Importance After a transient ischemic attack (TIA) or minor stroke, the long-term risk of stroke is not well-known. Objective To determine the annual incidence rates and cumulative incidences of stroke up to 10 years after TIA or minor stroke. Data Sources MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science were searched from inception through June 26, 2024. Study Selection Prospective or retrospective cohort studies reporting stroke risk during a minimum follow-up of 1 year in patients with TIA or minor stroke. Data Extraction and Synthesis Two reviewers independently performed data extraction and assessed study quality. Unpublished aggregate-level data on number of events and person-years during discrete follow-up intervals were obtained directly from the authors of the included studies to calculate incidence rates in individual studies. Data across studies were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. Main Outcomes and Measures The primary outcome was any stroke. Study-level characteristics were investigated as potential sources of variability in stroke rates across studies. Results The analysis involved 171 068 patients (median age, 69 years [IQR, 65-71]; median proportion of male patients, 57% [IQR, 52%-60%]) from 38 included studies. The pooled rate of stroke per 100 person-years was 5.94 events (95% CI, 5.18-6.76; 38 studies; I-2 = 97%) in the first year, 1.80 events (95% CI, 1.58-2.04; 25 studies; I-2 = 90%) annually in the second through fifth years, and 1.72 events (95% CI, 1.31-2.18; 12 studies; I-2 = 84%) annually in the sixth through tenth years. The 5- and 10-year cumulative incidence of stroke was 12.5% (95% CI, 11.0%-14.1%) and 19.8% (95% CI, 16.7%-23.1%), respectively. Stroke rates were higher in studies conducted in North America (rate ratio [RR], 1.43 [95% CI, 1.36-1.50]) and Asia (RR, 1.62 [95% CI, 1.52-1.73]), compared with Europe, in cohorts recruited in or after 2007 (RR, 1.42 [95% CI, 1.23-1.64]), and in studies that used active vs passive outcome ascertainment methods (RR, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.07-1.17]). Studies focusing solely on patients with TIA (RR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.65-0.71) or first-ever index events (RR, 0.45 [95% CI, 0.42-0.49]) had lower stroke rates than studies with an unselected patient population. Conclusions and Relevance Patients who have had a TIA or minor stroke are at a persistently high risk of subsequent stroke. Findings from this study underscore the need for improving long-term stroke prevention measures in this patient group.
Background Worldwide, major health care variations exist in patients with heart failure (HF). Objectives In this study, the authors sought to examine and compare immigrants grouped by region of origin and native Danish patients presenting with new-onset heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Methods The authors used data from the Danish Heart Failure Registry and administrative registries comprising information on medication, comorbidity, vital status, income level, and education. The co-primary outcomes were uptitration of guideline-directed medical therapy (GDMT) and a composite of HF hospitalization and all-cause death. Results Overall, 55,918 patients were included, of whom 94.8% were native Danish patients, 3.0% originated from Europe/Central Asia, 1.1% from the Middle East/North Africa, 0.6% from South Asia, and 0.5% from other regions. Patients from the non-Western areas were around 10 years younger (median age 62 vs 72 years) and had more diabetes (38%-50% vs 20%) and ischemic heart disease (67%-74% vs 48%) and less atrial fibrillation (9%-15% vs 32%) compared with Danish patients (all P < 0.001). At 12 months’ follow-up, no major differences in attainment of ≥50% target daily doses of GDMT were observed across groups. The crude 3-year cumulative risk of HF hospitalization or all-cause death ranged from 25% to 37% and was lowest for non-Western immigrants, although this difference does not persist in age- and sex-matched analyses. Conclusions Patients in Denmark with HFrEF originating from non-Western parts of the world were younger and had more ischemic heart disease and diabetes and less atrial fibrillation compared with native Danish patients. The likelihood of GDMT uptitration at 12 months was similar to that of native Danish patients, whereas their risk of HF hospitalization or all-cause death was lower, although the difference between the 2 groups diminished in age- and sex-matched analyses.
