended to be found in regions with convenient irrigation, flat terrain, lower altitude, and proximity to residential areas. Conversely, lost rice fields were typically located in areas with inconvenient irrigation, long distance from residential areas, low population, and negative topography.
Land Use and Land Cover Change (LUCC) represents the interaction between human societies and the natural environment. Studies of LUCC simulation allow for the analysis of Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) patterns in a given region. Moreover, these studies enable the simulation of complex future LUCC scenarios by integrating multiple factors. Such studies can provide effective means for optimizing and making decisions about the future patterns of a region. This review conducted a literature search on geographic models and simulations in the Web of Science database. From the literature, we summarized the basic steps of spatiotemporal dynamic simulation of LUCC. The focus was on the current major models, analyzing their characteristics and limitations, and discussing their expanded applications in land use. This review reveals that current research still faces challenges such as data uncertainty, necessitating the advancement of more diverse data and new technologies. Future research can enhance the precision and applicability of studies by improving models and methods, integrating big data and multi-scale data, and employing multi-model coupling and various algorithmic experiments for comparison. This would support the advancement of land use spatiotemporal dynamic simulation research to higher levels.
To meet the challenge of food security, it is necessary to obtain information about rice fields accurately, quickly and conveniently. In this study, based on the analysis of existing rice fields extraction methods and the characteristics of intra-annual variation of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) in the different types of ground features, the NDVI difference method is used to extract rice fields using Sentinel data based on the unique feature of rice fields having large differences in vegetation between the pre-harvest and post-harvest periods. Firstly, partial correlation analysis is used to study the influencing factors of the rice harvesting period, and a simulation model of the rice harvesting period is constructed by multiple regression analysis with data from 32 sample points. Sentinel data of the pre-harvest and post-harvest periods of rice fields are determined based on the selected rice harvesting period. The NDVI values of the rice fields are calculated for both the pre-harvest and post-harvest periods, and 33 samples of the rice fields are selected from the high-resolution image. The threshold value for rice field extraction is determined through statistical analysis of the NDVI difference in the sample area. This threshold was then utilized to extract the initial extent of rice fields. Secondly, to address the phenomenon of the "water edge effect" in the initial data, the water extraction method based on the normalized difference water index (NDWI) is used to remove the pixels of water edges. Finally, the extraction results are verified and analyzed for accuracy. The study results show that: (1) The rice harvesting period is significantly correlated with altitude and latitude, with coefficients of 0.978 and 0.922, respectively, and the simulation model of the harvesting period can effectively determine the best period of remote sensing images needed to extract rice fields; (2) The NDVI difference method based on sentinel data for rice fields extraction is excellent; (3) The mixed pixels have a large impact on the accuracy of rice fields extraction, due to the water edge effect. Combining NDWI can effectively reduce the water edge effect and significantly improve the accuracy of rice field extraction.
Soil organic carbon (SOC) changes affect the land carbon cycle and are also closely related to climate change. Visible-near infrared spectroscopy (Vis-NIRS) has proven to be an effective tool in predicting soil properties. Spectral transformations are necessary to reduce noise and ensemble learning methods can improve the estimation accuracy of SOC. Yet, it is still unclear which is the optimal ensemble learning method exploiting the results of spectral transformations to accurately simulate SOC content changes in the Three-Rivers Source Region of China. In this study, 272 soil samples were collected and used to build the Vis-NIRS simulation models for SOC content. The ensemble learning was conducted by the building of stack models. Sixteen combinations were produced by eight spectral transformations (S-G, LR, MSC, CR, FD, LRFD, MSCFD and CRFD) and two machine learning models of RF and XGBoost. Then, the prediction results of these 16 combinations were used to build the first-step stack models (Stack1, Stack2, Stack3). The next-step stack models (Stack4, Stack5, Stack6) were then made after the input variables were optimized based on the threshold of the feature importance of the first-step stack models (importance > 0.05). The results in this study showed that the stack models method obtained higher accuracy than the single model and transformations method. Among the six stack models, Stack 6 (5 selected combinations + XGBoost) showed the best simulation performance (RMSE = 7.3511, R2 = 0.8963, and RPD = 3.0139, RPIQ = 3.339), and obtained higher accuracy than Stack3 (16 combinations + XGBoost). Overall, our results suggested that the ensemble learning of spectral transformations and simulation models can improve the estimation accuracy of the SOC content. This study can provide useful suggestions for the high-precision estimation of SOC in the alpine ecosystem.
