PurposeIn this cohort study, 5-year data from the Coronary CT Angiography Evaluation for Clinical Outcomes: An International Multicenter Registry (ie, CONFIRM) were examined to identify associations of baseline aspirin and statin use with mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), and myocardial infarction (MI) in individuals without substantial (≥50%) stenosis.Materials and MethodsIn this prospective cohort study, all participants in the registry underwent coronary CT angiography and were classified as having no detectable coronary plaque or having nonobstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) (1%-49% stenosis). Participants with obstructive (≥50%) stenosis were excluded from analysis. The study commenced in June 2003 and was completed in March 2016. All unadjusted and risk-adjusted analyses utilized the Cox proportional hazard model with hospital sites modeled using shared frailty.ResultsA total of 6386 participants with no detectable plaque or with nonobstructive CAD were included (mean age, 56.0 years ± 13.3 [SD], 52% men). The mean follow-up period was 5.66 years ± 1.10. Nonobstructive CAD (n = 2815, 44% of all participants included in the study) was associated with a greater risk of all-cause mortality (10.6% [298 of 2815] vs 4.8% [170 of 3571], P < .001) compared to those without CAD (n = 3571, 56%). Baseline aspirin and statin use was documented for 1415 and 1429 participants, respectively, with nonobstructive CAD, and for 1560 and 1565 participants without detectable plaque, respectively. In individuals with nonobstructive CAD, baseline aspirin use was not associated with a reduction in MACE (10.9% [102 of 936] vs 14.7% [52 of 355], P = .06), all-cause mortality (9.6% [95 of 991] vs 10.9% [46 of 424], P = .468), or MI (4.4% [41 of 936] vs 6.2% [22 of 355], P = .18). On multivariate risk-adjusted analysis, baseline statin use was associated with a lower rate of MACE (hazard ratio, 0.59; 95% CI: 0.40, 0.87; P = .007). Neither therapy improved clinical outcomes for participants with no detectable plaque.ConclusionIn participants with nonobstructive CAD, baseline use of statins, but not of aspirin, was associated with improved clinical outcomes. Neither therapy was associated with benefit in participants without plaque.Keywords: Aspirin, Statin, Coronary Artery Disease, CT Angiography, Nonobstructive Coronary Artery DiseaseClinical trial registration no. NCT01443637 Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2022See also the commentary by Canan and Navar in this issue.

BACKGROUND Statins reduce the incidence of major cardiovascular events, but residual risk remains. The study examined the determinants of atherosclerotic statin nonresponse. OBJECTIVES This study aimed to investigate factors associated with statin nonresponse-defined atherosclerosis progression in patients treated with statins. METHODS The multicenter PARADIGM (Progression of AtheRosclerotic PlAque DetermIned by Computed TomoGraphic Angiography Imaging) registry included patients who underwent serial coronary computed tomography angiography $2 years apart, with whole-heart coronary tree quantification of vessel, lumen, and plaque, and matching of baseline and follow-up coronary segments and lesions. Patients with statin use at baseline and follow-up coronary computed tomography angiography were included. Atherosclerotic statin nonresponse was defined as an absolute increase in percent atheroma volume (PAV) of 1.0% or more per year. Furthermore, a secondary endpoint was defined by the additional requirement of progression of low-attenuation plaque or fibro-fatty plaque. RESULTS The authors included 649 patients (age 62.0 +/- 9.0 years, 63.5% male) on statin therapy and 205 (31.5%) experienced atherosclerotic statin nonresponse. Age, diabetes, hypertension, and all atherosclerotic plaque features measured at baseline scan (high-risk plaque [HRP] features, calcified and noncalcified PAV, and lumen volume) were significantly different between patients with and without atherosclerotic statin nonresponse, whereas only diabetes, number of HRP features, and noncalcified and calcified PAV were independently associated with atherosclerotic statin nonresponse (odds ratio [OR]: 1.41 [95% CI: 0.95-2.11], OR: 1.15 [95% CI: 1.09-1.21], OR: 1.06 [95% CI: 1.02-1.10], OR: 1.07 [95% CI: 1.03-1.12], respectively). For the secondary endpoint (N =125,19.2%), only noncalcified PAV and number of HRP features were the independent determinants (OR: 1.08 [95% CI: 1.03-1.13] and OR: 1.21 [95% CI: 1.06-1.21], respectively). CONCLUSIONS In patients treated with statins, baseline plaque characterization by plaque burden and HRP is associated with atherosclerotic statin nonresponse. Patients with the highest plaque burden including HRP were at highest risk for plaque progression, despite statin therapy. These patients may need additional therapies for further risk reduction. (J Am Coll Cardiol Img 2023;16:495-504) (c) 2023 the American College of Cardiology Foundation. Published by Elsevier. All rights reserved.