BACKGROUND: Sparse information regarding the long-term risk of acute myocardial infarction (MI) following a transient ischemic attack (TIA) emphasizes further research to guide preventive strategies and risk stratification in patients with a TIA. METHODS: We conducted a nationwide cohort study to investigate the 5-year risk of MI and all-cause mortality in patients with a first-time TIA. Patients with a first-time TIA were identified in the Danish Stroke Registry (2013-2020), matched on age, sex, and calendar year (1:4) with the general population and (1:1) with patients with first-time ischemic stroke. The 5-year risks of MI and all-cause mortality were estimated by the Aalen-Johansen and Kaplan-Meier estimators. The groups were compared using Cox regression, while adjusting for cardiovascular comorbidities. RESULTS: We identified 21 743 patients with TIA, 86 972 matched individuals from the general population, and 21 743 matched control patients with ischemic stroke. Median age was 70 (25th to 75th percentile, 60-78) years; 52% were male. Comorbidity burden was the lowest in general population controls, intermediate in patients with TIA, and the highest in patients with ischemic stroke. The 5-year risk of MI was 2.0% in patients with TIA, 1.5% in the general population (P<0.001), and 2.2% in the ischemic stroke population (P<0.001). After adjustment, these differences in MI rate were similar (TIA versus general population; hazard ratio, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.98-1.02] and TIA versus ischemic stroke; hazard ratio, 0.99 [95% CI, 0.96-1.01]). The 5-year risk of mortality was 17.0% in patients with TIA compared with 14.0% in the general population (P<0.001) and 27.0% in ischemic stroke population (P<0.001). The differences in mortality persisted following adjustments for patients with TIA versus general population (hazard ratio, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.19-1.31]) and for patients with TIA versus ischemic stroke (hazard ratio, 0.43 [95% CI, 0.41-0.46]). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with first-time TIA had a low 5-year incidence of MI, which was not significantly different from that of the general population and patients with first-time ischemic stroke after adjustments for comorbidities. However, patients with TIA had a 25% higher all-cause mortality rate than the general population, which was not readily explained by MI risk. Hence, the findings do not endorse the need to raise further awareness regarding MI in patients with TIA.
Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation(AF) is a critical cause of cardio-embolism in patients experiencing a transient ischaemic attack(TIA) or ischaemic stroke. However, real-world contemporary data on whether AF is associated with increased stroke risk after TIA is sparse. Purpose To examine whether AF is associated with stroke after first-time TIA. Methods We included all patients aged ≥18 years with first-time TIA from the Danish Stroke registry(2014-2020). The three-year cumulative incidences of stroke and all-cause mortality were compared between patients with and without AF using the Aalen-Johansen and Kaplan-Meier estimator. A multivariable cox-regression analysis was also performed, adjusting for the following variables: sex, age≥75 years, ischaemic heart disease, hypertension, diabetes, chronic renal disease, and calendar year. Results In total, we identified 21,613 patients with first-time TIA; 2,324 patients with AF and 19,289 patients without AF. Patients with AF were older (77.3 years [IQR:70.1-84.2] versus 70.0 years [IQR:59.8-77.8]), more often males(59.1% versus 52.4%), had more comorbidities, and received more medications e.g., oral anticoagulants(OAC) (64.2% versus 2.3%), compared to patients without AF at baseline. Furthermore, a higher proportion of patients with AF, compared to patients without AF, received OAC(71.0% versus 7.1%) and antihypertensives(46.8% versus 28.4%) within three months after discharge. Compared to patients with AF, a larger number of patients without AF received antiplatelet therapy e.g.,Acetylsalicylic acid(10.6% versus 22.2%) and Adenosine-diphosphate receptor inhibitors/Phosphodiesterase inhibitors(21.1% versus 80.7%) within three months after discharge. The three-year cumulative incidence of stroke after TIA was 5.8%(95% CI:[4.8-6.9]) in patients with AF and 4.1%(95% CI:[3.8-4.4]) in patients without AF(p<0.001). However, after accounting for potential confounders, AF was not independently associated with stroke after TIA (adjusted hazard ratio:1.18 [95% CI 0.96–1.45])(Figure1). Patient characteristics that were significantly associated with increased three-year stroke rate included male sex, age≥75 years, ischaemic heart disease, diabetes, and chronic renal disease. The three-year cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality after TIA was 24.7%(95% CI:[22.7–26.7]) in patients with AF and 10.0%(95% CI:[9.5–10.5]) in patients without AF(p<0.001). Conclusions In this nationwide study, we demonstrated that after accounting for patient characteristics, atrial fibrillation(AF) was not independently associated with stroke within three years following a transient ischaemic attack(TIA). However, male sex, age≥75 years, ischaemic heart disease, diabetes, and chronic renal disease were significantly associated with stroke after first-time TIA. These findings highlight the necessity for a thorough risk assessment and personalized preventive strategies to reduce the stroke-risk in patients with TIA.