With the development of smart mobile devices and global positioning technology, people's daily travel has become increasingly dependent on online car-hailing. Meanwhile, it has also become possible to use multi-source data to explore the factors influencing urban residents' car-hailing trips. Using online data on car-hailing trajectories, points of interest (POIs) data and other auxiliary data, the paper explores how the built environment impacts online car-hailing passengers. Within a 200 x 200m research grid, the unique spatiotemporal patterns of weekday car-hailing trips during a one-week period are analyzed, using statistics on pick-ups and drop-offs at different time of the day. By combining these data with built environment variables and various economic and traffic indicators, a multi-scale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) model is developed for different time scales. The MGWR model outperforms the classical geographically weighted regression (GWR) model and the ordinary least squares (OLS) regression model in terms of goodness of fit and all other aspects. More importantly, this study finds a high degree of temporal and spatial heterogeneity in the impact of built environment factors on local car-hailing trips across different regions, and the paper analyzes the business residence coefficient in detail. The study provides valuable insights to help improve the level of urban transportation services, as well as urban transportation planning and construction.
等高线蕴含的历史高程信息可有效延长地形研究的时间序列,有利于深入挖掘地形变化长期规律,然而,图幅接边处的高程属性错误降低了等高线的数据质量,制约着等高线高程信息的实际应用.针对这一问题,该文提出一种基于层次格网索引的图幅接边处等高线高程错误识别和自动修正方法:首先,将层次格网索引与方向性二邻域算法相结合,以减少数据重复计算;然后,利用等高线空间位置标签及快速排序算法构建强空间位置关系,解决图幅接边处等高线匹配的准确性问题;最后,以高程冲突位点为驱动因子进行逻辑判断,实现等高线高程错误的识别及自动修正.实验结果表明:该方法运算效率较未进行效率优化时提高了203倍,接边处等高线高程错误识别与修正精度的最大值分别达97.71%和91.40%;相较于现有方法,该方法在精度和效率方面表现更佳,对区域性错误和变形等高线具有更高的适用性.
Dams can effectively regulate the spatial and temporal distribution of water resources, where the rationality of dam siting determines whether the role of dams can be effectively performed. This paper reviews the research literature on dam siting in the past 20 years, discusses the methods used for dam siting, focuses on the factors influencing dam siting, and assesses the impact of different dam functions on siting factors. The results show the following: (1) Existing siting methods can be categorized into three types-namely, GIS/RS-based siting, MCDM- and MCDM-GIS-based siting, and machine learning-based siting. GIS/RS emphasizes the ability to capture and analyze data, MCDM has the advantage of weighing the importance of the relationship between multiple factors, and machine learning methods have a strong ability to learn and process complex data. (2) Site selection factors vary greatly, depending on the function of the dam. For dams with irrigation and water supply as the main purpose, the site selection is more focused on the evaluation of water quality. For dams with power generation as the main purpose, the hydrological factors characterizing the power generation potential are the most important. For dams with flood control as the main purpose, the topography and geological conditions are more important. (3) The integration of different siting methods and the siting of new functional dams in the existing research is not sufficient. Future research should focus on the integration of different methods and disciplines, in order to explore the siting of new types of dams.
We propose a fundamental theorem for eco-environmental surface modelling (FTEEM) in order to apply it into the fields of ecology and environmental science more easily after the fundamental theorem for Earth’s surface system modeling (FTESM). The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region is taken as a case area to conduct empirical studies of algorithms for spatial upscaling, spatial downscaling, spatial interpolation, data fusion and model-data assimilation, which are based on high accuracy surface modelling (HASM), corresponding with corollaries of FTEEM. The case studies demonstrate how eco-environmental surface modelling is substantially improved when both extrinsic and intrinsic information are used along with an appropriate method of HASM. Compared with classic algorithms, the HASM-based algorithm for spatial upscaling reduced the root-mean-square error of the BTH elevation surface by 9 m. The HASM-based algorithm for spatial downscaling reduced the relative error of future scenarios of annual mean temperature by 16%. The HASM-based algorithm for spatial interpolation reduced the relative error of change trend of annual mean precipitation by 0.2%. The HASM-based algorithm for data fusion reduced the relative error of change trend of annual mean temperature by 70%. The HASM-based algorithm for model-data assimilation reduced the relative error of carbon stocks by 40%. We propose five theoretical challenges and three application problems of HASM that need to be addressed to improve FTEEM.