AIMS:The relationship between dyspnoea, coronary artery disease (CAD), and major cardiovascular events (MACE) is poorly understood. This study evaluated (i) the association of dyspnoea with the severity of anatomical CAD by coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) and (ii) to which extent CAD explains MACE in patients with dyspnoea. METHODS AND RESULTS:From the international COronary CT Angiography EvaluatioN for Clinical Outcomes: An InteRnational Multicenter (CONFIRM) registry, 4425 patients (750 with dyspnoea) with suspected but without known CAD were included and prospectively followed for ≥5 years. First, the association of dyspnoea with CAD severity was assessed using logistic regression analysis. Second, the prognostic value of dyspnoea for MACE (myocardial infarction and death), and specifically, the interaction between dyspnoea and CAD severity was investigated using Cox proportional-hazard analysis. Mean patient age was 60.3 ± 11.9 years, 63% of patients were male and 592 MACE events occurred during a median follow-up duration of 5.4 (IQR 5.1-6.0) years. On uni- and multivariable analysis (adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, chest pain typicality, and risk factors), dyspnoea was associated with two- and three-vessel/left main (LM) obstructive CAD. The presence of dyspnoea increased the risk for MACE [hazard ratio (HR) 1.57, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.29-1.90], which was modified after adjusting for clinical predictors and CAD severity (HR 1.26, 95% CI: 1.02-1.55). Conversely, when stratified by CAD severity, dyspnoea did not provide incremental prognostic value in one-, two-, or three-vessel/LM obstructive CAD, but dyspnoea did provide incremental prognostic value in non-obstructive CAD. CONCLUSION:In patients with suspected CAD, dyspnoea was independently associated with severe obstructive CAD on CCTA. The severity of obstructive CAD explained the elevated MACE rates in patients presenting with dyspnoea, but in patients with non-obstructive CAD, dyspnoea portended additional risk.

Introduction: Statins reduce major cardiovascular events, but residual risk remains. The study examined determinants of atherosclerotic statin non-response in patients using statins. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that a comprehensive evaluation of atherosclerosis identifies patients that progress atherosclerosis despite the use of statin therapy. Methods: The multi-center PARADIGM registry included patients who underwent serial CCTA ≥2 years apart, with whole-heart coronary tree quantification of vessel, lumen and plaque, and matching of baseline and follow-up coronary segments and lesions. Patients with statin use at baseline and follow-up CCTA were included. Atherosclerotic statin non-response was defined as an absolute increase in percent atheroma volume (PAV) of 1.0% or more per year. A secondary endpoint was defined by the additional requirement of progression of low-attenuation plaque or fibro-fatty plaque. Results: We included 649 patients (62.0±9.0 years, 63.5% male) on statin therapy and 205 (31.5%) experienced atherosclerotic statin non-response. Age, diabetes, hypertension, and all atherosclerotic plaque features (high risk plaque [HRP] features, calcified and noncalcified PAV, and lumen volume) were significantly different between patients with and without atherosclerotic statin non response, while only diabetes, the number of high risk plaque features, noncalcified and calcified PAV were independently associated with atherosclerotic statin non-response (OR:1.41 (0.95-2.11), OR:1.15 (1.09-1.21), OR:1.06 (1.02-1.10), OR:1.07 (1.03-1.12), respectively). For the secondary endpoint (N=125, 19.2%), only non-calcified PAV and number of HRP features were the independent determinants (OR:1.08 (1.03-1.13) and OR:1.21 (1.06-1.21), respectively). Conclusions: In patients treated with statins, baseline plaque characterization by plaque burden and high risk plaque is associated with atherosclerotic statin non-response defined as important progression of coronary atherosclerosis. Patients with the highest plaque burden including HRP were at highest risk for plaque progression, despite statin therapy. These patients may need additional therapies for further risk reduction.

Background: The ADVANCE registry is a large prospective study of outcomes and resource utilization in patients undergoing coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) and CT-based fractional flow reserve (FFRCT). As experience with new technologies and practices develops over time, we investigated temporal changes in the use of FERCT within the ADVANCE registry. Methods: 5083 patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) on CCTA were prospectively enrolled in the ADVANCE registry and were divided into 3 equally sized cohorts based on the temporal order of enrollment per site. Demographics, CCTA and FERCT findings, and clinical outcomes through 1-year follow-up, were recorded and compared between tertiles. Results: The number of patients with a >= 70% stenosis on CCTA was similar over time (33.6%, 30.9%, and 33.8% for cohort 1-3). The rate of positive FFRCT <= 0.80 was higher for cohorts 2 (67.3%) and 3 (74.6%) than for cohort 1 (57.1%, p < 0.001). Invasive FFR rates decreased from 25.8% to 22.4% between cohort 1 and 3 (p = 0.023). Moreover, patients with a FFRCT <= 0.80 were less frequently referred for invasive coronary angiography (ICA) (from 62.9% to 52.9%, p < 0.001), and underwent fewer revascularizations between cohort 1 and 3 (from 41.9% to 32.0%, p < 0.001). The prevalence of major events was low (1.2%) and similar between cohorts. Conclusions: Growing experience with FFRCT improved the likelihood of identifying hemodynamically significant CAD and safely reduced the need for ICA and revascularization in patients with anatomically significant disease even in the instance of an abnormal FFRCT.