BACKGROUND:First-time detected atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with aggravated prognosis in patients admitted with acute coronary syndrome (ACS). Yet, among patients surviving beyond one year after ACS, it remains unclear how the recurrence of AF within the initial year after ACS affects the risk of stroke. METHODS:With Danish nationwide data from 2000 to 2021, we identified all patients with first-time ACS who were alive one year after discharge (index date). Patients were categorized into: i) no AF; ii) first-time detected AF during ACS admission without a recurrent hospital contact with AF (transient AF); and iii) first-time detected AF during ACS admission with a subsequent recurrent hospital contact with AF (recurrent AF). From index date, two-year rates of ischemic stroke were compared using multivariable adjusted Cox regression analysis. Treatment with antithrombotic therapy was assessed as filled prescriptions between 12 and 15 months following ACS discharge. RESULTS:We included 139,137 patients surviving one year post ACS discharge: 132,944 (95.6%) without AF, 3920 (2.8%) with transient AF, and 2273 (1.6%) with recurrent AF. Compared to those without AF, the adjusted two-year hazard ratios of ischemic stroke were 1.45 (95% CI, 1.22-1.71) for patients with transient AF and 1.47 (95% CI: 1.17-1.85) for patients with recurrent AF. Prescription rates of oral anticoagulation increased over calendar time, reaching 68.3% and 78.7% for transient and recurrent AF, respectively, from 2019 to 2021. CONCLUSION:In patients surviving one year after ACS with first-time detected AF, recurrent and transient AF were associated with a similarly increased long-term rate of ischemic stroke.
Abstract Background The ABCD2-score is a validated risk score used to estimate the short-term risk of stroke after transient ischemic attack (TIA). However, "real-world" contemporary data on the long-term risk of stroke after TIA according to ABCD2-score are needed in order to guide preventive strategies. Purpose To determine the long-term risk of stroke after TIA according to modified ABCD2-score (high-risk (≥4 points) versus low-risk (<4 points)). Methods Patients aged ≥18 years with first-time TIA were included from the Danish Stroke Registry (2014-2020). The study population was stratified in high-risk (≥4 points) and low-risk (<4 points) ABCD2-score group. We utilized a modified ABCD2-score consisting of the following parameters: age ≥60 years, hypertension, clinical features, and diabetes. The 3-year risk of ischemic stroke and all-cause mortality was compared between the high-risk and low-risk group using the Aalen-Johansen and Kaplan-Meier estimator. A cox regression model was also conducted. Results In total, 21,433 patients with first-time TIA were included; 1,281 (6.0%) in the high-risk and 20,152 (94.0%) in the low-risk group. Patients in the high-risk group were older (77.5 years [interquartile range [IQR] 70.8-84.1] versus 70.3 years [IQR 60.1-78.2]), more often females (52.2% versus 46.6%) (p <0.001), more comorbid and received more medication compared with the low-risk group at baseline. The 3-year cumulative incidence of stroke was 6.0% [95% CI: 4.6-7.5] in the high-risk group and 4.2% [95% CI: 3.9-4.5] in the low-risk group, and the unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) was 1.6 (95% CI 1.2 – 2.0) (Figure 1). The cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality within three-years after TIA was 28.9% [95% CI: 26.1-31.7] in the high-risk group and 10.3% [95% CI: 9.9-10.8] in the low-risk group. The unadjusted HR was 3.2 (95% CI 2.8 – 3.6). Conclusions Patients with high-risk ABCD2-scores had an almost two-fold higher associated long-term stroke-rate compared to those with low-risk scores. Trials focusing on preventive measures, including evidence-based antithrombotic strategies, especially for the high-risk group are warranted.
Background: After a transient ischemic attack (TIA) or minor stroke, the long-term risk of subsequent stroke is uncertain. Methods: Electronic databases were searched for observational studies reporting subsequent stroke during a minimum follow-up of 1 year in patients with TIA or minor stroke. Unpublished data on number of stroke events and exact person-time at risk contributed by all patients during discrete time intervals of follow-up were requested from the authors of included studies. This information was used to calculate the incidence of stroke in individual studies, and results across studies were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis. Results: Fifteen independent cohorts involving 129794 patients were included in the analysis. The pooled incidence rate of subsequent stroke per 100 person-years was 6.4 events in the first year and 2.0 events in the second through tenth years, with cumulative incidences of 14% at 5 years and 21% at 10 years. Based on 10 studies with information available on fatal stroke, the pooled case fatality rate of subsequent stroke was 9.5% (95% CI, 5.9 – 13.8). Conclusions: One in five patients is expected to experience a subsequent stroke within 10 years after a TIA or minor stroke, with every tenth patient expected to die from their subsequent stroke.