Overall scientific planning of urbanization layout is an important component of the new period of land spatial planning policies. Defining the main functions of different spaces and dividing urban functional areas are of great significance for optimizing the land development pattern. This article identifies and analyses urban functional areas from the perspective of data mining. The results of this method are consistent with the actual situation. In this paper, representative taxi trajectory data are selected as the research basis of urban functional areas. First, based on trajectory data from Didi Chuxing within the high-speed road surrounding Chengdu, we generated trajectory time sequence data and used the dynamic time warping (DTW) algorithm to generate a time series similarity matrix. Second, we utilized the K-medoid clustering algorithm to generate preliminary results of land clustering and selected the results with high classification accuracy as the training samples. Then, the k-nearest neighbour (KNN) classification algorithm based on DTW was performed to classify and identify the urban functional areas. Finally, with the help of point-of-interest (POI) auxiliary analysis, the final functional layout in Chengdu was obtained. The results show that the spatial structure of Chengdu is complex and that the urban functions are interlaced, but there are still rules that are followed. Moreover, traffic volume and inflow data can better reflect the travel rules of residents than simple taxi on–off data. The original DTW calculation method has high temporal complexity, which can be improved by normalization and the reduction of time series dimensionality. The semi-supervised learning classification method is also applicable to trajectory data, and it is best to select training samples from unsupervised learning. This method can provide a theoretical basis for urban land planning and has auxiliary and guiding value for urbanization layout in the context of land spatial planning policies in the new era.
土地整治工程建设规范是科学有序开展农用地整治工程的政策支撑和技术保障.在搜集整理我国土地整治相关政策文件、发展战略和研究文献的基础上,按照城乡发展的不同时期对土地的不同需求,将土地整治工程建设目标划分为4个阶段,并对1986年以来农用地整治相关的政策文件和建设规范进行分析.研究发现,当前我国农用地整治工程建设规范更新缓慢,滞后于土地整治转型发展,对于农用地整治工程的具体实施缺乏导向性和针对性.为适应乡村振兴发展的需求,培育乡村发展新动能,将农业产业特色和科技农业融入土地整治工程建设规范之中;激发乡村人口内生动力,在建设规范编制和项目实施过程中,加强公众参与力度;打造优质绿色生态良田,编制生态型土地整治工程建设规范;近郊及农耕文化底蕴深厚地区,以景观和文化为导向,优化土地整治工程建设规范.
在高精度曲面建模方法和地球表层系统建模基本定理研究结果基础上,演绎提出了生态环境曲面建模基本定理.以京津冀地区为案例,对基于生态环境曲面建模基本定理的空间升尺度、空间降尺度、空间插值、数据融合和模型-数据同化等算法进行了实证研究,与传统算法精度进行了比较分析.结果表明,由于基于生态环境曲面建模基本定理的各种算法综合了外蕴量信息和内蕴量信息,同时运用了理论上完善的信息综合方法,使海拔高度曲面的升尺度均方根误差至少降低了9m,年平均气温未来情景的降尺度精度至少提高16%,年平均气温过去变化趋势的数据融合精度至少提高70%,年平均降雨量过去变化趋势的空间插值精度至少提高0.2%,碳储量的模型-数据同化精度提高了40%.文章最后讨论了生态曲面建模基本定理亟待解决的五大理论问题和四大应用基础问题.
准确快速掌握柑橘种植区的果树数量,对预测柑橘产量、管理柑橘生长状况、提高柑橘产量具有重要意义.本文以重庆市北碚区某果园为研究区,利用小型多旋翼无人机获取可见光影像,经处理生成数字正射影像和数字表面模型.在研究区内选取了8个35×35m的样地,利用多尺度分割算法和邻域分析法分别提取样地的株数,并以目视解译的株数为参考数据进行精度验证.结果表明邻域分析法优于多尺度分割算法且效率较高,对样地株数的提取总体精度在88.29%,能够满足在较低成本的情况下快速准确获取柑橘种植区果树数量的要求.