Abstract Background The change in fractional flow reserve derived from CT (FFRCT) value across a coronary stenosis (ΔFFRCT) improves the physiological characterization of coronary artery disease (CAD). The role of ΔFFRCT in guiding risk-stratification and downstream testing in patients with stable CAD is unknown. Purpose To investigate the incremental value of ΔFFRCT at predicting early revascularization and improving efficacy of resource utilization. Methods Patients with CAD on CT coronary angiography (CTCA) were enrolled in an international multicenter registry. Patients with non-evaluable FFRCT analysis were excluded. The CTCA was assessed for: stenosis severity as per CAD-Reporting and Data System (CAD-RADS), lesion length and lesion-specific FFRCT measured 2 cm distal to stenosis. Risk factors and actual treatment (revascularization vs medical therapy) at 90-day follow-up were recorded. Multivariable logistic regression analysis for early revascularization was conducted. The incremental discrimination for revascularization prediction was compared among 3 models (model 1: risk factors + lesion length and location + CAD-RADS; model 2: model 1 + lesion-specific FFRCT; model 3: model 2 + ΔFFRCT). Simulating ICA referral for patients with CAD-RADS ≥3 and lesion-specific FFRCT ≤0.8, the potential impact of ΔFFRCT at reducing ICA referral and improving the ratio of subsequent revascularization was assessed. Results Of 4730 patients (66±10 years; 34% female), 2092 (42.7%) underwent ICA and 1168 (24.7%) underwent early revascularization. With increasing ΔFFRCT, a higher incidence of revascularization (Figure 1A) and an increase in the revascularization to ICA ratio was observed (Figure 1B). ΔFFRCT >0.13 was the optimal cut-off for predicting revascularization as determined by the Youden index. ΔFFRCT remained an independent predictor for early revascularization (odds ratio per 0.05 increase with 95% CI, 1.31 [1.26–1.35]; p<0.0001) after adjusting for risk factors, CAD-RADS, lesion length and location, and FFRCT. Among the 3 models, model 3, which included ΔFFRCT showed the highest AUC and improved discrimination power compared to model 2 (0.87 [0.86–0.88] vs 0.85 [0.84–0.86]; p<0.0001] (Figure 2), with the greatest incremental value for ΔFFRCT observed in patients with lesion-specific FFRCT between 0.71–0.80. In patients with CAD-RADS ≥3 and lesion-specific FFRCT ≤0.8, a diagnostic strategy incorporating ΔFFRCT >0.13 would potentially reduce ICA referral by 32.2% (1638 to 1110) and improve the revascularization to ICA ratio from 65.2% [1068/1638] to 73.1% [811/1110]. Conclusions The characterization of CAD with ΔFFRCT improves the identification of patients requiring early revascularization as compared to a standard diagnostic strategy of CTCA with FFRCT, particularly for those with lesion-specific FFRCT of 0.71–0.80. ΔFFRCT has the potential to aid decision making for ICA referral and improve the efficiency of resource utilization. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): HeartFlow, Inc., Redwood City, CA, USA ΔFFRCT and actual treatmentROC curve for early revascularization

Background: The current study aimed to examine the independent prognostic value of whole-heart atherosclerosis progression by serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Methods: The multi-center PARADIGM study includes patients undergoing serial CCTA for symptomatic reasons, >2 years apart. Whole-heart atherosclerosis was characterized on a segmental level, with co-registration of baseline and follow-up CCTA, and summed to per-patient level. The independent prognostic significance of atherosclerosis progression for MACE (non-fatal myocardial infarction [MI], death, unplanned coronary revascularization) was examined. Patients experiencing interval MACE were not omitted. Results: The study population comprised 1166 patients (age 60.5 +/- 9.5 years, 54.7% male) who experienced 139 MACE events during 8.2 (IQR 6.2, 9.5) years of follow up (15 death, 5 non-fatal MI, 119 unplanned revascularizations). Whole-heart percent atheroma volume (PAV) increased from 2.32% at baseline to 4.04% at follow-up. Adjusted for baseline PAV, the annualized increase in PAV was independently associated with MACE: OR 1.23 (95% CI 1.08, 1.39) per 1 standard deviation increase, which was consistent in multiple subpopulations. When categorized by composition, only non-calcified plaque progression associated independently with MACE, while calcified plaque did not. Restricting to patients without events before follow-up CCTA, those with future MACE showed an annualized increase in PAV of 0.93% (IQR 0.34, 1.96) vs 0.32% (IQR 0.02, 0.90), P < 0.001. Conclusions: Whole-heart atherosclerosis progression examined by serial CCTA is independently associated with MACE, with a prognostic threshold of 1.0% increase in PAV per year.