Background and ObjectivesTransient ischemic attack (TIA) is associated with a higher short-term incidence of stroke. However, long-term data on this association are lacking. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the long-term incidence of ischemic stroke after TIA according to ABCD2 score and to identify factors associated with stroke after TIA. MethodsAll Danish patients >= 18 years with first-time TIA were included from the Danish Stroke Registry (2014-2020). The study population was stratified into a high-risk (>= 4 points) and low-risk (<4 points) group according to the modified ABCD2 score (age >= 60 years, hypertension, clinical features, and diabetes). The 3-year cumulative incidence of stroke and all-cause mortality was assessed using the Aalen-Johansen and Kaplan-Meier estimators, respectively. Factors associated with 3-year stroke rate were identified using multivariable Cox regression models. ResultsIn total, 21,433 patients with first-time TIA were included: 1,280 (6.0%) in the high-risk group and 20,153 (94.0%) in the low-risk group. Patients with high-risk ABCD2 scores were older (median 77.5 [P25-P75 70.8-84.1] vs 70.3 [P25-P75 60.1-78.2]), more often female (53.1%), had more comorbidities (e.g., ischemic heart disease, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation), and received more medication (e.g., any antiplatelet therapy or oral anticoagulants and cholesterol-lowering drugs) at baseline. The 3-year cumulative incidence of stroke after TIA was 6.0% (95% CI 4.6-7.5) in the high-risk group and 4.2% (95% CI 3.9-4.5) in the low-risk group (p = 0.004) with an unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.56 (95% CI 1.21-2.00). Factors associated with 3-year stroke rate included age >= 60 years (HR 2.21, 95% CI 1.76-2.78), current smoking (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.13-1.65), unilateral weakness (HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.04-1.51), peripheral artery disease (HR 1.53, 95% CI 1.09-2.14), and chronic kidney disease (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.01-1.90). The 3-year cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality was 28.9% (95% CI 26.1-31.7) in the high-risk group and 10.3% (95% CI 9.9-10.8) in the low-risk group. DiscussionPatients with high-risk ABCD2 score had an almost 60% higher associated long-term rate of ischemic stroke compared with those with low-risk ABCD2 score. Future trials focusing on preventive strategies, including evidence-based antithrombotic strategies, especially for the high-risk group are warranted.
BACKGROUND: The short-term incidence of ischemic stroke after a transient ischemic attack (TIA) is high. However, data on the long-term incidence are not well known but are needed to guide preventive strategies. METHODS: Patients with first-time TIA (index date) in the Danish Stroke Registry (January 2014–December 2020) were included and matched 1:4 with individuals from the background population and 1:1 with patients with a first-time ischemic stroke on the basis of age, sex, and calendar year. The incidences of ischemic stroke and mortality from index date were estimated by Aalen-Johansen and Kaplan-Meier estimators, respectively, and compared between groups using multivariable Cox regression. RESULTS: We included 21 500 patients with TIA, 86 000 patients from the background population, and 21 500 patients with ischemic stroke (median age, 70.8 years [25th–75th percentile, 60.8–78.7]; 53.1% males). Patients with TIA had more comorbidities than the background population, yet less than the control stroke population. The 5-year incidence of ischemic stroke after TIA (6.1% [95% CI, 5.7–6.5]) was higher than the background population (1.5% [95% CI, 1.4–1.6], P <0.01; hazard ratio, 5.14 [95% CI, 4.65–5.69]) but lower than the control stroke population (8.9% [95% CI, 8.4–9.4], P <0.01; hazard ratio, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.53–0.64]). The 5-year mortality for patients with TIA (18.6% [95% CI, 17.9–19.3]) was higher than the background population (14.8% [95% CI, 14.5–15.1], P <0.01; hazard ratio, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.20–1.32]) but lower than the control stroke population (30.1% [95% CI, 29.3–30.9], P <0.01; hazard ratio, 0.41 [95% CI, 0.39–0.44]). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with first-time TIA had an ischemic stroke incidence of 6.1% during the 5-year follow-up period. After adjustment for relevant comorbidities, this incidence was approximately 5-fold higher than what was found for controls in the background population and 40% lower than for patients with recurrent ischemic stroke.
Aim: To examine temporal changes in incidence rates of atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF), treatment strategies, and AF readmission rates in patients <65 years. Methods: Using Danish nationwide registries, we identified patients <65 years with a first-time AF diagnosis from 2000 to 2018. The cohort was categorized according to calendar periods; 2000-2002, 2003-2006, 2007-2010, 2011-2014, and 2015-2018. In this retrospective cohort study the incidence rate (IR) of AF per 100,000 person years (PY), catheter ablation, electrical cardioversion, use of pharmacotherapy, and AF readmission, were investigated in the first year following AF diagnosis. Results: We identified 60,917 patients; 8150 (13.4%) in 2000-2002, 11,898 (19.5%) in 2003-2006, 13,560 (22.3%) in 2007-2010, 14,167 (23.3%) in 2011-2014, and 13,142 (21.6%) in 2015-2018. Apart from 2015 to 2018, a stepwise increase in the crude IR of AF was observed across calendar periods; 2000-2002: 78.7 (95% CI 77.0;80.4), 2003-2006: 86.3 (84.7;87.8), 2007-2010: 97.9 (96.3;99.6), 2011-2014: 102.3 (100.7;104.0), 2015-2018: 93.6 (92.0;95.2). Over the studied time-periods, we found a stepwise increase in the cumulative incidence of catheter ablation (1.2% to 7.6%) electrical cardioversion (2.0% to 8.7%) and treatment with oral anticoagulant therapy (OAC) (28.5% to 47.8%) within the first year of diagnosis. No temporal differences in incidence of 1-year AF readmission were identified (AF-readmissions: 2000-2002: 32.7%, 2003-2006: 31.1%, 2007-2010: 32.2%, 2011-2014: 32.1% and 2015-2018: 31.7%). Conclusion: The incidence rate of AF in patients <65 years increased from 2000 to 2018, as did the use of catheter ablation, electrical cardioversion and OAC in the first year following AF diagnosis. 1-year AF readmission incidence remained stable around 32% over the study period.