深入研究快速城镇化区域土地利用演变规律及驱动机制、模拟用地扩张,对了解区域未来用地状况、科学合理编制城乡规划具有重要的参考价值.以重庆两江新区为例,选取3期Landsat影像,采用基于决策向导的元胞自动机和马尔科夫链(CA-Markov)的综合模型,结合GIS空间分析方法,对过去6年间研究区的用地类型时空转化特征进行分析,模拟研究区用地状况并采用多时相的遥感图像进行检验,利用经过验证的限制条件和因子模拟研究区未来的用地格局.结果显示:基于决策向导的CA-Markov模型对模拟城镇用地扩张具有可靠性,模拟精度可达80.62%;研究区未来建设用地将继续大幅扩张,调整现有规划增加建设用地以及提高当前土地集约利用程度方能满足进一步发展需求.
This paper aims to excavate the influence of planning elements on land simulation, which provides a basis for scientific prediction of regional land use in urbanization area, and gives the reference of urban and rural planning and ecological environment restoration.Using Landsat images of 2010, 2013and 2016, this paper has simulated the land use with or without planning constraints, and discussed the role played by the planning, and predicted the future land use structure of research area in 2019and 2025with the tested constraints reasonably in the Liangjiang New Area of Chongqing by the methods of geographic information system (GIS), remote sensing (RS) technology, and a comprehensive model of cellular automata and Markoff chain (CA-Markov) based on decision guide (Decision Wizard).The study shows that:1) There is significant growth of construction land in the study area, and most of them were converted from farmland over the past six years.2) The simulation accuracy in 2016is80.62% (Kappa) under planning constraints, while the simulation accuracy is 73.24% (Kappa) without planning constraints.3) The planning elements can improve the accuracy of the simulation result to some extent for rapid urbanization area.So it concludes that:1) The planning has become a vital factor for the expansion of the modern towns.2) The development of construction land expansion along the traffic line is obvious, point elements make the new expansion to occur outside the original urban area as much as possible, and polygon elements are mainly reflected in the limitation of construction land development.3) In the future, the construction land of the study area will continue to expand substantially, and the existing planning need to be adjusted to meet the further development needs.
North China has become one of the worst air quality regions in China and the world. Based on the daily air quality index (AQI) monitoring data in 96 cities from 2014–2016, the spatiotemporal patterns of AQI in North China were investigated, then the influence of meteorological and socio-economic factors on AQI was discussed by statistical analysis and ESDA-GWR (exploratory spatial data analysis-geographically weighted regression) model. The principal results are as follows: (1) The average annual AQI from 2014–2016 exceeded or were close to the Grade II standard of Chinese Ambient Air Quality (CAAQ), although the area experiencing heavy pollution decreased. Meanwhile, the positive spatial autocorrelation of AQI was enhanced in the sample period. (2) The occurrence of a distinct seasonal cycle in air pollution which exhibit a sinusoidal pattern of fluctuations and can be described as “heavy winter and light summer.” Although the AQI generally decreased in other seasons, the air pollution intensity increased in winter with the rapid expansion of higher AQI value in the southern of Hebei and Shanxi. (3) The correlation analysis of daily meteorological factors and AQI shows that air quality can be significantly improved when daily precipitation exceeds 10 mm. In addition, except for O3, wind speed has a negative correlation with AQI and major pollutants, which was most significant in winter. Meanwhile, pollutants are transmitted dynamically under the influence of the prevailing wind direction, which can result in the relocation of AQI. (4) According to ESDA-GWR analysis, on an annual scale, car ownership and industrial production are positively correlated with air pollution; whereas increase of wind speed, per capita gross domestic product (GDP), and forest coverage are conducive to reducing pollution. Local coefficients show spatial differences in the effects of different factors on the AQI. Empirical results of this study are helpful for the government departments to formulate regionally differentiated governance policies regarding air pollution.