OBJECTIVES This study sought to identify distinct patient groups and their association with outcome based on the patient similarity network using quantitative coronary plaque characteristics from coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA). BACKGROUND Coronary CTA can noninvasively assess coronary plaques quantitatively. METHODS Patients who underwent 2 coronary CTAs at a minimum of 24 months' interval were analyzed (n = 1,264). A similarity Mapper network of patients was built by topological data analysis (TDA) based on the whole-heart quantitative coronary plaque analysis on coronary CTA to identify distinct patient groups and their association with outcome. RESULTS Three distinct patient groups were identified by TDA, and the patient similarity network by TDA showed a dosed loop, demonstrating a continuous trend of coronary plaque progression. Group A had the least coronary plaque amount (median 12.4 mm(3) [interquartile range (IQR): 0.0 to 39.6 mm(3)]) in the entire coronary tree. Group B had a moderate coronary plaque amount (31.7 mm(3) [IQR: 0.0 to 127.4 mm(3)]) with relative enrichment of fibrofatty and necrotic core (32.6% [IQR: 16.7% to 46.2%] and 2.7% [IQR: 0.1% to 6.9%] of the total plaque, respectively) components. Group C had the largest coronary plaque amount (187.0 mm(3) [IQR: 96.7 to 306.4 mm(3)]) and was enriched for dense calcium component (46.8% [IQR: 32.0% to 63.7%] of the total plaque). At follow-up, total plaque volume, fibrous, and dense calcium volumes increased in all groups, but the proportion of fibrofatty component decreased in groups B and C, whereas the necrotic core portion decreased in only group B (all p< 0.05). Group B showed a higher acute coronary syndrome incidence than other groups (0.3% vs. 2.6% vs. 0.6%; p= 0.009) but both group B and C had a higher revascularization incidence than group A (3.1% vs. 15.5% vs. 17.8%; p < 0.001). Incorporating group information from TDA demonstrated increase of model fitness for predicting acute coronary syndrome or revascularization compared with that incorporating clinical risk factors, percentage diameter stenosis, and high-risk plaque features. CONCLUSIONS The TDA of quantitative whole-heart coronary plaque characteristics on coronary CTA identified distinct patient groups with different plaque dynamics and clinical outcomes. (Progression of AtheRosclerotic PlAque Determined by Computed TomoGraphic Angiography Imaging [PARADIGM]; NCT02803411) (C) 2021 by the American College of Cardiology Foundation.

Background Rapid coronary plaque progression (RPP) is associated with incident cardiovascular events. To date, no method exists for the identification of individuals at risk of RPP at a single point in time. This study integrated coronary computed tomography angiography–determined qualitative and quantitative plaque features within a machine learning (ML) framework to determine its performance for predicting RPP. Methods and Results Qualitative and quantitative coronary computed tomography angiography plaque characterization was performed in 1083 patients who underwent serial coronary computed tomography angiography from the PARADIGM (Progression of Atherosclerotic Plaque Determined by Computed Tomographic Angiography Imaging) registry. RPP was defined as an annual progression of percentage atheroma volume ≥1.0%. We employed the following ML models: model 1, clinical variables; model 2, model 1 plus qualitative plaque features; model 3, model 2 plus quantitative plaque features. ML models were compared with the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk score, Duke coronary artery disease score, and a logistic regression statistical model. 224 patients (21%) were identified as RPP. Feature selection in ML identifies that quantitative computed tomography variables were higher‐ranking features, followed by qualitative computed tomography variables and clinical/laboratory variables. ML model 3 exhibited the highest discriminatory performance to identify individuals who would experience RPP when compared with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk score, the other ML models, and the statistical model (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in ML model 3, 0.83 [95% CI 0.78–0.89], versus atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk score, 0.60 [0.52–0.67]; Duke coronary artery disease score, 0.74 [0.68–0.79]; ML model 1, 0.62 [0.55–0.69]; ML model 2, 0.73 [0.67–0.80]; all P<0.001; statistical model, 0.81 [0.75–0.87], P=0.128). Conclusions Based on a ML framework, quantitative atherosclerosis characterization has been shown to be the most important feature when compared with clinical, laboratory, and qualitative measures in identifying patients at risk of RPP.