Lay summary This study examined the rates of all-cause mortality and hazard ratio (HF) hospitalization in a large, nationwide cohort of patient with HF with and without a history of 29 autoimmune diseases (AIDs). Among HF patients, a history of AID was associated with higher mortality. Further research elucidating the explanations for the observed excess mortality is needed. Among HF patients, a history of AID was not associated with higher HF hospitalization. Aims Autoimmune diseases (AIDs) are associated with a higher risk of heart failure (HF). However, data on the prognosis of HF patients with a history of AID are limited. The aim was to investigate the rates of all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization in a large, nationwide cohort of patient with HF according to a history of 29 AIDs Methods and results Using Danish nationwide registries, each HF patient (diagnosed 2000-18) with a history of AID was matched with four HF patients without AID by age, sex, and year of HF diagnosis. Rates of outcomes were compared by Cox regression models. The prevalence of AID in patients with HF was 10.7%. In total, 21 256 HF patients with a history of AID were matched with 85 024 HF patients without AID (median age 77 years; 58.9% female). During a median follow-up of 3.2 years, the incidence rates per 100 person-years for all-cause mortality were 17.1 (95% confidence interval, 16.9-17.4) and 14.4 (14.3-14.6) in patients with and without AID, respectively. The corresponding rates for HF hospitalization were 5.0 (4.9-5.1) and 5.2 (5.1-5.4), respectively. A history of AID was associated with higher rate of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 1.14 (1.12-1.17)], but not HF hospitalization [HR 1.00 (0.96-1.04)] compared with no AID. Conclusions In a nationwide cohort study, patients with HF and a history of AID had a higher associated rate of mortality than those without a history of AID.
The prevalence and impact of perioperative atrial fibrillation (AF) during an admission for major emergency abdominal surgery are sparsely examined. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the 30-day and 1-year outcomes (AF-related hospitalization, stroke, and all-cause mortality) in patients with and without perioperative AF to their major emergency abdominal surgery. All patients without a history of AF who underwent major emergency abdominal surgery from 2000 to 2019 and discharged alive were identified using Danish nationwide registries. Patients with and without perioperative AF (defined as new-onset AF during the index hospitalization) were matched 1:4 on age, gender, year of surgery, and type of surgery. The cumulative incidences and hazard ratios of outcomes were assessed using a multivariable Cox regression analysis comparing patients with and without perioperative AF. A total of 2% of patients were diagnosed with perioperative AF. The matched cohort comprised 792 and 3,168 patients with and without perioperative AF, respectively (median age 78 years [twenty-fifth to seventy-fifth percentile 70 to 83 years]; 43% men). Cumulative incidences of AF-related hospitalizations, stroke, and mortality 1 year after discharge were 30% versus 3.4%, 3.4% versus 2.7%, and 35% ver-sus 22% in patients with and without perioperative AF, respectively. The 30-day outcomes were similarly elevated among patients with perioperative AF. Perioperative AF during an admission for major emergency abdominal surgery was associated with higher 30-day and 1-year rates of AF-related hospitalization and mortality and similar rates of stroke. These findings suggest that perioperative AF is a prognostic marker of increased morbidity and mortality in relation to major emergency abdominal surgery and warrants further investigation. (c) 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) (Am J Cardiol 2023;207:59-68)
Aim: Treatment with certain drugs can augment the risk of developing malignant arrhythmias (e.g. torsades de pointes [TdP]). Hence, we examined the overall TdP risk drug use before out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) and possible association with shockable rhythm and return of sponta-neous circulation (ROSC). Methods: Patients >= 18 years with an OHCA of cardiac origin from the Danish Cardiac Arrest Registry (2001-2014) and TdP risk drug use accord-ing to www.CredibleMeds.org were identified. Factors associated with TdP risk drug use and secondly how use may affect shockable rhythm and ROSC were determined by multivariable logistic regression. Results: We identified 27,481 patients with an OHCA of cardiac origin (median age: 72 years [interquartile range 62.0, 80.0 years]). A total of 37% were in treatment with TdP risk drugs 0-30 days before OHCA compared with 33% 61-90 days before OHCA (p < 0.001). Most commonly used TdP risk drugs were citalopram (36.1%) and roxithromycin (10.7%). Patients in TdP risk drug treatment were older (75 vs 70 years) and more comorbid compared with those not in treatment. Subsequently, TdP risk drug use was associated with less likelihood of the presenting rhythm being shockable (odds ratio [OR] = 0.63, 95% confidence interval [CI]:0.58-0.69) and ROSC (OR = 0.73, 95% CI:0.66-0.80). Conclusion: TdP risk drug use increased in the time leading up to OHCA and was associated with reduced likelihood of presenting with a shockable rhythm and ROSC in an all-comer OHCA setting. However, patients in TdP risk drug treatment were older and more comorbid than patients not in treatment.