AIMS:Symptom-based pretest probability scores that estimate the likelihood of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) in stable chest pain have moderate accuracy. We sought to develop a machine learning (ML) model, utilizing clinical factors and the coronary artery calcium score (CACS), to predict the presence of obstructive CAD on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA).METHODS AND RESULTS:The study screened 35 281 participants enrolled in the CONFIRM registry, who underwent ≥64 detector row CCTA evaluation because of either suspected or previously established CAD. A boosted ensemble algorithm (XGBoost) was used, with data split into a training set (80%) on which 10-fold cross-validation was done and a test set (20%). Performance was assessed of the (1) ML model (using 25 clinical and demographic features), (2) ML + CACS, (3) CAD consortium clinical score, (4) CAD consortium clinical score + CACS, and (5) updated Diamond-Forrester (UDF) score. The study population comprised of 13 054 patients, of whom 2380 (18.2%) had obstructive CAD (≥50% stenosis). Machine learning with CACS produced the best performance [area under the curve (AUC) of 0.881] compared with ML alone (AUC of 0.773), CAD consortium clinical score (AUC of 0.734), and with CACS (AUC of 0.866) and UDF (AUC of 0.682), P < 0.05 for all comparisons. CACS, age, and gender were the highest ranking features.CONCLUSION:A ML model incorporating clinical features in addition to CACS can accurately estimate the pretest likelihood of obstructive CAD on CCTA. In clinical practice, the utilization of such an approach could improve risk stratification and help guide downstream management.

AIMS:In patients without obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD), we examined the prognostic value of risk factors and atherosclerotic extent. METHODS AND RESULTS:Patients from the long-term CONFIRM registry without prior CAD and without obstructive (≥50%) stenosis were included. Within the groups of normal coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) (N = 1849) and non-obstructive CAD (N = 1698), the prognostic value of traditional clinical risk factors and atherosclerotic extent (segment involvement score, SIS) was assessed with Cox models. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) were defined as all-cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial infarction, or late revascularization. In total, 3547 patients were included (age 57.9 ± 12.1 years, 57.8% male), experiencing 460 MACE during 5.4 years of follow-up. Age, body mass index, hypertension, and diabetes were the clinical variables associated with increased MACE risk, but the magnitude of risk was higher for CCTA defined atherosclerotic extent; adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for SIS >5 was 3.4 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.3-4.9) while HR for diabetes and hypertension were 1.7 (95% CI 1.3-2.2) and 1.4 (95% CI 1.1-1.7), respectively. Exclusion of revascularization as endpoint did not modify the results. In normal CCTA, presence of ≥1 traditional risk factors did not worsen prognosis (log-rank P = 0.248), while it did in non-obstructive CAD (log-rank P = 0.025). Adjusted for SIS, hypertension and diabetes predicted MACE risk in non-obstructive CAD, while diabetes did not increase risk in absence of CAD (P-interaction = 0.004). CONCLUSION:Among patients without obstructive CAD, the extent of CAD provides more prognostic information for MACE than traditional cardiovascular risk factors. An interaction was observed between risk factors and CAD burden, suggesting synergistic effects of both.

Importance:Plaque morphologic measures on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) have been associated with future acute coronary syndrome (ACS). However, the evolution of calcified coronary plaques by noninvasive imaging is not known. Objective:To ascertain whether the increasing density in calcified coronary plaque is associated with risk for ACS. Design, Setting, and Participants:This multicenter case-control cohort study included individuals enrolled in ICONIC (Incident Coronary Syndromes Identified by Computed Tomography), a nested case-control study of patients drawn from the CONFIRM (Coronary CT Angiography Evaluation for Clinical Outcomes: An International Multicenter) registry, which included 13 study sites in 8 countries. Patients who experienced core laboratory-verified ACS after baseline CCTA (n = 189) and control individuals who did not experience ACS after baseline CCTA (n = 189) were included. Patients and controls were matched 1:1 by propensity scores for age; male sex; presence of hypertension, hyperlipidemia, and diabetes; family history of premature coronary artery disease (CAD); current smoking status; and CAD severity. Data were analyzed from November 2018 to March 2019. Exposures:Whole-heart atherosclerotic plaque volume was quantitated from all coronary vessels and their branches. For patients who underwent invasive angiography at the time of ACS, culprit lesions were coregistered to baseline CCTA lesions by a blinded independent reader. Low-density plaque was defined as having less than 130 Hounsfield units (HU); calcified plaque, as having more than 350 HU and subcategorized on a voxel-level basis into 3 strata: 351 to 700 HU, 701 to 1000 HU, and more than 1000 HU (termed 1K plaque). Main Outcomes and Measures:Association between calcium density and future ACS risk. Results:A total of 189 patients and 189 matched controls (mean [SD] age of 59.9 [9.8] years; 247 [65.3%] were male) were included in the analysis and were monitored during a mean (SD) follow-up period of 3.9 (2.5) years. The overall mean (SD) calcified plaque volume (>350 HU) was similar between patients and controls (76.4 [101.6] mm3 vs 99.0 [156.1] mm3; P = .32), but patients who experienced ACS exhibited less 1K plaque (>1000 HU) compared with controls (3.9 [8.3] mm3 vs 9.4 [23.2] mm3; P = .02). Individuals within the highest quartile of 1K plaque exhibited less low-density plaque, as a percentage of total plaque, when compared with patients within the lower 3 quartiles (12.6% [10.4%] vs 24.9% [20.6%]; P < .001). For 93 culprit precursor lesions detected by CCTA, the volume of 1K plaque was lower compared with the maximally stenotic lesion in controls (2.6 [7.2] mm3 vs 7.6 [20.3] mm3; P = .01). The per-patient and per-lesion results were similar between the 2 groups when restricted to myocardial infarction cases. Conclusions and Relevance:Results of this study suggest that, on a per-patient and per-lesion basis, 1K plaque was associated with a lower risk for future ACS and that measurement of 1K plaque may improve risk stratification beyond plaque burden.

AIMS Although there is increasing evidence supporting coronary atherosclerosis evaluation by coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA), no data are available on age and sex differences for quantitative plaque features. The aim of this study was to investigate sex and age differences in both qualitative and quantitative atherosclerotic features from CCTA prior to acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS AND RESULTS Within the ICONIC study, in which 234 patients with subsequent ACS were propensity matched 1:1 with 234 non-event controls, our current subanalysis included only the ACS cases. Both qualitative and quantitative advance plaque analysis by CCTA were performed by a core laboratory. In 129 cases, culprit lesions identified by invasive coronary angiography at the time of ACS were co-registered to baseline CCTA precursor lesions. The study population was then divided into subgroups according to sex and age (<65 vs. ≥ 65 years old) for analysis. Older patients had higher total plaque volume than younger patients. Within specific subtypes of plaque volume, however, only calcified plaque volume was higher in older patients (135.9 ± 163.7 vs. 63.8 ± 94.2 mm3, P < 0.0001, respectively). Although no sex-related differences were recorded for calcified plaque volume, females had lower fibrous and fibrofatty plaque volume than males (Fibrofatty volume 29.6 ± 44.1 vs. 75.3 ± 98.6 mm3, P = 0.0001, respectively). No sex-related differences in the prevalence of qualitative high-risk plaque features were found, even after separate analyses considering age were performed. CONCLUSION Our data underline the importance of age- and sex-related differences in coronary atherosclerosis presentation, which should be considered during CCTA-based atherosclerosis quantification.

Background: CT coronary angiography (CTA) with Fractional Flow Reserve as determined by CT (FFRCT) is a safe alternative to invasive coronary angiography. A negative FFRCT has been shown to have low cardiac event rates compared to those with a positive FFRCT. However, the clinical utility of FFRCT according to age is not known. Methods: Patients' in the ADVANCE (Assessing Diagnostic Value of Non-invasive FFRCT in Coronary Care) registry, were stratified into those >= 65 or <65 years of age. The impact of FFRCT on clinical decision-making, as assessed by patient age, was determined by evaluating patient management using CTA results alone, followed by site investigators submitting a report on the treatment plan based upon the newly provided FFRCT data. Outcomes at 1-year post CTA were assessed, including major adverse cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, all-cause mortality or unplanned hospitalization for ACS leading to revascularisation) and total revascularisation. Positive FFRCT was deemed to be <= 0.8. Results: FFRCT was calculated in 1849 (40.6%) subjects aged <65 and 2704 (59.4%) >= 65 years of age. Subjects >= 65 years were more likely to have anatomic obstructive disease on CTA (>= 50% stenosis), compared to those aged <65 (69.7% and 73.2% respectively, p = 0.008). There was a similar graded increase in recommended and actual revascularisation with either CABG or PCI, with declining FFRCT strata for subjects above and below the age of 65. MACE and revascularisation rates were not significantly different for those >= or <65, regardless of FFRCT positivity or stenosis severity <50% or >= 50%. With a negative FFRCT result, and anatomical stenosis >= 50%, those >= and <65 years of age, had similar rates of MACE (0.2% for both, p = 0.1) and revascularisation (8.7% and 10.4% respectively p = 0.4). Logistic regression analysis, with age as a continuous variable, and adjustment for Diamond Forrester Risk, baseline FFRCT and treatment (CABG, PCI, medical therapy), indicated a statistically significant, but small increase in the odds of a MACE event with increasing age (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.006-1.08, p = 0.02). Amongst patients with a FFRCT > 0.80, there was no effect of age on the odds of revascularisation. Conclusion: The findings of this study point to a low risk of MACE events or need for revascularisation in those aged >= or <65 with a FFRCT>0.80, despite the higher incidence of anatomic obstructive CAD in those >= 65 years. The findings show the clinical usefulness and outcomes of FFRCT are largely constant regardless of age.