Background Our objective was to investigate stroke severity and subsequent rate of mortality among patients with and without atrial fibrillation (AF). Contemporary data on stroke severity and prognosis in patients with AF are lacking. Methods and Results First‐time ischemic stroke patients from the Danish Stroke Registry (January 2005–December 2016) were included in an observational study. Patients with AF were matched 1:1 by sex, age, calendar year, and CHA 2 DS 2 ‐VASc score with patients without AF. Stroke severity was determined by the Scandinavian Stroke Scale (0–58 points). The rate of death was estimated by Kaplan‐Meier plots and multivariable Cox regression. Among 86 458 identified patients with stroke, 17 205 had AF. After matching, 14 662 patients with AF and 14 662 patients without AF were included (51.8% women; median age, 79.6 years [25th–75th percentile, 71.8–86.0]). More patients with AF had very severe stroke (0–14 points) than patients without AF (13.7% versus 7.9%, P <0.01). The absolute rates of 30‐day and 1‐year mortality were significantly higher for patients with AF (12.1% and 28.4%, respectively) versus patients without AF (8.7% and 21.8%, respectively). This held true in adjusted models for 30‐day mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.40 [95% CI, 1.30–1.51]). However, this association became nonsignificant when additionally adjusting for stroke severity (HR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.00–1.23]). AF was associated with a higher rate of 1‐year mortality (HR, 1.39 [95% CI, 1.32–1.46]), although it was mediated by stroke severity (HR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.09–1.23], model including stroke severity). Conclusions In a contemporary nationwide cohort of patients with ischemic stroke, patients with AF had more severe strokes and higher mortality than patients without AF. The difference in mortality was mainly driven by stroke severity.
Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) in relation to surgery remains a clinical challenge. Major emergency abdominal surgery (e.g. ileus, perforation) is associated with postoperative complications and mortality. However, the prevalence and impact of perioperative AF in this setting is not well examined. Purpose We compared 30-days and 1-year outcomes (i.e. hospitalization of any causes, AF-related hospitalization, thromboembolic events and all-cause mortality) in patients who did and did not develop perioperative AF (POAF) in relation to their major emergency abdominal surgery. Methods We crosslinked data from Danish nationwide registries and identified all patients who underwent major emergency abdominal surgery (2000–2018) and discharged alive. Patients who developed POAF during hospitalization were matched in a 1:3 ratio on age, sex, year of surgery and category of surgery with those without POAF. Starting follow up at discharge, we examined the rates of outcomes at 30-days and 1-year post-discharge. The cumulative incidences and ratios of outcomes were assessed with the Aalen Johanson estimator together with Kaplan-Meier estimator and multivariable Cox regression analysis, respectively. Results We identified 891 patients with POAF and 64,914 patients without POAF. The matched cohort were composed of 889 patients with POAF and 2667 patients without POAF with a median age of 79 years [25th-75th percentile; 72–84 years] and 45.2% males. In general, patients with POAF had higher comorbid burden compared with patients without POAF. The cumulative incidences of a hospitalization of any cause after 30-days post-discharge were 31.2% and 22.3% in patients with and without POAF, respectively. The corresponding numbers for AF-related hospitalization were 20.8% and 1.2%, respectively. In adjusted analyses, POAF was associated with a significantly higher risk of hospitalization of any causes together with AF-related hospitalization (Figure 1 and 2). The cumulative incidences of a thromboembolic event after 30-days post-discharge were 2.2% and 0.9% in patients with and without POAF, respectively. The corresponding numbers for all-cause mortality were 9.7% and 3.2%, respectively. In adjusted analyses, POAF was associated with a significantly higher risk of a thromboembolic event together with all-cause mortality within 30-days of follow up as well as 1-year of follow up. However, the results regarding thromboembolic events did not reach statistical significance after 1-year of follow up (Figure 1 and 2). Conclusions Perioperative atrial fibrillation in relation to major emergency abdominal surgery was associated with higher 30-days and 1-year rates of hospitalizations of any causes, atrial fibrillation related hospitalization, a thromboembolic event and all-cause mortality. These findings suggest that perioperative atrial fibrillation is a strong prognostic marker of increased morbidity following major emergency abdominal surgery. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.