OBJECTIVES:This study sought to identify culprit lesion (CL) precursors among acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients based on qualitative and quantitative computed tomography-based plaque characteristics. BACKGROUND:Coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) has been validated for patient-level prediction of ACS. However, the applicability of coronary CTA to CL assessment is not known. METHODS:Utilizing the ICONIC (Incident COroNary Syndromes Identified by Computed Tomography) study, a nested case-control study of 468 patients with baseline coronary CTA, the study included ACS patients with invasive coronary angiography-adjudicated CLs that could be aligned to CL precursors on baseline coronary CTA. Separate blinded core laboratories adjudicated CLs and performed atherosclerotic plaque evaluation. Thereafter, the study used a boosted ensemble algorithm (XGBoost) to develop a predictive model of CLs. Data were randomly split into a training set (80%) and a test set (20%). The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of this model was compared with that of diameter stenosis (model 1), high-risk plaque features (model 2), and lesion-level features of CL precursors from the ICONIC study (model 3). Thereafter, the machine learning (ML) model was applied to 234 non-ACS patients with 864 lesions to determine model performance for CL exclusion. RESULTS:CL precursors were identified by both coronary angiography and baseline coronary CTA in 124 of 234 (53.0%) patients, with a total of 582 lesions (containing 124 CLs) included in the analysis. The ML model demonstrated significantly higher area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve for discriminating CL precursors (0.774; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.758 to 0.790) compared with model 1 (0.599; 95% CI: 0.599 to 0.599; p < 0.01), model 2 (0.532; 95% CI: 0.501 to 0.563; p < 0.01), and model 3 (0.672; 95% CI: 0.662 to 0.682; p < 0.01). When applied to the non-ACS cohort, the ML model had a specificity of 89.3% for excluding CLs. CONCLUSIONS:In a high-risk cohort, a boosted ensemble algorithm can be used to predict CL from non-CL precursors on coronary CTA.

OBJECTIVES:To develop, demonstrate and evaluate an automated deep learning method for multiple cardiovascular structure segmentation. BACKGROUND:Segmentation of cardiovascular images is resource-intensive. We design an automated deep learning method for the segmentation of multiple structures from Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography (CCTA) images. METHODS:Images from a multicenter registry of patients that underwent clinically-indicated CCTA were used. The proximal ascending and descending aorta (PAA, DA), superior and inferior vena cavae (SVC, IVC), pulmonary artery (PA), coronary sinus (CS), right ventricular wall (RVW) and left atrial wall (LAW) were annotated as ground truth. The U-net-derived deep learning model was trained, validated and tested in a 70:20:10 split. RESULTS:The dataset comprised 206 patients, with 5.130 billion pixels. Mean age was 59.9 ± 9.4 yrs., and was 42.7% female. An overall median Dice score of 0.820 (0.782, 0.843) was achieved. Median Dice scores for PAA, DA, SVC, IVC, PA, CS, RVW and LAW were 0.969 (0.979, 0.988), 0.953 (0.955, 0.983), 0.937 (0.934, 0.965), 0.903 (0.897, 0.948), 0.775 (0.724, 0.925), 0.720 (0.642, 0.809), 0.685 (0.631, 0.761) and 0.625 (0.596, 0.749) respectively. Apart from the CS, there were no significant differences in performance between sexes or age groups. CONCLUSIONS:An automated deep learning model demonstrated segmentation of multiple cardiovascular structures from CCTA images with reasonable overall accuracy when evaluated on a pixel level.

OBJECTIVES The 1-year data from the international ADVANCE (Assessing Diagnostic Value of Non-invasive FFRCT in Coronary Care) Registry of patients undergoing coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) was used to evaluate the relationship of fractional flow reserve derived from coronary CTA (FFRCT) with downstream care and clinical outcomes. BACKGROUND Guidelines for management of chest pain using noninvasive imaging pathways are based on short- to intermediate-term outcomes. METHODS Patients (N = 5,083) evaluated for clinically suspected coronary artery disease and in whom atherosclerosis was identified by coronary CTA were prospectively enrolled at 38 international sites from July 15, 2015, to October 20, 2017. Demographics, symptom status, coronary CTA and FFRCT findings and resultant site-based treatment plans, and clinical outcomes through 1 year were recorded and adjudicated by a blinded core laboratory. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE), death, myocardial infarction (MI), and acute coronary syndrome leading to urgent revascularization were captured. RESULTS At 1 year, 449 patients did not have follow-up data. Revascularization occurred in 1,208 (38.40%) patients with an FFRCT <= 0.80 and in 89 (5.60%) with an FFRCT >0.80 (relative risk [RR]: 6.87; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.59 to 8.45; p < 0.001). MACE occurred in 55 patients, 43 events occurred in patients with an FFRCT <= 0.80 and 12 occurred in those with an FFRCT >0.80 (RR: 1.81; 95% CI: 0.96 to 3.43; p = 0.06). Time to first event (all-cause death or MI) occurred in 38 (1.20%) patients with an FFRCT <= 0.80 compared with 10 (0.60%) patients with an FFRCT >0.80 (RR: 1.92; 95% CI: 0.96 to 3.85; p = 0.06). Time to first event (cardiovascular death or MI) occurred cardiovascular death or MI occurred more in patients with an FFRCT <= 0.80 compared with patients with an FFRCT >0.80 (25 [0.80%] vs. 3 [0.20%]; RR: 4.22; 95% CI: 1.28 to 13.95; p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS The 1-year outcomes from the ADVANCE FFRCT Registry show low rates of events in all patients, with less revascularization and a trend toward lower MACE and significantly lower cardiovascular death or MI in patients with a negative FFRCT compared with patients with abnormal FFRCT values. (Assessing Diagnostic Value of Non-invasive FFRCT in Coronary Wave [ADVANCE]; NCT02499679) (C) 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier on behalf of the American College of Cardiology Foundation.