Background: Data concerning the long-term risk of heart failure (HF) in patients with takot-subo syndrome (TTS) are sparse. We compared the rates of death and hospitalization due to HF with matched individuals from the background population and patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). Methods: In this nationwide observational cohort study, all patients with first-time TTS (2011-2018) who were alive at discharge were identified by using data from Danish nationwide registries. These were matched for age and sex with individuals from the background popula-tion (1:4 matching) and with patients with STEMI who were alive at discharge (1:3 matching). Results: A total of 881 patients with TTS who were alive at discharge were identified (median age 70 years; 89.4% men). During a mean follow-up of 2.9 years, the incidence rates of death, HF hospitalization, and TTS recurrence in survivors of TTS were 6.9, 0.9 and 1.1 events per 100 person-years. The corresponding absolute 3-year risks were 9.3%, 1.8% and 2.5%, respec-tively. Survivors of TTS had higher associated rates of death compared with the background population (hazard ratio [HR] 2.05 [95% CI, 1.62-2.60]) and survivors of STEMI (HR 1.69 [1.34-2.13]). Similarly, survivors of TTS had higher associated rates of hospitalization due to HF compared with the background population (HR 4.24 [1.88-9.53]), but lower rates com-pared with survivors of STEMI (HR 0.34 [0.20-0.56]). Propensity-score matched analyses yielded similar results. Conclusions: Survivors of TTS had significantly higher associated mortality rates than the background population and survivors of STEMI. Survivors of TTS had lower HF hospitalization rates than survivors of STEMI, but the rates were higher than those of the background popula-tion. (J Cardiac Fail 2022;28:1534-1544)
Background Oral anticoagulation (OAC) is effective for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation. However, some patients experience stroke despite OAC therapy, and knowledge about the impact of prior treatment quality is lacking. Methods and Results Patients with atrial fibrillation on OAC therapy who had a first-time ischemic stroke were identified in the Danish Stroke Registry (2005-2018). Patients treated with vitamin K antagonist (VKA) therapy were compared according to the international normalized ratio just before stroke (international normalized ratio <2 [subtherapeutic], international normalized ratio 2-3 [therapeutic], international normalized ratio >3 [supratherapeutic]), and patients on underdosed, appropriately dosed, and overdosed direct OAC (DOAC) therapy were compared. Stroke severity was determined using the Scandinavia Stroke Scale (0-58 points), and the risk of very severe stroke (0-14 points) was analyzed by multivariable logistic regression. One-year mortality was determined using multivariable Cox regression. A total of 2319 patients with atrial fibrillation and stroke were included; 1196 were taking a VKA (subtherapeutic [46%], therapeutic [43%], supratherapeutic [11%]), and 1123 were taking DOAC (underdosed [23%], appropriately dosed [60%], and overdosed [17%]). Subtherapeutic and supratherapeutic VKA therapy (compared with therapeutic) and underdosed DOAC therapy (compared with appropriate and underdosed DOAC) patients were older, more often women, and more comorbid. Subtherapeutic VKA therapy was associated with very severe stroke (odds ratio [OR], 2.06 [95% CI, 1.28-3.31]), whereas supratherapeutic VKA therapy was not (OR, 1.24 [95% CI, 0.60-2.57]) compared with therapeutic VKA therapy. Patients on subtherapeutic and supratherapeutic VKA therapy had a higher 1-year mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.66 [95% CI, 1.29-2.13]); HR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.08-2.22], respectively) than those on therapeutic VKA therapy. Treatment with underdosed or overdosed DOAC therapy was not associated with very severe stroke (OR, 1.27 [95% CI, 0.76-2.15]; OR, 0.73 [95% CI, 0.37-1.43], respectively) and was not associated with 1-year mortality (HR, 1.09 [95% CI, 0.83-1.44]; HR, 0.82 [95% CI, 0.57-1.18], respectively) than appropriate DOAC. Conclusions Half of the patients with atrial fibrillation with stroke were on inappropriate OAC therapy. Subtherapeutic VKA was associated with worse stroke severity and higher mortality rate than therapeutic VKA therapy. Neither underdosed nor overdosed DOAC was associated with worse outcomes in adjusted models compared with appropriately dosed DOAC. This study supports DOAC as a first-line therapy over VKA.