Abstract Background The association between triglyceride glucose (TyG) index and coronary atherosclerotic change remains unclear. We aimed to evaluate the association between TyG index and coronary plaque progression (PP) using serial coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). Methods A total of 1143 subjects (aged 60.7 ± 9.3 years, 54.6% male) who underwent serial CCTA with available data on TyG index and diabetic status were analyzed from The Progression of AtheRosclerotic PlAque DetermIned by Computed TomoGraphic Angiography IMaging (PARADIGM) registry. PP was defined as plaque volume (PV) (mm3) at follow-up minus PV at index > 0. Annual change of PV (mm3/year) was defined as PV change divided by inter-scan period. Rapid PP was defined as the progression of percent atheroma volume (PV divided by vessel volume multiplied by 100) ≥ 1.0%/year. Results The median inter-scan period was 3.2 (range 2.6–4.4) years. All participants were stratified into three groups based on TyG index tertiles. The overall incidence of PP was 77.3%. Baseline total PV (group I [lowest]: 30.8 (0.0–117.7), group II: 47.2 (6.2–160.4), and group III [highest]: 57.5 (8.4–154.3); P < 0.001) and the annual change of total PV (group I: 5.7 (0.0–20.2), group II: 7.6 (0.5–23.5), and group III: 9.4 (1.4–27.7); P = 0.010) were different among all groups. The risk of PP (odds ratio [OR] 1.648; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.167–2.327; P = 0.005) and rapid PP (OR 1.777; 95% CI 1.288–2.451; P < 0.001) was increased in group III compared to that in group I. TyG index had a positive and significant association with an increased risk of PP and rapid PP after adjusting for confounding factors. Conclusion TyG index is an independent predictive marker for the progression of coronary atherosclerosis. Clinical registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02803411

OBJECTIVES:This study is to determine the management and clinical outcomes of patients investigated with coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA)-derived fractional flow reserve (FFRCT) according to sex. BACKGROUND:Women are underdiagnosed with conventional ischemia testing, have lower rates of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) at invasive coronary angiography (ICA), yet higher mortality compared to men. Whether FFRCT improves sex-based patient management decisions compared to CCTA alone is unknown. METHODS:Subjects with symptoms and CAD on CCTA were enrolled (2015 to 2017). Demographics, symptom status, CCTA anatomy, coronary volume to myocardial mass ratio (V/M), lowest FFRCT values, and management plans were captured. Endpoints included reclassification rate between CCTA and FFRCT management plans, incidence of ICA demonstrating obstructive CAD (≥50% stenosis) and revascularization rates. RESULTS:A total of 4,737 patients (n = 1,603 females, 33.8%) underwent CCTA and FFRCT. Women were older (age 68 ± 10 years vs. 65 ± 10 years; p < 0.0001) with more atypical symptoms (41.5% vs. 33.9%; p < 0.0001). Women had less obstructive CAD (65.4% vs. 74.7%; p < 0.0001) at CCTA, higher FFRCT (0.76 ± 0.10 vs. 0.73 ± 0.10; p < 0.0001), and lower likelihood of positive FFRCT ≤ 0.80 for the same degree stenosis (p < 0.0001). A positive FFRCT ≤0.80 resulted in equal referral to ICA (n = 510 [54.5%] vs. n = 1,249 [56.5%]; p = 0.31), but more nonobstructive CAD (n = 208 [32.1%] vs. n = 354 [24.5%]; p = 0.0003) and less revascularization (n = 294 [31.4%] vs. n = 800 [36.2%]; p < 0.0001) in women, unless the FFRCT was ≤0.75 where revascularization rates were similar (n = 253 [41.9%] vs. n = 715 [46.4%]; p = 0.06). Women have a higher V/M ratio (26.17 ± 7.58 mm3/g vs. 24.76 ± 7.22 mm3/g; p < 0.0001) that is associated with higher FFRCT independent of degree stenosis (p < 0.001). Predictors of revascularization included stenosis severity, FFRCT, symptoms, and V/M ratio (p < 0.001) but not female sex (p = 0.284). CONCLUSIONS:FFRCT differs between the sexes, as women have a higher FFRCT for the same degree of stenosis. In FFRCT-positive CAD, women have less obstructive CAD at ICA and less revascularization, which is associated with higher V/M ratio. The findings suggest that CAD and FFRCT variations by sex need specific interpretation as these differences may affect therapeutic decision making and clinical outcomes. (Assessing Diagnostic Value of Non-invasive FFRCT in Coronary Care [ADVANCE]; NCT02499679).