Abstract Background/Introduction The general atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF) population is well explored and described, but there is sparse data on temporal changes in the incidence, AF-readmission rates, and practice patterns in patients with AF under 65 years of age from unselected cohorts. Purpose To investigate temporal changes, AF readmission rates, and practice patterns in patients under 65 years of age with first-time AF diagnosed between 2000–2018. Methods Using Danish nationwide registries, we identified patients >18 years and <65 years with a first-time AF-diagnosis from 2000–2018. The cohort was categorized according to calendar periods; 2000–2002, 2003–2006, 2007–2010, 2011–2014 and 2015–2018. Incidence rate (IR) of AF per 100,000 person years (PY), AF-readmission, and practice patterns of medical treatment, electrical cardioversion, and catheter ablation was investigated in the first year following AF-diagnosis. Results In this study 60,917 patients were included; 8,150 patients (13.4%) in 2000–2002, 11,898 (19.5%) in 2003–2006, 13,560 (22.3%) in 2007–2010, 14,167 (23.3%) in 2011–2014 and 13,142 (21.6%) in 2015–2018. No major differences were seen in patient characteristics according to calendar period. A stepwise increase, as seen in the Table, in the crude IR of AF per 100,000 PY was observed across calendar periods, except for 2015–2018 (Crude IR [95% CI]: 2000–2002: 78.7 [77.0; 80.4], 2003–2006: 86.3 [84.7; 87.8], 2007–2010: 97.9 [96.3; 99.6], 2011–2014: 102.3 [100.7; 104.0], 2015–2018: 93.6 [92.0; 95.2], while no difference in AF readmission was identified (AF-readmissions: 2000–2002: 32.7%, 2003–2006: 31.1%, 2007–2010: 32.2%, 2011–2014: 32.1% and 2015–2018: 31.7%), as seen in the Figure, right panel. In the first year following AF-diagnosis, the cumulative incidence of catheter ablation increased stepwise from 1.2% in 2000–2002 to 7.6% in 2015–2018 and electrical cardioversion from 2.0% in 2000–2002 to 8.7% in 2015–2018 (Figure, left panel). Treatment with oral anticoagulant therapy (OAC) increased from 28.5% in 2000–2002 to 47.8% in 2015–2018, while there was no change in treatment with rhythm or rate medication therapy. Conclusion From 2000–2018, we found an increase in the incidence of atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF) in patients <65 years from 78.7/100,000 person years (PY) to 93.6/100,000 PY and an increase in the use of catheter ablation, electrical cardioversion and OAC in the first year following first-time AF-diagnosis. AF readmission rates were stable over calendar periods. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.
Abstract Background First-time detected atrial fibrillation (AF) during acute coronary syndrome (ACS) aggravates the prognosis and increases the risk of ischemic stroke. In this setting, AF may present as brief and transient or with recurrent episodes after discharge. However, data on the association between transient or recurrent AF and ischemic stroke in patients with ACS are sparse. Further, despite being associated with ischemic stroke, first-time detected AF patients have been reported with low oral anticoagulation (OAC) rates. Purpose To examine the associated rate of ischemic stroke and mortality in ACS survivors with transient or recurrent AF and to assess the antithrombotic practice patterns one year after ACS. Methods Using data from Danish nationwide registries, we identified all patients with first-time ACS, without known AF prior to ACS, from 2000–2017 who were alive one year after ACS discharge (index date). According to a grace period between ACS discharge and one year after ACS discharge, patients were categorized into: i) no AF; ii) first-time detected AF during ACS admission without AF recurrence (transient AF); and iii) first-time detected AF during ACS admission with a subsequent recurrent AF episode (recurrent AF). Patients who developed AF during the grace period were excluded. Patients were followed from one year post ACS discharge, and two-year rates of ischemic stroke and mortality were compared using multivariable adjusted Cox proportional hazards analysis. Further, we assessed the prescribed OAC rates in a three-month period following the index date. Results We included 116,793 patients surviving one year post ACS discharge: 111,708 (95.6%) without AF (64.9% male, median age 64 years), 2,671 (2.3%) with transient AF (58.0% male, median age 74 years), and 2,414 (2.1%) with recurrent AF (55.2% male, median age 76 years). The cumulative two-year incidence of ischemic stroke was 0.9%, 1.5%, and 2.3% for patients without AF, transient AF, and recurrent AF, respectively (Figure 1). The cumulative two-year incidence of mortality was 7.4%, 12.1%, and 20.3% for patients without AF, transient AF, and recurrent AF, respectively (Figure 1). Compared to those without AF, the adjusted two-year rates of outcomes were as follows: ischemic stroke: HR 1.15 (95% CI: 0.81–1.61) for patients with transient AF and HR 1.50 (95% CI: 1.14–1.98) for patients with recurrent AF; mortality: HR 0.98 (95% CI: 0.87–1.10) for patients with transient AF and HR 1.35 (95% CI: 1.23–1.49) for patients with recurrent AF (Figure). We identified that 20.9% for transient AF and 42.2% for recurrent AF were prescribed OAC therapy in the three-month period after one year. Conclusion In patients surviving one year after ACS with first-time detected AF, a recurrent AF episode was associated with an increased long-term rate of ischemic stroke and mortality, while transient AF yielded no statistically difference as compared with patients without AF. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: None.